Blue chip stocks pull market down Friday

Scotia Investments suffered big drop on Friday.

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed sharply lower on Friday, the day after the government presented details of the 2017/18 budget. Big decline in the average prices of Scotia Investments, National Commercial Bank, Sagicor Group and Scotia Group inflicted much damage to close out a week of see saw movement for the market.
The All Jamaica Composite Index plummeted 6,139.33 points to close at 248,635.35, the JSE Market Index dropped 5,489.64 points to finish at 226,698.73 while the JSE US dollar market index gained 3.00 points to close at 231.17.
At the close 18 securities changed hands with 1 trading in the US dollar. In the main market, 7 stocks advanced and 5 declined. The US dollar market recorded no price change.
Trading levels in main market ended at 3,117,227 units valued at $95,348,879 compared to 90,132,738 units valued at $1,840,545,568 at the close on Thursday. Trading in the US dollar market accounted for 85,600 units valued at US$26,904, bringing the total traded in both markets to $98,798,014.
The main market ended trading with an average of 173,179 units for an average value of $5,297,160 traded, compared to an average of 3,605,310 units for an average value of $73,621,823 on the previous trading day. The average volume for the month to date ended at 1,103,492 units versus 2,033,805 units on the prior trading day
The average volume and value for February, ended at 223,938 units and $1,379,459.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading in the main and US dollar markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 7 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with lower offers.
In market activity, Barita Investments closed at $7 trading 587 shares, Cable and Wireless lost 10 cents, closing at $1.40 with 204,500 shares traded, Caribbean Cement closed at $36, gaining 50 cents with an exchange of 6,335 shares. Carreras traded at $72, with 37,074 units changing hands, Grace Kennedy closed at $41.67 with trades of 326,371 units, Jamaica Broilers closed at $14.18, losing 82 cents with 10,000 units changing hands, before the company released third quarter results with strong gains in the latest quarter. Jamaica Producers lost 10 cents to close at $17 trading 309,509 shares, Jamaica Stock Exchange traded 278,128 shares at $7.80, JMMB Group closed at $19.95, gaining 95 cents with 49,414 units exchanged after trading as low as $16.29 during the day, National Commercial Bank declined 70 cents to close at $62.30, after swapping 229,081 units, Pulse Investments gained $1.55 to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $8.55 with 5,000 units changing hands, Radio Jamaica closed at $1.80, with a 1 cent gain and 109,729 units traded. Sagicor Group closed at $35, with an exchange of 107,230 shares, Scotia Group gained $1, closing at $40 trading 1,323,228 shares, Scotia Investments closed at $34, losing $5 with trades of 23,555 shares, Seprod closed at $40, with an exchange of 580 shares, Sterling Investments gained 70 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $18.20 with 1,000 units changing hands, Supreme Ventures closed at $6.08, gaining 8 cents trading 95,906 shares and Proven Investments added 2 US cents to close at 32 US cents with trades of 85,600 ordinary shares.

Big day for Jamaica Stock Exchange Thursday

70 million units of Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded on Thursday.

