Activity on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market ended on Tuesday with the volume of shares trading rising moderately with a slightly higher value than on Monday and ended with declining stocks dominating the market with nearly five stocks for every three rising stocks were less than those declining.
The All Jamaican Composite Index fell 30.08 points to settle at 444,544.62, the JSE Main Index popped 573.54 points to 391,696.74 and the JSE Financial Index lost 0.04 points to end at 95.61.
A total of 53 securities traded down from 59 on Monday, with 15 rising, 24 declining and 14 ending unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a formula for computing appropriate stock values, averages 16.3. The PE ratio for the JSE Main and USD Market closing quotes are based on ICInsider.com earnings forecasts for companies with financial years ending up to August 2022.
Overall, 17,224,141 shares were exchanged for $157,007,733 versus 14,925,719 units at $141,613,197 on Monday. Wigton Windfarm led trading with 28.4 percent of total volume for 4.88 million shares followed by Sagicor Select Financial Fund with 22.2 percent after exchanging 3.82 million units, QWI Investments accounted for 11 percent with 1.89 million units and Transjamaican Highway traded 1.05 million units for 6.1 percent market share.
Trading averaged 324,984 shares at $2,962,410, up from 252,978 stock units at $2,400,224 on Monday. February losed with an average of 392,520 units at $3,199,976.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows 14 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Barita Investments shed 35 cents to close at $90.05 with an exchange of 274,827 shares, Caribbean Cement climbed $10.49 in closing at $75.50 after trading 15,342 units, Caribbean Producers shed 94 cents to end at $15.90 in switching ownership of 243,680 stocks. GraceKennedy lost 59 cents in ending at $103.01 after 62,013 stock units crossed the exchange, Jamaica Stock Exchange fell 95 cents to $17 in trading 42,906 shares, Kingston Properties gained 50 cents to finish at $9 with the swapping of 1,451 stock units. Kingston Wharves advanced $1.30 to $41.80 with 1,829 units clearing the market, NCB Financial
declined $2.30 to close at $121.70 after exchanging 48,782 stocks, Palace Amusement popped $95 to end at $1,045 with 6 units crossing the market. PanJam Investment declined $2 to close at $64 with 786,655 shares changing hands, Proven Investments rallied $1.54 to $35.35 with the swapping of 43,708 stocks, Sagicor Group fell $3.90 in closing at $54 after the transferring of 178,498 stock units. Scotia Group shed 60 cents to end at $34 after trading 41,319 stocks, Seprod slipped 90 cents to $56.10 with 11,300 shares changing hands, Stanley Motta lost 42 cents to close at $5.28 with a transfer of 753 units. Sygnus Credit Investments dipped 35 cents to end at $14.70 with an exchange of 72,199 shares and Sygnus Real Estate Finance gained 50 cents to close at $16.70 with the swapping of 224 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Tropical Battery tops ICTOP10
Tropical Battery surges to sit on top of the ICTOP10 Junior Market listing with the company seemingly poised to earn $280 million with earnings per share of 22 cents, more than five times 2021 full year earnings, with potential for the price to deliver gains of 153 percent as the stock helped in creating a complete overhaul of the TOP 3 stocks at the end of the week.
In the past week, the Junior Market came back to life and clawed back much of the 226 points lost in the previous week while the Main Market continues to consolidate around the 440,000 points level, on the All Jamaica Composite Index.
The focus this past week was on the FJP Limited IPO that opened on Monday at $1 per share and closed on Tuesday, having been oversubscribed. As the FJP offer closed, up came the third new offer for the Junior Market in 2022, with the release of the EducFocal prospectus to raise $130 million at $1 per share, with the issue opening on March 3 and expected to close shortly thereafter.
In TOP10 developments this week, returning to the Junior Market are Tropical Battery with the price slipping from last week’s $1.79 to $1.74 and Medical Disposables after the price slipped from $7.27 to $6.60 this week. Leaving the TOP10 this week are iCreate and Cargo Handlers. The Main Market had one change, with Carreras moving out after hitting $8.90 and Jamaica Broilers coming in to replace it.
