JSE closes sharply higher on Wednesday

Grace Kennedy shares ended at a 52 weeks' closing high on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Wednesday.

Grace Kennedy shares ended at a 52 weeks’ closing high on the Jamaica Stock Exchange on Wednesday.

Prices surged on the Jamaica Stock Exchange as the prices of 19 securities gained pushing the main market indices up sharply. A total of 40 securities traded, with 19 rising, 10 declining, including an equal number of 5 stocks, rising and falling from the junior market.
The JSE Market Index jumped 2,358.31 points to end at 162,282.21 the all Jamaica Composite Index surged 2,637.40 points to close at 180,322.56 and the JSE combined index climbed 1,894.91 points, to end at 172,941.88.
Supreme Ventures traded 8,126,388 units that help push market volume to 14,235,064 units valued at $406,796,824 changing hands, in all market segments. The junior market accounted for 2,802,872 units traded, valued at $13,180,124 of all trades.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading showed 15 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 with lower offers.
JSE Sum 3-08-16At the end of market activities, Barita Investments traded 17,077 units and gained 50 cents, to close at $3, Berger Paints traded 10,892 shares to end at $4.55, Cable & Wireless gained 10 cents in trading 275,234 shares to close at $1.25, Caribbean Cement rose 10 cents in trading 288,375 shares to close at $25.60. Carreras rose 93 cents in exchanging 23,767 shares at $65.90, trading in 1834 Investments, resulted in 306,883 shares changing hands to close at $1.39, Grace Kennedy jumped $1.99 to close at a new high of $126.99 with 93,212 shares changing hands. Jamaica Broilers ended with 6,648 shares changing hands and fell 48 cents to $14.52, Jamaica Producers rose 4 cents in trading 65,292 shares to end at $8.29, Jamaica Stock Exchange had 18,000 shares trading at $22, JMMB Group traded 32,910 units to end at $9.50, after falling 40 cents. Kingston Properties traded 10,483 shares but lost 7 cents to end at $8.93. Kingston Wharves gained 3 cents with 35,725 units changing hands and closed at $15.53, Mayberry Investments gained 23 cents with 10,000 shares trading, to close at $3.30, National Commercial Bank traded 11,505 units changing hands, to close with a gain of 70 cents at $42.50, Pan Jamaican traded 2,618 shares and rose by 49 cents to end at $25.50. Portland JSX traded 16,155 shares and fell 35 cents to end at $12.50, Radio Jamaica rose 20 cents to close at $1.60 after 157,613 shares changed hands, Sagicor Group climbed 75 cents to end with just 700 shares changing hands at $22.15. JSE trades 3-08-16Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded 18,840 shares to close at $10.50, Scotia Group jumped $2.38 while trading 533,602 shares to end at $32.48, Scotia Investments had 8,473 units changing hands at $26.50, for a gain of 40 cents, Supreme Ventures lost 1 cent and ended at $4.50, with 8,126,388 units changing hands. Proven Investments traded 137,500 units to close at 19 US cents for a rise of 1 US cent, JMMB Group 7.5% preference share traded 40,000 shares to close at $1.12 after gaining 2 cents and Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.5% preference share traded 1,183,000 shares to close at $2.09.

No new taxes for Jamaicans

Collector of Taxes office, Constant Spring, Kingston.

Collector of Taxes office, Constant Spring, Kingston.

