Last week, the Junior Market closed the week at the highest level since November 17 and before that, October 2 and moved higher this week to just below mid-August summer high. Based on the close on Thursday when the market closed above 2,600 points, the first in several months the market seems poised to challenge the April high point before the year ends.
The Main Market closed lower at the end of the past week having pulled back from last week from the close of the previous week. Against the above out turn, there is just one new addition to the TOP10 at the end of the week but there were some price movements of note during the week.
Lasco Manufacturing edged into Junior Market TOP10 as Derrimon Trading fell out with our projection for earnings down to 13 cents per share for the current year.
Radio Jamaica surged 14 percent to close at $1.28 after the company reported completion of its reorganization that resulted in 107 persons made redundant and restructuring of the operating segments within the group that should allow for greater efficiency and focus. The market closed the week with limited stocks on offer suggesting, the price should be moving higher if buyers want to stock up.
AMG Packaging and Caribbean Producers fell 7 percent to $1.55 and $2.74, respectively. Lasco Distributors fell 8 percent to $3.16 from $3.55. Lumber Depot rose 12 percent to $1.55 and Jamaican Teas gained 8 percent to $2.05.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market with the potential to gain between 193 to 374 percent down from 216 to 342 percent by March 2021, are Caribbean Producers, followed by Elite Diagnostic and Jamaican Teas. With expected gains of 138 to 221 percent, the top three Main Market stocks are, Berger Paints followed by Carreras and Scotia Group.
The local stock market’s targeted average PE ratio is 20 based on profits of companies reporting full year’s results, from now to the second quarter in 2021.
The Junior and Main markets are currently trading well below the market average, indicating strong gains ahead. The JSE Main Market ended the week, with an overall PE of 16.8 and the Junior Market 13.7, based on ICInsider.com’s projected 2020-21 earnings. The PE ratio for the Junior Market Top 10 stocks average a mere 7.2 at just 53 percent of the market average. The Main Market TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 9.2 or 55 percent of the PE of that market.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 194 percent and 125 percent for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings.
IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
For a second consecutive day, trading ended with six securities changing hands at the close, ending with the prices of three stocks rising, two declining and one remaining unchanged.
Sterling Investments gained 0.1 of a cent to end at 2.1 US cents with investors swapping 9,250 units, Sygnus Credit Investments remained at 15.7 US cents after trading 785 stock units and Transjamaican Highway rose 0.1 of a cent trading 33,100 shares to close at 0.91 of a US cent.
Trading ended with six securities changing hands, versus seven on Wednesday and ended with no stock rising, four declining and two remained unchanged.
Margaritaville remained at 11 US cents, with 1,500 stock units changing hands, Proven Investments lost 1.98 cents to end at 24.01 US cents in trading 16,149 stocks. Sterling Investments fell 0.38 of a cent in ending at 2 US cents with an exchange of 36,044 units, Sygnus Credit Investments shed 0.3 US cents in closing at 15.7 US cents, trading 2,626 stocks and Transjamaican Highway declined by 0.14 of a cent in ending at 0.81 of a US cent and clearing the market with 165,845 stock units.
The offer is renounceable and will therefore allow existing Key shareholders to assign their rights to these shares, wholly or in part, to others. Shares not taken up will be available to shareholders who indicate they wish to acquire more new ordinary shares than their allotment.
In March this year, GraceKennedy Financial Group acquired 65 percent of the share capital of Key.
The JSE USD equity index climbed 7.35 points to 194.18, while the average PE Ratio ended at 13.7 based on ICInsider.com’s forecast of 2020-21 earnings.
At the close of the market, First Rock Capital Investment gained half of a cent to close at 9 US cents in exchanging 5,730 shares, Margaritaville remained at 11 US cents, with the trading of 282 units, Proven Investments held firm at 25.99 US cents after an exchange of 4,314 stock units. Sterling Investments lost 0.02 of a cent to end at 2.38 US cents, with investors swapping 2,924 units, Sygnus Credit Investments closed at 16 US cents in trading 9,000 stock units and Transjamaican Highway ended at 0.95 of a US cent, after exchanging 6,700 shares.
