Archives for May 2019
Sweet profit baking at Honey Bun
For the second quarter to March, revenues increased 15.5 percent over the correspondent quarter last year to $406 million from $352 million in 2018, with the growth bettering the 14.2 percent or $36 million revenues in the first quarter to December.
“Revenues from export sales have increased by 16 percent over the prior period, sales growth is attributable to our meeting customer demand having invested in increasing our production capacity over the period,” the director informed shareholders in their report accompanying the quarterly results. For the six months period, revenues increased by 15 percent over the correspondent of last year to $775 million, up from $675 million in 2018 while profits before tax increased by 57 percent to $112 million and after tax profit grew 75 percent to $109 million. The financial performance was driven by improvements in productivity, process efficiencies and other cost savings initiatives. Administrative, Marketing and finance cost rose 13 percent in the second quart and 17 percent for the half year compared to the similar periods in 2018. Earnings per share for the six months period rose to 23 cents from 13 cents in 2018 and for the quarter from 7.4 cents to 15 cents. For the full year, IC Insider.com forecast earnings of 45 cents per share with 2020 projected to reach 75 cents.
Total current assets less current liabilities amounted to $178 million, up from $115 million in 2018. The company’s cash as stood at $166 million with investments at $85 million while borrowed funds amount to just $26 million. Shareholders’ equity ended the period at $713 million.
The stock traded last on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange at $5.01 at a PE ratio of 11 times 2019 earnings, well below that of the majority of companies.
Wigton blows out of IC TOP 10
Wigton Windfarm, the third highest ranked IC Insider.com TOP 10 main market stock last week, gained over 60 percent since listing on Wednesday to close at 83 cents and is now out of the TOP 10 main market stocks.
Lasco Manufacturing is the only change to the Junior Market IC Insider.com’s TOP 10, replacing Consolidated Bakery while Grace Kennedy and Jamaica Broilers are in the main market Top list replacing Wigton and Sagicor Group.
The three leading Junior Market stocks for the coming week are, Iron Rock with projected gains of 233 percent, followed by Caribbean Producers with likely gains of 233 percent and Lasco Financial with possible gains of 210 percent. Of the three, Lasco Financial seems likely to break out after they release full year results later this week, but keep a keen eye on Lasco Manufacturing as well.
Radio Jamaica with potential gains of 165 percent leads main market stocks, followed by Sterling Investments with 156 percent likely gain and VM Investments in third spot with the potential to gain 150 percent within twelve months.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE at 14.5 and the Junior Market at just 11.1. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7 and the main market PE 8.7. These levels, point to a big upside for TOP 10 stocks over the next 12 months and Junior Market stocks in particular.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 37 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 40 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Projected earnings, for each company’s current fiscal year, are used in determining, the selected stocks. The PE for and projected earnings for each stock are computed to show potential gains for the year, which are ranked in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.
This report is compiled by persons who may have interest in the securities commented on.
Wigton price dreamers
“Buy now, Ride the $3 wave”. That’s a stunning advice by an online stock market investor to another, regarding the likely performance of the Wigton Windfarm stock after trading, on the first day of listing.
Wigton shares closed trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday at 83 cents, with a PE of 14, placing the value in the upper half of the most valued main market stocks. The premium over net asset value, another measure of valuation, is 291 percent above the net asset value. Few stocks in the main market are selling at such a premium. At $3, the stock would trade at a stunningly high PE ratio of 50 times 2019 and 2020 earnings. The only main market stock close to that valuation is Kingston Wharves (KW) at 35 times 2019 earnings and that is coming down from more than 50 times 2018 earnings in 2018, when investors traded it at $85, now it’s trading around $70 even as profit for 2019 is up in the first quarter of this year.
Unlike KW, that has less than 10 percent of the shareholding amounting to a few million units, that trade, Wigton has billion of shares that will trade. The high liquidity of Wigton shares almost ensures that the stock will not become overvalued and if so, will not remain that way for a prolonged period.
The bulk of investors who would be buying the vast quantity are more professional than not and are versed on the valuation levels of stocks. Accordingly, they are unlikely to be buying a stock that has doubtful expansion credentials at an inflated value. The most popular valuation tool, the PE ratio does not support a price much higher than $1.20, with EPS of 6 cents per share. A price of $1.20 equates to a relatively high PE ratio of 20. Only a few stocks are valued close to this multiple and many of them have prospects for profits to grow. Wigton has no immediate prospects for growth in earnings, pricing it at 20 times EPS would, therefore, be unwise. The market will speak but the heavy selling on Friday is more in line with the thinking that the top is not far off. Investors who buy shares above the accepted market norm will likely get crushed unless they have a long term investment horizon on their minds. PE ratios are there to give a sense of appropriate values. When investors try to break away from where the bulk of investments funds place the value of a stock at, they usually end up regretting the move.
In the investment world staying close to the crowd with pricing is a prudent investment practice that tends to be less costly than trying to predict lofty heights for a stock to reach.
