ICTOP10 CaribAssurance jumps 21%, AMG drops 16%

Caribbean Assurance Brokers rose 21 percent to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $2.98 for the week, while AMG Packaging fell 16 percent in closing at $1.90, with most Junior Market stocks declining for the week. Main Market stocks were pretty steady, with movements not exceeding 4 percent for the week even as the market indices fell just over 6,500 points or 1.5 percent. On the other hand, the Junior Market gave up 31 points or one percent.
The other notable large TOP10 movers this week are; AMG Packaging, with a loss of 16 percent in closing at $1.90 from $2.25 at the previous week’s close after it fell from $2.40 at the end prior week and Caribbean Cream rose 2 percent to $5.70.  Access Financial Services slipped 6 percent to $19.50, Elite Diagnostic dropped 7 percent on top of the 8 percent fall last week to $2.97 and General Accident lost 9 percent in closing at $6, Lasco Distributors and Lumber Depot lost 5 percent each. On Friday, the latter declined as Mayberry Jamaica Equities sold off their holdings to Stony Hill  Investments.
In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers added another 3 percent to the 15 percent increase last week to close at $10.36 and Proven Investments was up 4 percent. PanJam Investment dropped from $73 9 to $68 to reenter the TOP10, with Carreras dropping out of the Main Market TOP10. In the Junior Market, the price of Medical Disposables slipped from $6.72 last week to $6.30 this past week and swapped back its spot with Dolphin Cove, with the price of the latter closing at $13, up marginally from $12.90.
The top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, Caribbean Producers and JMMB Group, projected to gain between 213 to 253 percent expected versus last weeks’ 214 to 254 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are AMG Packaging, followed by Access Financial Services and Lasco Distributors. All three can gain between 162 and 268 percent, up from 150 percent and 211 percent previously.
This week’s focus:  Lumber Depot stock was under pressure since the release of the first quarter results in September, with price slipping from $3.18 days after the release to below $3. Now that Mayberry sold off their holdings, the stock may be allowed to move up unless other top holders resume selling. The stocks have the potential to record strong price appreciation and the company has good long term prospects for growth and expansion. With earnings per share projected at 35 cents for the current year and the price under $3 with a PE of just 8, there is much upside potential in the short term.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 142 percent last week to 151 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 159 percent to this weeks’ 157 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 14.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 43 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 40 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 9percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.7, which is 21 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 27 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.1, representing a 51 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 17 stocks or 36 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and  25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

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