Heavy volume of 70 million units of Sagicor Real Estate Fund and 16 million units of National Commercial Bank pushed trading on the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange to more than 90 million units valued more than $1.8 billion at the close on Thursday.
In the main market, 25 securities changed hands and 3 in the US dollar market as 8 stocks advanced and 9 declined in the main market. One stock in the US dollar market fell.
The main market ended with 90,132,738 units valued at $1,840,545,568 changing hands, compared to 5,763,845 units valued at $145,264,722 at the close on Wednesday. Trading in the US dollar market accounted for 102,002 units valued at US$55,576.
The main market ended trading with an average of 3,605,310 units for an average value of $73,621,823 traded, compared to an average of 221,686 units at $5,587,104 on the previous trading day. The average volume for the month to date ended at 2,033,805 units versus 462,300 units on the prior trading day
The All Jamaica Composite Index advanced 1,564.45 points to close at 254,774.68 the JSE Market Index gained 1,398.89 points to finish at 232,188.37 and the JSE US dollar market index lost 6.63 points to close at 228.17.
In market activity, Barita Investments closed at $7 trading 1,500 shares, Berger Paints gained $1.40 to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $14 trading 25,712 units, Cable and Wireless closed at $1.50 with gains of 15 cents and 321,552 shares traded, Caribbean Cement closed $2.50 lower at $35.50 with an exchange of 5,300 shares. Carreras lost $2 trading at $72, with 6,682 units changing hands, Grace Kennedy closed at $41.67 with trades of 17,013 units, Jamaica Broilers gained 50 cents to close at $15 with 19,700 units changing hands, Jamaica Producers closed at $17.10 with gains of 10 cents trading 130,718 shares, Jamaica Stock Exchange lost 10 cents to close at $7.80 with an exchange of 277,240 shares. JMMB Group closed at $19 while losing 59 cents with 388,575 units being exchanged, Kingston Properties advanced $1.55 to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $15.55 trading just 2,000 units, Kingston Wharves dropped $3.50 to $30, in an exchange of 34,503 shares, Mayberry Investments closed at $5.30, losing 52 cents with only 3,200 units traded. National Commercial Bank declined $1.50 to $63, after swapping a big block of 16,216,132 units, 138 Student Living closed at $4.50 trading 2,008 units, Pan Jamaican closed at $37 with 173,447 shares changing hands, Radio Jamaica closed at $1.79 with trades of 234,048 units. Sagicor Group closed at $35, with a loss of 60 cents and an exchange of 1,367,358 shares, while Sagicor Real Estate Fund closed at $10.50, with gains of 3 cents and a large volume of 70,119,164 shares changing hands, Scotia Group closed at $39 trading 71,318 shares, Scotia Investments closed at $39 with trades of 10,000 shares, Seprod closed at $40, with an exchange of 202 shares, Supreme Ventures closed at $6, gaining 30 cents with 535,366 shares changing hands. Margaritaville Turks closed at 30 US cents trading 1,666 shares, Proven Investments lost 2 US cents to close at 30 US cents with trades of 70,366 ordinary shares. JMMB 7.5% preference share lost 1 cent to close at $2.15 with 100,000 units changing hands and JMMB Group US 6% preference traded at $1.11 with an exchange of 30,000 units.

Sagicor Real Estate Fund National Commercial Bank

Juniors fall on Thursday

Main Event hits new high of $5.10.

Juniors market stocks mostly retreated in trading on Thursday as 20 securities changed hands leading to 8 advancing and 9 declining, leading the market index down 23.20 points, to close at 3,086.17.
Trading ended with 1,482,096 units valued at over $12,049,960 passing through the market, compared to 1,492,475 units valued at over $9,844,241 on Thursday. At the close 5 stocks had bids higher than their last sale prices and 2 ended with lower offers, than the last sale.
The junior market ended trading with an average of 74,105 units for an average value of $602,498 traded, compared to 64,890 units for an average value of $428,010 on the previous trading day. The average volume and value for the month to date ended at 109,514 units and $744,840. On the immediate preceding trading day, the average volume and value for the month to date, were 116,596 units with an average value of $773,309. The average volume and value for February, ended at 223,938 units and $1,379,459.
At the close of the market on Friday, AMG Packaging closed at $24 after falling 40 cents with 2,158 units changing hands, on the day before the 5 for 1 stock split is to be effected in trading. Caribbean Cream closed trading with 671,501 units and gained 9 cents to close at $8.09, Caribbean Producers rose 30 cents in trading 6,400 units $4.30, Consolidated Bakeries ended trading with a loss of 15 cents with 300 shares changing hands, to close at $2.50 after trading at $2 during the trading session, as the price adjust to the disappointed 2016 results. C2W Music had 5,000 units changing hands to close with a loss of 2 cents at 33 cents, Derrimon Trading ended at $8 with 31,030 shares changing hands, Dolphin Cove dropped $1.75 and closed trading with 107,000 shares, to end at $16. General Accident closed trading with 9,500 shares at $3.30, Honey Bun gained 70 cents with 16,649 shares changing hands to end at $6.50, ISP Finance had 28,000 units changing hands to close with a loss of 30 cents at $11, Jamaican Teas shed 70 cents and ended trading 35,485 shares to close at $7.30. Jetcon Corporation closed trading with 145,125 shares being exchanged for gain of 50 cents to end at $13, KLE Group added 44 cents and ended trading 886 units, to close at $2.90, Lasco Distributors ended with 6,085 units trading at $6.70, Lasco Financial fell 16 cents with 148,000 shares changing hands, to end at $4.50. Lasco Manufacturing closed with loss of 20 cents as 182,496 units changed hands at $4.70, Main Event had 67,852 shares changing hands, to close with a gain of 10 cents at a 52 weeks’ closing high of $5.10, Medical Disposables rose 14 cents to close at $6.50 with 3,719 shares changing hands. Paramount Trading ended with 14,300 shares changing hands and lost 5 cents to $3.75 and tTech ended with 610 units changing hands as the price rose 40 cents to end at $6.50.

