Guardian Holdings in ICTOP10

May 23, 2021 by

Guardian Holdings moved into the IC TOP 10 following the release of a prospectus from NCB Global that is offering 2 million shares to the public at $790 each, with the stock price falling immediately, after by more than $110, to be in line with the public offer price, valuing the company’s shares at 8 times 2021 projected earnings.

Guardian Holdings now in ICInsider.com’s TOP10.

Elsewhere, with the passage of earnings season, the markets have lost most of their recent firepower to drive prices forward at a time when the Junior Market is trading at the very top of its upward sloping channel while the JSE Main Market is a few thousand points away and in facing much turbulence in attempting to break through the peak.
At the start of the past week, the Junior Market pulled back from last Friday’s close, to sit just above the 3,300 level but climbed on each succeeding day of the week, but pulled back slightly on Friday to close at 3,324 points just a few points higher than at the end of the previous week. At the same time, the JSE Main Market made attempts to come close to the 460,000 mark of the All Jamaica Composite Index but was rebuffed on each occasion and ended the week at 454,479.33, up from 451,713.66 at the close of the previous week.
The Junior Market has to decidedly break through the upper limit of the trading channel, to free it to move on to the next area of resistance, just over 4,000 mark, but the Main Market has room to run for a few thousand points before it hits the channel top at 460,000 points.
There is a shakeup of the top three stocks in the Junior Market, this week. Elite Diagnostic heads the list, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Caribbean Producers, with potential to gain between 247 to 300 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by Wisynco and PanJam Investments, with expected gains of 151 to 344 percent.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months or so.
The Junior Market with an average PE 12.5 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17, this represents another 36 percent rise in the market that would equate to a rise of 60 percent to March 2022. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 6.2 at just 50 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.5, some distance from the 19 the market ended March, suggesting a 15 percent rise from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.9 or 48 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 225 percent and 162 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

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Fesco big forecasted revenue miss

May 23, 2021 by

Future Energy Source went to the capital market at the end of March and was well received by 4,495 investors who snapped up the shares on offer, with investors pushing the 80 cents offer price of over $1 for a nice short term gain.
The company reported their full year results to March this year, with profit before tax of $141 million, up slightly from $137 million earned in 2020, but below the forecast in the prospectus.
Taxation ate up $31.7 million, leaving a net profit of $109 million, up from $105 million in 2020.  Revenues of $5.94 billion in 2020 fell just 2 percent to $5.85 billion in the latest fiscal year, but gross profit climbed 7.5 percent to $191.6 million from $178 million in 2020. While revenues for the year was down, fourth quarter revenues grew a strong 10.8 percent to $1.5 billion from $1.36 billion in 2020 and profit before tax rose to $48.5 from $41.4 million, the net profit for the 2021 quarter seems overstated as Operating and administrative expenses were just $767,621 versus $9 million in 2020, with full year cost of $59.5 million, up from $54 million in 2020.
Finance income net of expenses amounts to $398,872 versus $10.3 million in the 2020 March quarter and $9.4 million for the full year compared to $13 million in 2020. The amounts include foreign exchange gains and interest income with finance cost of $3.6 million for the 2021 fiscal year and $4.4 million in 2020, offsetting total finance income.

Future Energy Source gas station being built close to the top of Beachwood Avenue, Kingston. When fully operational will boost revenues and profit.

Data in the prospectus projected revenues that were $1 billion higher than the outturn, with the forecast being $6.87 billion that is a big miss when the fourth revenue grew by nearly 11 percent. It raises the question about the second year forecast of $10.57 billion, which would now represent a near doubling in revenues. Operating and administrative cost projected at $81 million ended at $59.5 million for the full year, which is just above the cost in the nine months of $58.7 million. The prospectus projected gross profit of $222 million, but the company delivered $191.6 million and had profit before tax projected at $151 million and $132 after projected taxation of $18.9 million, but the company delivered a lower net profit and higher taxes of $31.7 million. a total of $8.8 million of the reduced profit is due to inventory items consisting of pumps and other equipment which were incorrectly classified under property, plant and equipment being written-off to cost of goods in the final numbers.
The company shareholders’ equity stood at $319 million, up from $205 million in 2020 due to the profit made during the year as the IPO proceeds came in after the year end that will be swelled by $245 million. Current assets stood at $284 million with cash at $73 million, while current liabilities amount to $193 million.
Property, plant and equipment moved from $127 million to $256 million, with work in progress on the building of the gas station on Beachwood avenue accounting for $124 million.
The stock traded at $1.05 at the close on Friday, $1.05 on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange at a PE ratio of 8 times ICInsider.com projected earnings of 13 cents.

