Six Main Market ICTOP15 stocks raked between 23 and 37 percent year to date and seven of the Junior Market picks produced gains from 22 percent to 111 percent for the first four months of 2021.
Jamaican Teas stock price is up 1115 for 2021 and up 234% in just under a year.
The only top performing Main Market stocks for the period not captured by the TOP15 are Ciboney, up a stunning 121 percent at 53 cents, even after the price move up to just over $2 earlier this year, followed by Salada Foods with an incredible rise of 147 percent, Eppley Property Fund with an increase of 46 percent and Proven Investments gaining 28 percent.
The top performing Junior Market stocks to date that were not in the ICTOP15 are Fosrich with a gain of 86 percent, Blue Power 56 percent, Express Catering up 29 percent, Caribbean Flavours at 33 percent and Lasco Manufacturing with a 35 percent increase.
The highlight of the stock market this past week was the 216 percent surge in Carib Cement’s profit, from record revenues that jumped 31 percent for the 2020 first quarter. As expected, the stock jumped to a 52 weeks’ high of $95.50. The company was one of ICTOP 15 listings at the start of the year and is up 40 percent so far and still has much more gains ahead of it. The other notable development is the Main Market recording of gains for 14 days unbroken.
Other stocks in the TOP15 list that have gone on to do well are Carreras up 37 percent, Grace Kennedy with a rise of 35 percent, Jamaica Producers up 33 percent, QWI Investments up 25 and Seprod 23 percent in the Main Market. In the Junior Market, the winners are Caribbean Cream with a gain of 34 percent, Caribbean Producers up 41 percent, Stationery and Office Supplies with a gain of 25 percent. Now out of the top listings are Jamaican Teas with a 111 percent gain for the year to date, Lumber Depot up 88 percent, Lasco Distributors with a rise of 22 percent and MailPac up 25 percent. Future Energy Source that was added to ICTOP 10 earlier this year has a gain of 28 percent, but much more is expected for these stocks in the rest of the year.
There are no changes to companies on the ICTOP10 listings this week. The bullish tone of the Junior Market and the Main Market continues, with more gains expected in the coming week supported by strong technical signals and fundamentals of stocks and the overall market.
Watch these stocks over the next few weeks, Barita Investments, Caribbean Cement, Grace Kennedy, Jamaica Producers, PanJam Investment and Sagior Group, MailPac, Access Financial, Lasco Financial, Lasco Distributors, Caribbean Cream, ISP Financial.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are headed by Elite Diagnostic, followed by Main Event and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 261 to 293 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investment and Jamaica Broilers, with expected gains of 181 to 410 percent.
This week’s focus: Fosrich reported a 22 percent rise in revenues to $549 million, up from $449 million in the prior year with gross profit rising 13 percent to $192 million, from $170 million in 2020 with net profit surging 697 percent to $38.4 million, from only $4.8 million in the 2020 first quarter. Earnings per share jumped to 8 cents from one cent in 2020. Administrative expenses fell slightly to $144 million, from $146 million in 2020 and finance cost slipped to $24.8 million compared to $26.2 million in the 2020 quarter.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 13 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17; this represents another 31 percent rise in the market that would equate to a rise of 50 percent to March 2022. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.8 at just 44 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.5, some distance from the 19 the market ended March, suggesting a 20 percent rise from now to March 2022.
The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.7 or 46 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 248 percent and 175 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Trading ended with 53 securities compared to 45 on Thursday and ended with 13 rising, 22 declining and 18 remaining unchanged. The PE Ratio, based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings, averages 16.5.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading has seven stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and four with lower offers.
Proven Investments closed 23 cents lower at $37.77 in an exchange of 6,043 shares, Sagicor Group advanced $2.50 to $52.50 with 139,229 units changing hands. Salada Foods ended 41 cents higher at a 52 weeks’ high of $7.41 in an exchange of 137,535 shares, Stanley Motta shed 50 cents to close at $5.90, with 19,000 stocks crossing the exchange, Supreme Ventures closed 52 cents lower at $17.47 with a transfer of 419,230 shares, Victoria Mutual Investments fell 58 cents to finish at $6.82 in exchanging 233,240 units.
Traded ended with almost twice the number of stocks rising than declining, after 28 percent fewer shares with a 71 percent loss in value traded compared to Wednesday.
Trading averaged 207,068 units at $1,777,463, compared to an average of 249,560 shares at $5,280,650 on Wednesday. Month to date trading averages 229,207 units at $1,720,616, in contrast to 230,354 units at $1,717,673 on Wednesday. March averaged 354,304 units at $2,543,232.
