General Accident in Blue Power out

Blue Power leaves TOP 5.

Blue Power leaves TOP 5.

General Accident Insurance dropped in price during the week to be back in the junior market TOP 5 pushing Blue Power just out of the TOP 5, as demand pushed the latter up to $23 as the company reported strong increase in profit for the second quarter to October.
Blue Power has sales for the quarter ended October 2016 increasing of $42 million or 14 percent to $339 million over the October 2015 period, while profit for quarter profit jumped 146 percent over the 2015 quarter to $32 million. For the half-year, profit more than doubled to $70 million from $32 million with earnings per share of $1.23 as revenues climbed just over 13 percent to $678 million.Top 5 stks 2-12-16
Jetcon Corporation that fell out of the top list in the week ending November 18 continues to climb away from the top list with gains during the past week. Barita Investments exited the TOP 5 during the week ending November 25 and has gone on the record further gains during the past week, as investors continue to react positively to the prospects for an outstanding 2017 based on the strong gains in net interest income and fee income for the stockbroker’s September quarter. These two stocks are up 64 percent and 77 percent respectively since they entered the Top 5 in September. Paramount Trading exited the TOP 5 and now has gains of 164 percent.

Doubts cast on employment rate

The Unemployment Rate for June 2016 fell to 12.9 percent, the lowest level since it hit a post 2007 high of 15.4 percent, in June 2013. It is the first time it is breaking below the 13 per cent level that it was stuck at for years. One aspect of the data raises questions about the findings.
Ja Unemply -2011-6-16.According to the Statistical Institute of Jamaica the government body charged with collecting and collating economic data on the country. ”There were 1,186,900 employed persons in July 2016 which was 39,400 more than the 1,147,500, recorded in July 2015. The industry group Wholesale & Retail, Repair of Motor Vehicle & Equipment had the largest gain (13,300) in employment moving from 220,200 in July 2015 to 233,500 in July 2016. For the same period the industry group Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry & Fishing had the largest decline (14,000), moving from 205,200 to 191,200. The industry group Construction had the largest increase in the number of males (10,200) and the groups Manufacturing (7,100) and Other Community, Social and Personal Service Activities (7,100) accounted for the largest increase in the number of females in the period.”
The big question is how is it possible for agriculture to have grown by a massive 38 percent, according to data from the Planning Institute of Jamaica and for there to be a major fall in employment in that category? The more likely situation is that employment grew sharply in the agricultural sector, resulting in a much greater fall in unemployment, assuming the estimate for growth in agriculture is correct.

280,000 points for All Jamaica

JSCD SM buildThe main market of the stock exchange has been closing at new highs on several occasions since November, with the latest being Friday December 2. At the same time, the junior which closed at a new high of 2,482.44 on November 7, is struggling since but with gains of 35 percent year to date.
For many years, December has been a period when the main market delivers major gains. This seems to be happening since the start of November and is supported by technical indicators that point to an initial run to 210,000 points on the all Jamaica Composite index and then to 240,000 points, with minimum resistance before facing a big resistance around the 260,000 points mark. (see Chart).
The main market broke through resistance at just under 190,000 points, where it was wedged in by a resistance line going back to the 2005 high, and the high in the early months, this year, preventing it from moving higher before. JSE inx tech 12-16The market is again in another wedge but that should be easily broken, with breakout not far off.
The junior market on the other hand is trading in a channel between 2,480 on the low and 2,600 points on the high and may take some time to break out, as it seems to be more inclined to trade closer to the lower end, with several of the stocks selling above 10 times current year earnings.
PE ratio on average is around 10 for the main market and 12 for the juniors, but a number are selling well over this level with some as high as 20 times 2016 earnings. Supply has been declining for the vast majority of stocks and many investors don’t seem to be aware of this.
10 stocks in the junior market are selling in excess of the average and 13 in the main market.

