U tweet, but will u buy twtr?

People are at the heart of Twitter, the company’s SEC filing says. The company has achieved significant reach globally and continues to grow with more than 215 million monthly active users and more than 100 million daily active users tweeting 500 million times daily, spanning nearly every country worldwide. Anyway you cut it, Twitter is now a household name and a critical tool for millions of people all over the world. Presidents, heads of state and celebrities are users of this communication tool.

Growth in acceptance of Twitter has translated into strong and rapid revenue growth from 2011 to 2012 increasing by 198 percent to $316.9 million, while net loss declined by 38 percent to $79.4 million and adjusted EBITDA increased by 149 percent to $21 million. For the six months ended June this year, revenue increased by 107 percent to $253.6 million over the same period in 2012, net loss increased by 41 percent to $69.3 million and adjusted EBITDA increased by $20.7 million to $21.4 million.

Since inception, Twitter accumulated deficits of $418.6 million. Although revenue has grown rapidly, increasing from $28.3 million in 2010 to $316.9 million in 2012, Twitter says  that they expect that the revenue growth rate will slow in the future as a result of a variety of factors, including the gradual slowdown in the growth rate of user base. Future revenue growth will depend on, among other factors, ability to attract new users, increased user engagement and ad engagement, increased brand awareness, to compete effectively, maximize sales efforts, demonstrate a positive return on investment for advertisers, and successfully develop new products and services to expand internationally.

According to the company, “The net proceeds from the sale of our shares of our common stock by us in this offering may be used for general corporate purposes, including working capital, operating expenses and capital expenditures.” Twitter anticipates making capital expenditures in 2013 of approximately $225 million to $275 million and they may use a portion of the net proceeds to fund anticipated capital expenditures and to acquire other businesses, products, services or technologies and other working capital needs.

Sources suggest that the IPO is set to raise at least $1 billion for the company which should take place within a few weeks when the issue price would be set.

No change to Buy & Watch list

After a number of changes last week, IC Insider retains the same selection on the Buy Rated and Market Watch list.

Importantly, Grace Kennedy, which was added last week, announced that they will be pursuing a share buy back of 2.5 percent of the company’s shares over the period of up to a year. This takes effect 21 days after the notice was made to the stock exchanges of Jamaica and Trinidad on the 27 of September. The shares will be purchased on the open market of the exchanges and will be executed when the company believes the price is below its true value. The company has nearly 335 million shares in issue and so far this year has bought back slightly more that 1 million units. The 2.5 percent buy back would translate to just over 8 million shares. This compares with 24.6 million shares traded during the last twelve months of which 8.6 million traded on one day.

The stock last sold at $54 in Jamaica and had a bid of TT$3.36 in Trinidad or just under J$54. There is no stock on offer on the Trinidad market where demand has picked up following what the company’s CEO Don Wehby says was a successful visit.

Grace’s PE is around 5.5 times this year’s earnings with net asset value per share of just under $100 per share. At current interest rates the stock is a great buy, both for the company and the investing public, as the price could climb sharply into next year.

Related posts | Changes, changes, changes | Grace’s profit up 41% in June quarter

The IC Insider’s Buy Rated seal of approval is given to a stock that we believe is a compelling buy with earnings that are strong relative to the price and strong prospects of generating high price gains within the next twelve months.

Better than a broker’s ‘buy’ recommendation, IC Insider has no vested interest in any stock transaction or conflict of interest. Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

To find published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please use category Buy Rated’ under Company News or enter the company name, in full or part at ‘Search IC Insider’.

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TTSE: PE ratio changes for the top 5

Friday, 27th Friday 2013 | There have been a few changes to the PE Ratio rankings this past week as prices moved a bit on the Trinidad Stock Exchange resulting in changed positions for the Top 5 Stocks with the highest potential gains.

National Flour dropped from the second spot for potential gain to fourth due to the price increasing to 89 cents at the end of the week. Guardian moved up to the second spot while Agostini’s dropped below National Enterprise to tenth position by a moderate increase in price. Meanwhile despite a loss of 4 cents, Trinidad Cement still holds on to the Number One spot with nearly a 500% potential gain.