Earlier this year I stated that government’s $1.5 billion tax plan could be funded from ongoing revenues but others thought otherwise. 2016 fiscal data showed savings on the cost side particularly interest cost reduction and increase revenues that were running above budget.
Based on developments on the fiscal operations this fiscal year, it seems that government was well on the way to enjoying a bumper reaping in 2016/17 fiscal year of higher revenues and lower interest cost that seemed adequate to meet the proposed tax break of the tax free $1.5 billion.
With the first quarter revenues and expenditure in the data is confirming what I was saying and is indicating that the naysayers are far from as informed as some would want the public to believe. What the early data is suggesting is that the economy seems to be performing better than in recent past and more importantly, that there was no need for any new taxes for this fiscal year and none will be needed to fund the rest of the personal tax break to be effected in 2017/18.
The simple reason is, savings on interest cost, with lower interest rates on government debt and an 11 percent rise in revenues over the 2015 intake, equal to an 8 percent increase above budget for the current fiscal year, will translate to $46 billion in added revenues and interest savings over the planned amounts. That will be more than enough to fund the increase tax break to come and to do without the NHT special payment. But that is not all if positive economic growth continues into 2017 revenues will rise some more probably with an additional $30 billion.
What the data is showing, is that the country has been failing from lack of thinking outside familiar territory.

JSE gained 1,000 points – Wednesday

The Jamaica Stock Exchange all Jamaica Composite index surged 1,134 points on the Wednesday morning session and the main market JSE index shot up by 1,036 points after nearly an hours trading but slipped back slightly with 14 securities rising and only 5 declining.
JSE Intra - 3-08-16Cable & Wireless traded at $1.20, Carib Cement traded at $26, Kingston Wharves moving to $15.99 while National Commercial Bank traded at $42.75 and Scotia Group traded at $30.50.
the markets indices slipped back from their early high, and by 10:45 am, the all Jamaica Composite Index rose 738.02 points to 178,423.18, the Jamaica Stock Exchange Market Index climbed 659.92 points to 160,583.82, the Jamaica Stock Exchange combined index gained 460.01 points to close at 171,691.28 points andthe junior market index dived 14.83 points to 2,198.19 as Lasco Distributors traded 1,061,249 units down to $7.
Trading at 10:45 am resulted in 26 securities changing hands, accounting for a volume of 2,127,681 shares. The average number of shares traded amounts to 81,834 units compared to 83,033 units on Tuesday.

Juniors end with 7 gains on Tuesday

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The junior market closed on Tuesday higher with more stocks rising than declining. The market closed with 11 securities being active. The index closed 12.16 points higher at 2,213.02 as an equal number of 7 stocks advanced and 3 declined and with 1 closing at a new high. A total of 478,536 units traded, valued at $2,513,232.
JM sum 2-8-16 A total of 5 stocks closed with bids higher than their last selling prices and 2 ended with a lower offer.
At the close, Access Financial Services had 5,000 units changing hands while rising 40 cents to close at $17.50, AMG Packaging closed with 2,746 units changing hands at $12.50, Caribbean Cream rose 5 cents with 26,684 shares changing hands to close at $7, Caribbean Producers traded 88,848 units at $3.26, with a 1 cent rise. General Accident traded 4,000 units at $2.40, after rising by 35 cents,JM Trdng Sht 2-8-16 Honey Bun had 37,260 shares changing hands, to close with a loss of 5 cents at $5.40, Jamaican Teas fell 15 cents and traded 6,000 shares to close at $3.15. Jetcon Corporation gained 5 cents while trading 6,247 shares to close at $2.60, KLE Group traded 2,300 units to close with a gain of 10 cents at $1.40. Knutsford Express closed with 316 units changing hands to end at $19 with a rise of $4, Lasco Distributors ended with 76,102 shares changing hands, to end 10 cents lower at $7.20 and Lasco Manufacturing rose 3 cents and closed at $5 with 223,349 shares trading.