GOJ Treasury bill heading to 4%

Government of Jamaica Treasury bill rates seems headed to 4 percent by early 2018 if current trends on inflation, exchange rate stability and world oil prices hold.
Treasuries hit just over nine percent for the 182 days instrument in 2014. The rates declined thereafter, falling to a low just below six percent in late 2015 and moved sideways to October last year and then rose to six and half percent by December. Rates at the January and February auctions fell.
In contrast to falling rates for the 182 days T-bills, rates on the short-term bills rose at the February auction. The 91 days T-bill closed at 5.92%, up from 5.62% in January while the 30 days ended at 6.08% up from 5.64% in December.
The trend seems clear with inflation falling to 1.7 percent last year and running at 2.6 percent to January compared to same period in 2016 signalling room for much lower rates. The chart of Treasury rate trends, points to a declining trend with the two blue lines indicating the upper and lower band.
During 2016 inflation was negatively affected b a 7 percent decline in the value of the Jamaican dollar against the United States currency, that would have contributed to most of the inflation except the portion relating to increased taxes, imposed last year. Devaluation if any, should be more moderate in 2017, as foreign exchange flows continue to be strong, therefore inflation should moderate with the absence of devaluation of the local dollar.
The trendline suggests rates on T bills falling to 4 percent by late 2017 or early 2018. The chart is also showing that rates could sit at resistance around the 5.7 percent level for awhile but the downward slopping trend lines are pointing to lower rates by the latest August, with softening world oil prices and little or no devaluation of the Jamaican dolllar to spike inflation.

The TOP 10 no brainer investing

Caribbean Cement highly rated in TOP 10

Investing in the TOP 10 junior or main market stocks is a no brainer. These stocks are valued well below the average of the market PE ratio and at an even larger discount to the valuation based on 2016 earnings, around 20 times.
Investors would be well advised to leave emotions out of investment decision making and get and stick to facts. Investors who bought Jamaica Stock Exchange at $14 now and now seeing it trading at $7 after just a few weeks, can attest to that. Even investors at current prices may find that the price could fall further when the company post its first quarter results. Those results will not enjoy the big income generated in the first quarter of 2016, estimated at $110 million, from the transfer of the shares in Desnoes and Geddes and should result in a big fall in profit for the 2017 quarter. Investors also pushed Jamaica Producers to dizzying heights, only to see a marked decline in the share price after, from $22 down to the $16 level and may have cause to worry with 2016 earnings from continuing operations not supporting the high valuation placed on it.
The market appears to be consolidating with a number of 2016 results not sending strong buy signals currently.
Prices of Access Finance, Dolphin Cove and Jetcon Corporation rose during the past week and exited the IC Insider.com’s Top 10 junior market list. These stocks are still within striking distance for the top tier listing but market activity in the coming week could change all of that.
Jetcon rose 22 percent during the week and 522 percent since it was listed in March last year. Entering the top list are Lasco Distributors, the expectations are that the company will benefit from the claim for damages, with much of the funds retained for income generation purposes,Lasco Manufacturing and AMG Packaging as the prices of all three slipped during the week. AMG Packaging approved 5 for 1 stock split, is to be effected on March 10, after much delay.
In the main market of teh Jamaica Stock Exchange, Cable & Wireless reported larger losses than expected in the nine months to December, as a result IC Insider.com revised the forecast for 2017 down to just 10 cents on the assumption of continued strong growth in revenues. The stock fell out of the top list as a result of the earnings down grade. The move by Cable & Wireless let Jamaica Broilers into the list with the stock prices falling to $14.54 on Friday.

