Trading drops on Junior Market – Tuesday

Main market volume contracts.

The Junior Market lost momentum on Tuesday with an exchange of 1,594,633 units at $6,823,033 compared to 4,742,829 units valued at $18,023,858 on Monday, as 23 securities changed hands, versus 28 previously.
The market index slipped 7.23 points to 3,121.21 as the prices of 9 stocks rose, 7 declined and 7 remained unchanged.
Trading ended with an average of 69,332 units for an average of $296,654 in contrast to 169,387 units for an average of $643,709 on Monday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to units 124,264 valued at $487,194. In contrast, March closed with an average of 195,942 shares valued at $777,498 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 4 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 6 with lower offers.
At the close of the market, Access Financial closed at $45.50, with an exchange of 7,807 shares, AMG Packaging ended 1 cent higher at $2.16, with 5,000 stock units changing hands, Blue Power concluded trading of 72,817 units, with a loss of 20 cents in closing at $4.30, Cargo Handlers settled at $11, in trading 1,500 shares. Caribbean Producers finished trading of 41,150 units with a rise of 19 cents to end $4.99, Consolidated Bakeries closed 4 cents higher at $2.09, with an exchange of 2,448 shares, Derrimon Trading ended at $2.65, with an exchange of 16,113 shares, Everything Fresh finished with a loss of 5 cents at $1.40, trading 244,900 stock units. Elite Diagnostic settled with a rise of 16 cents at $3.16, in trading 1,000 units, Express Catering swapped 33,377 shares after rising 20 cents higher at $8, FosRich Group traded 4,777 shares, in rising 65 cents higher to $4.40, Fontana finished trading at $4.05, with 770,452 shares, Honey Bun concluded trading at $4, with 34,550 shares. iCreate rose 1 cent to close at $1.01, with an exchange of 6,590 shares. Iron Rock settled with a loss of 1 cent at $3.98, trading 5,000 shares, Jamaican Teas  traded 12,224 units and rose 10 cents higher to $4,  Jetcon Corporation traded 17,185 shares, at $2.80,  Key Insurance  closed at $3.15, with 1,000 shares changing hands. Lasco Distributors finished with a loss of 19 cents at $3.70, with an exchange of 61,905 units, Lasco Manufacturing ended trading with 16,413 shares and closed 10 cents higher at $3.65,  Main Event  traded with a loss of 6 cents at $5.45, with 650 shares crossing through the exchange. SSL Venture Capital  ended with a loss of 5 cents at $1.65, with an exchange of 2,670 shares and Stationery and Office lost 5 cents to close at $6.75, with 235,105 shares changing hands.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Steady trading on TTSE – Tuesday

Trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange saw more securities being active on Tuesday, but the volume traded was almost the same as on Monday.  
 Trading ended with 14 securities changing hands, against 12 on Monday with investors exchanging 146,470 shares for $3,700,163, compared to 145,498 shares for $2,183,458 on Monday.
At close of the market, 2 stocks advanced, 4 declined and 8 remained unchanged, leading the Composite Index fell 1.22 points on to 1,328.47. The All T&T Index declined 3.14 points to 1,765.25, while the Cross Listed Index gained 0.10 points to close at 120.31.
IC bid-offer Indicator|The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended at stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with lower offers.
At the close of the market, stocks ending trading with gains| First Citizens increased 5 cents and settled at a 52 weeks’ high $36.05, after exchanging 550 shares and Massy Holdings rose 35 cents and ended at $53.40, after exchanging 430 shares.
Stocks closing losses| Ansa Merchant Bank fell $1 to settle at a 52 weeks’ low of $37, after exchanging 190 shares, One Caribbean Media concluded trading with a loss of 20 cents at $10.10, after exchanging 2,025 shares. Republic Financial Holdings lost 42 cents to settle at $119.50, after exchanging 263 shares and Scotiabank fell 59 cents and ended at $63, with 2,685 stock units changing hands.
Stocks closing firm| Ansa Mcal completed trading of 20,135 units, at $55.24, First Caribbean International Bank closed at $8.25, in exchanging 1,516 units, Grace Kennedy ended at $3.30, with 20,000 stock units changing hands, Guardian Holdings completed trading of 33,837 units, at $18.25. JMMB Group ended at $1.78, after exchanging 5,555 shares, National Flour completed trading of 6,710 units at $1.65, CinemaOne traded just 50 shares at $9.95 and Trinidad & Tobago NGL exchanged 52,574 units at $30.50.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Jamaican economy grew 2% in 2018

