Caribbean Cream, with its Kremi brand of ice cream, reported disappointing second quarter results and fell out of the TOP 10 with full year earnings down to 65 cents, allowing Lumber Depot to return to the Junior Market ICTOP10. No other company moved in or out of the ICTOP10 stocks, valued at half that of the two overall markets.
Caribbean Cream half year’s results saw a modest 5 percent increase in sales in the second quarter, well below the first quarter increase of 28 percent, but cost rose above that of 2020, leaving a small profit of $7 million for the August quarter. The company’s management attributed the performance primarily to the no-movement days in operation during the quarter that curtailed sales. Knutsford Express returned to profit in the quarter of $9.2 million, from a loss in 2020 for the August quarter on improved revenues of $233 million from $122 million in 2020 but well off the $325 million in 2019. Paramount Trading had marginal movement in revenues for the August quarter of $369 million from $362 million in 2020, with a profit of $19 million versus $15 million in 2020.
Now that we are in the final quarter for 2021, many companies valuations will climb between now and early next year to further discount the current year’s earnings. Some stocks may therefore appear fully priced or close. Investors should keep eyes on both this and next year’s earnings to determine the appropriate valuation of each stock and whether to hold or fold. 
The 80/20 rule of trading stocks should be ever present as the long 40 year history of the local market shows that only two out of each of the top ten stocks in a year repeat in the following while 4 out of 10 of the worst performing stocks end up as winners in the succeeding year. The lesson is that many of the top stocks for 2021 will not make it in 2022.
Elsewhere, in the Junior Market, AMG Packaging price bounced around in the week but closed at $1.93, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rallied 7 percent, from $1.63 to $1.75, Dolphin Cove rose from $9.69 to $10.25 and Stationery and Office Supplies moved up by 8 percent from $6 to $6.50.
In the Main Market, Guardian Holding fell from $577 to $550, Sygnus Credit Investment popped 5 percent from $16.96 to $17.80, to be up 11 percent in two weeks and Sterling Investments slipped 8 percent from $3.01 to $2.76. The latter two are flashing strong signals of higher prices ahead as active supplies on the sell side in the market are moderate.
The top three Main Market stocks are Caribbean Producers which is consolidating around $7, followed by Berger Paints and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 235 to 256 percent versus last weeks’ 219 to 264 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident and Access Financial. All three have the potential to gain between 220 and 300 percent, down from 230 percent and 304 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 210 percent to 200 percent and Main Market stocks from 170 percent to 173 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE 13.4 based on ICInsider.com’s updated 2021-22 earnings and currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17, for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 6.8, with a 51 percent discount to that market’s PE.
The overall Junior Market can gain 49 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 27 percent based on an average PE of 17. Nine stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, up from five last week, indicating that many others will rise above the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.4, 23 percent less than PE of 19 at the ended of March and 30 percent below the targeted PE of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 7.7, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 10 stocks or 22 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple may be around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 is not intended to select the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the largest winners within a fifteen month period. ICInsider.com ranks stocks to highlight the winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winners, helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
The All Jamaican Composite Index advanced 507.43 points to settle at 445,850.64, the JSE Main Index shed 707.68 points to 403,998.83 and the JSE Financial Index rose 0.02 points to end at 98.03.
September closed with an average of 335,669 units at $7,507,404.
Proven Investments gained 38 cents after ending at $33.48, with 3,710 units crossing the market, Sagicor Group advanced $1.97 to $53 with an exchange of 111,784 shares, Sagicor Real Estate Fund lost 50 cents to settle at $8 in trading 15,450 stock units. Scotia Group popped 55 cents to $36.65 with 75,005 stocks crossing the market, Seprod advanced $1.25 in closing at $63.25 with a transfer of 48,064 stock units, Sygnus Credit Investments gained 63 cents to end at $17.80 with 281,612 units changing hands and Sygnus Real Estate Finance gained 40 cents to close at $18.40 in switching ownership of 98 stock units.
The All Jamaican Composite Index advanced 304.56 points to 445,343.21, the JSE Main Index popped 571.83 points to 404,706.51 and the JSE Financial Index rose 0.41 points to end at 98.01.
Trading averages 132,408 units at $854,799, down from 346,507 shares at $1,779,698 on Wednesday and month to date, an average of 239,708 units at $3,047,095, compared to 251,039 units at $3,278,609 on Wednesday. September closed with an average of 335,669 units at $7,507,404.
NCB Financial gained 50 cents to close at $126 in switching ownership of 36,740 shares, PanJam Investment shed 90 cents ending at $63.50 with 336 units crossing the market, Pulse Investments dipped 49 cents to end at $4.11 after crossing the market with 816,668 stock units. Sagicor Group declined $2.96 in closing at $51.03 with 43,264 units changing hands, Seprod advanced $4.20 to $62 in trading 32,062 shares and Sygnus Real Estate Finance rallied 50 cents to close at $18 with a transfer of 1,914 stocks.
The All Jamaican Composite Index dropped 2,314.42 points to settle at 445,038.65, the Main Index fell 1,530.01 points to 404,134.68 and the JSE Financial Index lost 1.11 points to end at 97.60.
