Quick about turn at Key Insurance

Natalia Gobin-Gunter Chairman and Deputy Managing director inserting name strip to indicate listing of Key Insurance on the junior market.

Natalia Gobin-Gunter Chairman and Deputy Managing director inserting name strip to indicate listing of Key Insurance on the junior market.

Key Insurance recovered from a loss of $21 million in the June quarter to a profit of $84 million in the September quarter, up from a loss of $284,000 in the 2015 third quarter and also reversed the loss in the six months to June this year of $18 million.
The second quarter was negatively affected by an Insurance claims of $747 million compared to just $82 million in 2015 for the same period. In the September quarter the insurance company benefited from a positive turn around for claims.
The claims experience in the second quarter forced the company’s management to review the insurance claims and reserves quarterly rather than annually in the past. The end result is that claims seem to be back to normal in the third quarter with a net recovery in claims of $228 million as opposed to an expense of $193 million expensed in 2015.
Nine months profit ended at $66 million compared to $68 million for the 2015 period and seems set to reach $120 million for the full year, for earnings per share of 35 cents. At this level of earnings, the stock has a PE of 6, the lowest in the junior market.
Key generated net premium income of $166 million up 25 percent over 2015 and $451 million for the nine months, an increase of 28.5 percent. Administrative expenses rose from $77 million in the 2015 third quarter to $100 million in 2016 and for the nine months to $281 million from $220 million.
The stock last traded at $2 on the junior market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange.

Seprod profit up & dividend jumps

Seprod announced a dividend of $2.63, driving the stock to a  new 52 weeks' high of $30.

Seprod announced a dividend of $2.63, driving the stock to a new 52 weeks’ high of $30.

Seprod looks set to pay out all of their 2016 profit in dividend in November, with a payment of $1.36 billion. Chairman Paul Scott told IC Insider that the payment was due to gains made from the sale of shares previously held in Grace Kennedy, giving rise to investment gains of $874 million to September.
The board approved a big pay out of two dollars and sixty-three cents ($2.63) per share on November 28, to all shareholders on record as at November 18. The stock will trade ex-dividend on November 16. The dividend will consume $1.36 billion of the company’s cash and investments which stood at $3.9 billion at the end of September.
Seprod reported profit before losses attributed to minority shareholders in its subsidiary of $127 million for the September quarter versus a loss of $66 million in 2015 and $943 million for the nine months period compared to $375 million in 2015. Earnings per share amounts to 39 cents for the last quarter and $2.09 for the nine months as sale revenues declined to $11.1 billion for the nine months from $11.2 billion in 2015 but with the last quarter rising by 10 percent to $3.5 billion.
According to Scott the future looks bright going forward. “We are breaking even in the sugar operations with 11,000 tonnes of sugar produced last crop, Seprod Group.
Seprod banking on growth in its dairy operations making big contribution to profit.

Seprod banking on growth in its dairy operations making big contribution to profit.

before interest charges and expectation of 16,000 tonnes of sugar being produced in 2017, which should be profitable,” Scott told IC Insider. There is also the expectation of higher price for sugar in 2017 than in 2016. The added tonnage if achieved could result in around $300 million more in revenues with most of it flowing to the bottom line of a The next three years should see a slate of new products being produced with the dairy operations being a major contributor to this thrust with the local and Caribbean markets being targeted. Seprod in it unassuming style quietly produced some of the better returns to shareholders of listed companies, in the last 5 or so years has seen profit stagnated with the tightness in the economy and gig losses in the sugar operation. Recent results and pick up in economic activity locally and with the rate of exchange of the Jamaican dollar having adjusted against the back ground of relatively inflation has given the company a competitive edge in a number of areas which it seems poised to take advantage of in growing the business.
The stock last trade at $27.50 on the main market of Jamaica Stock Exchange and looks like a buy for the further.

Record profit for National Commercial Bank

NCB con springNational Commercial Bank ended its financial year to September with record profits helped by strong loan growth and big loan recovery of loans that were previously quarantined as doubtful.
The big Jamaican bank posted profit after tax and minority interest of $5 billion for an increase of 34 percent over the similar period in 2015 and a rise of 27 percent for the full year to $15.6 billion.
Earnings per share ended at $2.03 for the fourth quarter and $6.35 for the year. NCB recovered bad loan resulting in a positive flow of $291 million in the last quarter reducing the full year charge to $612 million compared to $1.8 billion in 2015.
Revenues net of interest expense rose 12 percent to $13.6 billion for the quarter and 9.6 percent to $52 billion for the full year. Net interest income grew 8.3 percent for the year to $28.1 billion. NCB results of a boost from Associated company profit, that rose from $122 million to $443 million in the September quarter and to $832 million from $434 million in 2015.
Loans, the critical contributor to revenue growth grew a strong 14.3 percent for the year to reach $189 million while investment securities declined modestly.
The group declared a dividend of 90 cents per share bring the full year payment to $2.25. The stock which remains IC Insider Buy Rated, last traded on the Jamaica Stock Exchange at $45.50 and is in strong demand with limited supply.

