Insurance companies head ICTOP10

The JSE Main Market gained more than 7,000 points in the past week, but the Junior Market just closed a few points north of the prior week’s close, resulting in sizable changes in both markets’ ICTOP10 as insurance companies head TOP10.
Elsewhere the only other news of note was the passing of the Chairman and majority owner of the Lasco companies, the addition of two new directors at ISP Finance and the Bank of Jamaica issue of $35 billion in 28 days CDS with investors offering to buy just $35.24 billion, BOJ took up less than the amount offered with $34.45 billion being sterilized the amount offered and moved the total amount of CDs outstanding to a record $111.45 billion up from $109 billion the week before. The average interest rate climbed back above 8 to 8.24 percent.
Investors are nibbling at stocks that seem to be the market signal being sent, with gains in some of the ICTOP10 listings. Notable amongst them are Caribbean Assurance Brokers with solid buying interest between $1.88 and $2.09 but limited selling above $2.50, Caribbean Producers (CPJ), Dolphin Cove Massey Holdings, Transjamaican, and Wisynco have started to look positive. Supplies of some stocks are being quietly sucked out of the market and setting the stage for a sustained rally sometime down the road. Investors should look to July as an important month that could trigger a change in mood as investors anticipate second quarter results.
Action in the markets this past week resulted in four ICTOP10 Junior Market stocks recording significant losses of 6 to 26 percent, with only 2 with 4 percent gains. Everything Fresh dropped out of the TOP10 and iCreate returns after a brief absence. Main Market stocks were mixed, with one noted loss and two gains of note.
Stocks rising in the ICTOP10 Junior Market are Everything Fresh and One on One, which increased 4 percent to $$1.72 and $1.15, respectively. Iron Rock Insurance dropped 26 percent to $1.85, Consolidated Bakeries shed 10 percent to $2.19, while Dolphin Cove and Lasco Distributors lost 6 percent to end at $15.50 and $2.50, respectively.
The price of Main Market listed Transjamaican rose 6 percent to close at $2.02, Caribbean Producers popped 5 percent in closing at $9.54 and Key Insurance fell 14 percent to $3.15.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.9, well below the market average of 13.5. The Main Market TOP10 is projected to have an average of 252 per cent, by May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The 15 most highly valued Main Market stocks are priced at a PE of 15 to 93, with an average of 29 and 19 excluding the highest PE stocks and 19 for the top half excluding the stocks with the highest valuation.
The Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.8 compared with the market at 10.9. There are 11 stocks representing 23 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 25, averaging 19, which is well above the market’s average. The top half of the market has an average PE of 15, possibly the lowest fair value for Junior Market stocks currently. Junior Market is projected to rise by 265 percent to May 2024.
The differences between the average PE ratio of the Main and Junior Markets and the overall market valuation are important indicators of the likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.