At the close of the market, MPC Caribbean Clean Energy ended at US$1.15 trading 359 shares, Proven Investments gained 1.99 US cents to end at 25.99 US cents, with an exchange of 13,131 stock units, Sterling Investments gained 0.4 of a cent to end at 2.4 US cents, in transferring 20,000 shares. Sygnus Credit Investments increased by 1.99 cents to 16 US cents, with 1,112 units crossing the market and Transjamaican Highway carved out a gain of 0.01 of a cent to close at 0.95 of a US cent, with investors switching ownership of 110,000 shares.
The JSE USD equity index fell 3.29 points to settle at 184.26. The average PE Ratio ended at 13 based on ICInsider.com forecast of 2020-21 earnings.
Proven Investments shed 1.97 US cents to close at 24 US cents, in trading 285,385 shares. Sterling Investments lost 0.35 of a cent to settle at 2 US cents, with 28,000 stock units changing hands and Sygnus Credit Investments declined by 1.79 US cents to close at 14.01 US cents, with 1,392,648 shares crossing the exchange after the company posted details of its public share offer, with existing shareholders entitled to purchase shares as low as $14.70 each.
The Junior Market closed the week at the highest level since November 17 and before that, October 2 and seems poised to take out all recent highs on the way to the year-end rally and a bullish period to come, to take it over 3,000 points. The main Market pulled back from last week’s levels but closed at the highest point for the week on Friday.
Honey Bun dropped out of the TOP 10, with Derrimon Trading replacing it at the bottom of the list. Honey Bun’s stock price jumped 19 percent for the week to $6.49 on Friday, with the stock now showing very limited supply and a bit of demand on the buying side, although a bit below the last sale price. The increased demand this week follows a strong September quarter profit that rose 76 percent over 2019. Wisynco Group spent just a week in the Main Market TOP 10, moved up in price to close out the week with the stock rising to $16.43 from $16.10 and replaced by NCB, in at the tenth position. The projections are for earnings to recover from the increased provision for expected credit loss charges in 2020 and from continued growth in the business and deliver earnings of $12 per share for the current year to September.
Former TOP10 holder MailPac, hit a record high on Friday, in closing at $2.60, up 19 percent from $2.19 last week. Lumber Depot reported earnings for the October quarter, keeping earnings on track for 20 cents per share and put added life into the stock, moving the price up 6 percent to close the week at $1.39 at a PE of 7 times earnings, well below the market average of 13.7. Caribbean Producers moved up 13 percent from $2.60 to $2.94 at the close and up a nice 21.5 percent for the month to date. The stock seems on target to move back into the $4 range sooner than later, with stock supplies thinning out and prospects for improved business looking increasingly better in 2021.
Diagnostic and Jamaican Teas. Lumber Depot, in at third position last week, is now down to sixth after investors responded positively to quarterly results. With expected gains of 146 to 236 percent, the top three Main Market stocks are Berger Paints, followed by Radio Jamaica and Carreras.
The average projected gain for the Junior Market IC TOP 10 stocks is 192 percent down from 210 percent and 129 percent from 133 percent last week for the JSE Main Market, based on 2020-21 earnings. IC TOP 10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2021 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on likely gain for each company, taking into account the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in movements in and out of the lists weekly. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Trading ended with six securities changing hands, compared to three on Thursday and ended with the price of one stock rising, three declining and two remaining unchanged.
At the close of the market, Productive Business Solutions shed 18 cents in ending at 66 US cents, in an exchange of 95,356 shares, Proven Investments dropped 0.01 of a cent in closing at 25.97 US cents after trading 50,809 stock units, Sterling Investments closed at 2.35 US cents, with 21,196 shares changing hands. Sygnus Credit Investments dropped 1.20 cents to settle at 15.80 US cents, trading 58,948 shares and Transjamaican Highway gained 0.14 US cents to close at 0.94 US cents after exchanging 10 units.
At the close of the market, First Rock Capital Investment closed at 9 US cents trading a mere 250 shares, Proven Investments closed at 25.87 US cents with 2,930 stocks changing hands, Sygnus Credit Investments settled at 17 US cents in exchanging 29,056 stock units.