18 new IPOs for 2017

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JM SignThe Jamaica Stock Exchange is expecting at least 14 new listings of ordinary share in 2017, Marlene Street-Forrest, General Manager of the Stock Exchange told IC Insider.com. Street-Forrest says “this is information provided by brokers as well as enquiries made to the exchange, by interested companies.”
Two bond issues are also expected to be listed as well. There is the possibility of another listing which could be a relisting of a company that was previously listed years ago.
Ten new listings are slated for the junior market with 4 coming for the main market. Listings could start from as early as January or February.
The industries the potential junior market listed companies are involved in include one from information technology, two from the financial sector including a micro finance entity, a restaurant operation,

Minister of Finance Audley Shaw has restored junior market tax break.

Minister of Finance Audley Shaw has restored junior market tax break.

one in entertainment, a university and possibly one form the agricultural sector. Those slated for the main market include a financial sector and information technology and includes one from a group that have has two other entities from the group that are already listed.
The junior market listing activity was stalled while the business sector awaited the restoration of the tax incentive for the junior market. That legislation was passed by the senate on Friday Mrs Street-Forrest confirmed to IC Insider. The last listing of ordinary shares on the junior market was in March just ahead of the planned phasing out of tax free status for new listings on the exchange.
If the listings materialise, they would swell the junior market by a third and take the total listings on the exchange to more than 100, with the number of ordinary share listings to 80.

Jamaican$ steady vs US – Friday

Euro The Jamaican dollar remained below 129 to the US dollar on Friday but lost value versus the other three major currencies, with a big loss against the Canadian dollar, with the country entering a period of high inflows and relatively lower outflows that could well result in some revaluation of the currency in 2017.
On Friday dealers bought the equivalent of US$39,914,464 of all currencies and sold US$37,310,870, compared to US$31,582,543 purchased and US$30,667,869 sold on Thursday.
In US dollar trading, dealers bought US$34,228,934 compared to US$28,148,803 on Thursday. The buying rate for the US dollar rose 1 cent to close at $128.24. A total of US$33,195,116 was sold versus US$29,170,051 on Thursday, with the selling rate remaining at $128.95.FX sum 2-12-16 The Canadian dollar buying rate climbed sharply by $3.13 to $96.34, with dealers buying C$4,329,688 and selling C$3,693,831 at an average rate that surged $2.57 to $97.24. The average rate for buying the British Pound rose $1.15 to $160.36 for the purchase of £1,766,954 while £928,822 was sold with a rise of 82 cents to end at $162.12.
At the end of trading on Friday, dealers sold €145,186 with the selling rate for the Euro, closing with a rise of $3.67 to $139.11, according to data from Bank of Jamaica. Dealers purchased €100,568 of the European common currency at $132.38 after rising 70 cents. FX h&l 2-12-16 The US dollar equivalent of other currencies traded, amounts to US$119,348 being bought and selling of US$5,648.
Highs & Lows| Notable changes to the highest and lowest rates for the regularly traded foreign currencies on Friday, include a decline of $1.59 in the highest buying rate for the British Pound to $164.15, a fall of $2.53 in the highest selling rate to end at $166.71 while the lowest selling rate declined $2.70 to $151.30. The highest selling rate for the Euro declined by $1.38 to $141.72.

7 junior stocks rise 2 fall – Friday

 Jetcon Corporation ended at a new closing high of $5.75 on Friday to gain 155% since listing.

Jetcon Corporation ended at a new closing high of $5.75 on Friday to gain 155% since listing.

