Stocks dropped on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market on Wednesday and resulted in market indices plunging at the close of the market with the volume of stocks traded remaining subdued with 30 percent less volume passing through the market compared to Tuesday as funds entering the market remained steady.
Trading ended with 57 securities compared to 55 on Tuesday, with 21 rising, 24 declining and 12 ending unchanged. At the close, the All Jamaican Composite Index shed 3,397.23 points to 416,853.91, the JSE Main Index dropped 1,624.03 points to close at 367,199.58 and the JSE Financial Index dipped 0.27 points to settle at 87.90.
Overall, 6,419,042 shares were exchanged for $56,245,124 compared to 9,160,573 units at $56,371,792 on Tuesday. Trading averages 112,615 units at $986,757, compared to 166,556 shares at $1,024,942 on Tuesday and month to date, an average of 195,870 units at $1,341,170, compared to 210,121 units at $1,401,836 on the previous trading day. July closed with an average of 173,643 units at $1,683,017.
Transjamaican Highway led trading with 1.50 million shares for 23.4 percent of total volume followed by Wigton Windfarm with 1.15 million units for 17.9 percent of the day’s trade and Sagicor Select Financial Fund with 783,984 units for 12.2 percent market share.
The PE Ratio, a formula to ascertain appropriate stock values, averages 13.7 for the Main Market. The JSE Main and USD Market PE ratios are computed based on ICInsider.com’s forecasted earnings for companies with financial years ending up to the close of August 2023.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows ten stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and six stocks with lower offers.
At the close, Berger Paints lost 44 cents ending at $11.40 after exchanging 7,203 shares, Caribbean Cement slipped 29 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ low of 58.70 after an exchange of 23,078 shares, Caribbean Producers dropped 49 cents to end at $13.50 while trading 82,997 stock units, Eppley Caribbean Property Fund declined $2.10 in closing at $42.90, with 2,811 stocks crossing the market. GraceKennedy gained $2.50 to end at $98.50, with 89,742 units changing hands, Guardian Holdings climbed $73.15 to close at $583.15 after trading 121 stock units, Jamaica Broilers rose 89 cents to $29.09 after exchanging 7,865 stocks. Jamaica Producers fell 44 cents in closing at $20.11, with an exchange of 66,000 shares, Massy Holdings increased $1.85 in ending at $89, with 8,721 units crossing the exchange, Mayberry Jamaican Equities rallied 65 cents to close at $14.15 in trading 106,342 stock units. NCB Financial advanced $4.75 to end at $96.75 with an exchange of 42,593 shares, Palace Amusement shed $46 after ending at $790 in switching ownership of 17 stocks, PanJam Investment shed $1.77 in closing at $59.90 in an exchange of 2,980 units. Scotia Group popped $1.40 to end at $36.39 with the swapping of 1,317 stock units, Stanley Motta dropped 50 cents to $5, with 5,048 stocks crossing the market, Supreme Ventures declined 70 cents to close at $28.60 in exchanging 294,794 shares. Sygnus Real Estate Finance popped 41 cents in closing at $10.21, with 1,615 units clearing the market and Victoria Mutual Investments advanced 65 cents to close at $5.68 in trading 76,505 stocks.
In the preference segment, Eppley 7.50% preference share rose 69 cents to end at $7.63 in an exchange of 117 units. Eppley 7.75% preference share climbed $1 to a 52 weeks’ high of $21 with the swapping of 10 stock units and 138 Student Living preference share fell $7.58 to $49.32 with an exchange of 131 shares.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Three changes to ICTOP10
The past week ended with new entrants to the ICTOP listing, with Dolphin Cove and Paramount Trading reentering the Junior Market list while 138 Student Living enters the TOP10 Main market list.
Jetcon Corporation and Lasco Financial are out of the Junior Market TOP10, and Caribbean Cement left the Main Market list.
The Junior Market suffered some declines, no doubt connected to investors focusing on the latest IPO – OneonOne Educational Services to hit the market, as they seek funds to go into the issue, continuing a feature visible in the market for most popular IPOS. The Main Market moves were less pronounced, with just one significant fall.
