CPJ drops to 3rd on Main Market TOP10

In a week when Junior Market made a modest move higher, the Main Market closed lower, and resulted in no new entrants into the IC top 10 lists, in a week when three stocks gained 10 percent or more and one with a 6 percent increase, with no significant declines.
Price changes worth noting include, Medical Disposables with a 12 percent rise to $5.79, Paramount Trading up 10 percent to $2.04 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers rising 6 percent to close the week at $2.59 in the Junior Market and Caribbean Producers gaining 11 percent to close the week at $13.93, to move from number one spot last week to third this week and Key Insurance rising 4 percent to $3.64 in the Main Market. Caribbean Cream earnings per share were reduced to 70 cents for the year to February from 80 cents previously.
At the end of the week, the average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 13.7. At the same time, the Junior MarketTop 10 PE sits at 5.8 versus the market at 12.5, essential indicators of the level of undervaluation of the ICTOP10 stocks. The Junior Market is projected to rise by 248 percent and the Main Market TOP10 by an average of 247 percent by May 2023.
The Junior Market has 14 stocks representing a third of the market, with PEs from 15 to 36, averaging 21 compared with the above average of the market. The top half of the market has an average PE of 18. This data shows the extent of potential gains that the TOP 10 stocks possess. The situation in the Main Market is similar, with the 15 highest valued stocks priced at a PE of 16 to 78, with an average of 26 and 22 excluding the highest valued one and 18 for the top half excluding the highest valued stock.
Currently, the Junior Market reflects a positive positioning and is poised to move higher in the weeks ahead. The recent negative clouds that hang over the main markets seem to be lifting, with the market index slowly bouncing off recent lows.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners. Accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings, allowing investors to focus on the most undervalued stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Dolla & OneonOne added to Stocks to Watch

Caribbean Producers gained 11 percent in the past week and slipped to the number 3 spot in ICInsider.com top 10 Buy Rated stocks list. Knutsford Express climbed to a 52 weeks’ high of $9.50 during the week but closed at $8 on Friday and Paramount Trading 10 percent to $2.04.

Caribbean Producers

Dolla Financial and One on One are added to the list this week. Although the nine months’ results for Dolla Financial show only 7 cents per share earnings, ICInsider.com expects the company to post a robust fourth quarter to push earnings to 20 cents per share. There are two points of note about the results. They were constrained by cash to increase loans much beyond what they did, but the $1.5 billion bond raise will alleviate this constraint, the troubling issue is that while Interest Income amounted to $453 million for the nine months, they only collected $367 million, a sharp variation from previous periods when the vast majority was contained within the period.
One on One full year results are due soon and it will be interesting to see if they beat the projections they gave at the time of the initial public offer. Regardless, the price is back at $1.50, in line with the lower end of the range ICInsider.com suggested at the time of the IPO. The company projected revenues to hit $334 million by the end of the financial year to August with pretax profits of $105 million, equating to pretax earnings per share of 7 cents. The earnings work out at a PE ratio of 21, just well above the market average of 12.6, but profits going forward for the new fiscal year could result in a fall in the Ratio.
ICInsider.com watch list comprises now Access Financial, Barita Investments, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Consolidated Bakers, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Elite Diagnostic, Everything Fresh, General Accident, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Key Insurance, Knutsford Express, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing, NCB Financial, One on One, Paramount Trading, Scotia Group and Stationery and Office Supplies.
Street News has it that Stationery and Office Supplies continues to churn out record revenues and profits during the third quarter of the year. The company is now subject to taxation at 50 percent of the regular rate for the final five months of the year, having been listed for five years to August, accordingly, ICinsider.com revised the forecast for 2022 to $1.35 from $1.50. The company should report nine months’ results around November 11.
Significant factors to consider going forward. Based on recent releases Caribbean Assurance Brokers should be releasing nine months’ results this coming week to reflect record earnings, which could move the stock price. The same goes for Lasco Distributors and Lasco Manufacturing. The rebound in tourist arrivals only came back to 2019 levels since June. Providing there are no reversals, companies highly dependent on the sector will enjoy a big bounce for the next nine months compared to the lower business generated from last year to April this year. The same applies to the entertainment industry,y as the sector only opened up after March this year. Banks will make a fortune from increased interest rates.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

Stocks to Watch backed by strong results

Recent release of company results this past week confirms they are on the stocks to watch list, with Caribbean Producers reporting J$1.05 in earnings per share for the year to June, with tourism traffic at just 78 percent of 2019 for the 12 months to June this year.

Knutsford Express reported 17 cents per share and seems set to reach IC insider.com’s forecast of $1 per share for the current fiscal year and Paramount Trading, with earnings per share of 5.4 cents for the August quarter, is seemingly poised to reach our forecast of 30 cents per share for the fiscal year ending May 2023.
ICInsider.com watch list now comprises Access Financial, Barita Investments, which may be overvalued currently, but it’s a favourate of many investors, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Consolidated Bakeries, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Elite Diagnostic, Everything Fresh, General Accident, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Key Insurance, Knutsford Express, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing, NCB Financial, Stationery and Office Supplies, Paramount Trading, now back in ICInsider.com TOP10 and Scotia Group.