The junior market trading was dominated by trading in the shares of Lasco Financial, accounting for 84 percent of the total volume traded. In a moderate trading session the market index recovered 22.82 points to end at 2,423.87 on Friday.
At the close the prices of 7 stocks rose and 2 declined with 12 securities trading, one less than on Thursday. The movement in the junior market index left the gain for the year to date at 35 percent.
Stocks traded fell on Friday by 70 percent from Thursday’s level and ending with 890,579 units changing hands, valued at $2,867,579, down 78 percent from $13,246,216 on Thursday.
ICI Jm sum 2-12-16Market activities ended with 7 securities closing with bids higher than their last selling prices and just 2 ending with lower offers and one stock closed at a new all-time high.
An average of 74,215 units with an average value of $$238,965 traded, compared to 227,356 units with an average value of $1,018,940 on the preceding day. The average for December to date is 150,785 units at an average of $628,952. The average for November is 109,679 units with an average value of $607,092.
Eppley ordinary stock is yet to trade, after a split into 150 stock units for each one previously held.
In trading activity, Caribbean Cream traded just 446 units at $7.10, Caribbean Producers gained 30 cents with 500 units changing hands to end at $3.50, C2W Music rose 1 cent with 4,500 units changing hands to end at 26 cents, Dolphin Cove traded 150 shares ICI Jm trd Sht 2-12-16 and rose by 5 cents to end at $15.20. General Accident shed 10 cents and closed trading with 23,908 units at $2.50, Honey Bun had 4,658 shares changing hands to close at $5.83, Jamaican Teas traded 9,009 shares to close at $4.10, Jetcon Corporation traded with a gain of 50 cents to close at a new high of $5.75 with moderate volume of 7,300 shares. Key Insurance lost 5 cents in trading 63,100 shares and ended at $2.50, Lasco Distributors rose 15 cents after 7,260 shares changed hands at $6.80, Lasco Financial gained 5 cents and ended with 752,444 shares changing hands at $3.20 and Lasco Manufacturing gained 15 cents to end at $4.70 with a mere 17,304 shares changing hands.

Trading picks up on Trinidad Exchange

TTstocks Market activity on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Friday picked up marginally as the Composite and All T&T Indices recorded positive gains. Trading levels remained low with only 7 securities changing hands compared to 12 on Thursday.
At the close 3 stock advanced, 2 declined and 3 remained unchanged as 133,162 shares traded with a value of $610,132, in contrast to Thursday’s volume of only 25,307 units, valued at $525,554.
The Composite Index advanced 1.21 points to 1,206.65 points, the All T & T Index gained 1.39 points to 1,829.28 points, reducing its year to date loss to 6.12 percent. The Cross Listed Index was up 0.13 points to 78.06 points with year to date gains of 57.67 percent.
IC bid-offer Indicator |The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 4 stocks with bids higher than last selling prices and 9 with lower offers.
Gains| FirstCaribbean International Bank gained 1 cent to close at $8.50 with 3,554 shares TTSE sum 2-12-16changing hands, Guardian Holdings rebounded with gains of 36 cents, closing at $12.90 with 8,683 shares trading and Sagicor Financial added 11 cents to close at 52 weeks’ high of $7.61 as 32,363 shares switched owners.
Losses| Clico Investment slid 5 cents to close at $22.55 while 1,769 shares traded and Trinidad & Tobago NGL lost 5 cents, closing at $22.35 with 3,273 shares changing hands.
Firm Trades| JMMB Group closed with the price unchanged at 90 cents with 66,132 shares switching owners and National Commercial Bank traded at $3 with 16,388 shares changing hands.

Scotia Hits $35 in early trading

Scotia Group jumped to $35 with 868,827 units with 855,000 shares traded at $33, at the start of the trading session, its subsidiary Scotia Investments, traded with a gain of $3.50 to $32, with 61,417 units changing hands, ICI trd sht int -2-12-16while Lasco Financial traded 218,250 units at $3.15.
Trading in the rest of the market was moderate, with a total of 25 securities traded. 11 stocks advanced and 7 fell, resulting in a volume of 1,279,786 shares changing hands, carrying a value of a $31,954,967 compared with 2,917,036 shares changing hands carrying a value of a $16,055,511 on Thursday. The average number of shares traded, amount to 51,191 units versus 138,906 units on Thursday.
At 10:45 am the all Jamaica Composite Index jumped 791.94 points to 196,689.08 the Jamaica Stock Exchange Market Index climbed 708.14 points to 179,937.12, the Jamaica Stock Exchange combined index gained 479.40 points to close at 191,359.97 and the junior market index dipped 17.26 points to end at 2,383.79.