Juniors fall as 11 stocks decline – Friday

Blue Power suffered large fall in price on Friday.

Some big price changes and above average trade in 6.8 million units of Eppley preference share characterised Friday’s trading on the junior market. At the close declining stocks outnumbered advancing ones, leading the market index down 15.63 points, to close at 3,083.40.
At the close, 23 securities changed hands, 8 advanced and 11 declined. Trading ended with 7,883,509 units valued at over $48,696,373 passing through the market, compared to 1,357,950 units valued at over $10,370,371 on Thursday. At the close 7 stocks had bids higher than their last sale prices and 2 ended with lower offers, than the last sale.
The junior market ended trading with an average of 342,761 units for an average value of $2,117,234 traded, compared to 54,318 units for an average value of $414,815 on the previous trading day. The average volume and value for the month to date ended at 198,540 units and $1,266,024. The average volume and value for February, ended at 223,938 units and $1,379,459.
At the close of the market on Friday, AMG Packaging closed at $22 after falling $3 with 2,367 units changing hands. After a long delay, AMG’s approved 5 for 1 stock split is to be effected on March 10 the company reported. Blue Power dropped sharply by a huge $7.30 and closed with 4,817 units changing hands at $47.70, CAC 2000 traded 8,544 shares at $7.50, after rising 50 cents, Cargo Handlers shed $2 in trading 1,325 shares and closed at $25, Caribbean Cream closed trading with 4,352 units to close at $8.09, after rising 9 cents. Caribbean Producers fell 15 cents in trading 821 units $3.60, Consolidated Bakeries ended trading with a loss of 90 cents with 42,298 shares changing hands, to close at $3.10, the fall comes as the company reported earnings of just 5 cents for the 2016 fiscal year, down from 13.5 cents at September last year. Derrimon Trading ended at a 52 weeks’ high of $7.56 with 10,000 shares changing hands, after rising by 6 cents, Dolphin Cove rose $1 and closed trading with 88,264 shares, to end at $19. General Accident fell 30 cents to close with 14,695 shares at $3.20, Honey Bun had 15,299 shares changing hands to end at $7.60, Jamaican Teas gained 20 cents and ended trading 14,406 shares to close at $8.50. Jetcon Corporation closed trading with 67,324 shares being exchanged for gain of $1 to end at $14, KLE Group fell 2 cents and ended trading 4,739 units, to close at $2.88, Lasco Distributors ended with 32,000 units trading with a fall of 30 cents at $6.50, Lasco Financial fell 10 cents with 62,563 shares changing hands, to end at $4.50. Lasco Manufacturing closed with gain of 9 cents as 32,106 units changed hands at $4.59, Main Event had 17,862 shares changing hands, to close with a gain of 15 cents at a 52 weeks’ closing high of $5, Medical Disposables lost 15 cents to close at $6.70 with 1,000 shares changing hands. Paramount Trading ended with 216,357 shares changing hands and rose 34 cents to $3.79, tTech ended with 95,774 units changing hands at $6.50, Eppley 9.5% preference share closed trading with 333,200 units changing hands at $6 and Eppley 8.25% preference share closed trading with 6,813,396 units at $6.