Filed Under: Company News, Company Results Tagged With: , , , ,

Profit gains push Berger & SOS out of ICTOP10

May 15, 2021 by
Stationery & Office Supplies hit a record high on Friday.

Stationery & Office Supplies – Montego Bay office.

Investors got a serious dose of a new set of company results and they liked a number of them, driving up prices of some up, following results that surprised positively. Many of the surprising ones matched the ICInsider.com forecast. Stationery & Office Supplies that was in the ICTOP10 up to last week reported earnings in line with ICInsider.com projections of $1 and investors pushed the price to a 52 weeks’ high of $9.50, with a gain of 109 percent for the year so far, with more gains ahead.
tTech is another company reporting earnings in line with the ICInsider.com forecast, with the stock jumping to $5.91 to be up 41 percent for the year. Berger Paints another TOP 10 stock up to last week, seems well on the way to earn $1.50, ICInsider.com forecasted, the price closed the week at $15, pushing it out of the TOP10. There are only 4,852 units on offer up to $17 thereafter, just over 154,000 between $18.99 and $19.86, Grace Kennedy reported a 26 percent rise in profit for the quarter, a continuation of good growth it enjoyed in 2020, but the market is yet to reward it with a price rise.
Access Financial and Key Insurance have moved into the TOP10 to fill the space left by the two stocks that fell out at the end of the week.
When ICInsider.com embarked on the 2021 profit forecast, it was a most difficult time due to the turbulence in the economy and businesses of many listed companies. Nevertheless, we boldly made our forecast and the first fruits are now showing and investors like them in driving up nine of 15 Junior Market stocks selected in January, bettering the gains for the year of 26 percent. Two stocks more than doubled and one is up 96 percent after more than doubling in trading for the year to date, earlier this week, before some profit taking set in. One stock rose 64 percent, one gained 43 percent, two 35 percent and two with 29 percent gain. Added to this is Future Energy Sources that was a part of the TOP10 listing starting at the end of February and has since gained 35 percent.
The ICTOP15 stocks in continuing an outstanding performance saw, Stationery & Office Supplies jumping 109 percent for the year to date, Lumber Depot 104 percent, Jamaican Teas 96 percent, Main Event 64 percent, Lasco Financial rose 43 percent, Caribbean Cream and Caribbean Producers up 35 percent, Lasco Distributors and MailPac a rise of 29 percent each.
The JSE Main Market is only up 4 percent year to date, but ICTOP15 stock selection saw Carreras and Grace Kennedy rising 37 percent, QWI Investments and Caribbean Cement up 29 percent, Seprod up 20 percent, Jamaica Producers 19 percent and Jamaica Broilers up 15 percent.
The bullish tone of both markets continues, but the Junior Market had hit the top line of an upward sloping channel that could act as resistance and is worth watching. The Main Market is a few thousand points away from its channel top, but those resistance points should be only temporary barriers if they, in fact become that.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are headed by Elite Diagnostic followed by Medical Disposables and Jetcon Corporation, with the potential to gain between 245 to 283 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by Jamaica Broilers and PanJam Investment, with expected gains of 165 to 385 percent.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 12.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17. This represents another 39 percent rise in the market that would equate to a rise of 60 percent to March 2022. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 6.4 at just 52 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.5, some distance from the 19 the market ended March, suggesting a 15 percent rise from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.8 or 47 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 220 percent and 168 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

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JamTeas gains 111% to top ICTOP10 picks

May 2, 2021 by

Six Main Market ICTOP15 stocks raked between 23 and 37 percent year to date and seven of the Junior Market picks produced gains from 22 percent to 111 percent for the first four months of 2021.

Jamaican Teas stock price is up 1115 for 2021 and up 234% in just under a year.

