TTSE close in calmer waters – Wednesday

Republic Bank drops to 52 weeks’ low.

Price movements were calmer at the close of trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Wednesday with 2 stocks advancing, 4 declining and 9 unchanged as 15 securities traded for the third consecutive day.
The market closed as 750,792 shares traded at a value of $10,300,305 compared to Tuesday’s trades of 652,922 shares valued at $9,971,563.
The Composite Index gained 1.48 points to 1,280.88, the All T&T Index advanced by 3.27 points to 1,743.34 and the Cross Listed Index lost 0.04 points to close at 110.35.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 2 stocks with bids higher than last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
Gains| At the close of trading on Wednesday, National Enterprises gained 25 cents to end at $10 trading 242,340 shares valued at $2,423,050 and Trinidad & Tobago NGL rose 50 cents to close at $26.50 exchanging 24,334 shares valued at $641,925.
Losses| The last traded prices of the securities declining are, First Citizens with a loss of 1 cent, in closing at $32 with 134,288 shares valued at $4,298,539, Guardian Holdings trading at $17.98, with a loss of 1 cent swapping 500 units, JMMB Group ending at $1.59, after losing 1 cent with 83,033 shares changing hands and Republic Financial Holdings that closed 25 cents lower to a new 52 weeks’ low of $100 with 549 units changing hands.
Firm Trades| The last prices of securities at the close on Wednesday unchanged are, Angostura Holdings that closed at $15 with 42,437 units valued at $636,555 trading, while Clico Investment remained at $21 with 10,400 shares and First Caribbean International Bank ending trading at $9.30, with 127,150 stock units valued at $1,182,495 being exchanged. Massy Holdings closed at $49 with a mere 10 units traded, NCB Financial Group held firm at $6.50, exchanging 12,561 shares while One Caribbean Media closed at $14 with 1,000 units. Sagicor Financial settled at $7.95 with 71,288 shares valued at $566,740, Scotiabank closed at $61 with 436 units trading and Unilever Caribbean remained flat at $30 with of 466 units trading

Unilever chopped by $4, WITCo by $4.90

West Indian Tobacco dropped $4.90 on Tuesday.

West Indian Tobacco (Witco) and Unilever Caribbean dropped sharply to close at a 52 weeks’ lows. Witco dropped $4.90 on Tuesday by, after falling $5.24 on Monday, to $102.85 following a long period of limited trading. Unilever another stock that was under pressure given very poor 2017 results, fell by $4 to a new low of $30.
The prices of these stocks are set to decline further, especially Unilever that could tumble below $20 based on poor results recently. Demand for Witco shares fell after the company posted third quarter results with lower profits of $276 million, down from $373 million in 2016, due to a huge decline in demand and sales of cigarettes after consumption tax was hiked earlier in the year.
In trading elsewhere, the market closed with 15 securities changing hands, the same as on Monday with 4 stocks advancing, 5 declining and 6 holding firm. A total of 652,922 shares traded at a value of $9,971,563 compared to Monday’s trades of 176,689 valued at $5,273,498.
The Composite Index gained 0.38 points to 1,279.40, the All T&T Index declined by 11.79 points to 1,740.07 and the Cross Listed Index added 1.73 points to close at 110.39.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 3 stocks with bids higher than last selling prices and 5 with lower offers.
Gains| The last traded prices of the securities rising are Clico Investment advanced 21 cents to close at $21, with 88,707 shares valued at $1,859,421, NCB Financial Group with gains of 35 cents, closed at $6.50 with 9,475 shares trading, Point Lisas ended at $3.90, gaining 1 cent with 8,500 stock units and Trinidad & Tobago NGL rising 25 cents higher to $26, having regained losses on the day prior with 126,355 shares valued at $3,268,793.

