Archives for May 2019

Sweet profit baking at Honey Bun

Honey Bun doubles Q2 profit.

Profits before tax increased by solid 82 percent to $72 million for the Junior Market listed Honey Bun for the company’s second quarter to March. Profit after tax surged a much stronger 104 percent over the similar 2018 period to $71 million.
For the second quarter to March, revenues increased 15.5 percent over the correspondent quarter last year to $406 million from $352 million in 2018, with the growth bettering the 14.2 percent or $36 million revenues in the first quarter to December.
Revenues from export sales have increased by 16 percent over the prior period, sales growth is attributable to our meeting customer demand having invested in increasing our production capacity over the period,” the director informed shareholders in their report accompanying the quarterly results. For the six months period, revenues increased by 15 percent over the correspondent of last year to $775 million, up from $675 million in 2018 while profits before tax increased by 57 percent to $112 million and after tax profit grew 75 percent to $109 million. The financial performance was driven by improvements in productivity, process efficiencies and other cost savings initiatives. Administrative, Marketing and finance cost rose 13 percent in the second quart and 17 percent for the half year compared to the similar periods in 2018.

One Honey Bun’s Products.

Earnings per share for the six months period rose to 23 cents from 13 cents in 2018 and for the quarter from 7.4 cents to 15 cents. For the full year, IC Insider.com forecast earnings of 45 cents per share with 2020 projected to reach 75 cents.
Total current assets less current liabilities amounted to $178 million, up from $115 million in 2018. The company’s cash as stood at $166 million with investments at $85 million while borrowed funds amount to just $26 million. Shareholders’ equity ended the period at $713 million.
The stock traded last on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange at $5.01 at a PE ratio of 11 times 2019 earnings, well below that of the majority of companies.

Wigton blows out of IC TOP 10

Investors blew Wigton shares out of IC TOP 10 last week.

Wigton Windfarm, the third highest ranked IC Insider.com TOP 10 main market stock last week, gained over 60 percent since listing on Wednesday to close at 83 cents and is now out of the TOP 10 main market stocks.
Lasco Manufacturing is the only change to the Junior Market IC Insider.com’s TOP 10, replacing Consolidated Bakery while Grace Kennedy and Jamaica Broilers are in the main market Top list replacing Wigton and Sagicor Group.
The three leading Junior Market stocks for the coming week are, Iron Rock with projected gains of 233 percent, followed by Caribbean Producers with likely gains of 233 percent and Lasco Financial with possible gains of 210 percent.  Of the three, Lasco Financial seems likely to break out after they release full year results later this week, but keep a keen eye on Lasco Manufacturing as well.
Radio Jamaica with potential gains of 165 percent leads main market stocks, followed by Sterling Investments with 156 percent likely gain and VM Investments in third spot with the potential to gain 150 percent within twelve months.
The main market, closed the week with the overall PE at 14.5 and the Junior Market at just 11.1. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages 7 and the main market PE 8.7. These levels, point to a big upside for TOP 10 stocks over the next 12 months and Junior Market stocks in particular.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 37 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks and main market stocks trade at a discount of 40 percent to the overall market.
TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns within a 12 months period. Projected earnings, for each company’s current fiscal year, are used in determining, the selected stocks. The PE for and projected earnings for each stock are computed to show potential gains for the year, which are ranked in descending order. Potential values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis as new information is received that can result in changes in and out of the list.

This report is compiled by persons who may have interest in the securities commented on.

Wigton price dreamers

Wigton stock price could top out soon.