Paramount

Significant factors to consider going forward. The rebound in tourist arrivals only came back to 2019 levels since June, with September around 17 percent higher. Providing there are no reversals, companies highly dependent on the sector will enjoy a sizable bounce for the next nine months compared to the lower business generated from last year to April this year. Banks will profit from increased interest rates, and insurance companies will enjoy increased interest revenues. The same applies to the entertainment industry, as the sector only opened up after March this year.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

Access Financial added to stocks to watch

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Access Financial dropped out of the ICTOP10 this past week and is added to the stocks to watch, it could move higher if the closing bids and offers that were posted hold, Monday’s market activity will shed some light on it.  
With Barita Investments climbing to a record high of $115.04 on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market on Friday after 6.5 million of the company’s shares were traded leaving only two lots on offer at the end of trading with the lowest offer, 7,200 shares at $140 and the other just 50 units at $200 and three bids at $115 and $115.04 to buy over 400,000 shares, this ought to be watched to see what investors respond.
Consolidated Bakeries ended at fresh multiyear closing high during the past week of $2.95 but closed on Friday, at $2.66 and is up 122 for the year to September and 79 percent since added to Stocks to Watch.
ICInsider.com watch list comprises Access Financial, Barita Investments, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Consolidated Bakers, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Elite Diagnostic, Everything Fresh, General Accident, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Key Insurance, Knutsford Express, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing, NCB Financial, Stationery and Office Supplies, Paramount Trading and Scotia Group.
Major factors to consider going forward. The rebound in tourist arrivals only came back to 2019 levels since June. Providing there are no reversals, then companies who are highly dependent on the sector will enjoy a big bounce for the next nine months compared to the lower business generated since last year to April this year. The same applies to the entertainment industry as the sector only opened up after March this year. Banks will make a fortune from increased interest rates.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

Consolidated Bakeries hits new high

Consolidated Bakeries ended at a fresh multiyear closing high of $2.50 on Friday, with more than a million shares trading. Investors can expect more gains from this one as the company enjoyed strong first half year results that are expected to carry over to the second half and with the pe ratio now at 10 times this year’s earnings.

Consolidated Bakeries (Purity) traded at a 52 weeks’ closing high on Friday.

Key Insurance is added to the watch list with the price down to $3.36. After releasing full year results last week, Express Catering released first quarter results to August. Based on those numbers, ICInsider.com revised earnings per share to 40 Jamaica cents for the current fiscal year, with the PE now at 13.
ICInsider.com watch list comprises Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Consolidated Bakers, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Elite Diagnostic, Everything Fresh, General Accident, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Key Insurance, Knutsford Express, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing, NCB Financial, Stationery and Office Supplies, Paramount Trading and Scotia Group.
Major factors to consider going forward. The rebound in tourist arrivals only came back to 2019 levels since June. Providing there are no reversals, then companies who are highly dependent on the sector will enjoy a big bounce for the next nine months compared to the lower business generated from last year to April this year. The same applies to the entertainment industry as the sector only opened up after March this year. Banks will make a fortune from increased interest rates.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

Knutsford Express – a good stock to watch

Fresh from the release of positive full year results to May of $87 million or 16 cents per share, Knutsford Express is a new stock to watch. ICInsider.com projects earnings for the new fiscal year at 90 cents per share, with the stock trading at a PE of 8 compared to the Junior Market average of 13. The stock stands a good chance of more than doubling in the next year.

Knutsford Express

Main Event reported incredible third quarter results to July of 41 cents per share, with ICInsider.com projecting earnings for the full year at 45 cents per share and 90 cents for 2023, with the stock trading at a PE of 17 based on the current year’s estimate, but well that based on the year’s numbers.
Express Catering also released full year results that show continued recovery from last year’s fallout, with a profit of US$1.1 million, from a loss of US$1.73 million in 2021. In contrast, in the nine months to February, profit was just US$364,607, with only US$120,248 profit generated in the February quarter. ICInsider.com earnings per share are projected at Jamaica 50 cents resulting in a PE of 11.
Elite Diagnostic is added to the list with projected earnings of 55 cents per share at a PE of 6.5 at a stock price of $3.58 and Consolidated Bakery that had an excellent half year with the promise of a good second half to come.
ICInsider.com identifies the following for the watch list. Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Everything Fresh, General Accident, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing, NCB Financial, Stationery and Office Supplies, Paramount Trading and Scotia Group.
Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers and Express Catering will be major beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals and the supply of General Accident has declined sharply over the past few weeks, but investors may be reluctant to pile into the stock ahead of the hurricane season.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on.