The only top performing Main Market stocks for the period not captured by the TOP15 are Ciboney, up a stunning 121 percent at 53 cents, even after the price move up to just over $2 earlier this year, followed by Salada Foods with an incredible rise of 147 percent, Eppley Property Fund with an increase of 46 percent and Proven Investments gaining 28 percent.
The top performing Junior Market stocks to date that were not in the ICTOP15 are Fosrich with a gain of 86 percent, Blue Power 56 percent, Express Catering up 29 percent, Caribbean Flavours at 33 percent and Lasco Manufacturing with a 35 percent increase.
The highlight of the stock market this past week was the 216 percent surge in Carib Cement’s profit, from record revenues that jumped 31 percent for the 2020 first quarter. As expected, the stock jumped to a 52 weeks’ high of $95.50. The company was one of ICTOP 15 listings at the start of the year and is up 40 percent so far and still has much more gains ahead of it. The other notable development is the Main Market recording of gains for 14 days unbroken.
Other stocks in the TOP15 list that have gone on to do well are Carreras up 37 percent, Grace Kennedy with a rise of 35 percent, Jamaica Producers up 33 percent, QWI Investments up 25 and Seprod 23 percent in the Main Market. In the Junior Market, the winners are Caribbean Cream with a gain of 34 percent, Caribbean Producers up 41 percent, Stationery and Office Supplies with a gain of 25 percent. Now out of the top listings are Jamaican Teas with a 111 percent gain for the year to date, Lumber Depot up 88 percent, Lasco Distributors with a rise of 22 percent and MailPac up 25 percent. Future Energy Source that was added to ICTOP 10 earlier this year has a gain of 28 percent, but much more is expected for these stocks in the rest of the year.
There are no changes to companies on the ICTOP10 listings this week. The bullish tone of the Junior Market and the Main Market continues, with more gains expected in the coming week supported by strong technical signals and fundamentals of stocks and the overall market.
Watch these stocks over the next few weeks, Barita Investments, Caribbean Cement, Grace Kennedy, Jamaica Producers, PanJam Investment and Sagior Group, MailPac, Access Financial, Lasco Financial, Lasco Distributors, Caribbean Cream, ISP Financial.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are headed by Elite Diagnostic, followed by Main Event and Medical Disposables, with the potential to gain between 261 to 293 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investment and Jamaica Broilers, with expected gains of 181 to 410 percent.
This week’s focus: Fosrich reported a 22 percent rise in revenues to $549 million, up from $449 million in the prior year with gross profit rising 13 percent to $192 million, from $170 million in 2020 with net profit surging 697 percent to $38.4 million, from only $4.8 million in the 2020 first quarter. Earnings per share jumped to 8 cents from one cent in 2020. Administrative expenses fell slightly to $144 million, from $146 million in 2020 and finance cost slipped to $24.8 million compared to $26.2 million in the 2020 quarter.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 13 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17; this represents another 31 percent rise in the market that would equate to a rise of 50 percent to March 2022. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.8 at just 44 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16.5, some distance from the 19 the market ended March, suggesting a 20 percent rise from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.7 or 46 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 248 percent and 175 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

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Fesco jumps ICTOP10 with 33% gains

April 24, 2021 by

Future Energy Source commenced trading on the Junior Market on Friday and closed with a 33 percent gain from the 80 cents public offer price offer to close at $1.06. Its performance saw it slipping from the ICTOP10 list but with room for more growth based on expected 2021/2 earnings.
Future Energy Source was replaced by Main Event, with the latter falling from $4.74 last week to $4.05 this week. The Main Market TOP 10 saw no change to companies on the list. The bullish tone of the Junior Market was joined by the Main Market this past week, with the latter now breaking out of a narrow channel it was trading in for some time, as this publication suggested would happen soon.
The markets made more gains in the past week, with the Main Market recording its ninth day of unbroken gains on Friday, but technical signals suggest a continuation of the rally.
Watch these stocks over the next few weeks, Barita Investments, Caribbean Cement, Grace Kennedy, Jamaica Producers, NCB Financial, PanJam Investment and Sagior Group.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are headed by Elite Diagnostic, followed by Medical Disposables and Jetcon Corporation, with the potential to gain between 285 to 300 percent. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by PanJam Investment and VM Investments, with expected gains of 174 to 388 percent.
Added to the technical indicators is a limited supply of shares for some companies. One such is Caribbean Cream that currently has few offers on the board. The same goes for Elite Diagnostic, Stationery and Office Supplies, Lasco Financial, Main Event, ISP Financial, Cargo Handlers. In the Main Market, its Berger Paints, Jamaica Producers and Radio Jamaica.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended March 2021 with the average PE at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 12.9 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17; this represents another 32 percent rise in the market that would equate to a rise of 50 percent to March 2022. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.8 at just 45 percent of the market average, indicating substantial gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 16, some distance from the 19 the market ended March at, suggesting a 19 percent rise from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.5 or 47 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 247 percent and 178 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely increase for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

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Fesco trades at $1.04

April 23, 2021 by

Fesco opened trading on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock exchange on Friday, trading 2.38 million shares at $1.04 up from 80 cents the share were sold to the market at.
The stock has 151,000 units on the bid at $1.04 with just 55 000 on offer at $1.06, but trading is frozen for an hour. The rise helped to push the Junior Market Index up to 3,155.07. The Main Market has climbed to 446,096.49 at 9.43 after rising to a high for the session of 446,591 points.

