Trading activity ended on Tuesday, with the volume of stocks exchanged, declining by 35 percent and the value 31 percent higher than on Monday at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market as rising stocks more than doubled those declining, but that did not prevent to indices to sink for the day after starting the day with the promise of increases.
The All Jamaican Composite Index fell 1,468.55 points to settle at 427,023.70 the Main Index lost 1,096.38 points to settle at 386,374.57 and the JSE Financial Index fell 0.08 points to settle at 94.90.
Trading ended with 52 securities up from 50 on Monday, with 26 rising, 11 declining and 15 ending unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a formula for computing appropriate stock values, averages 16. The PE ratio for the JSE Main and USD Market closing quotes are based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with financial years ending between the current year and August 2022.
Overall, 7,936,245 shares traded for $204,991,450 down from 12,295,650 units at $156,066,728 on Monday. Barita Investments led trading with 1.24 million shares for 15.7 percent of total volume, followed by JMMB Group 7.5% with 1.21 million units for 15.3 percent of the day’s trade and JMMB Group 978,000 units for 12.3 percent market share.
Trading averages 152,620 units at $3,942,143, compared to 245,913 shares at $3,121,335 on Monday and month to date, an average of 475,915 units at $5,028,061, compared to 500,244 nits at $5,109,780 on Monday. November closed with an average of 233,949 units at $2,695,416.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows eleven stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and six with lower offers.
At the close, Caribbean Cement dropped $2.61 to $70.50, with 56,843 stocks changing hands, Eppley popped $1.30 to $35.50 in switching ownership of 151 units. Eppley Caribbean Property Fund jumped $3.97 to $41.50, with 40 stock units crossing the market, Jamaica Broilers rallied $1.09 to $29.99 with an exchange of 3,243 units, Jamaica Stock Exchange gained 59 cents in closing at $17.30 with the swapping of 7,086 stocks. 138 Student Living fell 56 cents to $3.78 while exchanging 5,350 shares, Proven Investments rose 50 cents to $33.50 after 1,982 stock units changed hands, Pulse Investments declined 20 cents to $3.80 trading 330,178 shares, Sagicor Group spurted 96 cents to end at $51.97 in exchanging 5,065 stocks. Scotia Group shed $1.40 to $36.50 in trading 49,697 stock units, Seprod advanced $2 to close at $64, with 18,075 units crossing the market, Stanley Motta popped 73 cents to $5.58 in an exchange of 25,766 shares. Supreme Ventures dropped 30 cents in closing at $18.70 after exchanging 12,957 stocks, Sygnus Credit Investments advanced 29 cents to $14.99 after trading 8,659 units and Wisynco Group rose 20 cents to $16.95 after 469,285 stock units changed owners.
In the preference segment, 138 Student Living Preference shares rallied 60 cents to $6.60 trading 1,000 shares and JMMB Group 7.25% due 2024, gained 19 cents to end at $1.69, with 99,326 shares clearing the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
ICTOP10 winner up 369% to date
Caribbean Producers (CPJ) stock jumped 17 percent to close the week at a record high of $12.15 and now sits at fourth position in the Main Market TOP 10 with a lot more ground to cover before peaking.
CPJ started the year in the Junior Market TOP 15 at $2.89 in the number three spot, with a price target of $13, is now up by 369 percent since the start of the year based on projected earnings of 65 cents, since then ICInsider.com upgraded earnings to $1.65 for the current year with a new price target between March and July next year of $33.
Barring some unusual events, CPJ now the leading stock on the overall Jamaica Stock Exchange will most likely end the year way out front and well above Future Energy, another ICTOP10 winner with gains of 254 percent to date.
Lumber Depot dropped out of the Junior Market top 10 and Jetcon Corporation returned to the TOP10. There were no additions to the Main market TOP10 for the week.
Other notable TOP10 movers this week are; Lasco Distributors that rose 9 percent in closing at $3.28 and Honey Bun up 5 percent to $9.50, but Caribbean Assurance Brokers slipped 8 percent to $2.40 from $2.60 at the close of the previous week. In the Main Market, other than Caribbean Producers, Sygnus and Pan Jam Investment fell 4 percent.
For the week ahead investors should watch for a possible move higher, CPJ that could hit $15 with dwindling supply now on offer below $14.50 when the market closed on Friday. RJR is another worth watching with a limited supply under $3.50 during Friday there is relatively only moderate selling overall, but buying remains tepid.
The top three Main Market stocks, this week with CPJ dropping to number four are Guardian Holdings still in the lead followed by Radio Jamaica that returned in second spot and JMMB Group in the third spot with all projected to gain between 178 and 257 percent from 213 to 253 percent last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from the second spot to the third position. All three can gain between 167 and 240 versus 167 and 238 percent, previously.
This week’s focus: Why Lumber Depot is a stock to watch for the future? After posting outlandish first quarter results that were boosted by inventory profit, the company reported what appear to be normal profit in the second quarter of 5 cents per share and raised the half years earnings to 15 cents. While first quarter revenues grew 16 percent, the second quarter was flat, suggesting that full year results should end up around 25 cents or a little above that. On this basis, the stock may be considered a bit undervalued. With Paul Scott’s Stony Hill Capital Limited taking a controlling interest in it, what could be in it for them. There is good scope for expansion and growth, first within Kingston, Portmore, Spanish Town and nationally. Other factors include the fact that the Musson Group has large holdings of real estate owned directly by the group or indirectly in the investment companies that can purchase materials for repairs or expansion through them.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks slipped from 150 percent last week to 149 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 159 percent to this weeks’ 155 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 40 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 19 percent based on an average PE of 17. Seven stocks representing 17 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, similar to last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the months ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.2, some 17 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 23 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Honey Bun in General Accident exits ICTOP10
General Accident rose 7 percent to close at $6.40 and slipped out of the TOP 10 while Honey Bun jumped into the Junior Market top 10, while Main Market stocks were pretty steady with movements not exceeding 2 percent for the week in a week when Main Market indices closed the week higher than it started with the Junior Market slipping from the start of the week.
Notable TOP10 movers this week are; AMG Packaging rose 9 percent in closing at $2.07 from $1.90 at the previous week’s close and Lumber Depot rose 18 percent to $3.25. Medical Disposables lost 5 percent of its value to close the week at $6 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers dived 13 percent to $2.60.
The top three Main Market stocks remained unchanged at the close of the week, with Guardian Holdings still in the lead, followed by Caribbean Producers and JMMB Group, projected to gain between 213 to 253 percent, as was the case last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers, with Access Financial Services moving from second spot to third position. All three can gain between 167 and 238 versus 162 percent and 268 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 142 percent last week to 150 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 157 percent to this weeks’ 159 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE of 14.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.1, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 42 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 21 percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.8, which is 20 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 27 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 51 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 17 stocks or 36 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.