AMG Packaging is out with flat results for the year to August with profits of $49 million up about 4 percent from 2012, even as revenues from goods sold climbed 24 percent to $444 million as a result of a 16 percent increase in the volume of items sold.

The company reported improvement in gross profit which increased by 32 percent compared to the 2012 figure of 31 percent as it grew faster than sales. Increased administrative cost ate up just about all of the improvement in increased efficiency in the factory operations. This was due mainly to what management attributed to a revision to wage package, as there was no increase since 2009. Gross profit margin increased to 33 percent in the year from 31 percent in 2012 and 26 percent in 2011. In 2010 the margin was at 32 percent.

August quarter | Data indicates a 37 percent jump in revenues to $128 million but that was not enough to prevent a fall in profits in the quarter to $14 million versus $16 million in the 2012 quarter as just about all major areas of cost rose sharply. Raw material cost is up 49 percent, direct manufacturing cost grew by 42 percent, administration grew 36 percent, finance cost rose 197 percent and depreciation by 71 percent.

Negatively, return on equity fell in the year to 18.6 percent versus 22 percent in 2012 and 24.5 percent in 2011, clearly an area where work is needed. The company is working to improve efficiency and expansion of production by investing in new machines. During the year the company expended money on roof relays and some other items that have an one-off effect and not likely to be repeated in the coming year and should free the profit going forward. They are also moving to use LPG instead of placing total reliance on the electric grid, which they say will reduce energy cost in the coming year.

Management, in their report to investors, indicated that a multi-functional machine on order will replace older manual ones and a rotary die cut machine is being manufactured. Both are expected to be functional in the November quarter of 2013. These machines are expected to increase production and enhance the quality of products.

Finances | Current assets of $209 million including cash of $34 million is more than adequate to cover current liabilities of $71 million. Inventories climbed sharply to $93 million from $75 million in 2012 but it represents just under one and a half months of raw material cost.

Money borrowed rose to $85 million, an increase on the $29 million at the end of the prior year, with most of the increase used to fund expansion of the factory and added machinery. The debt compares favourably with equity of $291 million.

The stock recently declined to $3.50 and became weak sometime after the third quarter numbers were released suggesting minimal growth in the bottom line. Notwithstanding, the junior market has been exhibiting softness across most stocks. As such there could well be further decline in this stock price as there does not seem to be any major buying interest currently.

Insider call | With the expansion and modernisation that is underway and the tendency for sales to be boosted by increased volume the stock should be an attractive buy as a medium to long term investment around $3 per share.

Related posts | AMG is investing for tomorrow

AMG Packaging invested $108 million since last August in fixed assets including land, building and equipment. The additions moved fixed assets to $230 million, a major increase for a relatively small company. The company took on debt to help fund the expansion as well as providing working capital financing, while both inventories and trade receivables rose and was partially offset by a rise in payables.

At the end of April, loans stood at $91 million up from $30 million in May 2012 as borrowing added $70 million to debt with repayment of principal over 7 years at 9.25 percent interest for 5 years and variable thereafter at 3.25 percent above Treasury bill rates. Capital spend is yet to end. Management in their report to investors indicated that a multi-functional machine on order will replace older manual ones and a rotary die cut machine that is being manufactured will be shipped shortly. They are expected to increase production and enhance the quality of products.

2013 profit | Profit for the quarter came in at $7.3 million down from $15.7 million in 2012. For the nine months period, the bottom line reflected an increase in profits to $37.7 million up from $32.56 million in 2012. Revenues climbed in the latest quarter over that of 2012 but only by 5.7 percent to reach $111.37 million, while revenues for the nine months was up by 18 percent hitting $315.77 million. Sales slowed down sharply in the latest quarter from 34 percent increase in the three months to February and 18 percent increase in the November quarter.

Interestingly, even as revenue growth slowed in the May quarter, the margin continues to show improvements as gross profit increased over that of the 2012 May quarter and production raw material cost marginally more to generate the increased sales. Direct expenses climbed 27 percent in the quarter. Rises in administrative cost, finance, interest and depreciation combined to squeeze profit for the quarter, although profit before these expenses grew by $2 million, net profit fell by $8.4 million. In the quarter, interest cost came in at $2.8 million. There was none reflected in results in the prior period. Financial cost rose by $1.3 million and administrative cost increased by $1 million over the February quarter. Some of the increased cost is not expected to recur in the subsequent quarter but indications from the rise in administrative cost in the previous quarter compared with 2012 figures suggest that the cost structure going forward is set at higher levels than before. The company has been focusing its energies on cost containment and the reduction of raw material waste. The improved margins indicates that they have succeeded in this latter area. But there others that they are working on that will bring results in the future. The results to date indicate that they need to get revenues up at a faster pace than the latest quarterly results indicates to more than cover the increased overhead cost.

2012 profit | Sales for the year ended August, 2011 increased by 15.71% to $357.46 million as a result of an increase of 27.19% in the number of units produced. This increase in sales resulted in a 27.23% increase in Gross Profit of $81.31 million (2011- $63.91 million).  For 2012, profit of $47.66 million was realised, up 52.45% over the 2011 prior year of $31.27 million.

Finances | Current assets of $199 million including cash of $49 million is more than adequate cover for current liabilities of $87 million. At the end of the February, cash was down to $7 million. Inventories climbed sharply and may well be attributable to the weakness of the exchange rate of the Jamaican dollar, in which case holding inventory at a lower exchange rate will act as insurance coverage for loss in value of the Jamaican dollar. The increase in inventories could well be that sales were taking place at a much slower pace than anticipated based on the hike in sales in the prior quarter.

Production improvement | AMG told its shareholders last year that the new 10,000 square feet warehouse facility was completed and will allow for additional space to stock raw material and finished products as well as expand the production capacity. The facility boasts two loading bays which will enable loading and unloading containers and minimise damage to the rolls. It will enable the company to store raw materials in a secure and proper environment. A paper clamp forklift was acquired and enables moving paper rolls in a more efficient manner.

A new two-colour printing and rotary die cut machine is installed and in production. This acquisition increased production as well as widens the product base. A partition machine was also acquired, expanding the product offering to service companies that package glass products.

Management decided to rearrange the shift system to accommodate a third shift in the near future. The new hours will be 6am to 2pm and 2pm to 10pm. This will eliminate the down time as well as minimize the overtime.