Kremi in tTech out of TOP 10 stocks

 

Caribbean Cream outlet in Kingston.

Caribbean Cream jumped into the Junior Market TOP 10 replacing tTech that reentered last week but enjoyed a bounce in price to be edged out for this week.
There was no new entrant to the main market list, even as that market recorded three days of record close during the shortened week. Market activity in the main market is pointing to a big break out for stock prices while the Junior Market is flexing to rise having hit a one year low in early December last year.
The most notable change was the $250 fall in the price of Palace Amusement down to $750 from $1,000 last week even as the big money making movie Black Panther continues to draw large crowds after nearly two months of showing and seems set to ensure that revenues and profit for the year to June is the highest by far in the company’s history.
Berger Paints made gains and Barita Investments slipped in price and swapped the top two positions by the end of the week. In the Junior Market, Jamaican Teas moved up to $5.30 from $4.75 at the end of the prior week but still sits in at number 4 on the list.
Caribbean Cream recorded strong revenues gain in the year to February but enjoyed lower profit up to November as input cost rose negated the revenues rise. A major part of the input cost well sharply in price since peaking in 2017 and should help restore gross profit margin going forward. This is one to be watched going forward along with Radio Jamaica where reports are that advertising picked up nicely for the March quarter, from a slow December quarter and may be pointing to improvement for 2018 onwards, with increasing economic activity taking place, leading to increased sales and profits for many of the advertisers.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 6.2 compared to an average PE for the overall main market is 10 based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is 6.5 for the top stocks compared to a market average of 12.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 38 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 47 percent to the market.

tTech is back Carib Producers exits TOP 10

tTech is a new entrant to the Junior Market TOP 10 stocks and replaces Caribbean Producers that has been in the TOP 10 for several months.
Caribbean Producers closed at a 52 weeks high of $5 at the end of last week and fell out of the TOP 10. PanJam Investment price moved to $43 and just held on in the main market TOP 10. The price of Palace Amusement fell during the week to end at $1,000 and moved up on the top ten list as a result. Caribbean Cement price dropped sharply from $42 in the previous week to $35, but closed with the bid at $37.95 and moved into the number 5 spot as a result.
Cable & Wireless is unofficially the number one rated stock in the main market list based on IC Insider.com forecast, of profit for the current year, flowing from increased revenues and a sharp fall in interest cost. Uncertainty surrounding continued listing keeps it off the official list.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 6.5 compared to an average PE for the overall main market is 10 based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is 6.6 for the top stocks compared to a market average of 12.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 36 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be, 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 46 percent to the market.

Palace is back NCB out of TOP 10 stocks

 

New contents at Palace Amusement .

Palace Amusement is back in among the top stocks, after falling out at the end of the previous week, with the stock now offered for sale at $1,120, below the last sale price of $1,300.
There is still no new entrants to the junior market TOP 10, for the second week in a row, as there has been only moderate price changes in that market.
A new element in the market this past week, is the payment to some former Cable & Wireless shareholders who collected nearly $2 billion in cash. Most of these funds are likely to go back into the market that is short on supplies.
The price of NCB Financial rose by the end of the week and moved out of the main market top stock list. Caribbean Cement that has languished just above the $30 level for months has broken into the $40 range and moved down to the second half of the list. The sharp price change follows an announcement that the company signed an agreement to buyback leased assets during this year. The buyback is set to save around $2 billion per annum before tax.
Palace Amusement revenues and profit, are getting a big lift from the strong showing of the Black Panther movie being shown currently. The stock’s attractiveness is not based solely on that development. Data shows the company’s revenues have been rising well since 2014 when it hit $833 million, rising to $916 million in 2015, while there was a slight dip in 2016 to $909 million, it rose 9 percent in 2017, to $990 million. Revenues for the half year to December last year grew 11 percent to $493 million and profit rising 138 percent, continuing the normal annual growth. Revenues will hit the billion mark for the first time in the company’s history, for the current fiscal year and remain over that level going forward. The performance of the economy is critical to the future fortunes and to a lesser degree, the quality of films. Data shows that with tight economy, patronage in Kingston suffered badly with the fall in the economy from in 2008 onwards. At the same time strong growth said to be around 7 percent per annum in the Montego Bay economy, shows up in strong revenues gains there compared to Kingston. With the overall economy recovering, Palace is benefitting.
PanJam Investment for 2017, reported a 29 percent rise in profit to $4.13 billion and in earnings per share of $3.93 from continuing operations. The group is expected to continue to enjoy increased earnings in 2018 and the focus on expansion of new projects will be beneficial to them going forward.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 6.3 compared to an average PE for the overall main market is 10 based on 2018 estimated earnings. The main market PE is 6.8 for the top stocks compared to a market average of 12.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 37 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be, 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 44 percent to the market.