138 Student Living jumps 41%, Purity 34%

Last week’s stock to watch, Everything Fresh, climbed another 12.5 percent on top of the solid 43.5 percent last week to close the week at $1.89, while Consolidated Bakeries, added to the list last week, surged 34 percent to close at $1.99 as investors aggressively sucked 837,932 shares out of the market, leaving just eight lots of stocks amounting to 71,000 units on offer.
New to the list this week is Lumber Depot, that is undervalued with good potential to expand. ONE on ONE Education Services should list soon and will enjoy a significant price hike a few days after listing.
138 Student Living delivered a 41 percent jump in the week and should move even higher in the weeks ahead, while Stationery and Office Supplies picked up a bit as some demand came in for the stock. Expect more gains in the months ahead.
Investors should continue to watch Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Caribbean Producers, Dolphin Cove, Express Catering, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing, NCB Financial and Paramount Trading.
Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Express Catering and Everything Fresh will be significant beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals, now back to 2019 levels.

Everything Fresh jumps 44% last week

Last week’s stock to watch, Everything Fresh, climbed 43.5 percent from $1.17 to close the week at $1.68 and should move higher and Future Energy Source, that reported fabulous results for the first quarter, was one to watch. The stock added to the $5.29 price it closed the previous week at and closed on Friday at $5.63, with a PE ratio of 22.5.

Everything Fresh traded at $1.68 on Friday to gain 43.5% for the week.

This week, Consolidated Bakeries is added to the list, following excellent half year results, with prospects of more gains ahead, but General Accident is out following a bump in claims in the second quarter that squeezed profit. Also added to the list is ONE on ONE Education Services, which should list this month and enjoy a significant price hike.
138 Student Living reported strong June results but hardly moved in a week that the markets suffered declines. Meanwhile, Stationery and Office Supplies pulled back a bit as demand weakened following good half year results.
This week’s other ICInsider.com watch listings are Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Caribbean Producers, Dolphin Cove, Express Catering, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing, NCB Financial and Paramount Trading.
Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Express Catering and Everything Fresh will be major beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals, now back to 2019 levels.
Refunds should start returning to investors from ONE on ONE Education Services this week now that allocations in the recent IPO are determined. That could make a big difference to the market as investors deploy those funds in the market.

More changes to ICTOP10

While some investors were selling shares to buy into the latest IPO to hit the market, recent investors in the Junior Market listed Dolla Financial gave the market a shot in the arm following a disclosure that the company had corresponded with Access Financial to explore merger talks.
Investors reacted the first chance they had and drove the prices of both stocks higher on Friday.
The Ipo of OneonOne IPO opened on Friday morning and closed at the end of the day, as was to be expected, after attracting some 15,000 applications. The shares are likely to be listed before the end of August, with a name change to follow. ICInsider.com expects the stock will move into the $2 range sometime after listing.
The disclosure of the Dolla interest sent the TOP 10 listed Access up $5.79 or 25 percent to close at $25 on Friday, with the stock falling from the TOP10. Other big Junior Market TOP10 movers this past week are Caribbean Assurance Brokers, up 12 percent lower at $2.80, Paramount Trading with a rise of 9 percent, CAC 2000, up 6 percent to $7.65, while General Accident dropped 9 percent to a very attractive price of $5.
The Main Market ended the week with 138 Student Living jumping 23 percent to $5 and is likely to rise further, with the company posting solid results after the market closed, with earnings of 21 cents for the June quarter and 58 cents per share for the nine months to June. Berger Paints rose 8 percent to $11.93, VM Investments popped 4 percent to $5.20 and Guardian Holdings reversed most of the previous week’s gain by dropping a sharp 22 percent from $650 to $506.
The new entrants to the ICTOP listing are Iron Rock Insurance and Lasco Manufacturing, replacing Access Financial and Paramount Trading. There were no changes in the Main market. 
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 13.9, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE sits at 5.9 versus the market at 12.8. The Junior Market is projected to rise 240 percent and the Main Market TOP10 an average of 235 percent each to May 2023.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list includes some of the best companies in the market but not always. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotions in selecting stocks for investments that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, computed using projected earnings for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate, resulting in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Fesco heads stocks to watch

Future Energy Source stunned the market with fabulous results for the first quarter that suggests earnings for the full year should hit 26 cents and thus bringing the PE ratio to a realistic 20 which is comparable to a number of other companies in the market. Demand should come in at the current $5.29 price, it closed on Friday.

138 Student Living should earn 80 cents for the year to September after posting 58 cents for the nine months to June and should move higher. Stationery and Office Supplies reported continued strong 2022 results and will be paying an 18 cents dividend with a second expected based on this year’s good earnings saw more than 551,000 shares trading on Friday in response to the results.
This week’s other ICInsider.com watch list are Access Financial, Caribbean Assurance Brokers, Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Everything Fresh, Express Catering, General Accident, Guardian Holdings, Jamaica Broilers, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing, NCB Financial and Paramount Trading.
Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers, Express Catering will be major beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals and the supply of General Accident has declined sharply over the past few weeks, but investors may be reluctant to pile into the stock ahead of the hurricane season.

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