
Caribbean Producers
Caribbean Producers (CPJ) returns to the TOP10 after a long period of absence, following the fall out of Berger Paints from the Main market Top10, even as CPJ earnings are based on June 2023 full year earnings with the company is yet to release these results.
Preliminary projection indicates earnings of $2.50 per share for the 2024 fiscal year that would put the stock into the third position on the TOP10 list. Until the full year results are in, the estimate for the 2023 year is used.
The Main and Junior markets closed the week with moderate changes in market indices, with a slight fall in the Junior Market and a modest increase in the other.
The Main and Junior markets closed the week with moderate changes in market indices, with a slight fall in the Junior Market and a modest increase in the other.
The Junior Market had one stock rising 10 percent and two falling 12 and 10 percent, with more modest changes in most of the rest. The Main Market had one stock climbing 10 percent and one falling 6 percent as the largest movers.
Caribbean Cream the leading mover in the Junior Market ICTOP10, climbed 10 percent to $4.15, followed by Edufocal rising 4 percent to $1.45. Iron Rock Insurance was the worst performer, falling 12 percent to $2.10 and was followed by general Accident, down 10 percent to $4.43, while Caribbean Assurance Brokers slipped just 4 percent to $2.87.
Berger Paints rose 10 percent to $7.76 in the Main Market, followed by Guardian Holdings with a 4 percent rise to $439.80, JMMB Group also gained 4 percent to close the week at $28.79, but 138 Student Living fell 6 percent to $4.35 and Caribbean Cement fell 4 percent to $50.
Investors should note that Margaritaville is listed on both the Main and USD markets, with similar values.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 5.2, well below the market average of 12.6. The Main Market TOP10 is projected to have an average of 322 percent, to May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings.
The 2most highly valued Main Market stocks, representing 26 percent of the Main Market, are priced at a PE of 15 to 100, with an average of 31 and 20 excluding the highest PE ratios, with a PE of 23for the top half and 17excluding the stocks with the highest PEs.
The Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.4 compared with the market at 10.7. There are 10 stocks representing 21 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 38, averaging 20, well above the market’s average. The top half of the market has an average PE of 15, possibly the lowest fair value for Junior Market stocks currently, and is projected to rise by 271 percent to May 2024.
The divergence between the average PE ratio of the Main and Junior Markets and the overall market valuation are important indicators of the likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks.
The markets are not bullish, but there continue to be cases of slow upward movements in some prices as investors respond to some recent attractive results, leading them to quietly nibble away at a number of stocks, gradually reducing the supply of a number of them that are attractively priced. The list includes, Access Financial, AMG Packaging, Everything Fresh, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Cream, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Lasco Distributors and Lasco Manufacturing, Main Event and Transjamaican Highway.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2024 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Investors may want to note the latest report on the court judgement on the Mystic Mountain sale as there were indications that Dolphin Cove was an interested buyer and they may well be amongst the preferred bidders. If they succeed, expect the stock that currently has limited offers posted on the JSE platform to jump.
Dolphin Cove reported a 5 percent increase in revenues to US$4.4 million in the June 2023 quarter over the June 2022 quarter and a 37 percent jump for the half year to US$9.2 million from US$6.76 million, with profit of US$1.153 million for the second quarter, up 10.5 percent over the $1.04 million in the June 2022 quarter and US$2.72 million for the half year, up 48 percent to US$1.84 million in the half year to June 2022.
The markets are not bullish, but there continue to be cases of slow upward movements in some prices as investors respond to some recent attractive results leading them to quietly nibble away at many stocks, gradually reducing the supply of a number of them that are attractively priced. The list includes stocks such as Access Financial, AMG Packaging, Everything Fresh, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Cream, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Lasco Distributors and Lasco Manufacturing, Main Event and Transjamaican Highway.
Everything Fresh reported a 14.4 percent increase in revenues to $827 million for the June quarter and a 32 percent jump for the half year to $1.67 billion and a profit of $43 million for the second quarter compared with $30 million in 2022 for the June quarter, and $78 million r the half year versus $38 million in 2022.
The divergence between the average PE ratio of the Main and Junior Markets and the overall market valuation are important indicators of the level of likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks.
In the Main Market,
The 14 most highly valued Main Market stocks representing 30 percent of the Main Market are priced at a PE of 15 to 95, with an average of 30 and 21 excluding the highest PE ratios, with a PE of 23 for the top half and 18 excluding the stocks with the highest PEs.
Investments fell 12 percent to $11.17 and Caribbean Cement slipped 9 percent to $50.03.
Investors continue to nibble away at a number of stocks and gradually reducing the supply of several of them that are attractively priced as the market moves through the summer months, the start of the stock market year when new results will be coming to the market for investors to assess and determine what to do.
In the Junior Market, iCreate dropped 12 percent to $1.14, followed by a 10 percent decline in
The divergence between the average PE ratio of the Main and Junior Markets and the overall market valuation are important indicators of the likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks.
The Junior Market has broken through the downward-sloping resistance line of the wedge. The Junior Market reclaimed the 3,800 handle last week and is close to retaking the 3,900 level shortly, with the market set for a big rally in the second half of the year a position supported by technical analysis of the market. The Main Market seems to be weighed down by concerns relating to inflation and interest rates, if so the reading is wrong as inflation is well under control and interest rates will start dropping before the year ends.
Transjamaican moved out of the Main Market TOP10, with a gain of 27 percent since entering the TOP10 and 35 percent since it was added to
The Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.8 compared with the market at 11.1. There are 11 stocks representing 23 percent of the market, with PE from 15 to 42, averaging 21 that are well above the average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 16, possibly the lowest fair value for Junior Market stocks currently. Junior Market is projected to rise by 270 percent to May 2024.
Lasco Distributors climbed 19 percent following an 11 percent rise last week to close at $3.31 and is up 59 percent from the 2023 low of $2.08 in April. Five stocks rose 6 percent: Caribbean Assurance Brokers,
The differences between the average PE ratio of the Main and Junior Markets and the overall market valuation are important indicators of the likely gains for ICTOP10 stocks.
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The price of Main Market listed 
Massey Holdings, Seprod,
Elsewhere the only other news of note was the passing of the Chairman and majority owner of the Lasco companies, the addition of two new directors at ISP Finance and the Bank of Jamaica issue of $35 billion in 28 days CDS with investors offering to buy just $35.24 billion, BOJ took up less than the amount offered with $34.45 billion being sterilized the amount offered and moved the total amount of CDs outstanding to a record $111.45 billion up from $109 billion the week before. The average interest rate climbed back above 8 to 8.24 percent.
Action in the markets this past week resulted in four ICTOP10 Junior Market stocks recording significant losses of 6 to 26 percent, with only 2 with 4 percent gains. Everything Fresh dropped out of the TOP10 and iCreate returns after a brief absence. Main Market stocks were mixed, with one noted loss and two gains of note.
Market is projected to rise by 265 percent to May 2024.