The majority of prices fell on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market on Tuesday. The difference between rising and declining stocks narrowed sharply from Monday’s levels but still lagged behind the losing stocks as the volume passing through the market increased 47 percent, with the value jumping 370 percent.
At the close, the All Jamaican Composite Index lost 1,959.50 points to settle at 403,412.62, the Main Index shed 1,852.03 points to close at 368,158.32 and the JSE Financial Index dipped 0.13 points to end at 95.96.
Trading ended with 44 securities changing hands compared to 47 on Monday and ended with the prices of 18 stocks rising, the prices of 20 shares declining and six remaining unchanged. The average PE Ratio of the market ended at 15.3 based on IC Insider.com’s forecast of 2020-21 earnings.
The market closed with an exchange of 33,825,327 shares for $268,427,066 compared to 23,030,074 units at $57,044,608 on Monday.
Wigton Windfarm led trading with 14.87 million shares for 44 percent of total volume followed by Sagicor Select Financial Fund with 8.83 million units for 26 percent of the day’s trade, Jamaica Broilers Group came next with 4.07 million units for 12 percent market share. Tranjamaica Highway traded 1.95 million shares and 5.8 percent of the volume and Grace Kennedy with 1.8 million units and 5.4 percent of trading.
Trading ended with an average of 768,757 units changing hands at $6,100,615 for each security, in comparison to an average of 490,004 shares at $1,214,010 on Monday. The average trade for the month to date, ended at 449,855 units at $2,394,484 for each security, in contrast to 417,892 units at $2,023,026. Trading month to date compares well, with July that ended with an average of 392,128 shares for $2,444,356.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading for the market shows six stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and four with lower offers.
At the close of the market, Barita Investments shed 80 cents to end at $55.20 in an exchange of 2,447 stock units, Berger Paints fell $1.44 to settle at $11 and finishing with 1,959 stock units changing hands, Eppley carved out a gain of 40 cents to end at $17.90 trading 12,000 units. Eppley Caribbean Property Fund climbed 60 cents in closing at $49.10 in exchanging 6,700 units, Grace Kennedy fell 51 cents to $56.49, with 1,822,315 shares passing through the market, Jamaica Broilers Group dropped $1.25 to close at $24.50 in trading>4,067,555 shares. Jamaica Stock Exchange increased 52 cents to $20.52 after 161,468 units changed hands, Key Insurance increased 62 cents in closing at $8.13 with investors switching ownership of 1,448 stock units, Kingston Properties declined by $1.09 to $6.16, with 1,826 shares changing hands. Mayberry Investments advanced by 75 cents in closing at $5.85, with 36,930 units passing through the market, MPC Caribbean Clean Energy lost $10.99 to close at $152.01 after exchanging 123 stock units, NCB Financial Group declined by $7.50 to close at $131 and finishing with 199,286 stock units crossing the exchange. Palace Amusement rose 50 cents to close at $1,552 after clearing the market with 19 units, PanJam Investment climbed $2 to close at $72 with investors swapping 3,804 stocks, Proven Investments rose $2.04 to close at $35.94 and finishing trading of 18,376 shares. Salada Foods carved out a gain of $1 to settle at $29 with investors swapping 50 units, Scotia Group rose $1 to end at $46, with 1,660 stock units changing hands, Seprod carved out a gain of $1 to settle at $55 in trading 16,225 stock units. Stanley Motta fell 33 cents in finishing at $4.80 trading 1,000 stocks and Sygnus Credit Investments lost 39 cents to end at $15.50, with 22,258 shares clearing the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Kremi back in IC TOP 10
In a week when several companies released quarterly results, few had any positive information to move prices forward. Against this development, some stocks pulled back a bit, flowing from weaker than expected results. Last week’s drop out candidate,
Caribbean Cream, closed the week at $4.10, to return to the Junior Market TOP 10, at the expense of Mailpac Group. There were no changes to the main market list.
The Mailpac Group operations enjoyed a 33 percent rise in revenues for the six months to June and a 36 percent increase in profit over the similar period in 2019. Flowing from those results, IC Insider.com revised the earnings per share down to 20 cents, thus reducing the potential gain based on 2020 earnings, moving it out of the top listing.