Entities associated with IC Insider.com owns shares in Palace Amusement Company and Caribbean Cement.

Express Catering Q3 profit jumps 105%

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Ian Dear, Managing Director of Express Catering

Profit for Express Catering jumped 105 percent in the February quarter, to US$1.14 million from US$558,267 in 2017. For the nine months to February, profit surged 166 percent to US$2.52 million from US$947,989 in 2017.
Sale revenues rose 9.7 percent for the quarter, to US$4.39 million from US$4 million and rose 12.44 percent for the year to date, to US$11.27 million from US$10 million in 2017. Revenues benefited from strong increase in visitor arrivals during the period around 10 percent.
Gross profit margin remained stable at 74 percent in the quarter and 73 percent for the nine months with gross profit of $3.25 million for the quarter up 10 percent from $2.96 million in 2017 and $8.28 million for the year to date 11 percent more than $7.46 million in 2017.
Depreciation fell 8 percent in the quarter to US$128,754 million and was 4 percent lower for the year to date, to US$400,475.

Starbucks one of the brands Express Catering will sell at the Montego Bay Airport.

Administrative expenses fell 14 percent to US$1.87 million in the quarter and fell 13 percent in the nine months period to US$5.05 million. Finance cost rose 18 percent in the quarter, to US$112,418 and moved just 1 percent for the nine months period to US$287,176 from US$283,625.
Earnings per share came out at 0.07 US cents for the quarter and 0.154 US cents for the nine months and should end the fiscal year ending to May around 0.24 cents or 30 cents Jamaican.
Gross cash flow brought in US$3 million but growth of $1.49 million in amounts owing by related companies, additions to fixed assets of US$303,103 and paying US$1.5 million in dividends, reduced cash to just US$34,145 at the end of the period.
At the end of February, shareholders’ equity stands at US$5.56 million with preference shares of US$3.5 million. Current assets ended the period US$5.68 million of which amounts due from related parties amounts to $5.3 million and I up from US$3.6 million in the prior year. Current liabilities amounted to US$1.5 million.
The company will be rolling out the Starbucks Coffee stores in the final quarter and that should boost revenues and profit in the new fiscal year.
The stock traded at J$4.50 on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange with a PE ratio of 15 times 2018 earnings. The company will go into a new year, come June, that should result in a lowering of the PE with IC Insider.com forecasting 48 cents per share for PE of 9 times earnings.

Palace, Grace out NCB & PanJam in TOP 10

There were no entrants or exists from to the Junior Market TOP 10 list but Palace Amusement more than doubled during the week rising 132 percent and left the list along with Grace Kennedy that rose to $51.50. The two are replaced by NCB Financial and PanJam Investment.
PanJam released 2017 audited financial statements with increased earnings of 29 percent to $4.13 billion, from ongoing operations resulting in earnings per share of $3.93. The group is expected to continue to enjoy increased earnings in 2018.
The main market hit record highs during the week but pulled back as the market move closer to resistance level in a long term channel. It just a matter of time for the break out to take place, regardless the channel points upwards for the market. Profit results for 2018 first quarter, will be important in helping to fuel the break out but with Treasury bill rates falling to 3.16 percent on the 182 days instrument during the past week, an important leg for a rally to come, is in place.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 6.3 compared to an average PE for the overall main market is 10 based on 2018 estimated earnings. At the same time the main market ended the week with a PE of 6.7 for the top stocks compared to a market average of close to 12.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 37 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be, of 20 times earnings and main market stocks traded at a discount of 45 percent to the market