September closed with an average of 335,669 units at $7,507,404.
Scotia Group shed 49 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ low of $36.21 in trading 155,282 stock units, Seprod gained 29 cents to close at $57.80 with the swapping of 46,199 shares and Sterling Investments traded 764,038 shares and gained 21 cents to close at $3.01.
The All Jamaican Composite Index shed 1,515.24 points to 447,353.07, the JSE Main Index dropped 1,445.83 points to 405,664.69 and the JSE Financial Index lost 0.15 points to end at 98.71.
September closed with an average of 335,669 units at $7,507,404.Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows ten stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
Scotia Group declined $2.24 to a 52 week’s low of $36.70 in transferring 167,009 units, Seprod gained 39 cents in closing at $57.51 with 29,054 shares clearing the market and Sygnus Credit Investments picked up 24 cents to end at $17.24 in exchanging 124,241 stocks.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows eight stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and four with lower offers.
Pulse Investments dipped 53 cents to close at $4.50 with 1,157,544 shares crossing the market, Sagicor Group spiked $2.98 in closing at $55 after 92,433 stocks cleared the market, Scotia Group rose $1.84 to $38.94 with an exchange of 2,211 stock units. Seprod declined $5.98 to $57.12 with 76,822 units changing hands and Sygnus Real Estate Finance shed $1.35 to end at $17.60 in switching ownership of 1,645 stocks.
Watch these stocks that are expected to release quarterly financial statements this coming week, in addition to CPJ that is in demand and 
In the Main Market, 
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 203 percent to 210 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 180 percent to 170 percent.
The JSE Main Market ended the week with an overall PE of 15.7, a little distance from 19 the market ended at in March, suggesting a 27 percent rise at a PE of 19 and 21 percent at a PE of 20 from now to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 trades at a PE of 7.6, with a 49 percent discount to the PE of that market, well off the potential of 20, but 12 stocks trade above a PE of 19, with most of them over 20, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times current year’s earnings.
ICInsider.com ranks stocks to highlight the winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winners, helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
on Thursday and month to date, an average of 262,689 units at $4,084,598, compared to 253,960 units at $3,923,610 on Thursday. September closed with an average of 335,669 units at $7,507,404.
NCB Financial fell $1.28 to $125.50 with a transfer of 38,743 stocks, 138 Student Living popped 49 cents to $5 in trading 2,228 shares, PanJam Investment popped $1.20 to $64.45 with 100 units clearing the market. Sagicor Group declined $2.88 to close at $52.02 in transferring 4,171 units, Scotia Group rose 43 cents to end at $37.10 in an exchange of 658,325 stock units and Sygnus Credit Investments climbed 36 cents to $16.96 with 96,855 shares changing hands.
The All Jamaican Composite Index shed 597.88 points to 449,787.35, the Main Index declined 1,399.33 points to 406,297.24 and the JSE Financial Index slipped 0.43 points to end at 97.66.
September closed with an average of 335,669 units at $7,507,404.
Pulse Investments gained 26 cents after ending at $5.10 with the swapping of 1,252,651 units, Sagicor Group advanced $1.90 to $54.90, with 66,292 stocks crossing the market, Scotia Group shed 83 cents to end at a 52 weeks’ low of $36.67 in trading 296,755 stock units. Sygnus Real Estate Finance rose 91 cents to $18.95, with a transfer of 2,541 stocks and Victoria Mutual Investments shed 35 cents in closing at $6 after exchanging 98,789 units.
The All Jamaican Composite Index dropped 1,499.34 points to end at 450,385.23, the JSE Main Index shed 2,983.16 points to 407,696.57 and the JSE Financial Index shed 1.11 points to settle at 98.09.
A total of 13,717,047 shares traded for $178,931,191 versus 11,674,398 units at $83,242,103 on Tuesday. Wigton Windfarm led trading with 25.4 percent of total volume after trading 3.48 million shares. QWI Investments followed, with 15 percent, after 2.06 million shares changed hands, Transjamaican Highway contributed 10.2 percent with 1.4 million units, Carreras controlled 9.6 percent market share, with 1.32 million units and Scotia Group 7.7 percent with 1.06 million shares.
Kingston Wharves lost $1.20 to $43.80 in exchanging 2,686 shares, Mayberry Jamaican Equities increased 25 cents to $8.95 in an exchange of 79,409 units, Proven Investments dropped 30 cents to $32.70, with 5,001 units crossing the exchange. Pulse Investments declined 26 cents to close at $4.84 after 712,107 shares changed hands, Sagicor Group lost $2 in ending at $53 after exchanging 72,941 stocks, Sagicor Real Estate Fund rallied 49 cents to $8.49 in switching ownership of 1,362 units. Scotia Group fell $1 to $37.50 after trading 1,062,158 units, Seprod climbed 95 cents to $63.10, with 47,604 stocks crossing the market, Sygnus Real Estate Finance dropped $1.16 to end at a new low of $18.04 after exchanging 15,175 stock units and Victoria Mutual Investments gained 72 cents to end at $6.35 with an exchange of 118,979 shares.