Mining was the biggest contributer to GDP gains in 2019

Preliminary estimates by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (Statin) puts growth in the Jamaican economy for the 2018 at 1.9 percent, the highest in 11 years bettering 1.7 percent achieved in 2011 and almost twice the one percent rise in 2017.
The increase is “due to a 5 percent growth in the Goods Producing Industries and a 0.8 percent increase in Services Industries,” Statin stated.
The fourth quarter last year, grew 2 percent compared to the fourth quarter of 2017. This growth is due to increases in both the Services Industries and the Goods Producing Industries of 1 percent and 4.9 percent respectively.
For the full year, growth occurred in all the Goods Producing Industries: Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing up 3.1 percent, Mining & Quarrying up a strong 25 percent mainly due to the reopening of Jiuquan Iron and Steel Company, Alpart refinery, manufacturing a moderate 2 percent and Construction up 3.7 percent.
For the first quarter of 2019, GDP is expected to accelerate at a faster pace than for 2018 and will be strongly, impacted by a surge in tourism stopover arrivals that is up in double digits for the first quarter.

Cement jumps $6.90 to record high

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Caribbean Cement ended trading at a new closing high of $64.90 on Monday.

Caribbean Cement jumped sharply by $6.90 to a new high of $64.90 on Monday while Supreme Ventures hit an all-time high of $29.50 to help kick off the second quarter for the main market positively.
Investors sucked out the limited volume of supply of Cement on offer but had just one offer of just 1,500 units at $105. Supreme Ventures has been in short supply recently and have decent demand, ended with just 18,425 shares on offer at $29.50.
At the end of trading the Jamaica Stock Exchange main market inched closer to the record high of November last year and is now within less than 7,000 points away.
The JSE All Jamaican Composite Index gained 298.91 points to end at 426,479.51 and the JSE Index advanced 271.62 points to 388,548.53.
At the close of the main and US markets, 31 securities traded, compared to 35 on Friday and leading to 11 advancing, 11 declining and 9 closing unchanged.
Trading ended with 4,774,806 units valued at $58,420,189 crossing the exchange, compared to 5,517,346 units valued at over $192,929,461, changing hands on Friday.
Pulse Investments led trading with 3.3 million shares, accounting for 69 percent of the day’s volume in the main market, followed by Grace Kennedy with 288,330 units or 6 percent of the volume traded and Wisynco Group with 242,543 shares amounting to 5 percent of the overall volume.
Market activity ended with an average of 170,529 units valued at over $2,086,435, in contrast to 183,912 shares valued at $6,430,982 on Friday. Trading for March resulted in an average of 438,501 shares at $9,851,307, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator|The Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator ended with the reading showing 11 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 closing with lower offers.
In main market activity, Barita Investments rose 85 cents to $44.77, with an exchange of 1,530 shares, Caribbean Cement jumped $6.90 to a record close of $64.90, with 47,525 shares changing hands, Jamaica Broilers shed $2.49 in trading 14,217 units to close at $30.01, Jamaica Producers lost $1 to close at $22, with 60,000 shares changing hands. JMMB Group concluded trading of 10,567 shares after rising 50 cents to end at $33.50, Mayberry Investments rose 70 cents trading 7,100 shares to close at $9.20,  Sagicor Group  declined 48 cents to settle at $38.02, with 34,475 shares changing hands.  Scotia Group dropped $1.30 trading 65,407 shares at $51.50, Seprod rose 44 cents to close at $43.44 in trading 2,351 shares, Sterling Investments  rose 49 cents and concluded trading at $3.99, with 51,216 stock units. Supreme Ventures  rose $2.01 to finish at a record high of $29.50, with an exchange of 111,448 units, Sygnus Credit Investments lost 30 cents in trading 21,821 units, to end at $12 and Wisynco Group lost 45 cents and ended trading of 242,543 shares to close at $11.50.
Trading in the US dollar market resulted in 20,196 units valued at over $14,334 changing hands. JMMB Group 6% US dollar preference share trading  8,000 units and gained 3 cents to close at US$1.04, JMMB Group