The top three stocks in each market saw little change in ranking, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 281 to 676 percent by March 2021. Caribbean Producers heads the list, followed by Lasco Financial and Elite Diagnostic, the focus on all three is on the 2021 fiscal year results, that are projected to show recovery from the 2020 financial year final numbers.
The top three Main Market stocks with expected gains of 189 to 223 percent are Berger Paints followed by Radio Jamaica and JMMB Group.
This week’s focus: 138 Students Living reported a 44 percent increase in revenues to hit $334 million from $223 million in the June 2019 quarter and a 60 percent rise in the nine months to $1.09 billion. The company moved from a loss of $17 million in the 2019 third quarter to a profit of $132 million in 2020 and from a loss of $60 million in the nine months to June, to a profit of $402 million. Operating cost fell in both periods compared with the 2019 cost. The big problem is that the company continues the extremely poor practice of not showing operating and administrative expenses separately, making it impossible to see what gross margins are. The significant increase in profit is due to claims made on the University going back to 2019, which are booked in the current year that distorts earnings from ongoing operations. While earnings per share for the quarter is an attractive 32 cents and year to date 97 cents. Earnings from ongoing operations suggest that the full year’s results should be in the order of 40 cents after a regular tax charge.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results, from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level, an indication of the potential gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15.2 and the Junior Market at just 10.9, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising, reflecting better profit opportunities in the Main Market and narrowing the gap. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages a mere 5.9 at just 54 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 8.2 or 54 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 278 percent, and 152 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, an indication of potentially more significant gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on possible profit for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
115% gain for IC TOP 10 winner
Caribbean Cream rose 115 percent from the end of June to the closed of the week, with the price ending at $5.30, up from $4, last week and along with General Accident that closed the week at $7.50 and gained 70 percent since the start of May, are out of the TOP 10. That is why it pays to follow IC Insider.
The two stocks sit just outside the TOP 10 with good potential to make further gains in the weeks and months ahead.
Coming back to the IC Junior Market TOP 10 are Lasco Distributors and Mailpac Group. Lasco Distributors profit is revised to 40 cents per share, for the current fiscal year, from 38 cents previously. The stock trades at a PE of 8 times earnings compared, with the average Junior Market PE over 11 and provides investors with the potential for substantial gains.
There was no change in the Main Market TOP 10 list for the week that saw the Main Market slipping modestly for the past week, while the Junior Market continued to inch higher, with a few points for the week, on top of gains in the previous two weeks.
The top three stocks in each market saw little change in the rankings, leaving the top three Junior Market stocks, with the potential to gain between 239 to 685 percent by March 2021. Caribbean Producers heads the list, followed by Lasco Financial and Stationery and Office Supplies.
The top three Main Market stocks, with expected gains of 191 to 223 percent, are Berger Paints followed by Radio Jamaica and JMMB Group.
This week’s focus: Former IC TOP 10 candidate, Barita Investments reported strong results for the third quarter and nine months to June with profit after tax hitting $991 million in the latest quarter, up modestly from $911 million in 2019 and for the nine months profit of $2 billion, up from $1.4 billion in 2019. Earnings per share ended the third quarter at $1.21 and $2.45 for the year to date. The broker house seems set to come close to IC Insider.com projection for the full year of $3.75. The company declared a dividend of $2.216 per share payable on October 7, with an Ex-dividend date, of September 21.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results, from now to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level, an indication of the potential gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 15.1 and the Junior Market at just 11.1, based on IC Insider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The average PE ratio of the Junior Market has been slowly rising better profit opportunities the Main Market and narrowing the gap. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages a mere 6.4 at just 58 percent to the average of the overall Junior Market. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 8.3 or 55 percent of the PE of the overall market.
The average projected gain for the IC TOP 10 stocks is 257 percent, for the Junior Market and 149 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings, an indication that there is the potential to make greater gains in the Junior Market than in the Main Market.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gains for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.