Price Movement of Unilever Caribbean

Losses| The last traded prices of the securities declining are Guardian Holdings lost 1 cent, closing at $17.99 with 4,923 units changing hands. JMMB Group traded 14 cents lower to $1.60 with 126,288 shares changing hands, Republic Financial Holdings closed 25 cents lower to a 52 weeks’ low of $100.25 exchanging 288 units. Unilever Caribbean declined by $4 to a new 52 weeks’ low of $30 with a mere 10 units changing hands and West Indian Tobacco ended with a loss of $4.90 to a 52 weeks’ low of $102.85 with 5,016 shares valued at $515,950.
Firm Trades| The last prices of securities at the close on Tuesday unchanged are Angostura Holdings that closed at $15 with 238 units. First Citizens exchanged 1,163 shares at $32.01, Massy Holdings remained at $49 trading 35,365 shares valued at $1,732,885. One Caribbean Media closed at $14 with 50 units, Sagicor Financial settled at $7.95 with 243,245 shares valued at $1,933,696 and Scotiabank closing at $61 with 3,299 shares.

2 new highs 2 new lows on TTSE

Scotiabank traded at a 52 weeks’ high on Thursday.

Falling stock prices, outpaced rising stocks more than 2 to 1, at the close of trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Wednesday. All three market indices declined, as two declining stocks shed large amounts, while 2 each traded at 52 weeks’ high and low.
Ansa McAL declined by $3.03, to close at a 52 weeks’ low of $60 with just 2,028 shares trading, Republic Financial Holdings also closed at a 52 weeks’ low after losing $1.50 to end at $100.50, with 252 units changing hands while Scotiabank advanced $1 to settle at a 52 weeks’ high of $61 with 1,500 shares and Trinidad & Tobago NGL gained $1.95 to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $27 trading 3,300 shares. Scotiabank’s move is reflective of a rise in profit before Taxation of 11 percent and 5 percent after an increase in corporation tax rate in that country. Earnings per share ended the year at $3.73 for a PE ratio of 16.35.

T&T NGL closed at a record high on TTSE on Thursday.

Market activity ended with 14 securities changing hands compared to 13 on Wednesday leading to 3 stocks advancing, 7 declining and 4 holding firm.
A total of 221,067 shares traded at a value of $3,013,733 compared to Wednesday’s trades of 482,160 valued at $15,366,284.
The Composite Index declined by 6.28 points to 1,274.03, the All T&T Index lost 10.08 points to 1,743.57 and the Cross Listed Index was down 0.33 points to close at 108.44.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 4 stocks with bids higher than last selling prices and 5 with lower offers.
Gains| The other stock that gained is Clico Investment with a rise of 29 cents, in closing at $20.79 with 71,572 shares valued at $1,486,816.
Losses| Securities declining based on the last traded price are Grace Kennedy losing 4 cents in exchanging 25,000 shares to close at $2.96. JMMB Group closed at $1.88, with a loss of 2 cents trading 1,754 shares, Point Lisas fell 1 cent to $3.89 with 11,128 shares changing hands, Prestige Holdings ended with a loss of 5 cents, at $10.70 with 1,000 units, and Sagicor Financial traded 4 cents lower to $7.91 with 73,828 shares valued at $584,108.
Firm Trades| The last traded prices of securities closing with unchanged prices are Massy Holdings in exchanging 1,484 shares at $49, One Caribbean Media ending at $14 with 23,361 shares valued at $369,054, Trinidad Cementthat traded 650 units at $3.95 while Unilever Caribbean remained at $34 with 1,210 shares trading.

Unilever hits new yearly low

Unilever shares set for huge fall going forawrd.

