TransJamaican dividend yields now 6.4%


TransJamaican Highway board of directors declared an interim dividend payment of 12.92 cents per share payable on October 24, to shareholders on record as at the close of business on October 3, 2025. The ex-dividend date is October 3.

Total dividends for this year amount to 25.5 cents, with a yield of 6.4 percent, including a dividend of 12.58 cents paid in April.
The company’s prospectus in 2020 stated, “based on the projected operating profits, distributable reserves and cashflows, the Company is projecting dividend yield, averaging 5.3 percent to 8.7 percent in 2020-2025 and an average of 24.5 percent to 35.8 percent thereafter on the Offer Price”. The stock was offered to the public at $1.41 and would result in a dividend payment between 34.5 and 50.5 cents per share, starting in 2026, with a yield of 8.6 to 12.6 percent based on the last traded price of $4.
The yield is going to help push the stock price higher into 2026, along with earnings for the current year of around 50 cents per share.

Voter turnout projected at around 46%


Voter turnout in Jamaica’s 2025 General Elections is set to be just under 50 percent, data up to 11 this morning suggests, with just over 306,000 or 15 percent of registered voters having voted up to then, the Director of Elections at the Electoral Office of Jamaica, confirmed.

ICInsider.com projects turnout around 50 percent, with 46 percent the most likely outcome. In 2016, some 289,000 or 16 percent of the 1,824,412 registered voters cast their votes by 11:30 am and at 3 PM, 728,670 votes were polled, accounting for 39.94 percent of the votes cast, with a final tally of 882,389 for a 48.4 percent outcome.
By 11 AM in 2020, a total of 313,799 or 16.4 percent votes were cast and ended at 37.9 percent for a total of 724317 out of 1,913,410 registered.
Based on the 2016 counts and the votes in the early morning session on Wednesday, it indicates a likely votes around one million votes between 46 and 50 percent.

Jamaica’s inflation cools, signals lower interest rates


Inflation in Jamaica cooled in July, 0.30 percent, well above the 0.3 negative inflation in June and brings the last twelve months’ inflation rate to 3.3 percent, well below the Bank of Jamaica’s target of four to six percent, the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN) reported in its latest bulletin on price movements in the country.

According to Statin, the main contributor to the increase was a 0.9 percent rise in the index for the Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages division, with the Food group rising by 0.9 percent, while the index for the Non-Alcoholic Beverages group increased by 0.4 percent.
“The increase in food was largely due to a 2.9 percent rise in the index for the class Vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses. Prices for cabbage, sweet pepper, tomato and yam increased, however, this was partly offset by lower prices for carrot, plantain and sweet potato,” Statin reported. The transport sector also contributed to the increase. The overall increase was moderated by a 0.8 percent decline in the index for the Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels division.

The moderation and the continued fall in point to point inflation for two consecutive months should encourage the Bank of Jamaica to cut the Overnight interest rate, sooner than later.

May 2025 remittances the highest in 5 years


Remittance inflows to Jamaica increased by a notable 5.6 percent to US$303.5 million in May this year, above the US$287.4 million in the corresponding period in 2024.

For the five months to May 2025, remittance inflows amount to US$1.422 billion, up 3.6 percent over the first five months of last year, with total inflows of $1.373 billion.

Inflows for May this year are the highest for May in any year, but for inflows of US$308.5 million in 2021, the year of record inflows of US$3.5 billion and the highest monthly inflows since December 2022 and December 2023.

Big jump Jamaica’s tourist traffic in July


Tourist traffic passing through Montego Bay’s Sangster International Airport surged sharply in July with a 15.2 percent jump, the first major increase since early 2024, while Kingston Norman Manley Airport saw a 7.8 percent increase compared to July 2024, Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacifico, operators of both airports, reported.

Traffic passing through Montego Bay moved from 443,400 last year in July to 510,600, resulting in the year to date performance slipping just 2.2 percent to 3.114 million, from 3.186 million last year. The improvement comes against the backdrop of signs of stability in the June numbers that fell a mere 1.9 percent, 1.6 percent in May and 1.3 percent in April, compared with a year to date decline of 5.1 percent in June, 6.5 percent to April and 8.1 percent to March.

Kingston Norman Manley Airport processed 191,900 incoming and outgoing passengers in July, compared to 178,000 for the same month in 2024. For the first seven months of the year, 1.074 million passengers passed through the country’s capital airport, an increase of 8.5 percent over the 989,800 in 2024.

This development, if sustained, has far-reaching implications for a wide range of the economy. Apart from indicating a pick-up in foreign exchange inflows, companies supplying goods and services to the tourism sector should see an increase in business activities.
Listed companies are set to be big winners, including Caribbean Producers, Express Catering, Dolphin Cove, Jamaica Broilers, Wisynco, Everything Fresh and Knutsford Express .

July best month for Junior Market in a year


Trading picked up sharply in July, with an average of 1,204,337 shares at $756,913, on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, the best monthly performance in 18 months and well ahead of June this year, with an average of just 186,843 shares at $332,162.