5.75% USD preference share ended at $2 with 2,500 units changing hands and Sygnus Credit Investments had 9,696 units trading at 10 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index gained 0.45 points to close at 176.24.

Junior Market strong buy signals

Fosrich traded 4 million shares on Monday.

The Junior Market opened the second quarter positively in keeping with technical indicators suggesting that a major change in direction is coming soon with the market getting support from a triple bottom and wedge shape formation.
The market index jumped 36.42 points to 3,128.44 as the prices of 8 stocks rose, 10 declined and 10 remained unchanged.  At the close of trading, 28 securities changed hands, versus 29 on Friday.
Market activities on Monday saw a 40 percent increase in the day’s volume to 4,742,829 units valued 18 percent higher at $18,023,858, compared to 3,378,621 units for $15,299,931 on Friday. The increase in trading was due to 4 million units of FosRich Group shares.
Trading ended with an average of 169,387 units at $643,709 for each security traded, in contrast to 116,504 units at $527,584 on Friday. In contrast, March closed with an average of 195,942 shares valued at $777,498 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 3 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 7 with lower offers.
At the close of the market, Access Financial lost 50 cents to end at $45.50, exchanging 5,937 shares, AMG Packaging ended at $2.15, with 31,850 stock units changing hands, Blue Power traded 85,320 units with a loss of 10 cents at $4.50, Cargo Handlers fell 6 cents to close at $11, with an exchange of 22,000 shares. Caribbean Cream ended trading with 10,100 shares after falling 1 cent to close at $5.54, Caribbean Producers rose 3 cents to $4.80, trading 51,100 units, Consolidated Bakeries closed 6 cents higher at $2.05, with 50,000 shares changing hands, Derrimon Trading closed at $2.65, with an exchange of 5,800 shares, Dolphin Cove concluded trading with 1,369 shares at $13.99. Everything Fresh finished with a loss of 6 cents at $1.45, with 109,500 stock units changing hands, Elite Diagnostic settled at $3, with 5,400 units crossing through the exchange, Express Catering ended trading of 900 shares 20 cents higher at $7.80, FosRich Group traded 4,014,634 shares with a loss of 25 cents at $3.75. Fontana finished trading of 110,105 shares, at $4.05, General Accident closed at $4.50, with 100 stock units changing hands, Honey Bun ended trading of 9,197 shares, with a loss of 24 cents at $4, iCreate shed 1 cent to close at $1, with an exchange of 29,530 shares. Indies Pharma finished 1 cent higher at $3.10, with an exchange of 16,923 shares, Jamaican Teas  traded 12,654 units to close at $3.90,  Jetcon Corporation  finished trading with 1,950 shares at $2.80, Lasco Distributors  finished 4 cents higher at $3.89, with 51,810 units changing hands, Lasco Financial  settled 2 cents higher at $4.52, in exchanging 100 shares. Lasco Manufacturing  ended trading of 7,000 shares with a loss of 5 cents at $3.55,  Main Event  traded 55,300 shares at $5.51,  Paramount Trading  closed 20 cents higher at $2.50, with 1,000 units changing hands. Stationery and Office concluded trading with 8,250 shares at $6.80 and tTech settled with a loss of 50 cents at $5.50, with an exchange of 15,000 stock units. In the junior market preference segment, Derrimon Trading 9% ended 3 cents higher at $1.98, with 30,000 stock units changing hands.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

4 TTSE stocks at 12 months high – Monday

Grace Kennedy shares traded at a 52 weeks’ high on Monday.

