Prices up during May in Jamaica

Rising PricesPrices mostly rose in May resulting in Jamaica experiencing an inflation rate of 0.2 percent for the month over April this year with the calendar year to date figure still showing no signs of higher prices overall, with negative inflation of 1.4 percent, data from the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN) reveal.
According to STATIN, the main contributors to overall upward movement in May, were Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages up by 0.1 percent, Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels up by 0.6 percent and the Transport division advancing by 0.8 percent. The point-to-point movement, that is, inflation for the past year, is 2.1 percent.
“Mainly impacting the index for the division Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages are increases of 0.1 percent and 0.3 percent in the index for the groups, Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages respectively.

Petrol added to inflation in May

Petrol added to inflation in May

Within the division Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels, the advance in the index for the group Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels of 1.6 percent was moderated by the fall of 1.4 percent in the index for the group Water Supply and Miscellaneous Services Related to Dwelling”, the Statin report stated. The increase in the Transport division was mainly as a result of higher petrol prices.
Other areas of price increase are, Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 0.1 percent, Clothing and Footwear 0.3 percent, Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance 0.3 percent, Health, 0.1 percent, Recreation and Culture 0.1 percent and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 0.2 percent. There were no increases for Education, Communication, Restaurants and Accommodation Services.

Deflation continues to April

Price fallJamaica is currently passing through a period of deflation according to data released by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica. According to the state entity responsible for gathering economic data, the consumer price index declined for the 4th consecutive month to April compared with the prior months, with the rare falling 0.40 percent in April compared to March 2016.
For the year to date there has been negative inflation of 1.7 percent.
The data was released today by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN). According to STATIN “impacting the movement were the divisions Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages recording a negative 0.5 percent and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels declining by 2.2 percent”. The fall recorded for the division Food and Non-BananasAlcoholic Beverages was due primarily fall in the prices of the group of Vegetables and Starchy Foods, falling by 2.6 percent. Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels decrease, was due to lower electricity and water rates. Increased prices were seen Transport, due mainly to higher prices for petrol, Clothing and Footwear, Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance, Health, Recreation and Culture, Restaurants and Accommodation Services and Miscellaneous Goods and Services.

Inflation moderates in September

Price fallPrices in Jamaica rose 0.4 percent on average in September compared to August 2015, the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN), reported. Inflation in August recorded an increase of 0.8 percent. According to the Statin report. The All Jamaica ‘All Divisions’ Consumer Price Index increased, with the index moving from 229 to 230.
The calendar year-to-date movement was 2.6 percent, while for the last 12 months, year over year inflation stood at 1.8 percent.
Increases in cost in the Education category, amounted to 5.3 percent due to the increase in tuition fees, the second highest movement was for the division Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages which moved up by 1.1 percent. Two divisions recorded declines which moderated the overall movement in inflation with Housing Water, Electricity, Gas and other fuels fell by 1.2 percent and the Transport division is down by 1 percent.
The other divisions that recorded increases are: Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 0.1 percent, Clothing and Footwear 0.6 percent, ‘Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance 0.1 percent, Health 0.2 percent, Recreation and Culture 0.5 percent and Miscellaneous Goods and Services 0.2 percent while the divisions of Restaurants and Accommodation Services and Communication each recorded negligible movements.

Jamaica’s Inflation flat May up 0.5%

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inflationahead280x150Price increases in Jamaica since the start of this year is zero, measured by the All Jamaica Consumer Price Index but it increased by 0.5 percent for May over April this year, the Statistical Institute of Jamaica report shows.
Inflation since May last year is put at 4 percent and was helped by declines in the price of petroleum late in 2014, resulting in just 0.1 percent inflation in October and negative inflation from November to February.
The divisions contributing significantly to the upward movement in the index were Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages influenced by mainly by higher prices for vegetables and starchy foods increased with a 0.5 percent increase.

Increased fuel prices added to inflation in May

Increased fuel prices added to inflation in May

The category of Housing Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels which rose by 2.1 percent helped push the overall inflation by rise in the index for the group by 0.9 percent and Transport by 0.8 percent mainly due to an increase in price of fuels.
Increased fuel prices added to inflation in May[/caption]Other divisions recording increases were: Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 0.7 percent Clothing and Footwear 0.2 percent, Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance 0.2 percent, Health 0.2 percent, Recreation and Culture 0.1 percent, Restaurants and Accommodation Services 0.1 percent, Miscellaneous Goods and Services 0.3 percent.
Tempering the categories with increases was a fall of 1.7 percent in the index for the group Water Supply and Miscellaneous Services Related to the Dwelling.