Net FX inflows climb to $100m

1000front Net inflows into the Jamaica’s foreign exchange market, rose by just under US$10 million on Tuesday, pushing the surplus since the end of June to US$102 million. In Tuesday’s trading, dealers bought US$51,197,988 while they sold US$41,592,069 compared to US$41,626,691 purchased and US$36,879,082 sold on Friday, of all currencies. The value for the Jamaican dollar rose against the major currencies.
In US dollar trading, dealers bought US$8 million more than they sold with buying amounting to US$47,968,704 compared to US$36,942,682 on Friday. The buying rate for the US dollar fell 15 cents to $125.74. FX trde sum -08-16A total of US$40,035,361 was sold versus US$30,736,441 on Friday, with the selling rate falling 7 cents to end at $126.49. The Canadian dollar buying rate declined by $1.02 to end at $93.02, with dealers buying C$1,653,128 and selling C$1,026,290, at an average rate that dropped $2.94 to $97.05. The average rate for buying the British Pound dipped 31 cents to $163.03 for the purchase of £1,389,791, while £514,598 was sold to end at $165.53, for a decline of 48 cents.
At the end of trading, the selling rate for the Euro, climbed by $1.39 to close at J$141.58 from Friday’s rate, according to data from Bank of Jamaica, while dealers purchased the European common currency at J$139.27 for a leap of $7.07.FX HL 2-08-16 The US dollar equivalent of other currencies traded amounts to US$204,464 being bought, while US$95,810 was sold.
Highs & Lows| Notable changes to the highest and lowest traded rates, for the Jamaican dollar in the foreign exchange market on Tuesday, include, a gain of 80 cents in the highest buying rate of the Canadian Dollar to close at $98.30, a rise of $2.10 in the lowest selling rate to $91.10, while trading in the British Pound resulted in a gain of $1.35 in the highest buying rate to $168.65 and the lowest selling rate dropped $6.55 to end at $153.45.

Moderate trading on TTSE – Tuesday

TTSE build The Trinidad and Tobago stock market closed on Tuesday with just 6 securities trading, after closing on Monday for the emancipation holiday. Trading resulted in 122,231 shares valued at $1,028,392 changing hands. The market closed with 2 stocks rising, 1 declining stocks and 3 remaining unchanged.
The Composite Index rose 0.51 points to close at 1,153.32, the All T&T Index gained 0.69 points to close at 1,811.35 and the Cross Listed Index inched up 0.04 at 65.95.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator ended with 6 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 7 with offers that were lower.
Gains| Firstcaribbean International Bank rose just 1 cent in trading 11,010 shares to end at $7 andTTSE sum 2-08-16 Scotiabank ended with 2,000 shares changing hands to close with a 20 cents gain at $55.25.
Losses| Trinidad and Tobago NGL fell 1 cent to closed with 2,764 shares changing hands at $23.75.
Firm Trades| JMMB Group ended with 38,326 shares changing hands to close with at 64 cents, Massy Holdings had 175 shares changing hands to close at $56.73 and Prestige Holdings with 67,956 units with a value of $740,720 changing hands at $10.90.

JSE opens August positively

Exchange place 2 The Jamaica Stock Exchange closed on the first trading day of August with moderate gains in the market indices on Tuesday, but advancing stocks were just edged out losers. A total of 31 securities traded, with 11 rising, 12 declining, including 7 stocks, rising and 3 falling in the junior market, as the market continues to consolidate.
The JSE Market Index rose 101.94 points to end at 159,923.90 the all Jamaica Composite Index gained 114.00 points to close at 177,685.16 and the JSE combined index rose 219.30 points, to end at 171,046.97.
The market closed trading, with 2,798,225 units valued at $141,568,340 changing hands, in all market segments. The junior market accounted for 478,536 units traded, valued at $2,513,232 of all trades.
JSE Sum 2-08-16 IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, in the main and junior markets, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading showed 11 stocks with bids higher than their last selling prices and 5 with lower offers.
At the end of market activities, Berger Paints traded 1,608 shares to end at $4.55, Cable & Wireless fell 2 cents in trading 149,674 shares to close at $1.15, Carreras rose 7 cents in exchanging 4,125 shares at $64.97, Grace Kennedy closed at $125 with 11,322 shares changing hands. Jamaica Broilers ended with 1,559,831 shares changing hands with a 49 cents gain to close at $15, Jamaica Producers gained 10 cents in trading 1,590 shares to end at $8.25. Jamaica Stock Exchange dropped 50 cents to end at $22 while trading 7,200 shares, JMMB Group fell by 5 cents in trading 34,044 units to end at $9.90, Kingston Wharves with 5,221 units changing hands, closed at $15.50. National Commercial Bank lost 45 cents with 14,133 units changing hands, to close at $42.05,JSE fn qts 2-08-16 Pan Jamaican traded 5,934 shares and fell 46 cents to end at $25.01. Radio Jamaica lost 15 cents to close at $1.40 after 6,990 shares changed hands, Sagicor Group ended with a fall of $1.10 while 41,845 shares changed hands at $21.40. Sagicor Real Estate Fund traded just 1,442 shares but rose 40 cents to close at $10.50. Supreme Ventures ended at $4.51, with 5,100 units changing hands, Proven Investments traded 50,250 units to close at 18 US cents for a fall of 1 US cent and Jamaica Money Market Brokers 7.50% preference share traded 417,560 units to close at $2.09.

