All Jamaica trades just 42 points shy of 405,000

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange continued where it left off on Monday, hitting new highs just after opening at the start of trading on Tuesday.
With just limited trading, the All Jamaica Composite Indexrose 1,672.05 points to a record 404,772.34, beating yesterday’s high of 404,050.65 and the JSE Index gained 1,523.42 points to a record 368,793.40, bettering Monday’s high of 368,135.86. The Junior Market rose 8.90 points at the opening to 3,405.90.
With just 16 minutes of trading, both markets inched higher with the All Jamaica Composite Index rising to a record 404,958.30 and the JSE Index gained 1,523.42 points to a record 368,851.17 while the Junior Market moved up to 3406.05.

Watch Grace this week

Grace Kennedy could move up this week.

The main stocks of interest this week are Grace Kennedy, Stationery and Office Supplies, CAC 2000, NCB Financial, Caribbean Cream, Main Event, Wisynco and Berger Paints, most of these have limited supplies.
With the average PE of the market now exceeding a comfortable 15 times 2018 earnings and rising, stocks valued less than the market average, could see increased interest as investors look for bargains.
Bulls continue to push the Jamaican stock market, to new heights last week as low interest rates and good profits help push investors into stocks against the back ground of limited selling.
The supply of several of the main market stocks are extremely scarce and that is working in market favour to move much higher, before too long. There are several stocks priced well below the market’s average and that could encourage buying interest in them as well.
NCB Financial went sideways for around two weeks but bids started building close to the closing prices last week and that could help it move higher this week.
Grace Kennedy seems ready to break out of the $60 range as there is no supply on offer now. Caribbean Cement

keeps trading between $46 and $50, but there appears no real desire to move the price forward. Kingston Wharves has always had limited supply, so it could move higher going forward. Supply of JMMB Group have dried up and that could create the environment for the price to move higher.
An overall view of stocks indicates that the main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below, but the 400,000 points resistance could likely stall the rally in the main market for a while. The Junior Market that traded recently at an all-time high, is being steered by an upward rising long-term support line and a golden cross. The golden cross is a very strong bullish long-term signal.

JMMB & Honey Bun now in IC TOP 10

Honey Bun and Medical Disposables are in this week’s Top 10 Junior Market stocks replacing Main Event and CAC2000. In the main market, Sygnus Credit and JMMB Group are back in the top tier stocks and out goes Stanley Motta and Sterling Investments.
Sterling Investments, a very long time TOP 10 listing hit a record $22.50 this past week, as investors continued to applaud the recently announced 3 for 1 stock split. In the Junior Market, CAC2000 closed at $15 and ended trading with no stock on offer. The stock seems poised for stock split, to create more liquidity and is set to trade higher this week with buying orders in for 139,000 shares at $15. The price of Stanley Motta climbed to $5.27 during the week from $4.81 in the previous week and exited the main market list.
Barita Investments and Berger Paints, long time TOP 10 listees, moved up in price during the week but still remain in the listing at position 7 and 9 respectively and could be out by the end of this week, if current demand continues.
Gains in the two markets are driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising to 15 and the main market to 15.3 as the valuation multiple grows with historically low interest rates and high liquidity abounding in the financial market.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks, average 9.3, similar to last week’s level, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher, the main market PE is now 9.5, up from 9.1 last week, for the top stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 38 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be, at 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Several stocks to watch this week

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NCB Financial stock closed at $110 after hitting $125 on Friday.

The main stocks of interest this week are Stationery and Office Supplies, CAC 2000, NCB Financial, Caribbean Cream, Main Event and Wisynco, most of these have limited supplies.
Barita Investments that was highlighted as a stock with main stock to watch this past week, moved $12.95, to end at $18.50 after it traded as high as $19.50. The movement in the price resulted in Cornerstone more than doubling their investment in the company within a short time frame. While it is not listed as a lead stock to watch this week, the stock has much more room to grow over the coming months as demand increases and supplies decline as the potential for much increased profit unfolds.
Bulls pushed the Jamaican stock market, to new heights last week, with the main market having 12 straight days of record highs and the Junior Market moving to new highs as well.
The main moved within 1,600 points of the All Jamaica Composite Index 400,000 points last week but pulled back from what is a major resistance point. The supply of several of the main market stocks are extremely scarce and that is working in market favour to move much higher, before too long. There are several stocks priced well below the market’s average and that could encourage buying interest in them as well.
Investors should keep their eyes on a number of stocks as some may move and others may trade in a narrow band. NCB Financial closed on $110, could move higher but there is a big gap between the offer prices and the bids and this seems likely to maintain volatility in the price for a while.
Grace Kennedy may not be ready to break out of the $60 range as yet but it’s a stock to keep an eye on. Caribbean Cement keeps trading between $46 to $50, but there appears no real desire to move the price forward. Kingston Wharves has just 9,700 units on offer up to $75, with 200,000 on the bid at $68.51, so it could move back to the $75 price this week. Supply of JMMB Group have dried up and that could create the environment for the price to move higher.
An overall view of stocks indicates that the main market continues to be steered higher by an upward sloping support line as well the 45 and 125 day moving averages, lending support just below, but the 400,000 points resistance could likely stall the rally in the main market for a while. The Junior Market that traded recently at an all-time high, is being steered by an upward rising long-term support line and a golden cross. The golden cross is a very strong bullish long-term signal.

