NCB share grows 10 times since 2014
In November 2014, NCB shares were being sold at $17 on several days but the banking group was about to release record profits of $11.6 billion or earnings per share of $4.73, this compares to EPS of $3.49 in 2013. As late as November 2016, the shares were trading at $46 each, less than 10 times the 2014 profit per share. In just two years since, the stock gained 248 percent plus dividends paid and since late 2014, the capital appreciation is a staggering 941 percent. The truth is that the group is not finished yet delivering for investors. When they take majority ownership in Guardian Holdings investors should see major cost savings from rationalization and increased business with the expanded resources. Long term investors should hold on to their stocks for the big ride ahead to flow from acquisition and the impact that growth in the Jamaican economy will have on the operation.
The stock that traded at $160 this past week is currently trading around resistance level, if it breaks through meaningfully, the next major resistance is at $200 or 25 percent away from current price.
PE ratios continue to rise
Treasury bills rates bottomed and have moved back closer in line with the Bank of Jamaica’s overnight rate of 2 percent.
IC Insider.com is forecasting a further increase in T-bill rates to move above 2 percent, this could happen with the December Treasury bill auction.
In the mean time the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange has moved on the new record highs, with NCB Financial being the primary mover with the stock closing at $159.05 on Friday. The Junior Market that peaked at an all-time high in October has pulled back with no new price sensitive news to encourage aggressive buying.
The above developments are happening as the PE ratio of the market continues to inch higher. The ratio climbed slowly until June but moved much sharper thereafter, to better reflect the sharp fall in interest rates. The recent inching up of Treasury bill rates appears to have slowed the upward movement in the average PE ratio of the over all market that sits just under 16 currently. The average PE is now ahead of the longer term trend that goes back to 2013, but well below the trend, from late 2015 that suggests that the average PE is headed for 18, that will require a 15 percent rise in stock prices to get there. December is usually a bullish month and so the PE of 18 may be reached by year end or early in 2019.
SagicorFinancial jumps to new 52 weeks’ high again
Sagicor Financial having jumped $1.05 to close at a at a 52 weeks’ high on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Wednesday it followed up on Thursday by climbing a further $1.20 to a new 52 weeks’ high of $9.25 but with limited trading volume.
NCB Financial was another stock to close at a 52 weeks’ high and ended trading at $7.10 or the equivalent of J$136, well below the close of $160 in Kingston.
At close of the market the Composite Index climbed 8.87 points to 1,255.27. The All T&T Index rose 5.04 points to 1,691.62, while the Cross Listed Index gained 1.75 points to close at 110.39.
Market activity on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange ended on Thursday with trading in 20 securities against 13 on Wednesday, with 9 advancing, 1 declining and 10 remaining unchanged.
Trading ended with 971,081 shares at a value of $36,439,815, compared to 668,606 shares on Wednesday valued at $17,580,480.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 1 stock with the bid lower than the last selling price and 2 with lower offers.
Stocks closing with gains| Angostura Holdings concluded trading and rose 1 cent and ended at $15.80, with 168,000 stock units changing hands, Clico Investments added 20 cents and ended at $20.20, with 2,452 stock units trading, LJ Williams B share increased 5 cents and settled at 75 cents, after exchanging 230,000 shares, Massy Holdings gained $1 with an exchange 31,185 shares at $45, National Enterprises rose 45 cents and ended at $7.95, with 2,889 stock units changing hands, NCB Financial Group closed with a gain of 10 cents and settled at a 52 weeks’ high of $7.10, after exchanging 1,000 shares, Prestige Holdings gained 15 cents and completed trading at $7.50, with 1,345 units, Sagicor Financial rose $1.2o to end at 52 weeks’ high of $9.25, with 2,222 stock units changing hands and Trinidad & Tobago NGL finished trading with a gain of 1 cent at $29.12, after exchanging 125,510 shares.
Stocks closing with losses| Scotiabank was the sole stock closing lower at the end of trading as the price fell 8 cents and completed trading 91,940 units at $64.66.
Stocks trading firm|Ansa Mcal completed trading with 77,000 units at $55, Ansa Merchant Bank settled at $38.26, after exchanging 38,784 shares, First Citizens closed at $32.76, in exchanging 21,045 shares, Guardian Holdings completed trading 8,773 units at $18.01, JMMB Group concluded trading at $1.70, after exchanging 3,000 shares, One Caribbean Media ended at $10.99, with 1,025 shares changing hands, Republic Financial Holdings concluded trading at $107, after exchanging 80,885 shares, Trinidad Cement closed at $2.62, trading 7,766 shares, Unilever Caribbean ended at $23, with 10 stock units changing hands and West Indian Tobacco completed trading 76,250 units at $95.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.
All Jamaica hits record 433,000 points
The market opened up at the start of trading with gains of 1,433.80 points for the all Jamaica and 1,306.36 for the JSE index.
The opening high follows Wednesday’s trading when the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index closed at a new all-time high of 418,487.99 and JSE Index ended at 381,289.90.
Barita Investments traded at a new high of $24.01 to more than double in value for the year so far, PanJam Investment traded at $72, Sagicor Group at $51.95 haven risen sharply to a record high, but the bid is at $55 to buy 49,301 shares, Scotia Group trades at $60 and Seprod at $33.65.
The junior market continues under some selling pressure is not sharing in the strong gains of the more matured companies and declined by 20.08 points to 3,158.36.
All Jamaica hits record 424,461 points
The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, gained in early trading on Thursday and now trades at a record high of 424,461.33 points after rising 5,973.34 while the JSE index rose 5,442.39 to now sit at 386,732.29 after just 15 minutes into the trading day.
The market opened up at the start of trading with gains of 1,433.80 points for the All Jamaica and 1,306.36 for the JSE Index.
The opening high follows Wednesday’s trading when the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index closed at a new all-time high of 418,487.99 and JSE Index ended at 381,289.90.
Barita Investments traded at a new high of $24 to more than double for the year so far, NCB Financial now traded up to$150 and Sagicor Group at $47.
The Junior Market continues under some selling pressure is not sharing in the strong gains of the more matured companies and declined by less than a point to 3,177.54.
Since posting the stroy the main market has moved higher with Sagicor Group trading at $51.95.