Interest rates on the Bank of Jamaica overnight policy rate was slashed by 7.7 percent effective 18 January 2018. The policy interest rate which is offered on overnight placements with the Bank will be reduced to 3 percent from 3.25 percent.
According to the country’s central bank, “this adjustment reflects the Bank’s assessment that inflation for the next eight quarters should remain within the target of 4 percent to 6 percent but the risks to the projections are skewed to the downside. One of the key risks highlighted by recent data is that, even as the economy continues to expand, growth has been weaker than anticipated. The outlook for inflation continues to reflect the expectation that the Government will continue the high standard of fiscal management outlined in the fiscal rules.”
“Inflation picked up slightly in recent months, largely driven by higher agricultural food prices and electricity costs caused by the recent heavy rains and increases in international oil prices. However, the inflationary impact of the heavy rains on agricultural food prices should be reversed over the coming quarters.”
“The Bank’s decision to ease monetary policy supports continued credit expansion and faster economic growth. International reserves are growing, inflation expectations remain broadly anchored around the Bank’s target, the current account of the balance of payments is projected to remain at sustainable levels, market interest rates are declining and the fiscal accounts continue to perform strongly.”
Investors in fixed assets such as real estate and equity investments should take note as it could mean a lift in the value of those assets class.
No losers on Trinidad market
At close of trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Wednesday, locally based stocks recorded gains once more with the Composite Index inching 0.85 points higher to 1,277.82. The All T&T Index gained 1.80 points to 1,714.13, while Cross Listed Index declined 0.02 points to close at 113.55.
A total of 11 securities traded the market on Wednesday against 13 on Tuesday, with 3 advancing, none declining and 8 remaining unchanged.
Market activity ended with 138,336 shares with a value of $1,844,415 traded, compared to 336,749 shares amounting to $6,174,390 on Tuesday.
IC bid-offer Indicator|At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 3 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 5 with lower offers.
Gains| Massy concluded trading with a rise of 6 cents and finished at $48, with 2,822 stock units, One Caribbean Media jumped 94 cents and closed at $14, with 10,733 stock units trading and Republic Financial Holdings increased 1 cent and ended at $101.51, with 150 stock units changing hands.
Firm Traded| Clico Investments finished at $21, with 13,220 units valued at $1,669,206, First Citizens ended at $32, trading 6,555 shares, strong> Guardian Holdings finished trading 11,360 shares at $17.01, JMMB Group ended with $1.80, with 65,528 stock units. Trinidad & Tobago NGL ended trading at $26.52, with 4,877 units changing hands. Sagicor Financial ended at $8, with 2,326 units changing hands, Scotiabank ended with 478 stock units trading at $60.50, Unilever Caribbean ended at $28, trading 20,287 shares with a value of $568,036.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.
Jamaican$ lost ground – Tuesday
At the close of trading on Tuesday, the rate the public bought the US dollar climbed 9 cents Jamaican but the rate dealers bought the Green jumped by $1.04.
The local currency fell in value against the British Pound and the euro but rose against Canadian Dollar.
Inflows of all currencies ended at US$29.27 million, compared with US$26.63 million on Monday with the selling of US$37.14 million versus with US$33.40 million sold on Monday.
In US dollar, trading dealers sold US$36.03 million at an average of $124.96 at the close, compared US$31.63 million at an average of $124.87 on Monday. US currency purchases by dealers, amounted to US$26.30 million, at an average rate of $123.33, compared to Monday, with US$23.02 million, at an average rate of $122.29.
On Tuesday at midday dealers purchased US$12.54 million at an average rate of J$122.87 and sold US$11.89 million at an average of J$124.91. At mid-day on Monday dealers purchased US$6.84 million at an average rate of J$122.38 and sold US$5.52 million at an average of J$124.83.
The selling rate for the Canadian dollar climbed to J$99.94 from J$98.52 at the close on Monday. The selling rate for the British Pound fell to J$169.28 versus J$170.97 previously and the euro rose in value against the Jamaican dollar at J$ 151.76 to buy the European common currency, versus the prior selling rate of J$150.98.
NCB at a 29% premium in Trinidad
NCB Financial Group ended trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Tuesday at $6.75, trading 115,530 stock units for a value of $779,827. The stock is trading at the equivalent of J$129 compared to just under $100 in Jamaica for a premium of 29 percent.
The huge difference may be due to the challenge in getting funds out of the twin island state currently and talk of black market rates as high as $9.50 for one US dollar, in the market.
Market activity ended with all the indices inching higher at the close of trading on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Tuesday, as 13 securities traded on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange on Tuesday against 16 on Monday.
At close of trading 4 stocks advanced, 2 declined and 7 remained unchanged leading to the Composite Index gaining 0.35 points to 1,276.97. The All T&T Indexrose 0.06 points to 1,712.33, while Cross Listed Indexgained 0.09 points to close at 113.57.
Market activity ended with a mere 336,749 shares with a value of $6,174,390 traded jumping over the 140,320 units on Monday, valued at $1,978,596.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 2 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
Gains| Grace Kennedy traded 66,000 units, with gains of 5 cents and closed at a 52 weeks’ high of $3.15, Guardian Holdings finished trading after an increase by 1 cent to end at $17.01, trading 21,326 shares valued at $362,733, National Enterprises closed with an increase of 1 cent to finished at $9.80, with 10 units and Trinidad & Tobago NGL ended trading and rose 2 cents to $26.52, with 1,313 units changing hands.
Losses| Ansa Mcal closed with a fall of 10 cents and ended at $62.39, with 160 units and Republic Financial Holdings finished 8 cents lower to close at $101.50, with 2,581 stock units.
Firm Traded| Clico Investments finished at $21, with 79,486 units valued at $1,669,206, First Citizens ended at $32, trading 5,921 shares, Sagicor Financial ended at $8, with 15,134 units changing hands, Scotiabank ended with 343 stock units trading at $60.50, Unilever Caribbean ended at $28, trading 1,410 shares and West Indian Tobacco finished at $90, with 27,535 stock units with a value of $2,477,952, changing hands.
Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.
Jamaica’s inflation tops 5%
Inflation in December 2017, increased by 0.6 percent, bringing inflation for the year to 5.2 percent, according the inflation report put out by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN).
According to Statin, “the movement was attributed largely to the upward movement recorded in the index for the divisions Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages, 0.8 per cent and Housing Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels, 1.2 per cent. The upward movement for the heaviest weighted division Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages was primarily influenced by the class Vegetables and Starchy Foods which went up by 2.2 per cent. Higher prices for vegetables and starchy foods were the main contributors. Meanwhile, the increase for the division Housing Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels was due mainly to a rise in the cost of electricity.”
Inflation in Jamaica for 2016, fell to the lowest level in decades, with the Consumer Price Index showing inflation rate at just 1.72 percent for the year, while 2015 ended with 3.7 percent increase.