Access Financial returns to the Junior Market IC TOP10 after a week’s absence, replacing Express Catering at the end of the week that saw Jamaican Teas as the only Junior Market stocks with any sizable move, as the stock rose 12 percent to $2.59. No other Junior Market stock moved by more than two percent for the week.
There is no change to the Main Market list in the week but General Accident surprisingly jumped 23 percent to $5.75 on limited volume while Scotia Group was up 4 percent to $39.38. Palace Amusement fell 12 percent to $1.23, but supply seems low around these prices and Pulse Investment slipped by 6 percent to $1.85.
There are some developments in the market and in some stocks that are worth noting as they could surprise to the upside. Buying for Scotia Group is gradually improving and selling is not and the price could move solidly into the $40 range this coming week. Transjamaican Highway a previous TOP10 stock climbed this week to close at $2.84, up from $2.71 the previous week as the supply of the stock faded and demand has increased. AS Bryden has just two offers at the close of the week but the price seems to be above the average for the market, at a PE of 23, but be careful. Jamaican Teas has undisclosed selling at $2.59 by an institution but there was more buying by insiders than selling during the week. Junior Market TOP10 listed AMG Packaging climbed on Friday as investors quickly snapped up nearly 600,000 shares that were on offer at $2.40 before the stock closed at $3.17 ahead of first quarter results that show a solid 64 percent jump in profit to $39.86 million from $24.34 million in 2022. Caribbean Cement has both limited buying and selling currently, suggesting the price may stay around the mid $50 range for some time. Selling in General Accident is down but buyers are not yet close to the prices for limited stocks on offer. Watch Seprod as a visible supply of the stock below the $90 range is very limited. Stanley Motta has only three offers amounting to 10,437 shares between $6.04 and $8
The average PE for the JSE Main Market ICTOP 10 stands at 5.3, well below the market average of 13.6 and the Junior Market TOP10 sits at 7.2, just over half of the market, with an average of 13.
The Main Market ICTOP10 is projected to gain an average of 287 percent by May 2024, based on 2023 forecasted earnings, providing better values than the Junior Market with the potential to gain 191 percent over the same time frame.
In the Main Market ICTOP 10, a total of 14 of the most highly valued stocks representing 29 percent of the Main Market are priced at a PE of 15 to 110, with an average of 32 and 22 excluding the highest PE ratios, and a PE of 25 for the top half and 18 excluding the stocks with overweight values.
In the Junior Market, there are 13 stocks, or 27 percent of the market, with PEs from 15 to 49, averaging 21, well above the market’s average. The top half of the market has an average PE of 18, possibly the lowest fair value for stocks.
Of great import is that the averages of both markets are now converging around a PE of 20 for close to a third of the market, as the year is coming to a close and with more information available on the full year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market, but this is not always so. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks will likely deliver the best returns on or around May 2024 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.