Unilever Caribbean hit a new low of $34 in trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Monday as the market closed with 12 securities changing hands compared to 14 on Friday with advancing stocks edging out decliners.
At the close, 4 stocks advanced, 3 declined and 5 held firm as 168,640 shares traded at a value of $1,925,602 compared to Friday’s trades of 189,047 valued at $3,309,055.
The Composite Index gained 0.46 points to 1,282.72, the All T&T Index advanced 2.17 points to 1,753.11 and the Cross Listed Index was down 0.17 points to close at 109.50.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 5 stocks with bids higher than last selling prices and 7 with lower offers.
Gains| At the close of trading the prices National Flour Mills gained 5 cents to close at $1.90, with an exchange of 25,875 shares, Republic Financial Holdings advanced by 50 cents, ending at $102 after trading 48 units, but the stock was offered at just $100.99 at the close, Sagicor Financial closed at $7.95, gaining 8 cents with 21,183 shares trading and Trinidad & Tobago NGL added 1 cent to settle at a 52 weeks’ high of $25.01 with 4,423 shares.
Losses| Securities with prices falling are Clico Investment that dropped 20 cents, closing at $20.80 with trades of 3,010 shares, JMMB Group closed with a loss of 6 cents, at $2 in exchanging 68,255 shares and Unilever Caribbean dropped 95 cents to a 52 weeks’ low of $34 trading just 90 units.
Firm Trades| At the close of trading Angostura Holdings ended with 700 units, closed at $15.05, Guardian Holdings held firm at $16.55 trading 12,800 shares, Massy Holdings remained at $49 with 20,000 shares valued at $980,000 changing hands, National Enterprises closed at $9.75 exchanging 10,937 shares and Scotiabank swapping 1,319 shares at $60.

TTSE trading sinks to just 50,000 units

Market activity on Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Wednesday remains anaemic, with just over 50,000 shares trading, the lowest volume since the start of the month coming from 16 securities changing hands.
Trading closed with 4 stocks advancing, 5 declining, 7 holding firm as 50,488 shares traded at a value of $553,082 compared to Tuesday’s trades of 528,994 valued at $2,520,342 from 13 securities trading. At the close of trading 2 stock hit 52 weeks’ high and one ended at a 52 weeks’ low.
The Composite Index climbed 2.15 points to 1,277.73, the All T&T Index declined by 0.87 points to 1,743.27 and the Cross Listed Index gained 0.71 points to close at 109.49.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 2 stocks with bids higher than last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
Gains| The last traded prices of the securities rising are Grace Kennedy with gains of 5 cents, and closing at a 52 weeks’ high of $3.10 with 300 units changing hands. Guardian Holdings closed at $16.50, rising 50 cents in exchanging 13,670 shares, NCB Financial Group gained 10 cents, ending at $6 with trades of 10,300 units and Trinidad & Tobago NGL rose to a new 52 weeks’ high of $24.25, advancing 20 cents with an exchange of 2,650 shares.
Losses| Securities closing down at last traded prices are JMMB Group that lost 1 cent and closed at $2.09 with 1,975 shares trading, L.J. Williams B with a loss of 7 cents, traded at 70 cents with 1,650 shares, Republic Financial Holdings declined by 19 cents to settle at $101.50, after trading at a low for the day at $100.50 with 405 units exchanged. Sagicor Financial closed at $7.94, losing 1 cent with 1,175 shares and Unilever Caribbean lost 5 cents, falling to a 52 weeks’ low of $34.95 with 100 units changing hands.
Firm Trades| Stock with last traded prices remaining unchanged of the close of trading are Angostura Holdings closed at $15.05 with a mere 10 units, Clico Investment exchanged 47 units at $21, First Citizens trading 20 units at $31.95 and National Enterprises that closed at $9.70 with 508 units. Prestige Holdings closed at $10.75 exchanging 9,131 shares trading, Readymix ended at $11 with 618 units and Trinidad Cement closed at $3.95 trading 7,929 shares.