Everything Fresh down but not out

Everything Fresh is one of a hand full of initial public stock offers to be selling below the IPO price months after the issue. The stock that was over priced has only been partially helped by a big jump in 2018 half year profit.
The fall in the price was due to over pricing the initial offer and failure to provide more up to date information on the 2018 performance to the time of the IPO and to address developments with the margins. Even with improved results, the stock remains one of the higher priced units on the Junior Market, at a PE of 14 times this year’s pretax earnings and is in line with the market’s average.
Boosted by a big jump in profit margins, earnings after tax jumped 180 percent in the June quarter, to $26.5 million from $9.5 million in 2017. For the six months to June, profit climbed 99 percent to $38.6 million from $19.4 million in 2017. For the next five years, profit will be free of corporate taxes and in the second five years will pay taxes at half the regular rate.
Sales revenue rose 9.7 percent for the quarter, to $494 million from $451 million and increased 6 percent for the half year, to $969 million from $915 million in 2017.
Improvement in profit margin in the first half of the year that grew from 8 percent to 11 percent, increased further to 13 percent in the June quarter and was the major contributor for the sharp increase in profit. The Chairman, Gregory Pullen informed IC Insider.com, that the company took a deliberate decision in 2017 to go after certain clients with an introduction of low margins, with the expectation that they would be able to enjoy higher margins in 2018 onwards.

Everything Fresh two major owners and directors, Mr. & Mrs. Pullen.

The effect of the changes, operating profit rose 84 percent in the quarter, to $66 million from $36 million and increased 49 percent for the year to date, to $108 million from $72 million in 2017.
Sharp increase in administrative expenses by 38 percent to $28 million in the quarter and by 30 percent in the six months period to $54 million, kept the growth in the top line from filtering fully into profit. Marketing expenses associated the public of share issue added to cost in the period. Finance cost rose in the quarter, to $5 million from $4.3 million in 2017 and from $8.7 million to $9.3 million for the six months.
Earnings per share before tax came out at 5 cents for the quarter and 8 cents for the six months and should end the year at 15 cents for PE of 14 times 2018 earnings and 10 times 2019 projected earnings of 20 cents per share. The stock traded at $2.10 on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday.
Gross cash flow brought in $48 million but changes in working capital and inflows from the issue of shares, resulted in $213 million of cash funds as of June. A large portion of the share issue proceeds was received after the end of the quarter, the chairman’s report to shareholders stated.
At the end of June, shareholders’ equity climbed to $651 million from $225 million in 2017. Borrowings stood at just $107 million. Net current assets ended the period at $614 million inclusive of trade and other receivables of $503 million and cash and bank balances of $213 million. Current liabilities ended the period at $207 million.
The company is looking at three meat processing facility locally with a view to acquiring one and expects that discussions will conclude by the end of this year or early in 2019. The plan is to enable the manufacturing of products by them to sell directly to its clients at more competitive prices.