Gains for all TTSE indices – Friday
Investors pushed all the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange indices higher on Friday as rising stocks inched out those declining.
The market closed with 14 securities trading compared to 17 trading on Thursday, leading to 4 advancing, 3 declining and 8 remaining unchanged and ended with one stock closing at a new 52 weeks’ high and one at a low.
At close of the market, the Composite Index added 4.45 points to close at 1,356.54. The All T&T Index gained 8.09 points to 1,799.71, while the Cross Listed Index inched 0.10 points higher to close at 123.26 as trading ended with 369,594 shares valued $3,800,715, changing hands, compared to 280,457 shares valued $2,832,804 shares, on Thursday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 2 stocks with a higher bid than their last selling price and 1 with a lower offer.
Stocks ending with gains| At the close of the market, First Caribbean International Bank increased 15 cents and settled at $8.35, after exchanging 60,000 shares, Massy Holdings rose 20 cents and ended at $54.95, with 64 stock units changing hands, Republic Financial Holdings climbed $3 to end at $123, in exchanging 1,010 stock units and Trinidad & Tobago NGL closed with a gain of 10 cents at $26.50, with 26,422 shares changing hands.
Stocks closing with losses| First Citizens traded 1,903 shares, with a loss of 10 cents to end at $38.50, Guardian Holdings fell 5 cents and settled at $18.45, after exchanging 7,898 shares and JMMB Group closed with a loss of 8 cents at $2.10, with 57,783 stock units changing hands.
Stocks closing firm| Angostura Holdings ended at $15.80, with 158 stock units changing hands, Calypso Macro Index Fund ended at $15.30, with 3,280 stock units changing hands, Clico Investments completed trading at $23.20, with 1,545 units. NCB Financial Group ended at $8.36, with 21,970 stock units changing hands, Sagicor Financial completed trading of 185,019 units, at $9.22, Scotiabank settled at $62.90, after exchanging 605 shares, Unilever Caribbean completed trading at $26.30, with 945 units and West Indian Tobacco settled at $112, after exchanging 992 shares.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.
10th record closing high for JSE
Wigton Windfarm traded 472.8 million shares to close at a record 83 cents and NCB Financial Group closed at $153 to help push the JSE main market to a tenth record close for the year.
At the close, the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index jumped 4,339.37 points to a record close of 458,665.39 and the JSE Index climbed 3,943.35 points to a new record of 417,795.08.
Wigton Windfarm shares were trading for the second day on the exchange after a successful Initial Public Offer and has gained just over 60 percent so far. The market closed with Wigton having 129 million shares on the bid to buy and 39.8 million units on offer of shares. The stock closed with 10.9 million units on the bid at 83 cents and 2.09 million units are on offer at 84 cents.
Meanwhile the Junior Market index traded with a gain of 10.21 points to close at 3,138.66.
More TTSE stocks slip than rose – Thursday
strong>Investors pushed the prices of more stocks on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Thursday, than those rising.
The market closed with 17 securities trading similar to the numbers trading on Wednesday, leading to 4 advancing, 6 declining and 7 remaining unchanged and ended with one stock closing at a new 52 weeks’ high and one at a low.
At close of the market, the Composite Index declined by 4.78 points to 1,352.09. The All T&T Index rose 0.65 points to 1,791.62, while the Cross Listed Index lost 1.41 points to close at 123.16 as trading ended with 280,457 shares valued $2,832,804, changing hands, compared to 321,326 shares valued at $6,534,620 shares, on Wednesday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 1 stock with a higher bid than their last selling price and 1 with a lower offer.
Stocks ending with gains| At the close of the market, Clico Investments gained 8 cents and concluded trading of 1,689 units at $23.20, Scotiabank added 15 cents and settled at $62.90, after exchanging 179 shares. Trinidad & Tobago NGL increased 40 cents while exchanging 25,232 shares at $26.40 and Trinidad Cement rose 5 cents and ended at $2.55, with 5,025 stock units changing hands.
Stocks closing with losses| First Caribbean International Bank lost 11 cents to close at $8.20, after exchanging 10,000 shares, JMMB Group closed 2 cents lower at $2.18, with 3,703 stock units changing hands, Massy Holdings concluded trading of 1,889 stock units with a loss of 20 cents to end at $54.75. NCB Financial Group traded 13,925 stock units with a loss of 9 cents to end at $8.36, Prestige Holdings fell 25 cents to close at $9.50, after exchanging 5,000 shares and Sagicor Financial closed with a loss of 3 cents at $9.22, with 140,257 units crossing the exchange.
Stocks closing firm| First Citizens ended at $38.60, after exchanging 1,093 shares, Grace Kennedy completed trading at $3.35, with 50,000 units, Guardian Holdings settled at $18.50, after exchanging 2,410 shares. National Enterprises settled at $6.70, after trading 3,800 shares, One Caribbean Media completed trading of 14,826 units, at $10.30, Point Lisas settled at $3.65, in exchanging 429 shares and Unilever Caribbean completed trading of 1,000 units at $26.30.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.