Massy lost ground in market activity on Monday with the price diving $23.47 and taking a big bite out of JSE Main Index as the volume of shares trading surged 100 percent and with the value falling 30 percent compared to Friday as rising stocks were outgunned by those declining at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market.
The All Jamaican Composite Index declined 1,713.39 points to settle at 438,421.97, JSE Main Index plunged 10,931.95 points to end at 389,939.30 and the JSE Financial Index shed 0.02 points to close at 95.33.
Trading ended with 59 securities similar to Friday, with 19 rising, 28 declining and 12 ending unchanged.
The PE Ratio, the most used formula to compute appropriate stock values, averages 16.2 and those for the JSE Main and USD Market closing quotes are based on ICInsider.com earnings forecasts for companies with financial years, ending up to August 2022.
Overall, 30,346,423 shares were exchanged for $309,070,966 versus 15,195,980 units at $440,781,941 on Friday. JMMB Group 7.35% – 2028 led trading with 25.1 percent of total volume for 7.62 million shares followed by Wigton Windfarm, 24.4 percent for 7.39 million units, Sagicor Select Financial Fund contributed 11.3 percent with 3.43 million units, QWI Investments held 11 percent after an exchange of 3.33 million units, Wisynco Group followed with 5.1 percent after transferring 1.55 million units and Transjamaican Highway controlled 4.4 percent with an exchange of 1.34 million units.
Trading for the day averages 514,346 units at $5,238,491, compared to 257,559 shares at $7,470,880 on Friday and month to date, an average of 467,221 units at $7,747,214, compared to 460,902 units at $8,083,611 on the previous trading day. February closed with an average of 392,520 units at $3,199,976.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows two stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and none with lower offers.
At the close of the market, Berger Paints gained 45 cents to finish at $12.45 in trading just 466 shares, Caribbean Cement fell $1 in closing at $70 with an exchange of 11,120 units, Caribbean Producers rose 35 cents to $14.60 after transferring 135,746 stocks. Eppley fell $1.15 to $40.30 with the swapping of 2,646 stock units, Eppley Caribbean Property Fund declined $2 to $38, with 250 units clearing the market, First Rock Capital lost 55 cents after ending at $11.99 in an exchange of 4,103 shares. GraceKennedy shed $2.01 to end at $101 with the swapping of 972,053 stock units, Guardian Holdings declined $5 to $550 with 6,364 stocks changing hands, Kingston Properties advanced $1 in closing at $9.50 in switching ownership of 5,882 shares. Kingston Wharves lost 50 cents to close at $39.50 with 10,629 stocks crossing the market, Massy Holdings dropped $23.47 in closing at $99 in exchanging 531,384 stock units, NCB Financial shed $1.51 to end at $116.75 with a transfer of 48,764 units. PanJam Investment popped 94 cents to close at $68.50 in exchanging 35,324 shares, Proven Investments rallied 35 cents to end at $36.10 in trading 48,364 stocks, Sagicor Group advanced $2.58 to $61 with the swapping of 953,349 stock units. Scotia Group rose $1.28 after ending at $35.94 in switching ownership of 22,894 shares, Seprod rallied 38 cents to $55.40 with 9,861 units crossing the market and Sygnus Real Estate Finance lost 82 cents in closing at $16.68 with 1,538 stock units changing hands.
In the preference segment, Eppley 7.75% preference share shed 64 cents to close at $19.96 with an exchange of 2,500 stocks and Productive Business Solutions 9.75% preference share advanced $7 to end at $107 after 200 shares crossed the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Cargo Handlers exits ICTOP10 with 33% gain
Cargo Handlers returned to ICTOP10 listing last week and was another winner with gains of 33 percent, sufficient to move it out of the top flight Junior Market stocks. The stock joins a long list of high performance ICTOP10 stocks, including the 32 percent gain in Tropical Battery stock in the previous week.
Caribbean Assurance Brokers come back in the Junior Market list, while Sterling Investments makes it back to the Main Market listing at the expense of TransJamacian Highway after just one week, but investors should keep an eye for this one.
In a week when the Junior Market dropped 297 points in three days that pushed the index down to 3,871 points, it bounced on the last two days to close over 4,031, still 137 points from the record of 4,168.16, at the end of the previous week. Meanwhile, the Main Market continues to consolidate around support at 440,000 points measured by the All Jamaica Composite Index.
Recent IPOs JFP limited and EducFocal are set to list on Monday and Tuesday coming following the oversubscribed initial public offers.
During the past week, the Junior Market TOP10 listed Access Financial, Lasco Financial and Iron Rock Insurance gained 6 percent each while Medical Disposables fell 9 percent and Tropical Battery slipped 5 percent. In the Main Market, the primary movers are Guardian Holdings with a 4 percent gain, while JMMB Group fell 7 percent and Proven Investments declined by 5 percent.