Top 5 record first 100% gain

Paramount Trading closed at an all-time high of $29 last week and gained 107% since early september.

Paramount Trading closed at an all-time high of $29 last week and gained 107% since early september.

Paramount Trading entered the Top 5 junior market list from the start in September, by the second week the price jumped pushing it out of the top listing. This past week, the stock closed at $29, and gained 107 percent from the Top 5 entry price of $14.
With the stock to be split into 10 units for each one now in issue by mid November, the price seems set to go higher with the expansion into lubricant manufacturing expected to boost profit in the next full fiscal year.
There is no new entry to the Top 5 list this week for either the junior market or the main market list but price movements resulted in changes in positions.
A number of companies released results for the third quarter with some not providing figures that could help to improve the prices of the relevant stocks. One such is Caribbean Cement that reported a loss in the September quarter, the result of closure of the factory for 45 days for refurbishing of the kiln. This does not affect the strong prospects for 2017 that will benefit from lower cost resulting from a reduced work force and a more efficient plant and increase demand for cement to flow from a growing economy.Top 5 stks 4-11-16 AMG Packaging reported slightly better full year results to August with profit of $83 million versus $80 million but profit for the last quarter declined to $17 million from $27 million in 2015, the company incurred a loss of $41 million for the year from sales of just $2 million in the new tissue operation. Gross profit margin climbed to $177 million compared to $149 million with sales declining from $633 million down to $629 million but other cost rose from $72 million to $100 million.
The next in line to the Top 5 in the junior market are tTECH, Caribbean Producers, Jamaican Teas, Eppley and Medical Associates and in the main market are Palace, JMMB Group, National Commercial Bank, Pan Jamaican and Sterling Investments.

Medical Disposables up 52% exits TOP 5

Blue Power enters TOP 5 list.

Blue Power enters TOP 5 list.

Medical Disposables exited the IC Insider’s TOP 5 junior market list, with gains of 52 percent since it entered the list on September 9, at the number 1 spot. The stock rose to $5.62 during the past week but ended at $5.39.
Blue Power enters the list for the first time, with the price having fallen in the week to $20.50. Profits after tax increased by 101 percent to $37 million over the previous year. The contribution of Lumber Depot division to the after tax tally was $17 million ($7 million in 2015), while Blue Power division added $20 million ($12 million in 2015). Earnings per stock unit for the quarter doubled from 33 cents to 66 cents. Sales revenues rose 12 percent, from $302 million to $339 million. Gross profit margin climbed to 24.3 percent in the quarter from 21.3 percent in the similar quarter of 2015 and 20.82 percent for the last fiscal year.
Paramount Trading entered at the number 3 spot at $14, gained 71 percent having shot up to $24 and exited in the top list on the week ending September 16, Derrimon Trading entered with the price at $3.10 and hit $5, for a gain of 61 percent, the stock exited the list during the week ending October 14. General Accident entered the list at $2.10 for the week ending September 23 and has gained 43 percent, the company left the list during the week ending October 7.
 Watch NCB for the break out that is coming soon.

Watch NCB for the break out that is coming soon.

The TOP 5 main market stocks have seen only one change since the start. JMMB Group entered at $10 and now sits at $13.50, just below the Top 5. During the past week, Caribbean Cement closed at $33 and move to number 2 spot but Barita Investments slipped in price and took over the number 1 spot. The company reported a small loss of $81 million in the September quarter, having suffered a reduction in revenues in the order of $950 million with the year to date results coming in at $973 million or earnings per share of $1.14 versus $1.5 billion or earnings per share of $1.75 in 2015. Based on the latest results, the stock price is unlikely to move higher in the short term and may well pull back but investors ought to be focusing on results in 2017 when the restructuring of the company’s operations are fully reflecting in the results. Berger Paints rose to $6 and dropped to 4.
Just below the TOP 5 junior market stocks are tTech, Dolphin Cove, Medical Disposables, Jamaican Teas and Caribbean Cream.
In the main market stocks below the Top 5 are JMMB Group, followed by Palace Amusement, Sterling Investments, National Commercial Bank (NCB) and Pan Jamaican. Technically, NCB is at a break out point accordingly, investors should keep an eye on this one as the next move could be sharply to the upside with final year results due shortly. In 2015, the full year results were released on November 12, as such the results for 2016 could be out on November 10.