Filed Under: JSE Combined, Stock Market Tagged With: , , , , ,

Shake up in Junior Market ICTOP10

April 17, 2021 by

Trading in the past week saw the Junior Market continuing its bullish rise, to sit at a 14.5 months high, but the Main Market continues to consolidate, sitting well below last April’s peak, but technical signals suggest that this situation is going to end soon.
Increased buying came into the market for Caribbean Cream during the past week, but the price pulled back slightly at the close to $6.34 for the stock to return to the TOP 10 at the expense of Main Event that closed the week with an impressive gain of 36 percent as it closed at $4.74. There were no exits or additions to the Main market TOP 10. Additionally, the top three Junior Market stocks changed markedly, with only one from last week remaining in the top three.
Recent activity in Caribbean Cream’s stock comes against the background of a rising stock price from a low of $4.35 to $6.34 over the past month and seems to suggest that investors are anticipating positive news when the company releases full year results later this month. The board meets next week Friday to consider a dividend. The financials for the full year to February should be released in days after.
The main market continues to trade in a narrow channel and now shows signs that a break out is imminent. First quarter results start coming in the latter part of this month and will determine the short-term move. In this regard, watch Barita Investments, Caribbean Cement, Grace Kennedy, Jamaica Producers, NCB Financial, PanJam Investment and Sagior Group.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market at the end of the last week are Jetcon Corporation followed by Main Event and Elite Diagnostic, but the list has changed and is now headed by Stationery and Office Supplies, followed by Elite Diagnostic and Medical Disposables with the potential to gain between 286 to 317 percent. The top three Main Market stocks remain unchanged, but in a slightly different order, with Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, followed by VM Investments and PanJam Investment, with expected gains of 190 to 394 percent.

Knutsford Express

The Junior Market and the Main Market continue to get support from technical indicators that point to robust gains ahead. Added to the technical indicators is the limited supply of shares for some companies. One such is Caribbean Cream that currently has few offers on the board, the same goes for Elite Diagnostic, Stationery and Office Supplies, Lasco Financial, Main Event, ISP Financial, Cargo Handlers. In the Main Market, Berger Paints, Jamaica Producers and Radio Jamaica show limited supply in the market currently.
This week’s focus: Investors should key an eye on Consolidated Bakeries, Fosrich and Jamaica Producers, this week, all three stocks have very low supplies on offer currently. Lasco Manufacturing has a large volume on the bid at $4.50 at the close on Friday and should also be watched. Knutsford Express is not in our TOP 10, but the latest results show that a turnaround has started with the February quarter showing a moderate loss of a mere $1.7 million from sales that fell 42 percent from $318 million to $185 million. The results show a marked improvement over November when revenues fell from $283 million to $149 million with a loss of $34 million. The results for the latest quarter supports ICInsider.com’s forecast for the company to return to profit for the 2022 fiscal year.
The targeted PE ratio for the market averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. For reference, fiscal 2020-21 average PE ended at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market at the end of March 2021. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 12.4 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.8 at just 46 percent of the market average, indicating strong gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 15.4, some distance from the 19 the market ended March at. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.3 or 48 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 252 percent and 185 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

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High level of allocation for Fesco shares

April 13, 2021 by

Subscribers will get over 43 percent of the shares they applied for in the IPO of Future Energy Source, this will be one of the highest allocations in recent years for an IPO, but it may suggest a limited upside for the price initially.
Applicants in the General Public Pool receives 1,000 shares plus aroud 43.876 percent of the excess for they applied. The Brokers for the issue states that “multiple applications from the same JCSD account for each pool were combined and treated as one application for the purposes of allocation.
NCB Capital Markets receives its full allotment of 100 million shares. NCB Insurance Agency & Fund Managers Limited gets the full allotment of 16.245 million shares. The balance of shares in the Broker Reserve Pool of 58.755 million, which were not taken up, is transferred to the General Public Pool.
Key Partner Reserve Pool applicants will receive up to the first 250,000 shares plus approximately 80.195 percent of the balance applied for.
Applicants in the Employee Reserve Pool receives the first 50,000 shares plus approximately 72.32 percent of the rest.
Refunds for Applicants who did not receive allotment fully will commence April 14, 2021, NCB Capital Markets states.

Filed Under: Breaking News, Initial Public Offers Tagged With: , ,

IC TOP10 gaining from rising Junior Market

April 10, 2021 by

Trading in a week cut short by the Easter Monday public holiday and half a day on Friday saw the Junior Market continuing its bullish rise, to sit just a few points below the January 2020 close, but the Main Market continues to consolidate, sitting well below last April peak and even worse, the February level of over 500,000 points.