Three securities closed at 52 weeks’ high in trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Monday, similar to the number on Friday.  
 Volume traded was less than on Friday with substantially less monetary consideration as 12 securities changed hands, against 17 on Friday with investors exchanging 145,498 shares for $2,183,458, compared to 167,873 shares at $4,736,375 on Friday.
At close of the market, 6 stocks advanced, 3 declined and 3 remained unchanged, leading the Composite Index to rise 1.93 points to 1,329.69. The All T&T Index gained 4.80 points to end at 1,768.39, while the Cross Listed Index shed 0.14 points to close at 120.21.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended at stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 with lower offers.
At the close of the market, stocks ending trading with gains| Clico Investments gained 35 cents and closed at a 52 weeks’ high of $22.50, with 2,800 stock units changing hands, Grace Kennedy finished 5 cents higher at a 52 weeks’ high of $3.30, exchanging 43,215 stock units. Guardian Holdings rose 25 cents and completed trading with 260 units at $18.25, Prestige Holdings added 2 cents and completed trading of 1,453 units, at $7.62. Republic Financial Holdings increased 92 cents and settled at $119.92, in exchanging 8,610 shares and Trinidad & Tobago NGL rose 23 cents and completed trading of 2,282 units at a 52 weeks’ high of $30.50.
Stocks closing losses| JMMB Group fell 2 cents to end at $1.78, after exchanging 15,750 shares, Massy Holdings closed with a loss of 35 cents to close at $53.05, trading 10,706 shares and Sagicor Financial shed 15 cents in closing at $8.65, with an exchange of 1,100 shares.
Stocks closing firm| First Citizens settled at $36, after exchanging 145 shares, One Caribbean Media concluded trading at $10.30, after exchanging 12,500 shares and Trinidad Cement settled at $2.55, after trading 46,677 shares.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Wigton Windfarm IPO out very soon

Report reaching IC Insider.com is that the long awaited prospectus for Wigton Windfarm is due this week. The stock is set to come to the market at 50 cents each.
According to the government’s public bodies accounting records, “the divestment will be by way of listing PCJ’s 100 percent shareholding in WWFL on the Jamaica Stock Exchange.” The company is expected to report profit of $587 million to the end of March this year, down from $826 million earned in 2018. The 2018 earnings were helped by other income of $637 million versus just $52 million in 2018.
The company generated sales revenue of $2.5 billion in 2019 and $2.36 billion in 2018. Depreciation charge is high at nearly $700 million, this will result in a healthy cash flow per annum, allowing to either pay down debt or fund expansion from internally generated resourses and provide a basis of growing profits going forward.
The annual growth in profit before finance cost is minimal, growing just over 11 percent in 2015 and 2016 and a much slower 7 percent in 2017 and 2018, with a 6 percent decline in 2019.
The company is heavily indebted with $7 billion of borrowed funds, $1.4 billion in cash funds on hand and equity of $2.4 billion. Current assets exclusive of cash and payables are minimal. Borrowed funds were mostly in US dollars and resulted in annual swings in net profit, as the exchange rate of the Jamaican dollar moved up and down against the United States dollar. Loans that were previously denominated in US dollars, were swapped for Jamaican dollar funds, in preparation for the initial public offer.
The company’s generating capacity is 63 mega-watts with the output contracted to Jamiaca Public Seervice Company. Assuming a PE ratio of 10, the company would be valued at just under $6 billion.