Iron Rock & 2 others in TOP 10

The Junior Market continues to fight for the 2018 rally to take root and grow even as interest rates are at their lowest in decades. Technical reading of this market shows the short term 45 day moving average (DMA) has crossed over the 120 DMA, a bullish sign as the market is coming from an oversold position.
With many Junior Market stocks having risen sharply in the last twelve months, it would require gains in profit above most of the recent postings to have pushed prices much higher in the short term. In a number of instances, some junior listed companies are focusing on expansion that will not bear fruit immediately and with some of the stocks pricing in these development into prices already, there are no new information to move prices in the short term. Results for the 2018 first quarter will therefore be critical in determining the performance of the market for the first half of the year.Stationery and Office Supplies got a shot in the arm from audited financial statements to December 2018, showing strong gains in revenues and profit, compared to 2016 and saw the price moving back up to $5.50 and its position in the TOP list down to 8 from number 2 in February. It won’t be long before it drops out of the list as demand push the price higher. General insurance underwriters Iron Rock is now in the list, following improved 2017 results that benefited from strong revenues growth that augurs well for earnings in 2018. The company should also benefit from rising premium rates. Paramount Trading is back in the list and so too is AMG Packaging having disposed of its machinery in the tissue operations and cut cost it in it as well from the closure of that business line. Going into the 2019 fiscal year it should be rid of most of the cost of that operations and therefore focus on the container boxes to meet the existing increased demand. Out goes Dolphin Cove with lower than projected earnings being reported for 2017, followed by Blue Power and tTech with lower results for 2017 than previously projected, that will likely negatively affect 2018 earnings for these companies.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 6.3 compared to an average PE for the overall main market is 10 based on 2018 estimated earnings.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 37 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but it’s a third of what the average PE for the year is likely to be, of 20 times earnings.

$2,800 per share for Palace Amusement!

Palace Amusement seems set to be a big surprise as the stock could exceed $2,000 this year with enormous success that Black Panther is forging.
At the close on Friday the bid had moved up to $730 and should be heading higher based on the good fortune being enjoyed with the Black Panther movie. IC Insider.com projects big rise in revenues for the current quarter a sizable jump in profit as well to levels never before seen by this company. Profit for the year to June should be well into the $100 per share range as the company increase showings of the extremely popular movie but is still booked out into the future. Cable & Wireless should be the number one choice for main market TOP 10 stocks based on a nearly $2 billion reduction in interest cost this year resulting from the fall in local interest rates and increasing revenues. But uncertainty lies about continued listing on the Jamaica Stock Exchange in a year when the company is likely to see significant profit for the first time in nearly a decade.
The number one remains with Barita Investments on the basis that management will start to seriously extract the benefits of the assets that it manages. Despite the fall in profits in the December quarter for Berger Paints, from slightly lower  revenues compared to 2016, the stock is still expected to benefit from improving demand for paints as economic improvements take deeper root.
Caribbean Cement continues to struggle to break out of the $35 region but investors may have to wait until around mid-April just ahead of the first quarter results to witness a break out. Grace Kennedy results when the prior year’s one off gain from sale of investment is factored out showed continued progress in increasing profit. The stock has become scarce and seems headed for the over $50 range.
The PE ratio of the TOP 10 is 6.6 times 2018 earnings compared to 12 currently for the main market and an expected 20 by March 2019, this means these stocks have lots of room to grow.

tTech, LasFin & Blue Power in TOP 10

The Junior Market is up 7.5 percent for the year to date, helped considerably by three new listings since late December and recovery in the prices of three Lasco companies and a few others.
Investors pushed Treasury bill rates sharply down by 22 percent from 4.63 in December to 3.593 percent in February, while the central bank cut their overnight rates in sympathy to 2.75 percent. On the other hand profit results of companies have been mixed with some showing strong gains and others no so strong. So far stocks prices have yet to move to factor in the lower interest rates.
One company that had good 2017 results was ISP Finance but increased bad debt provisioning curtailed the growth in profits to just one percent after tax, but 20 percent ahead of the net 2016 profits with a 25 percent rise in revenues. The results for 2017 resulted in earnings per share being reduced to $1.20 for 2018 and with a rise in the stock price to $11.05 it is no longer in the TOP stocks. Also going out are, Access Financial and Paramount Trading. Access earnings have been reduced following their third quarter 2017 results.
Entering the TOP 10 Junior Market list are tTech, Lasco Financial and Blue Power. While Lasco Financial had lower profit in the December 2017 quarter than in 2016 that was due to added cost associated with the acquisition of Credi Scotia. The company will see a big jump in profit as a result of the acquisition. tTech is said to be seeing strong growth in clientele following a few years of soliciting new clients business. General Accident had a temporary setback in profit in 2017 due to a major claim but rising premium income margin should help boost profit in 2018 barring any major catastrophic claims. Key Insurance despite incurring cost associated with staff separation amounting to close to $50 million reported improved results for 2017 over 2016 and should go on to record the highest levels of profit in 2018 with expected better margin on insurance underwriting barring any unusually large claims. Stationery and Office had a record 2018 performance and is expected to show improve results in 2018 that will move the price upwards.
At the close of Friday, the average PE ratio for Junior Market Top stocks ended at 6.3 compared to an average PE for the overall main market is 10 based on 2018 estimated earnings.
IC Insider.com’s TOP 10 stocks now trade at an average discount of 39 percent to the average for the Junior Market Top stocks but its less than 50 percent of what the average PE for the year is likely to be, of 15 to 20 times earnings.