The potential gains for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks remained for a second week at 105 percent, much lower than the Main Market at 127 percent, an indication that the Main Market is undervalued. The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Medical Disposables followed by Elite Diagnostic and Lasco Distributors to gain between 122 and 133 percent, compared to 121 and 126 percent, previously.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 124 percent last week to this weeks’ 127 percent, with the top three being JMMB Group followed by Guardian Holdings and Sygnus Credit Investments all projected to gain between 168 and 193 percent versus 161 and 193 percent last week.
The average PE for Junior Market has surpassed the average of 17 times 2020 earnings achieved at the end of March last year in moving to 19 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is ahead of the JSE Main and USD Markets at 15.7 well off from 19 in 2021. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9, with a 48 percent discount to that market’s average.
All the stocks in the Junior Market can gain just 5 percent to the end of March this year, based on an average PE of 20. About a third of Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, averaging around 23.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 21 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 24 percent below the target of 20 to the end of March this year. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 9 representing a 43 percent discount to the market, well below the potential of 20. Around 15 stocks or a thirty percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times current year’s earnings. The depressed PE of the main market may be indicating that bigger investors are reluctant to be aggressive in buying into the market currently with inflation, rising interest rates and war populating the headlines.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Tropical drops ICTOP10 with 32% rise
Last week Tropical Battery surged right to the top of the ICTOP10 Junior Market listing with the company seems poised to earn $280 million for the current year, with earnings per share of 22 cents. Investors who pounced on the stock immediately after the release of the first quarter results before the price pulled, drive the price up in the holiday shortened week to close with a 32 percent gain at $2.30.
In a week when the Junior Market came back to life to close at a new record high on Friday, following a new record on Thursday, the market index closed on Friday over the 4,100 mark for the first time and ended at 4,168.16, with a 21.6 percent gain for the year to date. At the same time, the Main Market continues to consolidate around the 440,000 points level, on the All Jamaica Composite Index.
The EduFocal initial public offer to raise $130 million at $1 per share, opened and closed on Thursday morning, ICInsider.com was informed that preliminary data suggests that the offer attracted around twice the amount on offer, resulting in the early closure. Elsewhere, the Jamaica Stock Exchange is enjoying robust business in 2022 over 2021, which should deliver a big bump in revenues and profit for 2022 should the trend holds, accordingly, ICInsider.com now puts 2022 earnings for the first quarter above the 2021 full year’s earnings of 71 cents, with a possible $3 per share for the full year. Watch this one.
In TOP10 developments this week, returning to the Junior Market are Cargo Handlers with the price holding at $8.99 and Medical Disposables after the price slipped from $7.27 to $6.60 this week. Dropping out of the TOP10 this week are Caribbean Assurance Brokers with the price falling 23 percent to $2.50 as investors dumped the shares after the company reported a 47 percent increase in profit to 21 cents per share, but vastly down on the 33 cents per share reported in the nine months to September. The Main Market had three changes, with Caribbean Producers and Carreras returning to the Top10 to be joined for the first time by Transjamaican Highway and out goes Berger Paints, Jamaica Broilers and Sagicor Group.
During the week, the Junior Market TOP10 listed AMG Packaging fell 8 percent to $3.14 and in the Main Market, Proven Investments rose 9 percent followed by Berger Paints 6 percent and a 4 percent fall for Jamaica Broilers, but Guardian Holdings and Sagicor Group fell 5 percent
The Junior Market potential gains for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 113 percent to 105 percent much lower than the Main Market at 124 percent. The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic followed by AMG Packaging and Lasco Distributors to gain between 121 and 126 percent, compared to 120 and 153 percent, previously.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 125 percent last week to this weeks’ 124 percent, with the top three being Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Sygnus Credit Investments all projected to gain between 161 and 193 percent versus 161 and 180 percent last week.
The average PE for Junior Market has surpassed the average of 17 times 2020 earnings achieved at the end of March last year in moving to 19.2 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is ahead of the JSE Main Market at 16.1. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.8, with a 49 percent discount to that market’s average.
All the stocks in the Junior Market can gain just 4 percent to the end of March this year, based on an average PE of 20. About a third of Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, averaging around 23.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.1 just 18 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 24 percent below the target of 20 to the end of March this year. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 9.2 representing a 43 percent discount to the market, well below the potential of 20. Around 15 stocks or a thirty percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings. The depressed PE of the main market may be indicating that bigger investors are reluctant to be aggressive in buying into the market currently with inflation, rising interest rates and war populating the headlines.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.