GOJ revenues grow faster than plan

Minister of Finance Audley Shaw

Minister of Finance Audley Shaw

Government of Jamaica revenues jumped nearly 6 percent over budget for the first two months of the fiscal year to May, and have seen an acceleration to June with a 7.9 percent increase, bringing the surplus to $8.4 billion with total inflows of $115 billion.
Revenues for the first quarter are running 11 percent or $12 billion ahead of the 2015 first quarter revenues. Recurrent spending dropped sharply by 8 percent against budget to hit $122.7 billion from a budget of $133.5 billion. The net result of the increase in revenues and reduced expenditure is a reduction in the fiscal deficit of just $7.5 billion, down by $26.8 billion projected.
Revenue in take for the two period is just over $9.2 billion or 15 percent ahead of the similar period for 2015. The primary surplus that was budgeted at $11 billion is now at $26.8 billion.
Tax revenues jumped 7.8 percent or $7.9 billion over forecast with the excess over budget flowing mainly from the following, corporation tax of $1.66 billion, PAYE $457 million, local GCT $2.4 billion, local stamp duty $680 million, education tax $300 million. GCT on imports accounted for $1.5 billion of the excess inflows while custom duty chipped in with $422 million but travel tax fell by $380 million.
Collector of Taxes office, Constant Spring, Kingston.

Collector of Taxes office, Constant Spring, Kingston.

Interest cost fell by $3.5 billion and normal housekeeping expenses is down by $4.7 billion while the wage bill moved up by $936 million. Capital spending was under by $3.7 billion with only $9.6 billion spent to June.
The increase in revenues is in keeping with a trend seen in the first 9 months of 2015 when revenues were growing well ahead of forecast.
The savings in the cost of debt servicing, plus the increased revenues above budget, translate to $11.8 billion or $47 billion over a full 12 months, should the trend continue, well in excess of the cost of the tax break agreed for personal income tax.

Grace Trades at new high of $128

JSE Intra - 2-08-16

Crude oil falls set for more losses

Fuel prices at the pumps in May 2015.

Fuel prices at the pumps in May 2015.

Jamaica and most of the Caribbean excepting Trinidad and Tobago are benefiting from a soft oil market with prices having fallen from a recent high of US$51.23 per barrel in June.
Excess inventories said to be near the 97-year high reached in April and increased drilling has pushed the price down to US$40 per barrel on Monday. Technical indicators point to a fall to the low, between US$35 to US$30, before too long.
Increased drilling and the rise in supplies will add more downward pressure on prices going forward, it will take a very long time for inventories to normalize. Added to this, is the pressure that investors have placed on prices, as they continue to sell oil short, at an increasing pace.
For every US$1 fall in the price, Jamaica will save approximately US$9 million per year. The fall back of oil prices will result in lower electricity and transportation cost for the majority of the region and boost companies profits.

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