NCB releases Q3 results next week

NCB Financial Group advises that its board meeting to consider and approve the release of the nine-month unaudited financial statements at a board meeting scheduled for August 4, 2020.

NCB Financial Head Office

The company stated that further releases issued in April and May this year, they are confirming that a dividend is not likely to be declared at the meeting.
The group enjoyed a 41 percent increase in profit in its first quarter, but that fell in the second quarter, with a net profit of $13.4 billion for the first six months of the 2020 financial year. Net profit attributable to our stockholders was $9.6 billion, a 23 percent or $2.9 billion decline from the prior year. The preceding year’s results included a one off-gain of $3.3 billion from the disposal of our interest in an associate company. Excluding this gain, net profit would have increased by $408 million or 4 percent over the prior year.

Wigton profit climbs 30%

Profit at Wigton Windfarm jumped 29.5 percent after-tax to $664 million or 6 cents per share for the March 2020 financial year, up from $513 million or four cents per share in 2019.

Wigton closed at anew high of $1

Wigton posted a profit of $66am for the twelve months to March 2020

Sales of power generated, to Jamaica Public Service Company, declined slightly to $2.417 billion from $2.448 billion in 2019. Gross operating cost slipped from $740 million with depreciation cost of $670 million in 2019 to $764 million that includes depreciation of $665 million and resulted in gross profit of $1.65 billion in 2020 from $1.7 billion in 2019.
Other income, including $456 million in foreign gains in 2019, dipped to $221 million from $503 million in 2019 while finance cost dropped to $527 million from $1.05 billion due mainly to foreign exchange loss incurred in the 2019 period amounting to $662 million and none in the 2020 fiscal year. Administrative cost moved slightly higher in 2020 to $479 million from $434 million in 2019.
Gross cash inflows amounted to $1.55 billion and helped push cash and bank balances to $2.7 billion. Current assets ended the year at $3 billion and current liabilities at just $847 million. Loan funding stood at $6.3 billion, with $730 million due for repayment by March next year. Shareholders’ equity stands at $3.5 billion, comprising issued shares of 11 billion units.
The stock closed trading on the Main Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange at 78 cents for a PE ratio of 13 times earnings. Going forward into the 2021 fiscal year, there is uncertainty as to the outturn for profit, with earnings remaining around the six cents per share the most likely outcome.

Jamaica’s Inflation stays low

Inflation in Jamaica for the first five months of 2020 remained extremely low, with the rate for May, coming in at 0.1 percent following April’s increase of just 0.2 percent, leading the year-to-date inflation rate at negative 0.4 percent.
Inflation over the past twelve months came out at 4.2 percent, with the period between July and November rising by exactly 4.2 percent, mostly due to a hike in the exchange rate of the Jamaican dollar versus the US dollar.
The May movement resulted mainly from a 1.1 percent increase in the heavily weighted Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages division, according to a release from the Statistical Institute of Jamaica due to higher prices for agricultural produce, with a 2.3 percent rise. The division of Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels increased 1.5 percent due mainly to electricity rates, which resulted in a 5.6 percent upward movement in the index for the group.
The index for the Education division fell 22.1 percent, primarily due to a decrease in tuition fees for the summer term and the Transport division index fell 0.3 percent, with lower prices for petrol contributed to this decline.

Crude oil plunged 45% Monday

The price of West Texas crude has plunged 45 percent to the lowest level in decades, with the price hitting US$10.85.

Imports of fuel fell in 2016

On Thursday, the price dipped to close on the world market at US$19.73 from over US$62 in December last year. The fall takes place even as major oil producers agreed to cut production by nearly 10 million barrels a day, effective May.
The news is terrible for oil-producing countries but a tremendous gift to net importers of the commodity. In the Caribbean, Trinidad and Tobago and Guyana net exporters of the product will be negatively affected, net importers in the rest of the Caribbean will enjoy a windfall should the low price persist. Jamaica will find the plunge a great gift as it will play a huge role in offsetting the fall in revenues from the tourist trade as at the current price, the country would save around one billion per year.
For consumers, the drop means lower fuel prices, electricity charges, but the government will see less advalorem taxes on petrol collected.

Junior Market up 33% from March low

The Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange continues its recovery from the savage decline of March and is back to levels reached in the first week of that month and is up 33 percent from the March low.
Within half an hour of trading, the Junior Market Index crossed over the 2,700 points mark to 2,706.06 and is up 63.25 points from Thursday close and is ahead of the March 5 ending of 2,656.41 points but lower than the close on March 4 of 2,758.76, but is some distance from the February close of 2,911.92.
The Main Market continues to recover and the All Jamaica Composite Index is up 5,703.56 points to 443071.44 and is above the March 16 close of 434,832.42.

