The Junior Market Index dropped 29.43 points to 3,342.14 in trading on Monday, with the volume traded rising moderately over Friday’s trade and the value increasing 18 percent higher at the close of trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market.
A total of 34 securities traded, up from 31 on Friday, ending with 11 rising, 21 declining and two closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 14.4. The PE ratio of each stock shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasts by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
Trading ended with 3,434,946 shares changing hands for $16,310,151 versus3,228,831 units at $13,859,253 on Friday. Future Energy Source led trading with 682,540 shares for 19.9 percent of total volume, followed by Mailpac Group with 319,195 units for 9.3 percent of the day’s trade and Dolphin Cove with 308,847 units for 9 percent market share.
Trading averaged 101,028 shares at $479,710 in contrast to 104,156 shares at $447,073 on Friday and month to date, averaging 162,7 8 units at $590,936, compared to 165,619 units at $596,109 on Friday. October closed with an average of 162,777 units at $557,275.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial dropped 80 cents to $20, trading 8,000 shares, AMG Packaging fell 10 cents to $2.15 with 1,000 stock units changing hands, Caribbean Flavours increased 25 cents to close at $1.90, trading 125,000 stocks. Consolidated Bakeries dropped 39 cents to $1.16 after exchanging 90,366 units, Dolphin Cove shed 43 cents to $12.47 in swapping 308,847 units, Express Catering lost 39 cents in closing at $5.60 with an exchange of 99,624 stock units. Fontana fell 13 cents to end at $7.50, exchanging 250,699 stocks, General Accident lost 60 cents to close at $6 while trading 4,435 shares, Indies Pharma dropped 11 cents to $2.99 in switching ownership of 2,010 shares. Jetcon Corporation declined 18 cents to 90 cents in an exchange of 42,376 stock units, KLE Group spiked 82 cents in closing at $3.12 in trading just 500 stocks, Lasco Distributors shed 19 cents to end at $3.01 with the swapping of 177,400 units. Lasco Manufacturing climbed 9 cents to $4.89, with 179,879 shares changing hands, Limners and Bards advanced 29 cents to $3.60 after trading 40,000 stocks, Mailpac Group popped 11 cents to close at $3.50, with 319,195 units crossing the market and Stationery and Office Supplies dropped 49 cents to end at $6.10, with 24,322 stock units changing hands.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Two changes to ICTOP10 listings
The two major Jamaica Stock Exchange markets meandered all week, closing the past week with the Junior Market rising moderately and the Main Market recovering 5,228 points of the more than 12,000 lost on the last two trading days in the previous week as prices of Caribbean Cement, NCB Financial and Scotia Group rose.
Against the above backdrop, there were few changes to the ICTOP10 stocks at the week’s close. Scotia Group jumped 9 percent to end at $37.97 for the week and gave way to Carreras to return to the Main Market TOP10 after a long absence, with the price at $8.10 and projected earnings at 80 cents. The Junior Market lost Medical Disposables with the price closing at $6.72, up 29 percent for the week, allowing General Accident came in to replace it with the price at $6.60 and just edging out Fontana, with both having similar potential gains of 97 percent.
Big TOP10 movers for the week are AMG Packaging lost 6 percent in closing at $2.25 from $2.40 last week, Caribbean Cream fell 4 percent to $5.60, Elite Diagnostic dropped 8 percent to $3.20, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rose 6 percent to $2.47 and Dolphin Cove rose 3 percent to land at $12.90 after it a 52 weeks’ high of $14 on Thursday, new coronavirus making the news seemed to have induced selling on Friday. In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers jumped 15 percent to close at $10, up from $8.61 and Radio Jamaica gained 8 percent to $3.30.
The top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, Caribbean Producers and JMMB Group, projected to gain between 214 to 254 percent expected versus last weeks’ 212 to 283 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are AMG Packaging, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Access Financial Services. All three can gain between 150 and 211 percent, down from 154 percent and 207 percent previously.
There are many undervalued stocks in the market, with the average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 145 percent last week to 142percent and Main Market stocks moved from 163 percent to this week’s 159 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 14.5 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the March 2020 historical average of 17, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.4, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 38 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 17 percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.1, which is 18 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 24 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple could be around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Four additions to ICTOP10 listings
ICTOP10 stocks have four new listings this week as recent profit results led to revisions to earnings, as a result, the Junior Market lost General Accident and Stationery & Office Supplies, while Berger Paints and PanJam Investment exited the Main Market ICTOP10.
General Accident inched from $6.60 last week to $6.70 this week, but earnings were revised downwards to 65 cents for the year, helping it exit the TOP10. New to this week’s ICTOP10 are the Junior Market’s Medical Disposables, with the price falling 23 percent to $5.20 from $6.78 last week and Caribbean Cream. Sygnus Credit Investments dropped out of the TOP10 the previous week and returns with the price dropping 17 percent from $18.90 down to $15.66 this past week, while Proven Investments also returns.
Big TOP10 movers this week are AMG Packaging up 41 percent in closing at $2.40 from $1.70 last week, Dolphin Cove leapt 22 percent to land at $12.50. In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers dipped 15 percent to close at $8.61 as some selling came in for the stock and Radio Jamaica has an analysts briefing on Tuesday coming and dropped 13 percent to an attractive entry of $3.06, with revenues and profit climbing over the last fiscal year’s outturn.
The top three Main Market stocks are Caribbean Producers, Guardian Holdings and JMMB Group, which are projected to gain between 212 to 283 percent expected versus last weeks’ 227 to 261 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Caribbean Assurance Brokers, followed by AMG Packaging and Lasco Distributors. All three can gain between 154 and 207 percent, down from 209 percent and 253 percent previously.
The latest results show that there are many undervalued stocks, but investors should focus on these stocks that could show good earnings growth in 2022.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 185 percent last week to 145 percent and Main Market stocks remains unchanged at 163 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 14.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the March 2020 historical average of 17, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.3, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 42 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 21 percent based on an average PE of 17. Nine stocks representing 22 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.5, which is 23 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 29 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 52 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.