Juniors gain as 9 stocks rise Thursday

Trading ended on Thursday for the junior market, with the market index climbing 10.01 points to close at 3,099.03, with 3 stocks closing at new highs and one trading at an intraday high.
At the close, 25 securities changed hands, 9 advanced and 5 declined. Trading ended with 1,357,950 units valued at over $10,370,371 passing through the market, compared to 1,010,984 units valued at over $6,271,613 on Tuesday. At the close 9 stocks had bids higher than their last sale prices and 3 ended with lower offers, than the last sale.
The junior market ended trading with an average of 54,318 units for an average value of $414,815 traded, compared to 48,142 units for an average value of $298,648 on the previous trading day. The average volume and value for February, ended at 223,938 units and $1,379,459.
At the close of the market on Thursday, Access Financial Services climbed 40 cents to a 52 weeks’ high of $38.50 in trading traded 1,000 units, the stock ended with the bid at $43.81 to purchase 650 units, AMG Packaging closed at $25 with 1,933 units changing hands. Blue Power jumped sharply by $4.75 and closed with 1,200 units changing hands at $55, after trading at $57.60, CAC 2000 traded 16,800 shares at $7, Cargo Handlers added $2 in trading 3,810 shares to end at a 52 weeks’ high of $27 and closed after hitting $30 during the day. Caribbean Cream closed trading with 13,527 units to close at $8, after rising 73 cents. Caribbean Producers fell 30 cents in trading 21,533 units $3.75, Consolidated Bakeries ended trading 60,000 shares to close at $4, the stock could suffer a steep fall with the company reporting on Thursday, earnings of just 5 cents for the 2016 fiscal year, down from 13.5 cents at September last year. C2W Music lost 4 cents with 3,086 units changing hands to close at 35 cents, Dolphin Cove closed trading with 783 shares, to end at $18. General Accident closed with 30,747 shares to end at $3.50, Honey Bun had 11,800 shares changing hands and fell 35 cents, to end at $7.60, Iron Rock Insurance traded 10,000 shares to end at $3.30, Jamaican Teas ended trading 33,286 shares to close at $8.30. Jetcon Corporation closed trading with 21,065 shares being exchanged for gain of $2 to end at a 52 weeks’ high of $15, KLE gained 20 cents and ended trading 200 units, to close at $2.90, Lasco Distributors ended with 72,448 units trading with a fall of 19 cents at $6.80. Lasco Financial rose 20 cents with 944,331 shares changing hands, to end at $4.60, Lasco Manufacturing closed with 1,448 units changing hands at $4.50, Main Event had 25,964 shares changing hands, to close at $4.85 after rising by 5 cents. Medical Disposables gained 35 cents to close at $6.85 with 3,024 shares changing hands, Paramount Trading ended with 71,815 shares changing hands and fell 34 cents to $3.79, Eppley 9.5% preference share closed trading with 7,700 units changing hands at $6 and Eppley 10% preference share closed trading with 550 units at $6.85.

Juniors up 18% for 2017 to Tuesday

Caribbean Flavours traded at a 52 weeks’ high of $15.15 on the junior market.

Trading ended on Tuesday for the junior market, with the market index climbing 33.91 points to close at 3,089.02, with the market rising 17.8 percent for the year to date.
At the close, 21 securities changed hands, 8 advanced and 5 declined, while 3 closed at new 52 weeks’ highs. Trading ended with 1,010,984 units valued at over $6,271,613 passing through the market, compared to 3,249,262 units valued at over $21,042,717 on Monday. At the close 8 stocks had bids higher than their last sale prices and 4 ended with lower offers, than the last sale.
The junior market ended trading with an average of 48,142 units for an average value of $298,648 traded, compared to 141,272 units for an average value of $914,901 on the previous trading day. The average volume and value for the month to date ended at 223,938 units and $1,379,459 compared to 233,191 units and $1,436,344 to the previous trading day. The average volume and value for January, ended at 165,547 units and $884,749.
At the close of the market on Tuesday, Blue Power dropped sharply by $4.75 and closed with 5,808 units changing hands at $50.25, Cargo Handlers traded 8,000 shares to end at $25, Caribbean Cream closed trading with 6,473 units to close at $7.27, after slipping by 23 cents. Caribbean Flavours climbed 84 cents in trading 20,193 units to end at a new 52 weeks’ high of $15.15. Caribbean Producers fell 15 cents in trading 3,400 units $4.05, Consolidated Bakeries gained 25 cents in trading 328,040 shares to close at $4, C2W Music had 3,803 units changing hands to close at 39 cents, Investors put back $1 on the price of Dolphin Cove, closing trading with 749 shares, to end at $18. General Accident closed with 11,580 shares while rising 30 cents to end at $3.50, Honey Bun had 22,091 shares changing hands, to end at $7.95, Jamaican Teas gained 30 cents in trading 5,835 shares to close at $8.30. Jetcon Corporation closed trading with 60,885 shares being exchanged for gain of $1 to end at a 52 weeks’ high of $13, Key Insurance traded 2,415 units to close at $3.50, KLE shed 30 cents and ended trading 18,000 units, to close at $2.70, Lasco Distributors ended with 282,814 units trading with a rise of 48 cents at $6.99. Lasco Financial traded 26,850 shares changing hands, to end at $4.40, Lasco Manufacturing closed with 129,515 units changing hands at $4.50, Main Event had 48,813 shares changing hands, to close at $4.80. Medical Disposables gained 50 cents to close at $6.50 with 8,651 shares changing hands, Paramount Trading ended with 15,960 shares changing hands at $3.79 and tTech lost 31 cents and closed trading with 1,109 units changing hands at $6.50.