Jamaican$ trades below 129 vs US – Thursday

1000front The Jamaican dollar made gains against US dollar falling below 129 to the Green back for the second time, in less than a month. The country is entering into a period of high inflows and relatively lower outflows that could well result in some revaluation of the currency for awhile.
The local currency also gained, in trading with the Canadian dollar and the euro. On Thursday dealers bought the equivalent of US$31,582,543 of all currencies and sold US$30,667,869, compared to US$39,189,951 purchased and US$34,123,507 sold on Wednesday.
In US dollar trading, dealers bought US$28,148,803 compared to US$34,730,432 on Wednesday. The buying rate for the US dollar fell 7 cents to close at $128.23. A total of US$29,170,051 was sold versus US$32,306,693 on Wednesday, with the selling rate falling 9 cents, to $128.95.FX sum 1-12-16 The Canadian dollar buying rate rose by 28 cents to $93.21, with dealers buying C$1,849,736 and selling C$884,304 at an average rate that fell 63 cents to $94.67. The average rate for buying the British Pound rose 95 cents to $159.21 for the purchase of £1,595,600 while £627,875 was sold with a rise of 65 cents to end at $161.30.
At the end of trading on Thursday, dealers sold €55,600 with the selling rate for the Euro, closing with a drop of $4.55 to $135.44, according to data from Bank of Jamaica. Dealers purchased €99,383 of the European common currency at $131.68 after falling 79 cents. The US dollar equivalent of other currencies traded, FX h&l 1 -12-16amounts to US$5,915 being bought and selling of US$4,781.
Highs & Lows| Notable changes to the highest and lowest rates for the regularly traded foreign currencies on Thursday, include a decline of $15.75 in the lowest selling rate for the US dollar to end at $104.25. The highest selling rate for the Canadian dollar rose $1.06 to $100.66 while there was a rise of $1 in the lowest selling rate to $92. The highest buying rate for the British Pound rose $2.24 to end at $165.74 and the highest buying rate for the Euro declined by $4.20 to $134.50.

Record close greets December – JSE

Scotia climbs $1.27 to $33 on Thursday

Scotia climbs $1.27 to $33 on Thursday

The Jamaica Stock exchange main market, ended at a new closing high, starting the final month of the year positively. At the close, the All Jamaica Composite Index climbed 634.38 points to end at 195,897.14, a rise of 17 percent for the year to date. The gains obscure the nearly even advance decline ratio of stocks traded.
The JSE Market Index grew by 567.25 points to finish at a record closing high of 179,228.98. The JSE combined index rose 237.54 points to end at 190,880.57 with a gain for the year to date of 20.5 percent.
Trading ended with 33 securities changing hands, the prices of 11 stocks gained while 10 declined in the overall market, including 3 stocks rising and 4 falling, in the junior market.
At the close with 4,089,242 units valued at $37,502,327 changed hands, compared to 5,145,475 units valued at $84,668,693 changing hands on Wednesday. The junior market accounted for 2,955,623 units changing hands, valued at $13,246,216 of the stocks traded.
ICI JSE sum 1-12-16 The average trade for the day in the main market ended at just 56,681 shares compared to an average of 163,633 units traded on Wednesday with the average for the November ending at 208,466 units.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 9 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 with lower offers.
In market activity, Cable & Wireless gained 5 cents in trading 64,494 units to close at 80 cents, Caribbean Cement with 4,300 shares trading closed at $28. Carreras lost 40 cents in exchanging 3,220 shares at $65.60, Grace Kennedy fell 40 cents and ended trading only 692 units at $41.60. Jamaica Broilers closed at $14.72 with 12,300 shares changing hands, Jamaica Producers traded 85,955 shares to end with a loss of 5 cents, at $8.25, Jamaica Stock Exchange traded 16,509 shares and fell 35 cents, to end at $5.20, JMMB Group traded 100,472 units at $13.63. Kingston Wharves ended trading 28,984 shares to close at $19, National Commercial Bank added 9 cents and ended at $50.10 with 112,759 shares trading,ICI JSE trds 1-12-16 PANJAM Investment traded 12,100 units at $24.32 after rising 2 cents, Portland JSX traded 13,500 units with the price losing 5 cents to $11. Radio Jamaica gained 5 cents in trading 3,930 units to close at $1.35, Sagicor Group dipped 40 cents with 330,766 shares changing hands at $25.60, Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded 7,026 units with the price ending at $10.25, while Scotia Group jumped $1.27 with 181,762 shares changing hands to close at $33. Supreme Ventures lost 15 cents and ended at $4.80 with 6,000 units changing hands and JMMB Group 7.50% preference share traded rose 5 cents to close with 133,100 units at $1.05.