Sales jump sharply at Main Event

Main Event backed with IC BUY RATED status

Growth in revenues while not an exact proxy for increased profits, is often a very good indicator of greater gains ahead. That may be exactly what is happening at the Junior market listed Main Event.
The results for the nine months to July show strong sales growth but flat profits. Revenues for the July quarter surged nearly 26 percent to $364 million, but profit fell 7 percent to $24.5 million from $26.3 million in 2017. For the nine months to July, profit was up just 4 percent to $105.5 million that flowed from a 13 percent rise in revenues to $1.07 billion, compared to net income of $101 million in 2017.
The company incurred increased cost as it seeks to expand its service offerings. The results to date suggest that the full year earnings will not vary much from the 2017 full year results of 37 cents. But 2019 could be a blow out year for them, if revenue growth seen so far for this year, continues into 2019.
Profit margin in the first half of the year, was held to the same level as in 2017, at 48 percent and declined in the July quarter to 45 percent from 49 percent in the 2017, the impact, operating profit rose just 15 percent in the quarter to $164 million from $143 million but fell to 14 percent for the year to date, to $512 million from $447 million in 2017.
Administrative expenses rose 20 percent to $111 million in the quarter and increased 15 percent in the nine months period to $311 million. Marketing and sales expenses increased by 44 percent to $15 million for the nine months. Depreciation rose 49 percent to $24 million in the quarter and increased 29 percent in the nine months to $69 million, an indication of increased capital spend to accommodate expansion and increased income. Finance cost was flat in the quarter, at $5.2 million and rose just 5 percent to $13.6 million for the nine months.
Earnings per share came out at 9 cents for the quarter and 37 cents for the nine months and should end the fiscal year around 40 cents. For 2019 earnings should be in the order of a string increase to 75 cents.
“Performance has been negatively impacted by write downs on trade receivables to align to reporting standard, IFRS 9, continued start up expenditure for new service offerings and cost with higher head counts and incentive compensation,” the Chairman Ian Blair and Chief Executive Officer reported to shareholders in their commentary accompanying the quarterly.
Gross cash flow brought in $175 million but growth in receivables, inventories, addition to fixed assets of $160 million, offset by net loan inflows and increased payables resulted in net cash flow ended at a negative $63 million and leaving $29 million in cash at the end of July. Shareholders’ equity stood at $551 million with borrowings at just $185 million, including amounts due to related parties. Net current assets ended the period at $141 million, inclusive of trade and other receivables of $304 million, cash and bank balances of $29 million. Current liabilities amounted to $209 million inclusive of short term borrowings.
The stock traded at $5.50 on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange with a relatively low PE ratio of 7.3 times 2018 earnings and is elevated to BUY RATED status.

Main Event & Stanley Motta in IC TOP 10

Main Event returns to IC TOP 10.

Main Event fell to $5.50 on Friday and climbed back into the Junior market IC TOP 10 stock listing, while Recently listed Stanley Motta climbed on board the main market list.
Moving on out of the top 10 are JMMB Group with a rise in the bid price to $32.70 and Caribbean Cream that closed the week at $7.90, from $6.50 last week. Both are worth watching for more gains in the coming week. Barita Investments and Berger Paints long time TOP 10 listees, moved up in price during the week but still remain in the list but could be out by the end of the coming week if current demand continues.
During the past week, the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, racked up more record closes but pulled back on sharply on Thursday and Junior market hit new highs during the week but dropped sharply on Friday due mainly to Lasco Distributors falling to $3.35 and Express Catering dropping to $6.40 before rebounding at the close.
Gains in the two markets are driving the PE ratio of the market higher with the overall PE for the Junior Market rising to 14 and the main market to 14.5 as the valuation multiple grows with historically low interest rates and high liquidity abounding.
The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 9.3 up from 8.9 last week, as the market continues to revalue the multiple higher and the main market PE is now 9.1, up from 8.8 last week, for the top stocks.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 35 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings. The main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Stocks are selected based on projected earnings for each company’s current fiscal year. Based on an assumed PE for each, the likely gains are determined and then ranked, with the stocks with the highest potential gains ranked first followed by the rest, in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis based on new information received that can result in changes in and out of the list as well.

Please stop Gwest scandalous action

Gwest booked preference shares but not properly issued.