BOJ may ease monetary policy

Bank of Jamaica may ease monetary policy in the context of a slower rate of depreciation of the Jamaican dollar, the precipitous fall in oil prices and with inflation expectations fallen sharply.
BOJ 3The bank stated that notwithstanding the sharp fall in inflation, expectations by the business community were above the inflation outturn at end-March 2015, as well as the Bank’s projections for the near-term. The bank went on to state that with the downward adjustment in inflation expectation, in conjunction with favourable developments in the macro financial environment, will allow the Bank to pursue an even more accommodative stance than they have done so far. Notably, developments in the international economy including a faster than projected reversal of oil prices and the timing of tightening of monetary policy in advanced economies will increasingly influence the direction of domestic monetary policy.
For the March quarter, the Bank’s monetary policy stance remained generally accommodative while being consistent with achieving the monetary targets under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) supported programme”, the governor reported. In particular, the Bank purchased net amounts of foreign exchange from the market and introduced a 3-month lending facility (Occasional Term Repo Operation), which enhanced liquidity assurance. In the context of the outturns for these
Macro-economic variables and the outlook for inflation over the near-term, the Bank lowered its policy rate by 25 bps to 5.50 per cent on 17 April 2015. This policy action was also consistent with declines in inflation expectations and the country’s risk premium.

Jamaica’s 2015 inflation remains tame

Price fallThe inflation rate, increased by a mere 0.2 percent in April 2015 while the year-to-date inflation rate for April 2015 is minus 0.5 percent, the point-to-point 4.4 percent.
Statin said the lower increase for April is due mainly to upward movements in the index for the divisions of Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages 0.5 percent, Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco 1.3 percent and Transport 1.1 percent. The fall in prices the group Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels’ which fell by 4.6 percent. This resulted mainly from lower fuel rates, as well as an appreciation of the Jamaican dollar.
The calendar The other divisions that recorded increases in the All Jamaica ‘All Divisions’ index were: ‘Clothing and Footwear’ 0.4 percent, ‘Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance’ 0.4 percent, ‘Health’ 0.2 percent, percent, ‘Recreation and Culture’ 0.3 percent, ‘Restaurants and Accommodation Services’ 0.2 percent, and ‘Miscellaneous Goods and Services’ 0.3 percent.

5 months of deflation for Jamaica

Price fallJamaica is enjoying a respite in upward price movements since October last year with the price of oil on the world market having collapsed from US$100 per barrel to hover around US$50. The country had a 0.1 percent inflation in October, but declined in each of the following months, with the latest data showing February 2015 with a 0.7 percent decline in the All Jamaica ‘All Divisions’ Consumer Price Index. This followed the fall of 0.5 percent in January. Year-to-date inflation to February 2015, is -1.1 percent and since November last year the decline is 2 percent.
The Statistical Institute of Jamaica (Statin) indicated that the “main contributor to the decline, was a 3.6 percent decrease in the index for the division ‘Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels’ resulting from lower rates for electricity and water. The reduction was tempered by an upward movement in the wages for carpenters, masons, plumbers, painters and electricians during the month. Also contributing to the decline was a 0.6 percent fall in ‘Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages’, the heaviest weighted division. All other divisions recorded movements of below 0.5 percent.”
Increase were experienced by certain categories with ‘Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco’ increasing by 0.3 percent, ‘Clothing and Footwear’ 0.2 percent, ‘Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance’ 0.3 percent ‘Health’ 0.4 percent, ‘Transport’ 0.1 percent, ‘Recreation and Culture’ 0.3 percent and ‘Miscellaneous Goods and Services’ 0.2 percent. ‘Communication’, ‘Education’ and ‘Restaurants and Accommodation Services’ recorded negligible movement for the period under review, Statin stated.

Inflation drops again says Statin

PriceBalloons_KittisakFREEIMAGE280x150pxThe Statistical Institute of Jamaica (Statin) reports that the All Jamaica ‘All Divisions’ Consumer Price Index fell by 0.5 percent in January this year, the third consecutive monthly decline in the inflation rate for Jamaica. The inflation rate was 0.1 percent in October, November was negative 0.5 percent and December negative 0.3 percent. The downward movement in inflation for January was mainly attributable to a fall in the index for the three highest weighted divisions. The index ‘Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages’ fell by 0.2 percent, followed by the division ‘Housing Water, Electricity,