“Buy now, Ride the $3 wave”. That’s a stunning advice by an online stock market investor to another, regarding the likely performance of the Wigton Windfarm stock after trading, on the first day of listing.
Wigton shares closed trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday at 83 cents, with a PE of 14, placing the value in the upper half of the most valued main market stocks. The premium over net asset value, another measure of valuation, is 291 percent above the net asset value. Few stocks in the main market are selling at such a premium.  At $3, the stock would trade at a stunningly high PE ratio of 50 times 2019 and 2020 earnings. The only main market stock close to that valuation is Kingston Wharves (KW) at 35 times 2019 earnings and that is coming down from more than 50 times 2018 earnings in 2018, when investors traded it at $85, now it’s trading around $70 even as profit for 2019 is up in the first quarter of this year.
Unlike KW, that has less than 10 percent of the shareholding amounting to a few million units, that trade, Wigton has billion of shares that will trade. The high liquidity of Wigton shares almost ensures that the stock will not become overvalued and if so, will not remain that way for a prolonged period.
The bulk of investors who would be buying the vast quantity are more professional than not and are versed on the valuation levels of stocks. Accordingly, they are unlikely to be buying a stock that has doubtful expansion credentials at an inflated value. The most popular valuation tool, the PE ratio does not support a price much higher than $1.20, with EPS of 6 cents per share. A price of $1.20 equates to a relatively high PE ratio of 20. Only a few stocks are valued close to this multiple and many of them have prospects for profits to grow. Wigton has no immediate prospects for growth in earnings, pricing it at 20 times EPS would, therefore, be unwise. The market will speak but the heavy selling on Friday is more in line with the thinking that the top is not far off. Investors who buy shares above the accepted market norm will likely get crushed unless they have a long term investment horizon on their minds. PE ratios are there to give a sense of appropriate values. When investors try to break away from where the bulk of investments funds place the value of a stock at, they usually end up regretting the move.
In the investment world staying close to the crowd with pricing is a prudent investment practice that tends to be less costly than trying to predict lofty heights for a stock to reach.

 

JSE wants to double share ownership

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The JCSD now has 154,500 shareholders on its registry with the near 12,000 new ones this month.

There are nearly 155 thousand investors listed as shareholders in the Jamaica Central Security Deposit but the Jamaican Stock Exchange (JSE) is planning to double that number in five years.
The number of local share ownership got a big boost from the 11,772 new investors who applied for shares in Jamaica’s recent IPO, Wigton Windfarms recently.
The addition of new investors pulled in by the new stock offer, brings the total to 5.5 percent of the country’s population. According to Marlene Street Forrest, Managing Director of the JSE, “the number based on the adult population is 12 percent. The aim is to get to 20 to 25 percent of the adult population in five years.” The numbers may not sound great deal but Jamaica ranks pretty high globally.
Data gleaned by IC Insider.com shows that just 12.3 percent of UK overall population own shares in public listed companies, stock ownership in India is not more than 2.5-3 percent of the total population. In 2011, Austria had 7 percent rate and Germany was around that of Jamaica at 5.6 percent while France was at 14.5 percent. The data is clearly saying that the world have not done a good job of educating the population about stock ownership.

NCB pulled in more shareholders in 1987 than any other listing on the JSE

The JSE will be using a variety of means to get the numbers up in Jamaica. Government’s divestments have the most telling impact in increasing the numbers of new investors. The major reason is the need for aggressive marketing of IPOs, of government entities, to get full take up of the shares.
According to an article written by Emma Simon of the British Telegraph newspaper, in April 2013,
“One of the lasting legacies of Margaret Thatcher’s administration was to enable and encourage millions of ordinary people to invest in the stock market. In 1979 just 3 million people owned shares, 7pc of the adult population. By the end of the Eighties one in four people – 12 million adults – owned shares. The boom was fuelled by a wave of privatisations in which many state-owned industries were sold to private investors.” The situation was similar in Jamaica, where the number of shareholders, estimated at around 10,000, but National Commercial Bank, Now known as NCB Financial Group, the first government divestment attracted more than 32,000 investors, more than tripling the number of shareholders.

Wigton adds to JSE main market record

NCB Financial Group added mcu to JSE rexcord close on Friday.