Major changes in IC TOP 10 stocks

The major change in IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 this pass week, is a sharp change in the stocks showing highest potential gains.
The three leading Junior Market stocks Last week, were Iron Rock with potential gains of 300 percent, Caribbean Producers 281 percent up from last week, as the stock slipped to $4.20 and Lasco Financial with potential gains of 211 percent. At the end of last week, the highest gains forecasted is down to 235 percent, with Caribbean Producers holding the top Junior Market spot.
Main Market stocks have gone in the opposite direction with a fall in the price of Sterling Investments to $3.50, the stock now boost potential to gains 186 percent, followed by  Victoria Mutual investments with 156 percent likely gain and Radio Jamaica at 152 percent, being third.
The only change to the TOP 10 list is the exit of Lasco Manufacturing that rose to $3.60 on Friday, to be replaced by Caribbean Cream, that closed the week at $5.55.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE at 13.6 and the Junior Market at just 10.4. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks average 6.9 and the main market PE is now 8.4. These levels, point to the huge upside for the TOP 10 stocks over the next 12 months.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 34 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 38 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Projected earnings, for each company’s current fiscal year, are used in determining, the selected stocks. The PE for and projected earnings for each stock are computed to show potential gains for the year, which are ranked in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have interest in the securities commented on.

Watch Junior Market for break higher

Junior Market poised to breakout.

Jamaican stocks are in for an interesting period with Junior Market stocks down nearly 5 percent for the year to date, lagging their main market stocks counterparts that are up 2.2 percent for 2019, but technical indicators now point to a big rally for the Junior Market.
The Junior Market is currently, supported by two major technical indicators, indicating a rising market ahead. One is a triple bottom that it is bouncing off and the other a wedge formation, both indicate a big breakout. The last time the market had a triple bottom was between March and July last year and the market gained more than 500 points.
The Jamaica Stock Exchange main market may be consolidating, but it seems to be making another effort to challenge the record high of 433,307.22 reached by the All Jamaica Composite Index in November last year. With the market closing on Friday at 426,180.60 points, it will require some meaningful price gains to close the more than 7,000 points gap.

Carib Cement traded at $58 on Friday.

For the current week, which stock could contribute to closing of the gap? Buying interest remains good for Carib Cement that moved up by $2 by the close of the week to $58. There is some selling at the last traded price but demand should take this out soon. Radio Jamaica is in demand again with a big increase in the December quarter’s profit that spell positives for the 2020 fiscal year’s results.
Wisynco came in for some selling pressure last week by the close on Friday, the stock ended at $11.95. Going forward the stock is a strong buy with increasing business and improving efficiency in operations and with credible reports that they are in talks with other local producers to distribute some popular local brands. Supreme Ventures continues to make new highs and is worth watching. The price is high more up even higher during the week but supply seems inadequate to meet demand, but an investment in the stock now may only warrant those looking for long-term returns.

NCB Financial traded at $145.05 on the JSE on Friday.

More buying came in for NCB Financial with it closing the week marginally higher at $145.05. The stock may still take some time to break higher but with second quarter results due by end of April increase demand could well develop ahead of the results.
Junior Market stocks to watch this week include, the overhang of Cargo Handlers stock was taken out last week at $11.06 and seem set to pave the way for a bounce in the price, but the stock is a bit overvalued relative to the overall market. Caribbean Cream that closed at $5.55 but traded up to $6.60 in the previous week. Full year results are due towards the end of April and that could help the stock. Caribbean Producers came into buying last week, with a move higher going forward, supported by technical indicator. Sellers of General Accident shares continues to be low, but buyers are trying to get stocks no higher than $4.50 currently at a PE of 15 times 2018 earnings and well below likely 2019 earnings. Investors in the stock at the start of 2018 got a dividend that exceeded 5 percent. If the same were to happen in 2019, the stock would end up at $6 by the end of this year. Investors continue to demand Elite Diagnostic stock at $3.20 or lower with sellers mostly wanting close to $3.50. Trading higher may not occur until closer to the release of nine months results due by mid-May. Honey Bun is showing all the signs of moving higher and traded