Gas & other fuels fell 3.4% in january

Gas & other fuels fell 3.4% in january

Gas and Other Fuels’ falling by 3.4 percent and the ‘Transport’ division declining by 1.6 percent. Contributing to these decreases were lower prices for ‘Vegetables and Starchy Foods’, lower rates for water, sewage and electricity, as well as a fall in the international price of crude oil, which impacted the local price for petrol, Statin stated in their release on price movements for January on Monday.
The release went on to state that the divisions that recorded increases in the All Jamaica ‘All Divisions’ index were: ‘Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco’ 0.4 percent, ‘Clothing and Footwear’ 0.9 percent, ‘Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Household Maintenance’ 0.3 percent, ‘Health’ 0.1 percent, ‘Recreation and Culture’ 0.1 percent, ‘and ‘Miscellaneous Goods and Services’ 0.6 percent, while Restaurants and Accommodation Services’ 2.5 percent, ‘Education’, and ‘Communication’ each remained unchanged.

GOJ T-bill rate decline conftinues

Ministry of Finance Building Kingston,  ,Jamaica

Ministry of Finance Building Kingston, Jamaica

Interest rates on government of Jamaica Treasury bills, continue their decent in the latest offering this month. Two offerings at the January 23 auctions and one on January 14, resulted in a further decline in the interest rates on all three instruments offered to the public.
The 182 days note that fell to 7.14 percent at the December auction, the lowest level since June 201, returned a lower rate in the January auction at 6.99 percent.
The pace at which the 182 days treasury rates are falling, have slowed from 0.34 percent dip in November to 0.15 percent at the latest issue. With the latest announcement by Bank of Jamaica on projection for inflation for 2015 being in the range of 3-5 percent there will be lots of room for the treasury rates to decline sharply in the months ahead.
Tbill mvmnt 1-15The latest auction, dated January 14, 2015, for the 28 days instrument, ended with an average rate of 6.29528 percent. The rate fell from the average rate of 6.38 percent at the December auction and from 6.71 percent in November and 6.826 percent in October, as $1.1 billion up from $686 million in December, chased the $400 million on offer.
Investors’ demand for the 91 days Treasury bills, climbed to $706 million, from $531 million in December, but is still well below the $1.042 billion that chased the November auction offering. Demand for the longer-term 182 days instrument, was down to $717 million from $925 million for the December auction. The amounts available were $400 million for each for the Treasury bills on offer.
The Treasury bill for the 91 days period, Friday, January 23 to mature on Friday, April 24, attracted an average yield of 6.8817 percent down from 6.956 percent in December. November’s rate was 7.052 percent, 7.336 percent in October and 7.46952 percent, at the September auction. At the August auction the average rate out turn was 7.46767 percent. The yield for July was an average of 7.63643 percent, for the June issue 7.65893 percent and 8.2 percent in May, for the Treasury bill of same duration.
The offer of 182 days duration, dated December 2014, maturing on June 19, 2015, resulted in an average interest rate yield of 7.14 percent, down from 7.387 percent at the November’s auction. At the October auction the average rate declined to 7.73187 percent from 7.99887 percent, at the September auction, 8.11578 percent, in August, 8.21982 percent at the July’s auction and 8.36502 percent for the June issue, of the same duration. At the May auction, the rate came out at 8.932 percent.

Jamaican prices fall expect more

Price fallPrices increased for October, by a mere 0.1 percent over September this year, in line with the increases in February and June but above a negative 0.3 percent in April. For November, this year, The Statistical Institute of Jamaica (Statin) reveals that as at the Consumer Price contracted by 0.5 percent versus October 2014.
The November fall, represents the lowest inflation rate since the start of the 2014. The division ‘Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages’ declined by 0.1 per cent, and was mainly due to lower prices for vegetables. A reduction in the cost of electricity and lower rates for water and sewage were the key factors influencing the division ‘Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels’, which declined by 3.6 percent. The latest inflation data brings the year to date level to 6.7 percent and the final number for 2014 should end up closer to 6 percent with the price of oil continuing to fall on the world market and local food products coming back in good quantities.

The fall in the price of oil helped in the negative price movement in November

The fall in the price of oil helped in the negative price movement in November

IC Insider stated in November that “the October number brings the yearly inflation to 7.2 percent to date. The shortage of many locally grown food items, pushed up prices and inflation in the food category for the September by 2.1 percent, the worse monthly increase by far for the year. Supplies are coming back to normal and will moderate prices in this category, so there should be lowering of inflation here. The price of oil have fallen on the world market down to the mid US$70 range and local gas prices at the pumps, having declined sharply. The fall in world oil prices will be passed through to consumers in lower fuel rate by JPS. With all of these developments rest of the year should see negative inflation that may pull the full year rate well below 7%. The inflation rate for 2012 was 8.0 percent and in 2013, 9.5 percent.”

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