Rising stocks beat out losers at the close of trading on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Monday, aided by a 14 percent rise in the volume of stocks traded at a 7 percent increase in value over Friday and resulting in the trading of 46 securities compared with 42 on Friday as market activity ended with prices 21 stocks rising, 16 declining and nine closing unchanged.
Investors traded 10,918,480 shares at $26,373,173, up from 9,582,877 units at $24,717,734 on Friday.
Trading averaged 237,358 shares at $573,330 compared to 228,164 shares at $588,517 on Friday. Trading month to date averaged 233,887 units at $617,962 compared to 233,694 stocks at $620,445 on the previous trading day. April closed with an average of 266,661 units at $2,583,503.
Spur Tree Spices led trading with 5.01 million shares for 45.9 percent of total volume Caribbean Flavours followed with 998,112 units for 9.1 percent of the day’s trade and Dolla Financial with 646,165 units for 5.9 percent market share.
At the close, the Junior Market Index climbed 7.48 points to settle at 3,757.65.
The PE Ratio, a measure of computing appropriate stock values, averages 10.8. The PE ratios of Junior Market stocks are computed using the last traded price in conjunction with ICInsider.com’s projected earnings for the financial years ending between November 2023 and August 2024.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows six stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and four with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging climbed 25 cents to $2.90 after exchanging 1,723 shares, Cargo Handlers increased 25 cents to $16.75, with 583 stocks changing hands, Caribbean Assurance Brokers gained 19 cents and ended at $2.69 after a transfer of 66,182 units, Caribbean Cream dipped 19 cents to end at $3, with 385 stock units crossing the market. Caribbean Flavours rallied 18 cents in closing at $1.40 after 998,112 stocks passed through the market, Derrimon Trading advanced 8 cents to close at $2.07 with an exchange of 525,248 stock units, Dolphin Cove declined 54 cents in closing at $14.96 as investors exchanged 787 units, EduFocal fell 27 cents to end at a 52 weeks’ low of $1.66 with 109,767 shares clearing the market. Express Catering popped 17 cents and ended at $5.11 after an exchange of 2,556 stock units, GWest Corporation rose 12 cents to $1.01 in an exchange of 8,564 units, Honey Bun increased 8 cents to close at $6.67 after investors traded 12,478 shares, Indies Pharma rose 12 cents to $3.15 with an exchange of 6,162 stocks. ISP Finance dropped $5.85 to $20.15 with investors trading 600 stock units, Jamaican Teas shed 8 cents to end at $2.10 with shareholders swapping 75,747 units, Lasco Distributors gained 25 cents and ended at $2.75, with 77,002 stocks changing hands, Lasco Manufacturing popped 10 cents in closing at $4.10 in switching ownership of 163,401 shares, Main Event lost 25 cents to end at $14.25 in an exchange of 2,411 units. Paramount Trading climbed 11 cents to $2.19 in trading 429 stocks, Regency Petroleum shed 8 cents and ended at $2.85 with a transfer of 198,751 shares, Spur Tree Spices advanced 11 cents to close at $2.64, with 5,012,865 stock units crossing the exchange and Stationery and Office Supplies rallied 60 cents to close at $15.58 after exchanging 5,327 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Insurance companies head ICTOP10
The JSE Main Market gained more than 7,000 points in the past week, but the Junior Market just closed a few points north of the prior week’s close, resulting in sizable changes in both markets’ ICTOP10 as insurance companies head TOP10.
Elsewhere the only other news of note was the passing of the Chairman and majority owner of the Lasco companies, the addition of two new directors at ISP Finance and the Bank of Jamaica issue of $35 billion in 28 days CDS with investors offering to buy just $35.24 billion, BOJ took up less than the amount offered with $34.45 billion being sterilized the amount offered and moved the total amount of CDs outstanding to a record $111.45 billion up from $109 billion the week before. The average interest rate climbed back above 8 to 8.24 percent.
Investors are nibbling at stocks that seem to be the market signal being sent, with gains in some of the ICTOP10 listings. Notable amongst them are Caribbean Assurance Brokers with solid buying interest between $1.88 and $2.09 but limited selling above $2.50, Caribbean Producers (CPJ), Dolphin Cove Massey Holdings, Transjamaican, and Wisynco have started to look positive. Supplies of some stocks are being quietly sucked out of the market and setting the stage for a sustained rally sometime down the road. Investors should look to July as an important month that could trigger a change in mood as investors anticipate second quarter results.