Pulse Investments closed 28 cents higher at $4.36 after 395,700 stock units crossed the exchange, Salada Foods dipped 35 cents to $7 with an exchange of 359,341 units. Scotia Group fell $1 in ending at $42 in the swapping of 36,344 stocks, Supreme Ventures rose $1.04 to close at $17.99 with investors switching ownership of 62,609 shares and Victoria Mutual Investments rose 90 cents to end at $7.40 with 126,599 stock units clearing the market.
The All Jamaican Composite Index rose 937.30 points to 444,368.73, the JSE Main Index advanced 882.22 points to 404,765.12 and the JSE Financial Index remained unchanged at 100.37.
Trading averaged 249,560 units at $5,280,650, compared to an average of 209,290 shares at $1,133,757 on Tuesday. Month to date trading averages 230,354 units at $1,717,673, in contrast to 229,131 units at $1,490,898 on Tuesday. March averaged 354,304 units at $2,543,232.
Salada Foods jumped 85 cents ending at a 52 weeks’ high of $7.35 in switching ownership of 50,799 stocks. Seprod dropped $2.48 to end at $80.02 with 13,979 units changing hands, Stanley Motta rose 55 cents in closing at a 52 weeks’ high of $6.40 in transferring 1,008 stocks, Supreme Ventures ended 80 cents higher at $16.95 after trading of 147,975 shares and Sygnus Credit Investments gained 26 cents to close at $15.19 with 28,342 units crossing the market.
The All Jamaican Composite Index rose 267.24 points to 443,431.43, the Main Index gained 235.50 points to 403,882.90, but the JSE Financial Index slipped 0.19 points to settle at 100.37.
Trading averaged 209,290 units at $1,133,757, up from 153,438 shares at $953,283 on Monday. Month to date trading averages 229,131 units at $1,490,898, in contrast to 230,425 units at $1,514,180 on Monday. March averaged 354,304 units at $2,543,232.
Salada Foods shed 43 cents to end at $6.50 with 649,659 shares changing hands after trading at a 52 weeks’ intraday high of $7.43. Scotia Group gained 50 cents to finish at $43 with 6,799 stocks crossing the market and Seprod closed 50 cents higher at $82.50 with the swapping of 63,099 stock units.
Trading was halted towards the original close after the trading platform encountered problems, closing market activity until minutes to 3 pm ahead of the close for the day.
Trading averaged 153,438 units at $953,283, down from 272,764 shares at $2,129,432 on Friday. Month to date trading averages 230,425 units at $1,514,180, in contrast to 235,024 units at $1,554,972 on Friday. March averaged 354,304 units at $2,543,232.
Salada Foods gained 43 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $6.93 in the trading of 118,708 stock units. Scotia Group gained 60 cents to end at $42.50 after exchanging 53,675 units, Seprod fell 50 cents to $82 with the swapping of 6,856 stocks and Victoria Mutual Investments gained 52 cents to end at $6.45 with 254,746 stock units changing hands.
Future Energy Source 
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are headed by Elite Diagnostic, followed by Medical Disposables and Jetcon Corporation, with the potential to gain between 285 to 300 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investment and VM Investments, with expected gains of 174 to 388 percent.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.5 or 47 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
A total of 52 securities traded, up from 49 on Thursday, with prices of 22 rising, 19 declining and 11 remaining unchanged. The PE Ratio, based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2021-22 earnings, averages 16.1.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading has five stocks ending with bids higher than the last selling prices and three with lower offers.
Salada Foods picked up 30 cents to end at $6.50, with 174,920 shares changing hands, Scotia Group closed 34 cents higher at $41.90 after exchanging 27,609 stock units and Seprod fell 30 cents to $82.50 with 12,264 stock units changing hands.
Trading averaged 161,250 units at $1,642,104, compared to an average of 169,965 shares at $947,558 on Wednesday. Month to date trading averages 232,142 units at $1,509,917, in contrast to 238,879 units at $1,499,367 on Wednesday. March averaged 354,304 units at $2,543,232.
Sagicor Group gained 50 cents to close at $50.50 in trading 8,039 shares, Salada Foods picked up 25 cents to settle at a 52 weeks’ high of $6.20 with the swapping of 96,977 stock units and Seprod declined $1.19 to $82.80 in switching ownership of 22,436 shares.
The market continues to get support for the upward rise, from three technical indicators, with one of the most powerful that suggests big gains from the channel that it has been trading in for months. It has broken out of the range and is heading for a new one.
Transjamaican Highway led trading with 26.2 percent for 2.05 million shares, followed by Wigton Windfarm with 24.1 percent for 1.88 million units and Sagicor Select Financial Fund with 16 percent for 1.25 million units.
Proven Investments lost 39 cents to settle at $37.11 in the trading of 18,182 stocks, Salada Foods rose 65 cents to end at $5.95 with the swapping of 65,978 shares, Scotia Group shed 37 cents ending at $41.62 in transferring 8,910 stock units and Supreme Ventures rose 29 cents to close at $16.14 after 41,765 units crossed the market.