Solid buy – Stationery and Office Supplies

Stationary and Office Supplies – Montego Bay offices.

Stationery and Office Supplies stock is under pressure, having traded around the $5 level for some time, dropped to $4 in trading during last week with minimal demand for the stock currently.
But investors should probably be taking a different approach to the stock and piling into it for a big rally down the road as the fundamentals are strong and getting better.
Revenues climbed 23.7 percent in the June quarter to $212 million and 22 percent to $432 million for the half year, by the September quarter the growth climbed to 37 percent to $233 million, pushing revenues for the year to September to an increase of 27 percent to $665 million. Based on the bounce in revenues that some companies received after listing, the strong growth in revenues seen in the third quarter is said to have continued for the December quarter. Full year results are expected, by the first week in March and should be in the range of $100 million based on IC Insider.com projections. Reports are that the full year results for 2017 exceeded expectations which was around $70 million at the time the IPO was offered and adjusted internally upwards based on third quarter results. At the end of September profit before tax reached $69 million well ahead of the $48 million recorded at the same time in 2016 and vastly more than the $53 million reported for all of 2016. The 2017 results are not likely to show any weakness as occurred in 2016.
SOS had acquired a building which was converted to a warehouse to allow for expansion of It’s offerings, this is now in use with some 6,000 square feet occupied. According to reports there are “lots of plans and expectations going forward for good business growth”. IC Indsider.com gathers that the December quarter that is normally the worse quarter for them due to the holidays, but the 2017 last quarter was the best quarter in the company’s history.
IC Insider.com projects earnings before tax at 50 cents per share for 2017 based on the average number of shares issued for the year, up from 40 cents when the shares were offered for sale and 75 cents for 2018 based on projection for continued strong growth in revenues.
At a last traded price of $4.50 on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, the stock remains a buy as it will benefit from strong growth in 2017 and future growth in 2018 and beyond. Investors should take advantage of the current softness in the stock price and wait for the inevitable strong gains ahead.

Lasco Financial beats 2017 profit in 9 months

Lasco Financial reports profit for 9 months at $222 million.

Lasco Financial’s profit for the nine months to December, has already eclipsed the full 2017 fiscal year profit of $188 million as nine months profit climbed 36.6 percent to $222 million, from a 35 percent revenue increase from $830 million to $1.12 billion.
Profit after tax, suffered a decline in the third quarter, falling to $54.7 million from $62 million in 2016, as revenues increased by 36 percent to $405 million from $298 million in the 2016 period. The results reflect just one month’s of CrediScotia’s operation.
Responding to the growth in the December quarter results, Lasco’s Managing director, Jacinth Hall-Tracey stated in her report to shareholders, “This is attributed to seasonally strong remittance and cambio inflows bolstered by the income from its new acquisition of CreditScotia, renamed LASCO Microfinance. After recognizing some direct expenses for the acquisition and normal seasonal operational increases, profit from operations for the quarter closed at $91.4 million, an increase of 18.5 percent.” Interest cost associated with the funding of the acquisition was pushed up by $20 million in the quarter and reduced the positive gains in operating profit below pretax profit in 2016 of $75 million to $69 million.
Administrative and other expenses, jumped a sharp 63 percent to $179 million in the third quarter, but for the nine months, it rose by a more moderate 41 percent, to $531 million, well ahead of the increased revenues. Marketing cost rose 22 percent in the quarter to $135 million and 20 percent for the nine months, to $389 million.
Total assets jumped from $1.55 billion at the end of March 2017 to $3.3 billion with the acquisition of the CrediScotia shares, funded by $1.27 billion from by short-term loans, from related companies. The short-term loans will be repaid in full from a long term instrument being arranged.

Access Financial has assets of $3.3 billion at September 2017.

The acquisition pushed Lasco’s assets to the same amount that Access Financial had at the end of September. There are two differences, Access Financial is valued by the stock market at twice the market value of Lasco’s market value of $6.6 billion, with Access at $11.55 billion. Access’s loan portfolio stood at $2.68 billion at September while Lasco is less than $1.5 billion at the end of December last year.
According to the quarterly report, in the coming months, the loan business will be combined into the subsidiary company. The combined businesses own a network of 13 branches, a large customer base and a billion dollar loan portfolio.
The company looks like it will end 2018 fiscal year with profits around $300 million level with earnings per share of 25 cents. The stock last traded on the Junior Market of the Stock Exchange at$5.24 at a PE around 20 times current fiscal year’s earning, but the focus will be on the next fiscal year when the full benefits of the acquisition of the CrediScotia is fully reflected in the results and one off cost are removed.

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