Wigton Windfarm closed trading on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Friday at 83 cents after trading 473 million shares and NCB Group closed at $153 to help push the main market indices to tenth record close for 2019.
At the end of trading, the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index jumped 4,339.37 points to a record close of 458,665.39 and the JSE Index climbed 3,943.35 points to a new record of 417,795.08.
The market ended with, trading 480,565,591 units valued $877,072,543, well up from 13,075,782 units valued $311,199,908 changing hands, on Wednesday.
Wigton Windfarm led trading with 472.8 million shares accounting for 98 percent of total main market volume, followed by PanJam Investment with 4.2 million units and 0.9 percent of the day’s trades and Wisynco Group with 570,953 units for just 0.12 percent of volume traded.
Trading ended with an average of 16,018,853 units valued at $29,235,751, in contrast to 421,799 units valued at $10,038,707 on Wednesday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts 1,135,538 to units valued $12,389,326 and previously, 275,231 units valued $11,357,912. Trading for April resulted in an average of 157,923 shares at $3,718,919, for each security traded.
At the close market activity, the main and US markets traded 31 securities, compared to 35 on Friday leading to 12 advancing, 11 declining and 8 closing unchanged.
IC bid-offer Indicator|The Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator ended with a weak signal for the coming day with 6 stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 closing with lower offers.
In main market activity, Barita Investments gained $1.50 in closing at $45.50, trading 277,818 shares, Berger Paints lost 49 cents and ended at $18, with an exchange of 750 stock units,. Jamaica Broilers declined $1.90 to $31.10 with 3,033 shares trading, Jamaica Producers rose $1.50 to close at $25, in trading 4,000 shares, Jamaica Stock Exchange added 76 cents to end at $19.76, with 72,635, Kingston Wharves traded 2,328 shares but lost $2 to close at $68,  shares changing hands. Mayberry Investments gained 45 cents and ended trading of 5,467 shares at $9, Mayberry Jamaican Equities rose 50 cents and ended trading of 94,800 shares at $11.50,  NCB Financial Group  jumped $5.75 trading 214,535 shares at $153. PanJam Investment  dropped $4 with 4,199,150 shares changing hands, to close at $90, Salada Foods rose $2 to end at $32 in trading 2,000 stock units, Scotia Group climbed 50 cents to $50.50, with 39,401 shares trading and Seprod  shed 70 cents trading 315,880 shares to close at $44.30.
Trading in the US dollar market ended with 4,110 units valued at US$1,110 as Proven Investments was the sole stock trading to close at 27 US cents with an exchange of 4,100 shares.  The JSE USD Equities Index remained unchanged to close at 194.26.

Junior Market up on low volume- Friday

Investors pushed the Junior Market index up 10.21 points to close at 3,138.66 on Friday with the same number of advancing and declining stocks but with very low volume passing through the exchnage.
At the close of market activities, 25 securities changed hands, compared to 29 on Wednesday, resulting in prices of 8 securities rising, 8 declining and 9 remaining unchanged.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 5 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 5 with lower offers.
Market activity led to an exchange of just 274,584 units valued $1,040,256 compared to 1,339,414 units valued at $6,540,409 on Wednesday. The average trade for the day amounts to 10,983 units for an average of $41,610 in contrast to 46,187 units for an average of $225,531 on Wednesday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 72,405 units for an average of $278,724 and previously, 75,993 units for an average of $292,574. In contrast, April closed with an average of 87,963 units valued $317,267 for each security traded.
At the close of the market, Access Financial closed at $45, in trading 311 shares, AMG Packaging gained 10 cents to end at $2.10, with an exchange of 4,656 stock units, Blue Power exchanged 1,000 units at $4.40, CAC 2000 traded 15,100 shares to finish at $12, Caribbean Flavours lost 90 cents, trading 2,106 stock units, to close at $16.10. Caribbean Producers finished trading 3,310 units at $4.80, Consolidated Bakeries gained 20 cents to close at $2, with 234 shares changing hands, Derrimon Trading ended 10 cents higher at $3 exchanging 592 shares, Elite Diagnostic traded 1,280 shares to end at $3.50, Everything Fresh lost 2 cents to settle at $1.58, trading 1,000 units. Express Catering jumped 98 cents in trading 190 shares to close at $7.98, Fontana lost 13 cents to close at $4.37, trading 60,458 stock units, FosRich Group closed at $4.75, with an exchange of 6,173 shares,. GWest Corporation concluded trading of 7,000 shares, at $1.31, Honey Bun finished at $5.01 after adding just 1 cent, with 2,048 shares crossing the exchange, iCreate lost 10 cents to close at 80 cents, with 102,553 shares traded, Indies Pharma ended trading 5,000 stock units with a gain of 2 cents to close at $3.08. Jamaican Teas  closed 1 cent down at $4.69, after trading 200 shares, Jetcon Corporation ended at $1.95, with 12,200  shares changing hands, Key Insurance concluded trading of a mere 100 stock units with a loss of 55 cents at $3.35,  Lasco Distributors  added 5 cents and ended trading of 3,195 shares at $3.80.  Lasco Financial  rose 1 cent in trading 11,354 shares at $4.69,  Lasco Manufacturing  closed trading of 8,943 stock units at $3.43, Main Event  lost 30 cents to close at $5.10, with an exchange of just 369 units and Stationery and Office  settled 11 cents lower at $9.01, with an exchange of 24,912 stock units.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place. With