LASCO Manufacturing profit jumps 45%

Lasco canProfit jumped 45 percent to $363 million for the quarter ending September this year, from $250 million in the September 2015 quarter for LASCO Manufacturing from revenue of $2.2 billion, an increase of 29 percent over the 1st quarter, this year and 35 percent over the June quarter of 2015.
For the six months period ended September 2016, LASCO generated a net profit of $587 million, 18 percent above the previous year’s profit of $497 million.
Revenue increased 28 percent to September 2016 to $4 billion, over the same period last year resulting from increased production as part of the expansion of the manufacturing plant. Gross margin of $1.3 billion, was achieved compared to $1 billion, the previous year.
Expenses for the six months rose 23 percent to $585 million, compared to the same period last year, due mainly to increases in marketing and equipment maintenance expenses.
Lasco new drnks“Production at the Liquid Plant continues to grow steadily, and we will further increase our capacity to meet the market demand for our iCool line of beverages, by ramping up production with the installation of additional equipment by the end of the financial year. We continue to be optimistic and confident about the future for this product line with substantial profits to be realized” Robert Parkins, Managing Director, stated in a release with the results.
Perkins went on to say “The new Dry Plant at White Marl is now fully operational, and together with the existing Red Hills Road Dry Plant recorded an increase of 24 percent in profits over last year at the end of the 2nd quarter. New products will be introduced by the end of the year to enhance the product line which is projected to continue to realize significant sales and profits.”
“The Statement of Financial Position shows Property, Plant and Equipment moving from $3.5 billion, at the beginning of the financial year to $4.6 billion at the close of the 2nd quarter. This is due to approximately $1 billion, of assets associated with both the liquid and dry plants being transferred during the period from work in progress as a result of continuing commissioning of these operations.”
The company reported cash flows from operations of $1.5 billion including more than $600 million released from working capital of which $1.17 billion was spent on expanding the plant.
IC Insider is forecasting $1.8 billion in profit or 45 cents earnings for the full year to March next year and $3.7 billion or 90 cents per share for 2018. Lasco last traded at $5 on the junior market of Jamaica Stock Exchange.

Caribbean Cement tops Top 5

CCC Gte Jetcon Corporation and Caribbean Cement sit atop the IC Insider’s Top 5 stocks with the best chance of rising on junior market and main market of the Jamaican Stock Exchange at the end of last week. Both stocks just edging out the number 2 by just a few points.
There were no new entrants in either lists but Caribbean Flavours swapped place with Medical Disposables that now sits at the number 5 spot. In the main market selections Caribbean Cement changed spots with Berger Paints with the latter enjoying a slight price gain while Cement suffered a mild decline in price. AMG Packaging last traded at $21 and seems a candidate for a stock split with limited supply and inadequate liquidity of the stock. Top 5 stks 21-10-16Blue Power that last traded at $24.50 and is outside the Top 5, is also in category of a potential stock split.
Derrimon Trading sits just below the Top 5 junior market stocks followed by Dolphin Cove CAC 2000, tTech and Caribbean Cream that dropped sharply this past week to $7.
Sitting below the Top 5 in the main market are, Palace, JMMB Group, National Commercial Bank, (NCB) Sterling Investments and Pan Jamaican Investments. Feedback from the market, is that NCB is in strong demand against a background of very limited supply and the price being severely undervalued.

Paramount best Top 5 performer

Paramount Trading having closed on Friday at $23.95 ended up as to top performing stock since IC Insider started the Top 5 selection list. Top 5 perf 14-10-16All selections recorded gains since they were identified as top stocks.
For the week ended on October 14, Jetcon Corporation emerged as the leader of the list of junior market stocks with the greatest potential gains followed by Access Financial Services, Derrimon Trading rose to over $4 and slipped off the list at the end of the week. Knocking at the door of the list are tTech and Dolphin Cove followed by Derrimon Trading.
Main market stocks all remained in the Top 5 but with changes in position with Barita Investments moving down to number 3 with the price moving to $4.65 and Berger Paints holding the top spot. Sitting just below the Top 5 are Palace Amusements. Top 5 stks 14-10-16JMMB Group, National Commercial Bank, Mayberry Investments and Sterling Investments all with potential gains over 100 percent.
IC Insider started the Top 5 selection as of September 9 and with just over a month having passed IC Insider looked at the performance of all the selections. Paramount Trading topped the list with a gain of 71 percent followed by 31 percent for Derrimon Trading and 27 percent for Medical Disposables in the junior market and a 48 percent gain for Barita Investments followed by a gain of 35 percent for JMMB Group.