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The Top 5 companies with the most potential are Trinidad Cement, Guardian Holdings, Berger TT, National Flour and Neal & Massy.

Newly listed First Citizens remains off the buy list with the stock being fully valued and is hemmed in by the values of other bank stocks like Scotia and Republic Bank.

 

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Changes, changes, changes

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Monday 23 September, 2013 | Both the Buy Rated and Market Watch lists have undergone major changes based on trading over the past week.

Buy rated additions | Grace Kennedy and Pan Jam made it to the Buy Rated list in Jamaica based on their low values while GraceKennedy, JMMB, Scotia Investments and Sagicor Finance have been added to the Buy Rated list in Trinidad based on a very low PE of 6 times 2013 earnings.

Buy rated removal | First Citizens Bank was removed based on the stock’s rise to the $35 price range and a 58% appreciation reached after listing on the Trinidad Exchange.

Market Watch | The Caribbean Flavours IPO hits the streets this week and has been added to the Market Watch list as it has the potential to generate capital appreciation after listing on the Junior Market. Cable & Wireless is added to the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange based on the company’s reporting of the rapid addition of mobile customers. Agostini’s has been added to the Watch list of Trinidad Stocks based on its current low PE.

Related posts | PE Ratio: TCL back in focusFirst Citizens off Buy Rated listCaribbean Flavours a new IPO

The IC Insider’s Buy Rated seal of approval is given to a stock that we believe is a compelling buy with earnings that are strong relative to the price and strong prospects of generating high price gains within the next twelve months.

Better than a broker’s ‘buy’ recommendation, IC Insider has no vested interest in any stock transaction or conflict of interest. Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

To find published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please use category Buy Rated’ under Company News or enter the company name, in full or part at ‘Search IC Insider’.

BuyRated&WatchFinalSep23Image courtesy of ImageryMajestic/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

PE Ratio: TCL back in focus

Friday, 20th September 2013 | There were three main movers in the PE Ratio chart for this week.

First Citizens Bank which debut on the TTSE on Monday at $22 per share exploded as high as $38.45 before settling around $35 range for a gain of 58 percent for the week.

The move reached IC Insider’s suggested price range based on the valuation of other banking stocks on the TTSE. From here on, the stock is now more for long term gains as the PE ratio has risen to 23 times this year’s earnings, just above Scotia Bank and well above Republic’s 15 times PE.

PRRatioSept20The other stocks that registered changes were Trinidad Cement, which bounced back to close at $2.25 and Guardian Holdings that hit $15.50 at the end of the week. Not much has changed elsewhere in the Trinidad market from last week.

Related posts | First Citizens off Buy Rated list

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TTSE: PE ratio not much change

Friday, 13th September | There’s not much change to the PE Ratios for stocks on the Trinidad Stock Market as prices changes have remained muted for much of the past week. There are signs that with the allocation of the First Citizens Bank shares, funds may have been freed up for trading in other stocks.

On Monday, First Citizens is expected to commence trading and that is likely to make an immediate difference to the PE for that stock. There are others that appear ready to move in the days ahead. Trinidad Cement with the big pull back should attract some buying interest again.

TTSE PE RatioSep13We have removed National Enterprises from Finance and Banks to Conglomerates as the company is a holding company for a number of industrial enterprises in Trinidad.

Related posts | First Citizens shares set to explode | TCL up 209% in two months

Barita, Lasco Financial get thumbs up

Monday, 5th August 2013 | Two weeks into the earnings season and quarterly reports continue to flow in. How will the markets respond? Our ‘Stocks to Watch’ list gives clues for some of the market action expected this week.

Buy Rated Stock | New to our Buy Rated list are Barita Investments and Lasco Financial, which brings the number to 5 companies that have received a ‘two thumbs-up’ based on our review of their 2nd quarter results.

Other companies that reported results and solidified their position on our Buy Rated list are Access Financial and Lasco Manufacturing.