Caribbean Cream

The past week saw Caribbean Cream finally moved higher, with supplies of the stock drying up at lower levels and few stocks currently on offer, with investors anticipating positive news when the company releases full year results later this month or early in May. The stock dropped out of the Top 10 and now sits at the 11th spot and should have more juice to move much higher, but it will depend on results due in a few weeks’ time.
General Accident moved up to fill the spot left vacant by Caribbean Cream. The main market continues to trade in a narrow channel and shows no sign of a breakout. First quarter results start coming in the latter part of this month and will determine the short-term move. In this regard, watch Barita Investments, Caribbean Cement, Grace Kennedy, NCB Financial, PanJam Investment and Sagior Group.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market at the end of the week are now Jetcon Corporation, followed by Main Event and Elite Diagnostic, with the potential to gain between 275 to 305 percent. The top three Main Market stocks remain unchanged, with Radio Jamaica in the number one spot, with the price moving from $1.48 last week to $1.61, followed by PanJam and VM Investments, with expected gains of 178 to 397 percent.
The Junior Market and the Main Market continue to get support from technical indicators that point to robust gains ahead. Added to the technical indicators is limited supply of shares for some companies. One such is Caribbean Cream that currently has few offers on the board, the same goes for Elite Diagnostic, Stationery and Office Supplies, Lasco Financial Main Event, ISP Financial, Cargo Handlers. In the Main Market, it’s Radio Jamaica and Berger Paints.
The targeted PE ratio averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. For reference, fiscal 2020-21 average PE ended at 17 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market at the end of March 2021. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, the likelihood is for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior Market, with an average PE 12.3 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings, is currently trading well below the target, as well as the recent historical average of 17. The Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.7 at just 47 percent of the market average, indicating strong gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 15, some distance from the 19 the market ended March at. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.4 or 50 percent of the PE of that market and well off the potential of 20.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 251 percent and 181 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

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Rising Junior Market shifts IC TOP10

April 3, 2021 by

Stationery and Office Supplies (SOS) jumped to the top spot in the Junior Market IC TOP10 this week, with the price falling to $4.78 while PanJam Investment slid into the number two spot for the Main Market, but Radio Jamaica still remains in the number one position.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are now SOS, followed by Elite Diagnostic Main Event and Jetcon Corporation. The top three Main Market stocks are Radio Jamaica, followed by PanJam and VM Investments.  The top three junior Market stocks have the potential to gain between 295 to 318 percent and those in the main market with expected gains of 173 to 452 percent.
TOP 10 stocks had a few changes during the past week, with Berger Paints back in the Main Market TOP10, replacing Sterling Investments that entered the list last week, while for the Junior Market, Caribbean Assurance Brokers returns to the TOP 10 as General Accident moved out.
The Junior Market TOP10 contains several companies that suffered a sharp reversal of fortunes in 2020, with recovery projected in 2021. Green shoots are visible for some, with sales picking up in recent quarters and improving profit.
Some of these companies may require another quarter or two of improvement before meaningful buying starts. Main Event, Caribbean Producers, Knutsford Express, Express Catering and Stationery and Office Supplies are some of the companies that are in this category.
The Main Market has JMMB Group, Jamaica Broilers, Sygnus Credit Investments and Grace Kennedy that are currently in the TOP10 Main Market listing and Caribbean Cement that is just outside.
The Junior Market and the Main Market continue to get support from technical indicators that point to robust gains ahead. To benefit from the growth to come, many investors will need to be on board at an early stage.
This week’s focus: Future Energy Source Company Initial Public Offer of 500 million shares, that ICInsider.com indicated last week should be snapped up quickly by investors, with the company having long-term prospects for strong growth, did just that. NCB Capital Markets, the brokers for the issue, reported on Thursday that the issue, priced at 80 cents per share and opened on Wednesday, closed on Thursday after another Junior Market IPO issue was oversubscribed. The successful closure of the issue will see the number of listed companies rising to 42 from the current 41.
The targeted PE ratio averages 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, up to the second quarter of 2022. Fiscal 2020-21 ended at 17.2 for Junior Stocks and 19 times for the Main Market at the end of March 2021. With interest rates on government paper below 5 percent and likely to remain there for a few years, there is the likelihood for the average PE ratios to climb higher during the next twelve months.
The Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below the market average, indicating strong gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 14.7 and the Junior Market 9.8, based on ICInsider.com’s projected 2021-22 earnings. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 5.4 at just 55 percent of the market average. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.4 or 50 percent of the PE of that market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 274 percent and 186 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2021-22 earnings. IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

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