RJR Communications Group heads the 2020 Main Market IC TOP 10, with potential gains over the next twelve months of 200 percent at a PE ratio of 20 times projected earnings per share for 2021 of 20 cents that could rise to 25 cents or more. IC Insider.com projects earnings for the year to March 2020 to end at 10 cents per share for a PE ratio of 12.5.
Results for the media group for the nine months to December 2019, was vastly better than for the similar period in 2018, resulting in the stock price rebounding from its yearly low of 80 cents by more than doubling the December 2018 price. For the rest of the 2021 fiscal year, not all things may go well with the level of dislocation to the local economy arising from business closures currently in place.
Revenue growth for the nine months to December increased 3 percent over a similar period last year, with the group recording profit of $141 million compared with just $36 million for the same period in 2018. Importantly, television brought in 11 percent more revenues in the critical December quarter than for the similar period in 2018 while radio and newsprint brought in just two percent more. The 2019 results are the best they have been, going back to 2014. Improvement in revenues is better than it appears income for the previous year included advertising revenues related to the broadcasting of World Cup football.
Importantly, while many may associate the company with old media, the group is forging ahead with new media offerings and they are slowly building out their international offerings that will bring in added revenues going forward. RJR Group will benefit from the spending on the country’s upcoming general election due by the first quarter of 2021. The continued growth in the local economy is a major factor behind the recovery, with revenues growing as demand increased for the group’s products.

RJR shareholders at the 2019 AGM at the Jamaica Pegasus
While the current period will be challenging for some of their advertisers who may cut back on spending, the future is positive for the group as they grow their product offerings locally and overseas and increase revenues. On the cost side, the group has been chipping away at excess cost, but there is still more room for further enhanced efficiency.
One advantage that the group has is the low marginal cost of generating income that allows most of the added revenue generated, to flow to the bottom-line as an of the high degree of fixed cost.
The group’s gross cash flow amounted to $430 million for the nine months, with depreciation contributing $211 million. On a negative front, receivables grew by $426 million for the year to December and $300 million in the December quarter. Both are well above the growth in revenues for the year and the December quarter. In March, a related party, a senior manager and a director bought shares in the group, although not very large volumes.
The directors have not yet met to determine the exact amount of the split or the total number of shares that likely to be offered for sale later, but at Tuesday’s annual general meeting, the Chairman gave shareholders some sense as to what the outturn could be.

The company’s net results rose modestly, this is due to a hike in its tax bill from $28 million in the 2018 quarter to $71 million in 2019 and from $129 million for the nine months to December 2018, to $169 million in 2019. Before the increased tax charge, the latest quarter results were up a robust 28 percent to $289 million and 14.5 percent for the year to December at $949 million.



While revenues for the year rose 31 percent, direct cost rose at a slower pace, resulting in the gross profit climbing 39.4 percent over 2018 as gross profit margin rose to 36 percent compared to 33.7 percent in 2018. Administrative cost rose well ahead of revenue growth with a 41 percent increase over 2018, but the full-year increase is below a 70 percent surge in the July quarter while the fourth quarter saw a rise of 39 percent over 2018, is in line with the full-year increase.


Net insurance benefits rose 28 percent in the quarter to $8 billion from $6.3 billion in 2018 and from $19 billion to $21.2 billion for the nine months.
Another major milestone in 