Record remittance inflows for January


Remittance inflows to Jamaica increase of US$13 million or a solid 5 percent in total remittance inflows to a record for the first month of the year, with January 2026 hitting US$273.2 million up from January 2025, data out of the Bank of Jamaica show.

In 2025 total inflows to the country rose by 3.84 percent to US$3.486 sit just under the record haul of US$3.497 billion in 2021. This year’s increase is lower than the 5.7 percent rise for January last year, 5.6 percent in May, 14.3 percent in November and 12.1 percent in December of 2025.

If total remittances remained flat for the rest of 2026, the country will end with record inflows for the year of just under US$3.5 billion.  

Jamaica’s tourism traffic bounces 17%


Tourist traffic through Montego Bay’s Sangster International Airport, bounced 17 percent in February over January, this year, with Kingston’s Norman Manley airport also recording a rise over January, data released by Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico operators of both ports of entry, reveal.

The Montego Bay airport processed 274,500 incoming and outgoing passengers, down by 31.4 percent from 400,100 in 2025, representing a 17 percent improvement over the 37.7 percent decline for January.  For the year to date, traffic dropped 34.7 percent to 559,000 from 856,300 in the prior year.
The decline for Kingston was moderate, with only a 2.1 percent slippage to 119,200 passengers from 121,900 in 2025 and for the year to date, traffic through the Norman Manley airport dipped 5.1 percent year to date, to 274,200 versus 288,900 in 2025.

In December last year, traffic through both airports dropped by 43.8 percent in the case of Montego Bay and Kingston, 2.7 percent, with the latest data showing an accelerated rebound.

2025 remittances US$12 million shy of record


Remittance inflows to Jamaica surged 12.1 percent to US$334.9 million in December 2025, over the corresponding period in 2024 and pushed the total inflows for the year by 3.8 percent to US$3.4857 billion, just $12 million short of the record haul in 2021 of US$3.497 billion.

Last year’s intake is the second highest on record and bettered the 2022 intake of US$3.44 billion. 

Remittance inflows for December 2025 increased by US$36.2 million or 12.1 percent to US$334.9 million, a record collection for any previous December.

The near-record 2025 haul was fueled by 10 months of increase, with only August and October recording declines.

Total remittance inflows into Jamaica between 2021 and 2025.

BOJ cuts ON rate to 5.50%


Bank of Jamaica cuts the overnight rate to 5.5 percent from 5.75 percent effective tomorrow, the reduction is the second cut in just under a year. The rate was last cut on 21 May last year, by 25 basis points from 6 percent to 5.75 percent.  

Bank of Jamaica announced that, effective 24 February 2026, the rate offered on overnight balances on the current accounts of deposit-taking institutions, the policy rate, will be reduced by 25 basis points from 5.75 percent per annum to 5.50 per cent per annum. 

In a release by the central bank they stated “in the context of the improved inflation outturn and outlook, the Committee decided unanimously to: (i) reduce the policy rate (the rate offered to deposit-taking institutions (DTIs) on their current account balances at BOJ) by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent per annum, effective 24 February 2026; and (ii) remain proactive in preserving relative stability in the foreign exchange market.”

The inflation forecast takes into account an improved outlook for key domestic macroeconomic indicators. After possible temporary breaches of the upper limit of the inflation target over the June and September 2026 quarters, inflation is now projected to return to the 4 to 6 percent target range by the end of the December 2026 quarter. This earlier-than-previously-anticipated return to target reflects a moderation of the Bank’s forecast for later (or second-round) price increases. In addition, private sector expectations of future inflation (inflation expectations), a key driver of headline inflation, are forecast to fall to normal levels over the near term. The current account of Jamaica’s balance of payments is, however, projected to record higher deficits over the near term as the economy rebuilds from the Hurricane Melissa fallout, but the international reserves remain healthy and are projected to improve further. The forecast also considers the direct impact of the recently announced tax package.

Inflation plunges in Jamaica


Inflation plunged 0.8 percent, the Statistical Institute of Jamaica reported for January 2026, in the process confounding forecasts for higher inflation well into 2026. The decline coincides with a seasonal pattern of low to negative inflation for the first four months of the year.  

Food category was main contributor to January’s deflation.

According to the Statistical Institute of Jamaica, the Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages division had a decline of 2.6 percent in the index.
Point-to-point inflation rate (January 2025 – January 2026) was 3.9 percent and back below the Central Bank’s target of 4-6 percent, before Hurricane Melissa blew it briefly off course.

Tourist arrivals plunged sharply in January


Three months after Hurricane Melissa ravaged western Jamaica, international Terminal Passengers passing through Montego Bay Sangster’s International Airport fell, a sharp 37.7 percent from 456,200 last year January, to only 284.200 this year.