Gains for all TTSE indices – Friday

Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange Head Quarters

Investors pushed all the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange indices higher on Friday as rising stocks inched out those declining.
The market closed with 14 securities trading compared to 17 trading on Thursday, leading to 4 advancing, 3 declining and 8 remaining unchanged and ended with one stock closing at a new 52 weeks’ high and one at a low.
At close of the market, the Composite Index added 4.45 points to close at 1,356.54. The All T&T Index gained 8.09 points to 1,799.71, while the Cross Listed Index inched 0.10 points higher to close at 123.26 as trading ended with 369,594 shares valued $3,800,715, changing hands, compared to 280,457 shares valued $2,832,804 shares, on Thursday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 2 stocks with a higher bid than their last selling price and 1 with a lower offer.
Stocks ending with gains| At the close of the market, First Caribbean International Bank increased 15 cents and settled at $8.35, after exchanging 60,000 shares, Massy Holdings rose 20 cents and ended at $54.95, with 64 stock units changing hands, Republic Financial Holdings climbed $3 to end at $123, in exchanging 1,010 stock units and Trinidad & Tobago NGL closed with a gain of 10 cents at $26.50, with 26,422 shares changing hands.
Stocks closing with losses| First Citizens traded 1,903 shares, with a loss of 10 cents to end at $38.50, Guardian Holdings fell 5 cents and settled at $18.45, after exchanging 7,898 shares and JMMB Group closed with a loss of 8 cents at $2.10, with 57,783 stock units changing hands.
Stocks closing firm| Angostura Holdings ended at $15.80, with 158 stock units changing hands, Calypso Macro Index Fund ended at $15.30, with 3,280 stock units changing hands, Clico Investments completed trading at $23.20, with 1,545 units. NCB Financial Group ended at $8.36, with 21,970 stock units changing hands, Sagicor Financial completed trading of 185,019 units, at $9.22, Scotiabank settled at $62.90, after exchanging 605 shares, Unilever Caribbean completed trading at $26.30, with 945 units and West Indian Tobacco settled at $112, after exchanging 992 shares.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

10th record closing high for JSE

Wigton Windfarm traded 472.8 million shares to close at a record 83 cents and NCB Financial Group closed at $153 to help push the JSE main market to a tenth record close for the year.
At the close, the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index jumped 4,339.37 points to a record close of 458,665.39 and the JSE Index climbed 3,943.35 points to a new record of 417,795.08.
Wigton Windfarm shares were trading for the second day on the exchange after a successful Initial Public Offer and has gained just over 60 percent so far. The market closed with Wigton having 129 million shares on the bid to buy and 39.8 million units on offer of shares. The stock closed with 10.9 million units on the bid at 83 cents and 2.09 million units are on offer at 84 cents.
Meanwhile the Junior Market index traded with a gain of 10.21 points to close at 3,138.66.