One has to go back in time to find a better month of trading, with the average for December 2023 of 466,866 units at $1.11 million.
Trading in July to date is ahead of the previous 6 months. Trading volume for July is skewed by more than 356 million shares on the first of July, with RA Williams trading just over 351 million shares and 45 million on the second, with the overall trading on the Junior Market for that day reaching 57 million.

The average monthly trading for the early months of 2025 shows May with an average of just 419,466 units at $701,563, April with an average of 199,273 shares at $488,496. The average for March was 307,021 units at $759,432, February an average of 246,071 shares at $454,487, January averaged 346,715 units at $601,238 and December 2024, an average of 326,483 shares at $898,324.

The Main Market has not joined the Junior Market with increased trading in July. For the month to date, trading averages 237,449 units at $1,396,485, compared to June with an average of 183,242 units at $1,532,211, well below May with an average of 245,284 units at $2,050,773, and far off from April with an average of 1,417,136 stock units at $6,010,754.

Growth in Jamaica’s remittances for 2025


Remittance inflows to Jamaica increased by US$7.5 million or 2.6 percent to US$295.5 million in April this year, from US$288 million in 2024. Inflows for April this year are the second highest monthly flows for the year so far, following March with US$302.4 million, which grew by 1.8 percent over the 2024 period.

Remittances increased in all four months of 2025, contributing to inflows for January to April 2025 of US$1.118 billion, an increase of 3 percent over the US$1.085 billion in the first four months of 2024.

NCB stock hits low of $32, trading halted


NCB Financial Group stock traded at a 52 week low of $32 in the morning session of the Jamaica Stock Exchange after 505,889 shares with a value of $18.12 million were exchanged. The stock opened at $40.95 and gradually traded down to $32, with an exchange of just two shares, at levels not seen since late 2015.

NCB traded 22768 units trading down to $40 at 9.25 am, it then dropped to $38.03 also at 9.25 and bounced back to $40.95 with an exchange of 10,000 at 9.36 AM and went downhill from there with 106,000 units traded a few cents above $36 and 330,909 shares between $35.01 to $35.10.

The group sold shares to the public in May last year, at $65 each. The fall in price represents a drop of 53 percent at $35 per share, but that is relatively mild compared with a fall of 86 percent from the 2019 high of $249.  

In 2024, ICInsider.com commented on the public issue as follows” An APO brings an additional supply of shares to the market and will satisfy the demand for a large pool of investors for several months if not years, as such the issue is likely to keep the price of the stock subdued for some time unless there is a big jump in profitability to make them more attractive as an investment and thus encourage increased buying to move the stock price up appreciably.”

Trading in the stock was halted to resume trading at 11.46 AM, in the morning session.
After trading resumed, the stock traded at $39.94. Orders for the stock are shown in the table below. 

Jamaica’s GDP gets 100% upgrade


The Jamaican Economy grew by 1.1 percent in the first Quarter of 2025, compared to the similar 2024 quarter. The critically important news is the sharp upward revision of the size of the local economy by Statistical Institute of Jamaica (Statin). The change arose from the adoption of new methodological updates and enhanced data sources, resulting in an average increase of 7.8 percent in the levels of the GDP from 2015 – 2023.

The change comes against the backdrop of concerns by many that the economy was growing much faster than the original official data suggested. ICInsider.com assessment of the adjustment, is that the economy is officially twice the size, as was previously thought.

This would mean that the country’s debt to GDP is now below 40 percent from just under 70 percent, as previously stated, and would, therefore, imply that there is no need for any more budgetary contraction. It would raise the per capita income well over the prior low levels of under US$8,000.

According to Statin, the quarterly GDP growth was due to increases in both the Goods and Services industries by 2.0 percent and 0.8 percent respectively. The Productive Sectors recorded increases in all the industries. Manufacturing grew 1.7 percent, the Construction industry up 1.4 percent, Mining and Quarrying by 0.7 percent, and Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing grew 3.1 percent.

Tourist arrivals to Jamaica steady in June


Passenger traffic coming into Jamaica in June was likely stable compared to June 2024, data released by Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, the operators of Sangster and Norman Manley International Airports, suggests.

Passengers traffic passing through Sangster International Airport in Montego Bay during June this year fell by 8,500, a fall of 1.9 percent, with 438,900 incoming and outgoing passengers compared to 447,400 in June 2024.

The Montego Bay fall was almost fully made up by Kingston’s increase of 7,700 passengers, an increase of 5.3 percent to 152,200 from 144,500 in 2024. Passenger traffic through Boscobel’s Fleming International Airport, with daily arrivals from the USA in 2025 compared with twice-weekly service last year, is not in the above numbers. Boscobel’s passenger traffic could result in an overall increase in arrivals to the country in June.
For the six months to June, 5.1 percent or 138,700 fewer passengers passed through the Montego Bay airport, with 2.6 million passengers, down from 2.74 million in 2024.  The Montego Bay fall was well short of the increase of 79,900 passengers in Kingston, which increased 8.6 percent to 881,700 from 811,800.