4 TTSE stocks rise 1 falls

The Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange closed on Tuesday with 13 securities changing hands compared to 10 on Monday and resulted in 4 stocks advancing, 1 declining, 8 remaining unchanged.
Trading activity saw 528,994 shares traded at a value of $2,520,342 compared to Monday’s trades of 354,972 units valued at $13,441,469.
The Composite Index gained 0.08 points to 1,275.58, the All T&T Index advanced 0.68 points to 1,744.14 and the Cross Listed Index lost 0.07 points to close at 108.78.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 3 stocks with bids higher than last selling prices and 6 with lower offers.
Gains| Securities recording gains at the close of trading on Tuesday are, Sagicor Financial that traded 12 cents higher to $7.95 with 1,240 shares, Scotiabank jumped $1.25, to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $60 while exchanging 634 units, Trinidad & Tobago NGL rose 3 cents to settle at a 52 weeks’ high of $24.05, trading 8,920 shares and Bourse Brazil Latin Fund US Dollar shares closed at $8.10, gaining 2 cents with 500 units changing hands.
Losses| MMB Group is the sole stock declining and ended with a loss of 8 cents, closed at $2.10, trading 405,353 shares valued at $851,241.
Firm Trades| The last traded prices of securities and the volumes trading unchanged are Ansa Merchant Bank closed at $40 with 400 units, Clico Investment exchanged 1,340 shares at $21, First Caribbean International Bank traded 7,476 shares at $9.30 and Massy Holdings remained at $48 with 13,328 shares valued at $639,744. National Enterprises closed at $9.70 with 8,997 shares, NCB Financial Group ended at $5.90 exchanging 72,352 shares valued at $426,877, Prestige Holdings closed at $10.75 with 6,809 shares and Unilever Caribbean held firm at $35 with 1,145 shares but traded at an intraday 52 weeks’ low of $34.80.

Unilever’s bad news get worse

Unilever Caribbean stock price from 2009 to 2017

Unilever Caribbean recorded a price drop of $3.75, on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Friday, ending the day at multi-year low of $35 and closed with the offer at $34.80 to sell just 280 units with no bids posted to buy. The price that peaked at $68.49 in December 2015, is now at the lowest it’s been since it traded 110 units at 34.67 on April 17, 2012.
The stock has fallen as revenues fell sharply in 2017 pulling profits way down, with indication of much further fall ahead as the shares face a long cold winter in the doldrums.
Trading resulted in 11 securities changing hands compared to 13 on Thursday as the price of 2 stocks advanced, 4 declined and 5 were unchanged following 148,999 shares trading at a value of $514,609 compared to Wednesday’s trades of 80,674 units valued at $2,224,568.
The Composite Index gained 1.07 points to 1,275.58, the All T&T Index advanced 1.39 points to 1,742.29 and the Cross Listed Index added 0.10 points to close at 109.03.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 5 stocks with bids higher than last selling prices and 9 with lower offers.
Gains| In trading, Grace Kennedy gained 5 cents, and closed at a 52 weeks’ high of $3.05 exchanging 1,485 shares and Sagicor Financial added 2 cents, ending at $7.83 with 3,779 shares traded.
Losses| The securities declining changing hands are, First Citizens with a loss of 7 cents, to close at $31.90 with 282 units, JMMB Group closed at $2.15, after losing 3 cents trading 135,117 shares, National Flour Mills slid 10 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ low of $1.80 exchanging 3,400 shares and Unilever Caribbean declined by $3.75 to settle at a 52 weeks’ low of $35 with 760 units.
Firm Trades| At the close of trading Guardian Holdings held firm at $15.70 with 2,014 shares, Massy Holdings remained at $48 with 125 units exchanged, One Caribbean Media traded 200 units at $14. Scotiabank ended at $58.75 after trading at $60, with trades of 1,684 shares and Trinidad & Tobago NGL closed at $24 with 153 units.

NCB at record high in Trinidad

NCB trades at record TT$6.50 or J$123.50 on the TTSE on Friday.

Trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Friday resulted in 13 securities changing hands compared to 18 on Thursday with NCB Financial Group climbing to a 52 weeks’ high of $6.50 while Ansa McAL led trading with 65 percent of the value of securities traded.
The market closed with 3 stocks advancing, 2 declining and 8 unchanged as 360,606 units traded at a value of $6,717,397 compared to Thursday’s trades of 458,073 units valued at $5,509,500.
The Composite Index dropped 0.68 points to 1,289.26, the All T&T Index declined by 2.85 points to 1,753.55 and the Cross Listed Index continued its rise, adding 0.21 points to close at 111.23.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended with 2 stocks with bids higher than last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
Gains| At the close of the market NCB Financial Group rose 5 cents, to a 52 weeks’ high of $6.50 trading 80,545 shares valued at $523,543, Republic Financial Holdings traded 13 cents higher, closing at $101.89 with 3,460 shares valued at $352,307 and Trinidad & Tobago NGL gained 1 cent to close at $23.50 exchanging 6,099 shares.
Losses| Clico Investment lost 16 cents, and closed at $21.04 while exchanging 22,594 shares valued at $475,282 and National Enterprises closed 25 cents lower to a 52 weeks’ low of $9.75 with 2,337 shares.
Firm Trades| In trading on Friday Ansa McAL closed at $63.03 trading 69,500 shares valued at $4,379,985, Grace Kennedy settled at $2.95 with 58,902 shares trading, Guardian Holdings closed at $15 with 17,000 shares, JMMB Group held firm at $2.07 with 44,840 shares. Massy Holdings remained at $49.50 exchanging 2,303 shares, National Flour Mills closed at $1.99 with trades of 40,000 shares, Sagicor Financial exchanged 13,000 shares at $8 and Unilever Caribbean ended at $38.75 with just 26 units.

TTSE indices’ gains mask deeper problems

Market activity on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange, resulted in 6 stocks advancing, 3 declining and 9 unchanged, but this positive move belies a deeper problem awaiting a market, that continues to struggle within a sick economy.
The Composite Index gained 1.30 points to 1,289.94, the All T&T Index rose 1.52 points to 1,756.40 and the Cross Listed Index added 1.52 points to close at 111.02.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer while indicating weaknesses in the market with 3 stocks with bids higher than last selling prices and 5 with lower offers does not tell the full story of the weakness in the market. The deeper problem is the large variance between some of the stocks offered for sale compared to the last price the stock traded at. West Indian Tobacco is set to make a big negative dent in the market index when next it traded as it is offered at $5 lower than the last price it traded at, with 1,796 shares offered at $116. The closest bid to buy is at $106.25 for only 16 shares. National Enterprises offer is 20 cents lower than the last trade. Calypso Macro Fund is offer for 90 cents less than the last trade, at $21.04 and Mora Ven Holdings

This graph tell the story that Unilever shares are set for a steep fall going forward.

is offered at $1.49 below the last trade at $14.49. Unilever Caribbean is also very weak with 40,863 shares offered for sale at $38.75 but buyers are down at $35 for just 310 units. Unilever reported profit of $3 million for the June quarter or 11 cents per share and $6.8 million for the half year suggesting profit around 60 cents for the full year and is now priced at a PE ratio of 64 times earnings, the clearest indication of a huge fall in the price to come.
At the close of trading the number of securities trading climbed to 18 on Thursday compared to 15 on Wednesday, leading to 458,073 shares trading at a value of $5,509,500 compared to Wednesday’s trades of 350,612 valued at $4,377,442.
Gains| At the close of market activities, Ansa McAL traded 20,500 shares valued at $1,292,100 and gained 8 cents, to close at $63.03, Clico Investment traded 20 cents higher, closing at $21.20 with 87,039 shares valued at $1,831,429, Massy Holdings ended at $49.50, gaining 1 cent with 11,979 shares valued at $592,958. National Flour Mills closed at $1.99, rising 4 cents while trading 6,000 shares, Scotiabank advanced 40 cents to $58.50 trading 1,000 units and Trinidad Cement rose 5 cents, and settled at $4 exchanging 49,601 shares.
Losses| Trading ended as, JMMB Group traded with a loss of 2 cents, and closed at $2.07 exchanging 188,500 shares valued at $395,789, Point Lisas lost 1 cent to close at $3.95 with 500 units and Prestige Holdings was down 1 cent to $10.75 trading 9,075 shares.
Firm Trades| The last traded prices of securities closing unchanged are Angostura Holdings that closed at $15.05 with trades of 7,541 shares, Ansa Merchant Bank exchanging 3,020 shares at $40, Grace Kennedy trading 14,778 shares at $2.95. Guardian Holdings remained at $15 with 1,204 units, One Caribbean Media closed at $14 with 350 units, Republic Financial Holdings ended at $101.76 with 81 units. Sagicor Financial traded 10,000 shares at $8, Trinidad & Tobago NGL closed at $23.49 exchanging 19,958 shares valued at $468,779 and L.J. Williams 8% preference share exchanged 42 units at $3.30.