Changes for TOP 10 stocks

Gains in the overall market of 20 percent for the year to date have spawned some attractive gains for many stocks, but there is likely to be much more to come for the rest of the year.
The junior market hit new highs during the past week but pulled back quite a bit on Friday, leading to positive and negative price changes. ISP Finance had two sizable trades during the week, the price was up to a new high of $10 but closed the week at $9. Medical Disposables slipped by $1.40 to $6 at the end of the week. Access Finance closed with the bid at $38 compared to $35 last week. Earnings for Lasco Manufacturing and Lasco Financial were reduced following release of the December results and partially accounted for the fall out of the TOP 10 for the two. Lasco Manufacturing sits just below the TOP 10 with a PE of 9 while Lasco Financial is in 16th spot with a PE of 10, both are below the junior market average of 12. The space left by the two, have been filled by General Accident having a PE of 8 and Caribbean Producers valued at a PE of just under 9.
In Main market TOP 10 trading activity during the past week, Jamaica Broilers jumped to $16 from $14.50 to end up be edged out of the top list by Scotia Investments. Strong demand pushed the number 1 main market stock, Cable & Wireless to $1.50 from $1.28 at the start of the week with more news on a potential offer to buy out minority shareholders by Liberty Global, while Caribbean Cement jumped to a new high of $39.60 but closed with just limited selling at $45. The company reported profit of $1.3 billion for 2016 down from $1.55 billion in 2015. In 2016 there were exceptional costs of $807 million while 2015 had one off income of $168 million. The cost savings that will flow from the cut in the labour force will have a positive effect on cost for 2017. Broilers that now sits just below the TOP 10 boast a PE of just 8 compared to an average for the main market of 12 and a potential of 20 for the year.

Jamaican stocks mostly up – Friday

The main market of the Jamaican Stock Exchange, recovered some lost grounds on Friday, while the juniors and the US dollar market lost some ground as advancing prices were ahead of falling ones, on a day of moderate trading.
The market closed with trading in 46 securities with 23 stocks rising and 13 falling, in all markets. At the close, the main market had 24 stocks trading with 14 rising and 5 declining, the junior market had 18 securities trading with 8 stocks gaining and 8 declining, based on the last selling price and 2 traded in the US dollar market with one rising. Six stocks reached new 52 weeks’ high, five of these ended at their highs.
The JSE combined index rose 400.49 points, to close at 246,540.82, the All Jamaica Composite Index climbed 1,013.17 points to finish at 253,758.02 the JSE Market Index gained 905.95 points to end at 231,279.30. The junior market index had 42.53 points slashed off Thursday’s close to end at record 3,120.22 and the JSE US dollar market index eased 7.93 points, to close at 230.67.
Trading in the overall market reached 5,537,756 units valued at $81,543,783 compared with the previous day with 5,458,228 units valued at $114,968,563, having changed hands. The junior market accounted for for 1,700,678 units valued at over $11,745,304 of those trading. The US dollar market index traded 355,953 units valued at US$109,455.
The average trade for the day in the main market ended at 140,693 shares compared to an average of 154,908 units on Thursday. For the month to date, an average of 138,259 shares traded, compared to an average of 135,825 units up to the prior trading day. January ended with an average of 592,602 units.
The junior market ended trading with an average of 94,482 units for an average value of $652,517 traded, compared to of 52,582 units for an average value of $304,893 on the previous trading day. The average volume and value for the month to date ended at 237,485 units and $1,461,383 compared to 246,757 units and $1,513,124 to the previous day. The average volume and value for January, ended at 165,547 units and $884,749.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 9 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 5 with lower offers.