Simply Impressive

Honey Bun shot up by more than 500% in 2016 shortly after stock split.

Honey Bun shot up by more than 500% in 2016 shortly after stock split.

Junior market listed bakers, Honey Bun, is enjoying a glorious period of surging revenues and profit that fueled a huge jump in the stock price of 355 percent for 2016, after rising over 500 percent, earlier in the year.
In continuation of a successful year, revenues climbed 36 percent in the third quarter of financial year to June, spawning a 124 percent increase in profit before taxes to $38 million over the June 2015 quarter. Revenues climbed 35 percent to $903 million for the nine months to June, up from $672 million in 2015 while profit jumped 109 percent to $138 million before tax and $132 million after tax of $6 million.
Gross profit for the nine months climbed at a faster pace than revenues, at 40 percent while for the quarter, gross profit rose 34 percent, just below the growth in revenues for the quarter. Expenses excluding cost of sales, rose even slower than revenues, at 20 percent, with administrative expenses rising sharply by 33 percent to $147 million and selling and distribution costs increasing by 10 percent to $104 million, while depreciation rose by 4 percent to $28 million. For the June quarter administrative, selling and distribution expenses rose at a slower pace than for the nine months, at 12 percent.
One Honey Bun's Products.

One Honey Bun’s Products.

The company generated gross cash flows of $171 million for the nine months, before expending $75 million on the acquisition of property, equipment and fleet. Honey Bun is in a healthy state with cash balance and investments at $104 million after the company repaid $38 million in long term loans, leaving loans at $16 million. Current assets stood at $212 million and current liabilities ta $71 million. Shareholders equity climbed to $491 million.
The Company that listed on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market in June 2011, is now subject to taxation on profit for the next 5 years at 50 percent of the normal corporate income tax rate of 25 percent.
Earnings per share for the quarter came in at 8 cents and 28 cents for the nine months. IC Insider projects 34 cents or $160 million for the full year to September, with $147 million or 52 cents per share projected for 2017. The stock traded at $5.60 on the Jamaica Stock Exchange junior market for a PE of 16.5 times 2016 earnings, making it one of the highest valued stock on the market.
The stock was accorded a BUY RATED ranking in November 2015 but has since been placed on a watch list when it shot to over $7 per share.

Little profit in Q4 for Lasco Financial

Lasco FinLasco Financial Services reported profit of $191 million or EPS of 15.5 cents for the March 2015 year, an improvement of 8 percent over the $177 million made in 2014. The last quarter was poor with only $10 million in profit, down sharply from $41 million made in 2014, due to a combination of developments.
Revenue for the last quarter hardly grew, ending at $148 million versus $145 million in the 2014 quarter while expenses grew by $28 million due mainly to increased spend on marketing and selling expenses. Jacinth Hall-Tracey, Managing director indicated that the period suffered from squeezed margins on foreign exchange trading and foreign exchange losses in the quarter, resulting from the revaluation of the Jamaican dollar and greater stability of the exchange rate. Loan disbursements slowed as credit rating data used in assessing potential clients resulted in lower loan approvals.
The PE ratio of the stock is 13 based on the last reported earnings, normally the ratio would not be that high. Mayberry’s acquisition of 20 percent of the company’s shares has changed the dynamics and remove some supply from the market.
The company has cash of $500 million and is generating over $200 million per year. If the company can find the formula to ramp up good quality lending successfully, the profit outlook can be transformed considerably with high profit margins for lending. “We are working on a number of initiatives that will help in the transition from lower income in foreign exchange activity” Hall-Tracey said. The area of credit approval is one that they is being revisited as the use of credit rating information is stymying lending. But Hall-Tracey expects profit for this year that ends March 2016 to be higher than for the year just ended, subject to taxes on profit which the company will start bearing at fifty percent of the official tax rate of 25 percent.
The equity capital of Lasco is $812 million and is well below that of its two siblings who have equity in equity of more than $2.4 billion each. The company has done well from the money remittance and cambio operations but it is in the lending that the future growth prospects seems to rest. Hence the connection between Mayberry with the know-how having been exposed at Access Financial. The company has the free capital to increase lending with only $147 million in loans at March.

Guardian Media profit up 17%

Guardian Media has a respectable first quarter for 2015 in spite of a tight economy in Trinidad with the sharp fall in the price of oil. The improvement did not come from the main business of news dissemination, instead it came from the multi-media segment. Guardian reported profit before tax for the quarter increasing by 32 percent to reach $6.03 million, from $4.57 million in 2014. After accounting for corporate taxes, profits grew 17 percent to $4.48 million from $3.84 million in 2014.
GML 3-15 logoThe print segment made less profit before taxation than in 2014, with $1.24 million reported in 2015 versus $1.69 million in 2014 while the Multi–media segment generated $4.8 million compared with $2.9 million in March 2014.
Whilst revenue grew marginally from $44.4 million to $45.1million, management of operating costs and the realization of operational efficiencies and a reduction in finance cost from $495,000 to $243,000 resulted in the increase in profitability.
Cash flows increased by $2.4 million for the 2015 quarter resulting from cash inflows from operations rising by $11.6 million compared with $9.2 million in 2014, leaving cash on hand of $113 million. Equity capital ends at $382 million.
“We expect these improvements in performance to continue for the rest of the year,” management stated, in their release to the Trinidad Stock Exchange with the quarterly financial statements.
The stock last traded in January at $19.76 on the Trinidad Stock Exchange. If earnings should continue at the pace of the first quarter the company could earn $1 per share which would place the PE at 20, quite steep for a company in a matured market. At the close on Monday there were no stocks offered for sale and no bids to buy.

PE ratios computation & their usefulllness

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The use of standards is vital in the assessment of stock values as investors constantly compare one investment with another. The price earnings ratio is the most popular measure investors use to compare and determine stocks values.
It is computed by dividing the price of a stock by the earnings per share. It allows investors to compare the value of one company with others in order to decide which ones are to be bought sold or held on to. Pass developments also inform seasoned investors as markets tend to have familiar recurring patterns over time. When the market moves markedly away from the norm it is usually time for investors to move. Nowhere is this truer than PE ratios. Investors should therefore keep track of historical price earnings ratios and compare them with the current ones. Ratios that have been high in the past and are now low, may indicate a potential increase in value for the stock or vice versa.
Use of the PEs| There is a tendency to look at the earnings per share of companies and apply a price earnings ratio to them to arrive at the value of a stock. This is one approach, but we should go further, with companies having hidden values the purist approach will miss the underlying value that could surface at any time. Astute investors will take into account the difference in treatment of accounting policies could have on earnings in assessing company value. It usually takes a longer time for such concepts to gain investor acceptance, but once widely accepted, the patient investor is usually rewarded.
In looking at good buying opportunities the crude measure is to buy those stocks with low PEs compared to the market or to stocks in the same sector.

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