Action in the markets this past week resulted in four ICTOP10 Junior Market stocks recording significant losses of 6 to 26 percent, with only 2 with 4 percent gains. Everything Fresh dropped out of the TOP10 and iCreate returns after a brief absence. Main Market stocks were mixed, with one noted loss and two gains of note.
Stocks rising in the ICTOP10 Junior Market are Everything Fresh and One on One, which increased 4 percent to $$1.72 and $1.15, respectively. Iron Rock Insurance dropped 26 percent to $1.85, Consolidated Bakeries shed 10 percent to $2.19, while Dolphin Cove and Lasco Distributors lost 6 percent to end at $15.50 and $2.50, respectively.
The price of Main Market listed Transjamaican rose 6 percent to close at $2.02, Caribbean Producers popped 5 percent in closing at $9.54 and Key Insurance fell 14 percent to $3.15.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.9, well below the market average of 13.5. The Main Market TOP10 is projected to have an average of 252 per cent, by May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The 15 most highly valued Main Market stocks are priced at a PE of 15 to 93, with an average of 29 and 19 excluding the highest PE stocks and 19 for the top half excluding the stocks with the highest valuation.
The Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.8 compared with the market at 10.9. There are 11 stocks representing 23 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 25, averaging 19, which is well above the market’s average. The top half of the market has an average PE of 15, possibly the lowest fair value for Junior Market stocks currently. Junior Market is projected to rise by 265 percent to May 2024.
The differences between the average PE ratio of the Main and Junior Markets and the overall market valuation are important indicators of the likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
CAB back atop ICTOP10
The ICTOP10 top performing stock for the previous week – Caribbean Assurance Brokers (CAB), was the biggest loser last week with a 15 percent decline and returns to the top of the listing as some selling came into the market, with most buyers remaining at the $2 or lower level with a pullback in prices of more Junior Market TOP10 stocks than those that rose.
Earning season delivered solid profit gains for several companies, but that did little to move prices substantially upwards, even as interest rates are softening. A few exceptions are CAB, Dolphin Cove, Consolidated Bakeries, Everything Fresh and earlier Image Plus and Tansjamaican Highway, which enjoyed increased buying interest that sent higher prices. Things have since cooled, as is the norm after most results were released in May, as investors await the critical second quarter number in late July into August before pulling the trigger.
Action in the markets this past week resulted in the ICTOP10 Junior Market stocks recording mostly losses with only a few winners. Main Market stocks recorded mostly wins, with few losses. Dolla Financial dropped out of the TOP10 with Everything Fresh moving back in.
Consolidated Bakeries jumped 20 percent to $2.44, followed by Iron Rock Insurance, which increased 9 percent to $2.50. Dolphin Cove climbed 8 percent to $16.44, helped by robust first quarter results, following an 88 percent increase in revenue to US$4.9 million over the first quarter in 2022, with profit after tax rising 97 percent to US$1.57 million from US$796,000 in 2022. Following CAB, the leading decliner, Image Plus, fell 7 percent to $2.04, while Edufocal and Dolla Financial lost 4 percent to end at $1.87 and $2.71, respectively.
The price of Main Market listed Sygnus Credit Investments gained 13 percent to finish at $13.04 and was followed by Key Insurance, up 7 percent to $3.65 and 138 Student Living with an increase of 5 percent to $5.67, while Caribbean Producers dropped 7 percent in closing at $9.05.
Interest rates on BOJ CDs and Treasury bills have declined in recent weeks below 8 percent, but the Bank of Jamaica held the overnight rate at 7 percent as they cite concerns about the implication of increased minimum wages and the usual agricultural price hikes in the summer months amongst other issues that could derail the reduced inflation rates in recent months. Although many stocks are severely undervalued, a real market bounce may be some time off and may not happen until BOJ starts reducing rates later in the year.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.9, well below the market average of 13.8. The Main Market TOP10 is projected to have an average of 250 percent, to May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The 15 highest valued Main Market stocks are priced at a PE of 15 to 115, with an average of 28 and 18 excluding the highest PE stocks and 18 for the top half excluding the stocks with the highest valuation.
The Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.8 compared with the market at 10.8 there are ten stocks or 21 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 24, averaging 19, well above the average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 15, possibly the lowest fair value for Junior Market stocks currently. Junior Market is projected to rise by 250 percent to May 2024.
The differences between the average PE ratio of the Main and Junior Markets and the overall market valuation are important indicators of the likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.