The week just ended saw investors knocking bank stocks down following the surprise announcement by Bank of Jamaica to get banks to suspend the payment of dividends for the remainder of 2020 and that helped to push the market index sharply lower with some recovery on the last three days of the week.
Caribbean Cement and NCB Financial released first-quarter results in the past week with lower profit than the previous year’s March quarter. As if investors expected the outturn, the stock prices did not seem to react to them.
The Junior Market, after attempting to close higher for the past six days finally did so on Friday a sign that it could be heading higher in the days ahead as it traded as high as 2,478 points on Friday just below the close on April 16.
The Junior and Main Market, IC Insider.com TOP 10 closed the week with one change each. Dropping from the list are Access Financial Services for the Junior Market and replaced by Stationery and Office Supplies, while Stanley Motta dropped from the Main Market listing and replaced by Victoria Mutual Investments.
The three top Junior Market stocks with the potential to gain between 344 to 660 percent by 2021 are Caribbean Producers leading, followed by Lasco Financial and KLE Group. In the Main Market, Radio Jamaica continues to lead, followed by Berger Paints and JMMB Group, with projected gains of 173 to 213 percent.
This week’s focus: Stationery and Office Supplies fell from a high of $16.35 last august is now trading at a discount of 61.5 percent to that price. The stock had moved from $6.85 in May last year to the high after revenues climbed by 23 percent for the half-year to $639 million to $519 million and profits rose 63 percent from $56 million to $92 million. The half years revenues compare favourably with the $702 million generated in the twelve months in 2016, the year before listing in 2017. 
Revenues grew around 12 percent from 2013 to 2016, then increased to 17.4 percent for 2018 and 14.5 percent for 2019. The company has an excellent management team that is growth-oriented as such investors can look forward to revenues growing in the 15-20 percent range going forward. In pursuit of this objective, the company is putting in place additional storage facilities to accommodate a robust expansion of sales. Investors should not rule out the possibility that they could expand from acquisitions as well as was the case with the addition of the business making the SEEK brand. While the disruption caused by the Coronavirus could derail the medium-term growth, it will only be a matter of time for management to pick up and return to the pre virus growth levels.
The targeted average PE ratio of the market is 20 based on the profits of companies reporting full year’s results for the financial year ending after this year’s second quarter and up to the second quarter in 2021. Both the Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below this level. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 12.5 and the Junior Market a mere 9, based on current 2020-21 earnings. The PE ratio for Junior Market Top 10 stocks averages a mere 5.3 with the Main Market at a much higher level of 8.3.
The TOP 10 stocks now trade at a discount of 43 percent of the average for Junior Market and Main Market stocks trade at a discount of 34 percent to the overall market. The average projected gain for the IC TOP 10 stocks is 319 percent, for the Junior Market and 148 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns to March 2021. Forecasted earnings and PE ratio for the current fiscal year are in determining potential gains. The ranking of stocks is in order of likely increases, with the highest-ranked, being the most attractive. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and will result in movements of the selection in and out of the lists for most weeks. Earnings per share are revised on an ongoing basis when new information is received that can affect earnings significantly.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
The T&T Composite Index advanced 1.79 points to 1,268.45. The All T&T Index gained 1.56 points to 1,672.95, while the Cross Listed Index added 0.27 points to close at 116.90.
Prestige Holdings gains of 50 cents to end at $7.90, while transferring 300 units and Scotiabank picked up 19 cents to end at $54.19 and 1,000 units traded.
At the close of trading, the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index advanced by 1,102.78 points to 400,497.50, the JSE Market Index climbed 1,083.49 points to 365,129.45 and the JSE Financial Index added 0.04 points to 98.01.
The Market closed with an average of 154,880 units at $1,669,401 for each security traded, in contrast to 1,949,150 units valued at an average of $3,182,761 on Thursday. Trading in April resulted in an average of 1,077,021 units valued at $3,829,201 for each security.
Jamaica Stock Exchange fell $1.40 to $21.60, after exchanging 1,819 units. JMMB Group declined to $33, with a loss of 99 cents trading 360,765 shares, Mayberry Jamaican Equities closed $1.60 lower to $8.20 trading 4,411 units, NCB Financial Group closed at $145, with gains of $2 after swapping 85,918 shares. PanJam Investment gained 60 cents to close at $77, with 56,155 shares changing hands, Proven Investments shed 99 cents with a transfer of a mere 20 units and closed at $36.01, Sagicor Real Estate Fund gained 64 cents to settle at $7.75, in swapping 10,864 stock units. Scotia Group closed 50 cents higher at $44, in trading 56,801 shares and Supreme Ventures gained 90 cents to end at $15.90, trading 583,782 shares.
Trading on the concluded with 33 securities changing hands, resulting in an exchange of 6,671,271 units valued at $14,495,961, compared to 5,285,092 units valued at $16,777,095 on Thursday. 
AMG Packaging closed trading of 5,057 units and gained 10 cents to end at $1.75, Blue Power closed 35 cents higher at $3.75, with an exchange of 26,362 stock units. Caribbean Assurance Brokers traded 88,627 shares, losing 8 cents and closed at $2.20, Caribbean Cream climbed 15 cents and exchanged 1,376,796 shares at $2.15, Caribbean Flavours closed with a loss of 98 cents at $9, after hitting a 52 weeks’ intraday low of $8 in swapping 5,633 shares. Caribbean Producers shed 20 cents in transferring 1,082,082 units at $2.50, Consolidated Bakeries lost 25 cents trading of 2,500 units at $1.51, Derrimon Trading shed 19 cents in exchanging 99,326 shares at $2.01, Elite Diagnostic closed 15 cents lower in trading of 14,617 units at $3.55. Everything Fresh closed 2 cents higher at 80 cents, with 28,697 stock units changing hands, Express Catering gained 10 cents to settle at $3.35, with 29,227 stock units traded, Fontana dipped 6 cents in trading of 246,424 units at $5.28. Fosrich lost 11 cents in an exchange of 1,102 units at $3.89, GWest Corporation ended with a loss of 1 cent at 88 cents with 16,863 stock units changing hands, Honey Bun closed with 137,950 units crossing the exchange and gained 31 cents, to end at $5.80. Indies Pharma closed with 4,940 units trading and gained 4 cents to end at $2.40, Iron Rock Insurance closed 5 cents higher at $2.10, with 100,000 stock units trading, Jamaican Teas ended market activity transferring 204,425 shares to close at $4.02, after falling 2 cents. 
Jetcon Corporation shed 16 cents in exchanging 21,867 units to close at a 52 weeks’ low of 86 cents after hitting a low of 80 cents during trading, Lasco Distributors closed trading of 254,571 units and rose 13 cents to settle at $2.98, Lasco Manufacturing declined by 13 cents in transferring of 16,117 units at $3.67. Limners and Bards climbed 9 cents and exchanged 4,000 shares at $1.95, Lumber Depot ended trading with 646,793 shares, after rising 3 cents to end at $1.15, Main Event closed trading of 746 units and gained 6 cents to end at $3.87. Medical Disposables declined 46 cents to settle at $5.99, Stationery and Office Supplies closed trading of 5,000 units and gained 25 cents to end at $6.30 and SSL Venture closed with 12,841 units exchanged and gained 2 cents to close at 92 cents.
Market activity resulted in three securities changing hands, with the price of one stock falling, none declining and two left unchanged. Investors exchanged just 36,380 units valued at a mere $5,752, in contrast to 1,628,728 units valued at $25,369.32 on Thursday.