During the week, the Junior Market TOP10 listed Cargo Handlers surged 27 percent to $8.89, iCreate rose 28 percent to close at 77 cents, while Elite Diagnostic and Lasco Distributors both lost 9 percent to end at $3.30 and $3.63 respectively and Lasco Financial lost 8 percent to close at $3.30.
In the Main Market, Carreras rose 8 percent to close of $8.90 while Sagicor Group added 6 percent to end at $57, but 138 Student Living lost 5 percent to end at $5.20.
The Junior Market potential gain for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks has moved up from 104 percent to 113 percent, much lower than the Main Market at 125 percent. The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Tropical Battery followed by Elite Diagnostic and Lasco Distributors to gain between 120 and 153 percent, compared to 109 and 129 percent, previously.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 122 percent last week to this weeks’ 125 percent, with the top three being Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Sygnus Credit Investments all projected to gain between 161 and 180 percent versus 165 and 185 percent last week.
The average PE for Junior Market has moved to 19.4 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is ahead of the JSE Main Market at 16.7. In the process, the Junior Market has surpassed the average of 17 that was achieved at the end of March last year. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.5, with a 41 percent discount to that market’s average.
All the stocks in the Junior Market can gain just 3 percent to the end of March this year, based on an average PE of 20. About a third of Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, averaging around 23.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.9 just 12 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 18 percent below the target of 20 to March this year. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 9.1 representing a 46 percent discount to the market, well below the potential of 20. Around 17 stocks or a third of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Six new additions to ICTOP10
Following the release of fourth quarter results and faced with a new IPO, investors took profit this past week, resulting in six changes to the ICTOP10 listings as the Junior Market hit a record high during the week at 4,076 points before pulling back 226 points and making some recovery on Friday. That market is caught between two resistance points that seem set to constrain movement beyond peak and the low reached last week.
Focus this coming week will be the response of the market to the latest IPO to hit the market as FJP Limited opens on Monday at $1 per share. The stock is not ICInsider.com BUY RATED, but it should deliver gains to investors, with the possibility of earnings estimated around 7 cents per share.
Entering the Junior Market TOP10 this week are Lasco Manufacturing, Iron Rock, iCreate and Lasco Financial slipped out last week, while 138 Student Living and Sygnus Credit Investments US dollar denominated stock join the Main Market list.
Out goes General Accident, Honey Bun, Medical Disposables and Tropical Battery from the Junior Market list, while VM Investments and Sterling Investments hit a record high on Friday of $3.65 from the Main Market listing.
During the week, the Junior Market TOP10 listed Tropical Battery rose 18 percent to close at $1.79, followed by Lasco Distributors with a gain of 5 percent to $4, while Cargo Handlers fell 11 percent to $7 and General Accident moved down 7 percent to $6.26, following the release of full year’s results, with a small loss reported in the December quarter.
In the Main Market, Sterling Investments rose 13 percent to a record close of $3.50 while JMMB Group added 5 percent to end at $44.30, with technical indicators pointing to a much higher price ahead as the stock is steered higher by a rising trend line.
The Junior Market potential gains for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks are now at 104 percent and are now much lower than the Main Market at 126 percent. The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Cargo Handlers followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and AMG Packaging to gain between 109 and 129 percent, compared to 111 and 124 percent, previously.
The potential gains for Main Market stocks moved from 122 percent last week to this weeks’ 126 percent, with the top three being Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Sygnus Credit Investments all projected to gain between 165 and 185 percent versus 161 and 186 percent last week.
The average PE for Junior Market has moved to 17.7 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is ahead of the JSE Main Market at 16.9. In the process, the Junior Market has surpassed the average of 17 that was achieved at the end of March last year. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 9.8, with a 45 percent discount to that market’s average. That means there is a lot of room for the TOP10 stocks to run between now and the end of March.
All the stocks in the Junior Market can gain 13 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 that would take the index to 4,700 points. About a third of Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, averaging around 23.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.9 just 12 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 18 percent below the target of 20 to March this year. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 9 representing a 47 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. Around 18 stocks or 35 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.