More TTSE stocks slip than rose – Thursday

Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange Head Quarters

strong>Investors pushed the prices of more stocks on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Thursday, than those rising.
The market closed with 17 securities trading similar to the numbers trading on Wednesday, leading to 4 advancing, 6 declining and 7 remaining unchanged and ended with one stock closing at a new 52 weeks’ high and one at a low.
At close of the market, the Composite Index declined by 4.78 points to 1,352.09. The All T&T Index rose 0.65 points to 1,791.62, while the Cross Listed Index lost 1.41 points to close at 123.16 as trading ended with 280,457 shares valued $2,832,804, changing hands, compared to 321,326 shares valued at $6,534,620 shares, on Wednesday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 1 stock with a higher bid than their last selling price and 1 with a lower offer.
Stocks ending with gains| At the close of the market, Clico Investments gained 8 cents and concluded trading of 1,689 units at $23.20, Scotiabank added 15 cents and settled at $62.90, after exchanging 179 shares. Trinidad & Tobago NGL increased 40 cents while exchanging 25,232 shares  at $26.40 and Trinidad Cement rose 5 cents and ended at $2.55, with 5,025 stock units changing hands.
Stocks closing with losses| First Caribbean International Bank lost 11 cents to close at $8.20, after exchanging 10,000 shares, JMMB Group closed 2 cents lower at $2.18, with 3,703 stock units changing hands, Massy Holdings concluded trading of 1,889 stock units with a loss of 20 cents to end at $54.75. NCB Financial Group traded 13,925 stock units with a loss of 9 cents to end at $8.36, Prestige Holdings fell 25 cents to close at $9.50, after exchanging 5,000 shares and Sagicor Financial closed with a loss of 3 cents at $9.22, with 140,257 units crossing the exchange.
Stocks closing firm| First Citizens ended at $38.60, after exchanging 1,093 shares, Grace Kennedy completed trading at $3.35, with 50,000 units, Guardian Holdings settled at $18.50, after exchanging 2,410 shares. National Enterprises settled at $6.70, after trading 3,800 shares, One Caribbean Media completed trading of 14,826 units, at $10.30, Point Lisas settled at $3.65, in exchanging 429 shares and Unilever Caribbean completed trading of 1,000 units at $26.30.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Wigton pulls 11,772 new investors

Popular new stock issues have a way of electrifying stock markets and empower new stock market investors to increase their wealth.
It happen when National Commercial Bank went public in 1987 and again with the Wigton IPO.
“While the overall number of applications was 31,200, we are pleased to report that 11,772 or 38 percent are new investors to the market. This represents an increase in the number of account holders in the JCSD of 7.6 percent,” Marlene Street Forrest managing Director of the Jamaica Stock Exchange stated in addressing the observers at the listing ceremony of Wigton Windfarm listing on Wednesday.
Street Forrest went on to say, over 64 percent of those who invested were under 50 years of age with approximately 50 percent under 40 years old.” According to Street Forrest, females comprised 56 percent of the applicants for shares compared to 44 percent males. “The average spend for new investors was approximately $124,000 with the offer oversubscribed by 158.8 percent.”

Wigton stock could double soon.

Wigton is the largest IPO the list on the JSE since the listing of NCB, Telecommunication of Jamaica in the latter part of 1980s. In recent times, it is ahead of Wisynco Group with 7,769 applicants. “We have made tremendous strides as Wigton with total applications of 31,200 and four times the size of that offer has taken 21 days from the close of the offer to listing today” Street Fporrest stated that,
Andrew Holness, Prime Minister of Jamaica, stated that he wanted not only for Jamaicans to own assets but to share in the profitability of the company and this was achieved with the Wigton issue. He noted also that shares the company own in Jamaica Public Service and Jamaica Mortgage Bank will be divested in the short to medium term.
The stock closed with the price rising by a maximum of 30 percent at 65 cents trading 8,351,000 but ended with the bid at 66 cents which will allow it to trade as high as 85 cents on Friday.