Jamaica’s inflation cools, signals lower interest rates


Inflation in Jamaica cooled in July, 0.30 percent, well above the 0.3 negative inflation in June and brings the last twelve months’ inflation rate to 3.3 percent, well below the Bank of Jamaica’s target of four to six percent, the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN) reported in its latest bulletin on price movements in the country.

According to Statin, the main contributor to the increase was a 0.9 percent rise in the index for the Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages division, with the Food group rising by 0.9 percent, while the index for the Non-Alcoholic Beverages group increased by 0.4 percent.
“The increase in food was largely due to a 2.9 percent rise in the index for the class Vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses. Prices for cabbage, sweet pepper, tomato and yam increased, however, this was partly offset by lower prices for carrot, plantain and sweet potato,” Statin reported. The transport sector also contributed to the increase. The overall increase was moderated by a 0.8 percent decline in the index for the Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels division.

The moderation and the continued fall in point to point inflation for two consecutive months should encourage the Bank of Jamaica to cut the Overnight interest rate, sooner than later.

BOJ Overnight rate drops to 5.75%


The Bank of Jamaica will cut the overnight rate effective 21 May 2025 to 5.75 percent. The decision took place at their Monetary Policy Committee meeting, which ended today.

Following their assessment, the MPC unanimously agreed to reduce the policy rate (the rate offered to deposit-taking institutions on overnight placements with the Bank of Jamaica by 25 basis points from 6 percent to 5.75 per cent per annum.

The central bank had telegraphed the reduction for April with bot CD and Treasury bill rates falling well below 6 percent, with the amount of 30 days CDs falling under $90 billion from as much as $160 billion last year March.

More decline in Jamaican interest rates


At the most recent Bank of Jamaica auction for Certificate of Deposits (CDS) on Wednesday, interest rates averaged 5.99 percent, following an offer of $39 billion, the average rate is fractionally lower than the Central Bank’s Overnight (ON) rate of 6 percent, a signal that the BOJ will cut it ON rate when they meet in February.

A total of 326 bids were received by the central bank amounting to $62.42 billion, with rates ranging from 7.98 percent down to 5.5 percent. The highest submitted bid had a rate of 7.90 percent, but the highest rate obtained by successful investors was 6.2 percent. Today’s rate is up from 5.94 percent at last week’s auction when only $6.5 billion was offered, with bids of just over $32 billion.

At the end of the auction the total amount of 30 days CDs that are outstanding amounts to $126.5 billion and is down from $129.5 billion last week.