Honey Bun traded higher last week.

at $4.24 this past week, up from $3.83 at the end of the previous week. The bid for the stock is now at $4.15. Fontana closed the past week with a slight uptick to end at $4.05, buying continues to be good. With strong potential for growth to flow from expansion of stores now on the way, the stock is to be watched for the inevitable breakout. Express Catering has been enjoying decent buying interest. It is bound to be a big winner from the double digit upsurge in Tourist arrivals so far in 2019. Lasco Manufacturing was in the news with expansion of the storage facilities to accommodate increased production, the stock gained last week and could record further gains this coming week, regardless it one worth watch for longer term gains.

JSE majors gunning for new record

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange in another drive to take out the record high of November last year closed March within 7,000 points of the record high.
The JSE All Jamaican Composite Index climbed 2,627.41 points to 426,180.60 and the JSE Index advanced by 2,387.55 points to 388,276.91.
At the close of the main and US markets, 35 securities traded, compared to 34 on Thussday and leading to 21 advancing, 8 declining and 6 closing unchanged.
Trading ended with 5,517,346 units valued at over $192,929,461 compared to 2,434,513 units at $93,372,469, changing hands on Thursday.
Barita Investments led trading with 2 million shares, accounting for 36 percent of the day’s volume in the main market, followed by JMMB Group with 790,749 units or 14 percent of the volume traded and Mayberry Jamaican Equities with 701,614 shares amounting to 13 percent of the overall volume.
Market activity ended with an average of 183,912 units at $6,430,982 for each security traded. In contrast to 81,150 units for an average of $3,112,416 on Thursday. The average volume and value for the month to date, amounts to 438,501 shares at $9,851,307 for each security traded, in contrast to 468,945 shares at $10,386,003 on the prior trading day. Trading for February resulted in an average of 281,016 shares with a value of $11,715,160, for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator|The Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator ended with the reading showing 12 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 closing with lower offers.
In main market activity, Barita Investments jumped $4.02 to $43.92, with an exchange of 2,006,616 shares, Caribbean Cement jumped $1.50 to close of $58, with 25,100 shares changing hands, Jamaica Broilers added $2.49 in trading 5,499 units at $32.50, Jamaica Producers rose by $1 to close at $23, with 39,564 shares changing hands. JMMB Group concluded trading of 790,749 shares after rising $1.01 to end at $33, Kingston Properties rose by $1 to finish at $7, with 200 stock units changing hands, Kingston Wharves gained $1, finishing at $72 with an exchange of 9,928 stock units. Mayberry Investments lost 39 cents trading 59,687 shares to close at $8.50, Mayberry Jamaican Equities traded 701,614 shares after rising 30 cents to end at $10, NCB Financial Group rose 80 cents trading 35,190 shares at $145.05, Sagicor Group gained 48 cents to settle at $38.50, with 57,957 shares changing hands. Scotia Group climbed $1.80 trading 87,138 shares at $52.80, Seprod rose $1.29 to close at $43 in trading 49,920 shares, Sterling Investments lost 47 cents and concluded trading at $3.50, with 41,000 stock units. Supreme Ventures rose 49 cents to finish at $27.49, with an exchange of 173,445 units, Sygnus Credit Investments rose 80 cents with 24,000 units trading, to end at $12.30 and Wisynco Group gained 45 cents and ended trading of 58,584 shares to close at $11.95.
Trading in the US dollar market resulted in 544,623 units for US$125,266 changing hands with Margaritaville trading 3,875 shares and increased 3 cents to close at 25 US cents, Productivity Business traded 2,051 stock units and rose a fraction of a cent to 59 US cents. Sterling Investments finished trading at 4 US cents with 3,292 units, Proven Investments lost 0.99 US cents in trading 100,129 units to close at 22 US cents and Sygnus Credit Investments lost 1 cent with 12,213 units trading, to end at 10 US cents. The JSE USD Equities Index fell 4.07 points to close at 175.79.