Medical Disposables returns to Top 5

Medical Disposables back in TOP 5

Medical Disposables back in TOP 5

Medical Disposables returned to the Top 5 junior market selection at the end of the past week, based on price closing at $4.50, while Caribbean Flavours entered with the price having fallen to $8.
Jetcon Corporation closing at $4.51, was squeezed out by Medical Disposables while General Accident enjoyed strong buying during the past two weeks and rose to $2.65 and moved well out of the Top 5.
Medical Disposables still has more room for growth with the company expanding its product range but supply of the stock has dried up. Derrimon Trading closed the week at $3.65, moving it to third spot. Knocking at the Top 5 position in the junior market are Jetcon, tTech and Caribbean Cream trading just below.
Top 5 stocks in the main market underwent changes with JMMB Group that entered the list for the week ended September 9, gained 50 percent since, to move off the list and replaced by Grace Kennedy, entering at number 4. Radio Jamaica that was top of the list last week rose to $1.70 and sits at number 5 at the close on Friday.
Stocks peeping in at the Top 5 in the main market are National Commercial Bank, Mayberry Investments and Sterling Investments.
With the junior market trading at new records this past week, the attractive gains that were evident a few weeks ago are receding in the junior market with IC Insider’s data showing just 7 junior market stocks that could double by early 2017. That is in contrast to the main market that shows 18 stocks that could double or more than double.

BUY RATED Jetcon & Paramount jump 52%

Paramount Trading gained 52% in September and is up 622% since BUY RATED.

Paramount Trading gained 52% in September and is up 622% since BUY RATED.


Jetcon Corporation and Paramount Trading were the top performing BUY RATED stocks in September, jumping 52% in the month, followed by Medical Disposables up by 39 percent. In the main market, Barita Investments with a gain of 35 percent leads the majors.
JMMB Group is the second best main market performer with a rise of 31 percent, following IC Insider listing the stock as one of the Top 5 selection on September 9 and recent announcement of it getting a commercial banking license.
Berger Paints is now IC Insider’s BUY RATED listed, with the company benefiting from an improving environment that will keep cost down and encourage increased revenues and profit. IC Insider’s forecast is for earnings of $1 per share for the current year ending March 2017. For the full year to March 2016, revenues grew by 11 percent and material cost input fell as a percentage of sales to 46 percent versus 48 percent in 2015 while profit climbed 82 percent from 31 cents per share to 57 cents.
Performance to date. Jamaica Stock Exchange with gains of 1,250 percent since entering the BUY RATED list, is the top performing stock, followed by Caribbean Cement with gains of 1,067 percent. JSE will be splitting the stock into 5 shares and that could move the price up a bit in the short term, buying at these levels could be risky in the short term, not so for Caribbean Cement, that could easily double in a few months. The next highest main market selection is Jamaica Broilers Group with 186 percent gain and is now expected to market perform. Sagicor Group gained 163 percent and seems heading higher with no supply to sell now visible in the market that now has just one offer to sell.
For top all round gains, the junior market that is up 33.4 percent in 2016 to date is the place to have been, with 15 of the 18 selections gaining over 100 percent and one with 77 percent. Buy Rated upd 30-9-16The top performer is Caribbean Cream with gains of 793 percent overall and 28 percent in September and seems heading higher with $15 seems a likely target over the next few months. Paramount Trading gained 622 percent, with expansion taking place and a stock split to be approved at the October AGM, there is much more room for growth. AMG Packaging is up 472 percent and will head higher with expansion into tissue paper production. The company is adding more brands to its tissue operations and plans on adding more tissue production machines as well upgrading carton box machines, to improve efficiency. In the junior market, recent additions ISP Finance and Jetcon have gained 166 percent and 100 percent respectively, both have room for more growth. Knutsford Express Hold rating, has been lifted with prospects of long-term growth baked into its profit performance.
Prices are consolidating on the Trinidad & Tobago Market with few compelling buys currently.