Better than a broker’s ‘buy’ recommendation, IC Insider has no vested interest in any stock transaction or conflict of interest. Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

Related posts | LASCO Financial small but tallawah | Access growth continues | LASCO Manufacturing profits in the future 

To find published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please use category Buy Rated’ under Company News or enter the company name, in full or part at ‘Search IC Insider’.

StockswatchAug5 Image courtesy of ImageryMajestic/FreeDigitalPhotos.net

Access growth continues

Access Financial Services is reporting another successful quarter but at a slower pace of 22 percent for the June quarter than for the first quarter. For the six months to June, earnings are up a still strong 34 percent to $119.59 million and $89.38 million in the same period last year. First quarter earnings increased 47 percent to $61.5 million from revenues of $173 up $19 million over 2012 first quarter. For the June quarter earnings came in at $58 million from revenues of $197.6 million versus $47.5 million in June 2012 based on revenues of $166.8 million.

Revenues for the year which was up by 13 percent in the first quarter is up 18 percent in the second quarter over 2012 and up 16 percent year to date. In the June quarter, revenues grew by $20 million over that of the March quarter but expense increased by $23 million led by a $11.5 million increase in provision for bad loans which resulted in slightly lower profit for the quarter versus the first quarter.

The results are coming off of a successful 2012 when it clocked up earnings of $238 million from an increase of 47 percent from revenues of $661 million.

The company’s growth is emanating from very strong growth in loans which increased from $643 million in March 2012 to $758 million at the end of March this year and to $776 million at the end of June. The last quarter is the period of greatest demand for loans and therefore the most profitable period.

Access is primarily involved in payroll lending at high interest rates amounting to about 60 percent per annum but they have been moving to more rapidly expand their offering to the small business sector. Investor’s Choice projects $1.37 per share earnings for 2013 and recommends the stock as a good buy.

The company has increased profits in each year and the stock has grown from $18.30 to the equivalent of $90 each (the stock was split into 10 units for each 1 owned and now trades at $9 each). Investors would have received a dividend in each year since the listing amounting to 65 cents based on last year’s earnings, 45 cents for 2011 earnings and 31 cents per share based on 2010 earnings — not bad for those who backed the issue.

Insider Call | Access Financial Services is a IC Insider Buy Rated stock.

Related Posts | Access Financial defying IPO critics | 20/20 Hindsight: Access Financial IPO

Ready. Set. Go!

Monday, 29th July 2013 | The earnings season has begun! Over the next few weeks, our IC Insider analysts will be busy scouring over company quarterly reports, crunching the numbers and calling it as we see it.

As in any race to perform, there will be winners and losers. The markets will be sure to respond and with the JSE and TTSE having a limited supply of some stocks, the bulls could be on the run.

Buy Rated Stock | Of the 5 company quarterly reports reviewed to date, 3 have been added to our Buy Rated list. National Commercial Bank, One Caribbean Media and Berger TT have interesting story lines that could improve your wealth health.

Better than a broker’s ‘buy’ recommendation, IC Insider has no vested interest in any stock transaction or conflict of interest. Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

Related posts | NCB recovers from NDX hit | OCM profits growth slows | Berger TT profit poised for big gain

To search for published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please use ‘Search IC Insider’ and enter the company name, in full or in part.

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Watching and rating

Monday, 22nd July 2013 | We’ll be watching to see what evolves during this week’s trading as we head into a period when companies start to release second quarter results. Our IC Insider “peep” behind the scenes, speaks a possible bull run since we see many instances where there’s a limited supply of stocks. Want to know more about the current demand and supply in the JSE? Read our market report Demand and supply tug of war.

Buy Rated Stock | Proven Wealth is new to our Buy Rated list. Before you buy, read our post, FX gains & securities boost Proven dated 4th June 2013, for an in-depth report of the company’s last reported results.

To search for published reports for a Buy Rated stock on IC Insider, please use ‘Search IC Insider’ and enter the company name, in full or in part.

Better than a broker’s ‘buy’ recommendation, IC Insider has no vested interest in any stock transaction or conflict of interest. Our research is backed by published reports of the company’s performance and insights of future earnings that can be found at ICInsider.com. The final decision to buy, or not, is your personal choice.

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