At the same time, Kingston’s Norman Manley international airport saw a 7.2 percent fall over the same period with 155,000 passengers, down from 167,000 last year, data released on traffic by Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, operator of both airports, shows.

Montego Bay’s January numbers improved slightly over December, last year, which declined by a much sharper 43.8 percent from 467,400 to 262,600 and Kingston with a decline of just 2.7 percent to 172,200 from 177,100.

The decline means that the country lost around US100 million net in December and January.
The Jamaican airports were not the only ones to experience sizable declines, albeit not as severe as in January. Tijuana fell nearly 11 percent and Manzanillo in Mexico slipped 11 percent.

Jamaica’s murders at 300 in 2026


Jamaica continues to experience a remarkable reduction in crime, with 33 murders for January. this year. The country is averaging slightly more than one killing per day—a sharp 55 percent decline compared to the same period in 2025, putting the country on track to hit 300 for 2026, the lowest in 50 years.

The decline in 2026 continues momentum from 2023, which accelerated into 2025, when Jamaica recorded under 673 total murders for the year, a 42 percent drop from 2024 and the lowest count in decades. For years, Jamaica exceeded 1,000 annual murders, and as high as 1,683 in 2009 and 1,647 as far back as 2017. The reduction in crime since 2023 makes this transformation historic, with a positive impact on the wider economy.
Over the past two weeks, murders dropped below one a day, with just 6 murders in the past week, and 5 the previous one.
2026 Forecast: At the current trend, Jamaica is on track to record around 300 murders for the year, potentially the lowest since 1975 when murders ended at 266.
The decline that puts murders on track for 300 this year has positive implications for a boost to the country’s economic growth, with fewer resources having to be deployed on security, providing a notable boost to the entertainment industry and greater appeal and  attractiveness for the tourism industry and other sectors related to it. Some of these benefits will take some time to manifest.

Jamaica’s inflation cools


Jamaica experienced a dramatic inflation spike in late 2025, driven primarily by the effects of Hurricane Melissa on reducing agricultural production and increasing prices. The Consumer Price Index rose by 2.4 percent, in November, with the pace slowing to 1.3 percent in December, as agricultural supplies slowly returned to more normal levels.

November’s 2.4 percent monthly rise was the highest since September 2013, with 2.8 percent and matched the August 2024 increase following Hurricane Beryl. Hurricane Melissa, which struck on October 28, severely disrupted agricultural production and infrastructure. Food prices surged 6.0 percent in November, with vegetables, tubers, and plantains jumping 19.1 percent, while fruits and nuts increased 8.8 percent. Inflation in this category, in December climbed at a much slower pace of 2.1 percent, with vegetables, tubers, and plantains jumping 4.5 percent, while fruits and nuts increased 5.6 percent.

By year-end, point-to-point inflation reached 4.5 percent, with food inflation accelerating to 7.1 percent year-over-year. Housing and utility costs also contributed, rising 3.5 percent annually. Despite these pressures, inflation climbed from 2.9 percent in October to 4.3 percent in November and 4.5 percent in December, remaining well within the central bank’s target range of 4-6 percent.

Murders plunged 65% in Jamaica


Jamaica extended its historic crime reduction of the last three years into 2026, with murders down by a massive 64.7 percent in the first 1O days compared to the same period the previous year, on top of the 41 percent decline in 2025.

The country recorded 12 murders through January 10 versus 34 in the corresponding 2025 period, a dramatic continuation of the 2025 decline that produced 673 murders, the lowest in nearly three decades.
The data translates to just 1.2 murders per day, but 1.14 per day in the past week, and could result in murders ending up under 400 in the current year. The most probable outcome is 350-420 murders for 2026, translating to a homicide rate of 12.5-15 per 100,000, nearly 75 percent below 2023 levels and approaching regional averages. There are no murders in eleven police divisions in 2026, down from 11 last year.

Looking forward, the sustained downward trajectory carries positive implications for economic growth, tourism development, and foreign investment.

Remittance flows climb for Jamaica


Remittance inflows to Jamaica for the year to September 2025 climbed 2.9 percent to US$2.5866 billion, over the US$2.514 billion collected in the similar period in 2024.  

This year’s inflows are the second best on record, just $19 million below the record of US$2.695 billion garnered in the first nine months of 2021. The trend for the year to date suggests that total flows for the year may end around US$40 less than the record US$3.497 billion in 2021. Inflows could increase above the levels for 2025 to date following the passage of Hurricane Melissa, as Jamaicans overseas increase their contributions to Jamaicans hit by the hurricane.
Inflows for September this year rose by 4.7 per cent or US$13 million to US$287.6 million compared with $274.6 million for the same period in 2024.