In the Junior Market, Elite Diagnostic gained 7 percent to $3.45 and General Accident was up 8 percent to $5.50. Access Financial and CAC 2000 dipped 13 percent to $20.01 and $7.20, respectively and Caribbean Cream and Jetcon Corporation slipped 6 percent to $4.02 and $1.20, respectively. Caribbean Assurance Brokers ended 4 percent lower at $2.50 but has limited stocks offered, with most offers over $2.70.
The Main Market ended the week with Guardian Holdings jumping a sharp 29 percent to $650 on limited volume. There are now less than 1,000 shares offered for sale. At the close, there was an offer of 76 shares at $594 and the highest bid was $505 to buy 2012 shares. Profit for the June Quarter was TT$256 million, up 220 percent from $80 million in 2021, with six months moving up by 70 percent from $256 million to TT$436 million. The EPS comes out at TT$1.88 or J$43. The other big move was by Productive Business Solutions, falling 12 percent to US$1.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 13.9, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.9 versus the market at 12.8. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 243 percent and the Main Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 239 percent each to May 2023.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
ICTOP10 picks remove dreaming
The ICTOP listing is meant to remove dreaming from investors’ arsenal of investment tools and place them on more solid grounds. The performance of Fosrich last week illustrates that vividly, with the stock hitting the pre-split equivalent of $54.20 on Wednesday only for the price to fall back to a low of $3 on Friday or the equivalent of $30 on a pre-split basis.
The above shows that many investors are groping in the dark, hoping that a stock with the wind behind its back must be one to buy to make money. They ignore the simple but profound principle of buying low and selling high. The other factor that shows up in the judgement is why buy the stock after the split when it is more expensive than if purchased before. this is an age-old issue where investors feel that they are buying the stock cheaper than before but in fact, they are paying more for it and therefore reduce potential profit.
Fosrich may have a bright future but what about the many stocks that are undervalued in the market, why chase expensive ones? When Fosrich reports second quarter earnings this coming week investors will get a glimpse to see whether it was smart to buy the stocks at the elevated prices last week. Investors made the same error with Salada Foods buying it at $10 when it was not worth much more than $3 now the stock is slowly adjusting to reality. Investors in Fesco at $8 are feeling the paid as the stock slowly retreats and is now under $6. Investors in SSL Venture Capital will soon discover some nastiness of speculating in the dark.
There was one change to the Junior Market TOP10 listings this past week, with General Accident returning at the expense of Dolphin Cove which rose 6 percent during the week to $15.93, the former price dropped to $5.07 from $5.99 at the close of the previous week.
Elite Diagnostic fell 9 percent to $3.21 and CAC 2000 dipped 3 percent to $8.25. Jetcon Corporation rose 9 percent to $1.27 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers rallied 8 percent to $2.60 after the company reported six months results showing a profit of $4.45 million, up from a loss of $31 million last year for the same period, ICInsider.com upgraded earnings to 45 cents per share, from 40 cents previously. The Main Market ended the week, with no significant price changes.
Investors should keep a careful watch on Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Dolphin Cove, Express Catering, General Accident, Jamaica Broilers, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Financial, Lasco Manufacturing, Stationery and Office Supplies and Paramount Trading. Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Express Catering will be major beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals and the supply of General Accident has declined sharply over the past few weeks, but investors may be reluctant to pile into the stock ahead of the hurricane season.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 13.9, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 6 versus the market at 12.9. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 238 percent and the Main Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 235 percent each to May 2023.
The prospectus for One on One IPO is out with just over 125 million shares earmarked for the wider public. The PE ratio based on the company’s projections to August 2022 is just under 7 cents per share before tax for a PE ratio of around 14.5 just above the market average of 12.9. Based on where recent IPOs are valued investors can look for a price after listing around $1.50 but investors have priced many of them closer to 30 times 2022 earnings in which case a price of $2 is not out of the reckoning.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.