Trans Jamaican Highway trades at $1.02

Shares of Trans Jamaican Highway trades at $1.02 after listing this morning. The stock that was sold to the public at $1.41 in February traded 17,804,223 up to $1.39 at 11.18 AM and has fallen 28 percent from the Initial Public Offer in the Jamaican dollar market but far less based on US dollar trading.
Bids in the market to buy are sparse with twenty bids to buy between $1.02 and a low of 50 cents, while sellers are dominant with 600 on the offer to sell from $1.03 upwards.
The public offer attracted 36,062 applicants and was oversubscribed and with a total intake of $25.12 billion.
The public offer attracted 36,062 applicants and was oversubscribed and with an intake of $25.12 billion.
The Concession Company and the Public Sector Employees reserve shares pool were undersubscribed. The excess was transferred to the Registered Pension Funds and E-Tag Reserve Pools. Applicants in the Registered Pension Funds Reserve and E-Tag Reserve Pool were fully allotted based on transfers to the Registered Pension Funds and E-Tag Reserve Pools. Underwriters Reserve Pool was allocated shares on a pro-rata basis as the pool was oversubscribed, with the excess moved to the General Public Pool.
Allocation to the General Public as a result of oversubscription was allocated up to 10,000 shares with applications in excess of 10,000 shares allocated increments of a further 10,000 shares until all shares were allocated.
Trans Jamaica came to the market at a PE ratio of 24 times 2020 earnings. Since the opening of the IPO much has happened in the capital market with prices falling sharply with the spread of the Coronavirus. Importantly, since March traveling around Jamaica has declined and that is expected to affect the revenues for the highway as long as business activity remains low.

Palace Amusement closes cinemas

In the wake of COVID 19 in Jamaica and recent reports of community spread, the management of Palace Amusement Company has taken the decision to close its four cinemas – Carib 5 and Palace Cineplex in Kingston, Sunshine Palace in Portmore and Palace Multiplex in Montego Bay – until further notice.

Carib Cinema, the flagship for Palace Amusement.

This on the heels of increased sanitization measures rolled by the Company this week to help minimize threats to valued patrons and its staff alike.
Marketing Manager, Melanie Graham says that Palace Amusement is now in unchartered territory with the uncertainties of this global pandemic. “We have been watching developments closely and staying tuned to local advisories on the virus since the news of COVID 19 broke earlier this week”, she said. “This has been a challenging week but we have made the difficult decision to close in the best interest of patrons and our employees alike. We will certainly be hard hit on many levels and at this time we are unable to project when we will resume”.
Globally the movie industry is undergoing a sharp downturn due to COVID 19, as producers and film companies continue to pull their pictures.
Among blockbusters which have been rescheduled, are the highly anticipated Fast and Furious 9 now pushed back one year to April 2021, No Time to Die, the new James Bond movie, now set be released in November and Disney’s Mulan and New Mutants which are delayed without any new release dates attached.
The fallout has also hit Alternative Content now shown exclusively at Palace Cineplex, with the Met Opera’s recent announcement of the cancellation of all performances through March 31.
“Palace Amusement wishes to extend heartfelt sympathy to all persons and families affected by COVID 19. We all have to do our part to ensure that we get through this difficult period in the best way possible.” Graham concluded.

GCT drops to 15% in April

Nigel Clarke, Jamaica’s Minister of Finance

The Minister of Finance announced a cut in GCT by 1.5 percentage points to 15 percent, effective April and will results in a loss in revenues of $14 billion as he announced a raft of measures that will result in tax reduction and subsidies for some entities and low-income earners.
The across the board reduction in the GCT tax rate is the first such reduction since the tax was introduced in the early 1990s. The adjustment follows calls by Leader of the PNP’s Peter Phillips for a 2.5 cent point reduction in the tax rate. The government is reducing the asset tax on financial institutions by 50 percent, takes effect in the next fiscal year. The removal will reduce the added cost of providing services by financial institutions to the public and amounts to $3.2 billion in lost revenues.
The SME sector will benefit from a new SME tax credit of $350,000 for 2020 onwards and will cost an estimated $1 billion. They are reducing fees paid for import licenses by Agricultural boards by 50 percent effective April. Reduction in fees paid to Trade Board for import license by 50 percent.

TransJamaican IPO pulled in $25.5B

Ministry of Finance, Dr. Nigel Clarke in his budget presentation in the Jamaica Parliament stated that the TransJamaican Highway IPO pulled in $25.5 billion from 36,428 applicants.
National Road Operating and Constructing Company (NROCC) that owned all the 12.5 billion ordinary shares that are issued, 8 billion ordinary shares at $1.41 each and they upsize the offer by an additional 2 billion shares.initial
the issue attracted more applications than the 31,000 brought in by Wigton Windfarm. The shares went to the market at a PE ratio of 24 times earnings and will hit the market at a time when the market values have declined sharply since the debut of the IPO in February.

Oil prices plunged

Jamaica and the majority of Caribbean nations got some great news on Sunday, with the price of oil plunging 27 percent to just over US$30 per barrel.

Oil prices fell sharply in 2016 as well

Oil traded over $65 per barrel late 2019 but has fallen to the low US$50 recently. The price opened at US$32.87 and traded as low as $30 on Sunday, Jamaica time. The price is back to where it was in early 2016 when it tumbled from just over US$100 per barrel. According to Market Watch, a USA publication, Asian stock markets plunged Monday after global oil prices nosedived on worries a global economy weakened by a virus outbreak might be awash in too much crude.
Jamaica, a heavy oil user, imports around 20 million barrels per year and could save nearly US$400 million per annum if the price were to stay around these levels. If the price holds, it will result in gasoline price dropping, electricity bills will fall, but the government will collect far less taxes on petroleum.