Teachings from silly Unilever Investors

Investors should refrain from the fad of following the leader blindly. In 2013 ICInsider.com posted a report on the Unilever Caribbean, a company based in Trinidad and traded on the country’s stock exchange.
Since the report, the company stock has been on a downward slope after rising to a new record in 2013, yesterday Jamaica Stock Exchange junior market listed Knutsford Express after a long period of overvaluation relative to the market, dropped $2.75 as demand for the stock evaporated. The same thing happened to Cargo Handlers that was pushed unrealistically to $30, only for it to currently be trading at $10 and is still above normal valuation. This latter stock came as a big buy on the way up by a brokerage house.
Unilever’s profit peaked in the period to September 2014 and started a downhill ride since, but investors kept on pushing the price higher until it peaked at TT$68.30 in December 2015, on Wednesday the stock traded with a loss of $1.25, to a multi year’s low of $38.

Unilever products

The IC Insider.com report in 2013 was: When stock prices rise much faster than the growth in profits, we need to take time to note what is happening. Investors in such stocks should be fully conversant with the factors at play to ensure that their investment can be protected appropriately if and when the factors change.
Unilever Caribbean stock price is up 13 percent so far in 2013, on top of a 45 percent increase in 2012, 44 percent in 2011 and 35 percent in 2010 after a 16 percent fall in 2009. The company, a subsidiary of Unilever PLC, a United Kingdom company, is based in Trinidad and manufactures a range of homecare, personal care and food products for the Caribbean region, including Jamaica, has been having reasonable profit performances for some years. They have been able to improve sales and margins in a market that has been in recession since 2009. The growth in the stock price is well more than the rise in profits for the past four and half years.
Some of the company’s brands include Mistolin, Radiante, Breeze, Vaseline, Lux, Lipton, Becel and Blue Band. The product range also comprises dishwashing liquids as well as fabric conditioners.

Knutsford Express peaked at $16.89 and is now trading at $12.

For the three months to March 2013, revenues climbed to $137 million, up from $128 million for the same period in 2012, while profits were up to $13 million after tax compared to $11.9 million in 2012. The December quarter is the most significant period for earnings, with more than a third being generated in the period. For the 2012 full year to December, the company reported after tax profit of $59.5 million, an increase of just 2.8 percent over that earned in 2011. Profit for 2011 was up 11 percent over 2010 and 2010 profit was up 26 percent over the previous year. In Trinidad, lower interest rates have helped to push the PE ratio to 21 times earnings at a current stock price of $53.25, up from 14 times in 2011 and 11.5 for 2010.
Unilever reported areas of success reflected in good growth in some of its products and expressed concerns about rising input cost of some of the products it manufactures and competition from cheaper products. From all indications, management seems to have managed to steer the operations well, resulting in improved margins, which moved from 61.8 percent in 2012 first quarter to 63.8 percent in 2013, a continuation of the marked improvement seen for 2012 when the margins for the entire year came out at 63.7 percent versus the 59.2 percent enjoyed in 2011.
While cost increase seems to be under control in 2013 for the first quarter, that was not the case in 2012 when selling cost rose by $17 million or 17 percent and the administrative cost rose 22 percent, well above the growth in revenues. For the quarter, selling costs rose by 4.8 percent and the administrative cost rose 2.7 percent, while revenues were up 4.75 percent.
The company boast equity capital of $176 million, has no interest bearing debt and a high current asset ratio with liabilities almost covered twice over.
The article concluded that the stock seems poised to rise further as demand exceeds the supply of the stock on the Trinidad market.
At the close of the market on Wednesday, November 8, 2017, the stock seems poised to suffer a further decline, which shows up in the chart formation.