The Jamaica Stock Exchange and the Financial Securities Commission must move to stop this scandalous action by GWest in issuing new shares that were not authorized by the shareholders of the company and was never mentioned as a contractual agreement in the prospectus that was issued in December last year.
The company cannot go to the public with an offer to sell shares and a critical contract that is now said to have exited, was not properly documented in the prospectus as a material contractual obligation of the company. By the way, the audited financial statement does not show any such contractual agreement.
GWest issued the first quarter results to June with an increase in share capital and the issue of $250 million preference shares without any information being communicated to shareholders. Now they have belated submitted an explanation to the Jamaica Stock Exchange, but those shares have been illegally issued and cannot stand.
The Gwest Corporation release states “on June 15, 2018 pursuant to the resolution passed at an Extraordinary General Meeting of the Company held on the 27th day of November 2017, it has signed an agreement for the conversion of $250,000,000 of shareholders’ loan to 10% Cumulative Non-Redeemable Preference Shares. Of the authorized 1,000,000 10% Cumulative Non-Redeemable Preference Shares, all units were allotted at $250 each to effect the conversion.”
The big question is if such a resolution existed why wasn’t the information included in the prospectus, why wasn’t the authorized capital split to include preference shares, why was the information not included in the audited financial report, why there was no mention of it in the annual report to shareholders.
With the wider shareholding not being made aware of it and not a contracted party to it must approve the increase in share capital with the issue taking place after the public issue of shares have passed for several months.
According to the company’s prospectus, section 7 lists all material contracts, no contract to issue preference shares is listed. Secondly, the reference to the share capital makes no mention of any other shares to be issued other than the ordinary shares of the company.
The prospectus stated the following: material contracts, entered into in the ordinary course of business, have been entered into by the Company with the following persons (“counterparties”) in the 2 years preceding as at the date of this Prospectus:
The above list has no contract in connection with the issue of preference shares to shareholders prior to the IPO.
The audited financial stated about Borrowings – “Shareholders’ loans: The principal balances represent loans from shareholders including US$741,248 (2017: US$742,515) of which US$716,560 was used for the purchasing of the land used for development (see Note 5). There are no set terms of repayment, however management does not anticipate repayment within the next twelve months as the loans are subordinated to the bank loans. No interest was charged on loans during the year as the shareholders agreed to waive such charges. Up to 2017 interest was charged at a rate of 4% and 15% per annum on the US dollar and Jamaican dollar loans, respectively.”
The note in the audited accounts to share capital states: “During the year ended March 31, 2017, interest payable on shareholders’ loans totaling $50 million, were converted to ordinary share capital. The 9,800 ordinary shares at no par value were allocated to the shareholders in the proportions of their shareholdings at that date. (13.2) During the year, the authourised ordinary share capital was increased to 1,000,000 ordinary shares by an ordinary resolution dated November 27, 2017. By an ordinary resolution of the same date each of the 1,000,000 ordinary shares were split into 1,000 ordinary shares such that the authourised ordinary share capital was increased to 1,000,000,000 ordinary shares. Further, by an ordinary resolution dated November 28, 2017 the 10,000 shareholdings of shareholders on register at November 27, 2017 were split such that their holdings of ordinary shares became 10,000,000 ordinary shares. Additionally, the shareholders who were allocated the 9,800 available shares at March 31, 2017, were further allocated 314,848,485 ordinary shares for the consideration of $50 million of interest converted to capital on March 31, 2017. (13.3) On December 7, 2017 the company made an offer for subscription to the public (IPO), of 160,000,000 of its ordinary shares at a price of $2.50 per share through the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange (JSE). The company was officially registered on the Junior Stock Market on December 21, 2017. Total cost of the IPO of $30.848 million has been off-set against the issued share capital.”
“The company has one class of ordinary shares which carry no right to fixed income.”
The company released its annual report without a line mentioning the resolution to convert the loans to preference shares. The prospectus does not state it as a contractual obligation as such the prospectus that has become the legal document containing the contracts terms and obligations of all shareholders as of December must be honoured. It did not report the issue of any new shares accordingly, the additional shares are improperly issued and is a variance with the terms of the public offer.
IC Insider.com raised this matter after the company released the first quarter results, we again raise the above in the interest of the integrity of the market. We now over pass this over to the JSE and the FSC to follow up.

All Jamaica just 1,700 points from 400K

The Jamaica Stock Exchange climbed sharply within just a minute of the opening of trading on Thursday, with the All Jamaican Composite Index surging to just under 5,800 points to a new record high and pushing the index within 1,700 points of the critical 400,000 points mark.
The All Jamaican Composite Index surging 5,783.43 points to a record 398,386.05 points and JSE Index surged 5,269.36 points to a record 362,974.75. The Junior Market is down 7.14 points to 3,406.44.
The rise in the main market is due to jump in the prices of Scotia Group trading at $64 and NCB Financial that traded at $123.01 and Kingston Wharves at $73.

All Jamaica less than 9000 points from 400K

The Jamaica Stock Exchange climbed more than 5,000 points after 25 minutes of opening with the All Jamaican Composite Index surging to just under 9,000 points from big resistance point of 400,000.
By just 4 minutes after 10 am, the All Jamaican Composite Index surging 5,502.66 points to a record 391,34026 points and JSE Index surged 5,013.54 points to a record 356,555.23. The Junior Market rose 2.53 points to a record 3,405.01.
The rise in the main market is due to large movement in Jamaica Broilers that traded at a new record of $33, NCB Financial that traded at $121, PanJam Investment trading at $57 and Scotia Group trading at $62.