Record 521,000 points for All Jamaica

New record high for the JSE main market.

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange hit new record highs in mid-morning trading on Thursday with the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index surpassing the 520,000 mark for the first time.
The JSE All Jamaican Composite Index (AJI) rose 6,011.90 points to a record 521,685.45  and the JSE Index climbed 5,463.24 points to a record 475,064.08 at 10.50 am. The rise to more than 521,000 points on the AJI is a major development. The market has broken through an important resistance level of 520,000 points that has it genesis from as far back as the 2004 and 2005 peak. Continuing rallies above current levels, would confirm a big upside for stocks.
The Junior Market Index climbed 27.55 points to 3,126.49.
In trading, Barita Investments traded 66,243 shares at $45.05,  JMMB Group is up to a record $49.95 with 15,329 shares changing hands, NCB Financial traded 106,754 units at $192. In the Junior Market, Fontana hit a new record of $6 trading 54,772 shares, the stock has gone on to trade at $6.50 with more than 164,00 share trading.

Losses for JSE main market

Wigton shares are still the most heavily traded on the JSE.

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed down on Wednesday, as declining stocks beat out advancing ones 3 to 2.
Trading ended with the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index shedding 1,923.97 points to close at 515,673.55 and the JSE Index falling 1,748.38 points to close at 469,600.84.
At the close of trading, 34 securities traded in the main and US dollar markets leading to 10 securities advancing, 15 declining and 9 trading firm. Market activity ended with 75,651,962 units valued $254,462,635 compared to 24,689,423 units valued at $108,692,341 changing hands from 33 securities on Tuesday.
Wigton Windfarm led trading with 61 million shares for 81 percent of total main market volume, followed by Stanley Motta with 10.3 million units for 14 percent of total volume and Carreras with 1.1 million stock units for 2 percent of total volume.
The market closed with average of 2,364,124 units valued at an average of $7,951,957 for each security traded. In contrast to 667,282 units for an average of $2,937,631 on Tuesday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 1,270,097 units valued at $4,635,018 changing hands, compared 762,722 units valued at $3,096,727fro each securities traded. June closed with an average of 1,608,485 units valued at $19,605,318 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 12 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 3 with lower offers.
In the main market activity, Barita Investments gained 95 cents to close at $45.05, in trading 2,000 shares, Eppley lost $1 in trading 5,000 stock units at $16, Grace Kennedy rose $1 and finished trading 1,853 units to end at $66, Jamaica Broilers gained $1 and closed at $33, with 199,457 shares trading. Jamaica Producers lost $2 and ended trading with 21,621 shares at $26.50, Jamaica Stock rose $1 and finished trading 58,982 stock units at $29, JMMB Group lost 49 cents in trading 82,686 shares to close of $44.50. NCB Financial Group added 50 cents and concluded trading 79,816 shares at $190, while 138 Student Living rose 28 cents to $3.95, in trading 50,472 shares. PanJam Investment lost $4 to settle at $96 with 211,728 shares changing hands, Pulse Investments lost 28 cents trading 300,000 shares to close at $2.50, Sagicor Group gained $1 and finished trading 191,385 stock units at $58 and Stanley Motta traded 10,263,122 units and lost 30 cents in ending at $5.
In the preference sector, Productive Business Solution lost $1.99 to close at $106 with 1,000 shares trading.
Trading in the US securities market resulted in 17,950 units valued US$3,504 changing hands. Market activity ended with Proven Investments trading 3,000 shares to close at 25 US cents and Sygnus Credit Investments with a loss of 0.50 cent to close at 12.5 US cents, in trading 4,000 units. The JSE USD Equities Index closed 0.39 points down to 189.31.

More losses for Junior Market – Wednesday

Junior Market stock trading.

The Junior Market Index declined 36.09 points on Wednesday on top of the 30 points lost on Tuesday to close at 3,098.94 as declining stock overwhelmed advancing ones 2 to 1.
Trading ended with 29 securities changing hands, resulting in an exchange of 2,596,610 units valued at $10,273,509 compared to 2,119,746 units valued at $7,175,273 on Tuesday.
At the close of market activities, the prices of 7 securities advanced, 14 declined and 8 remained unchanged.
Trading ended with an average of 89,538 units for an average of $354,259 in contrast to 73,095 units for an average of $247,423 on Tuesday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 63,015 shares valued $233,383 for each security traded compared to 48,223 units valued at $165,972 traded previously. June ended with an average of 166,169 units at $674,841 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 3 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close of the market, Access Financial declined $2.80 to settle at $43.20 in trading 22,140 shares, Amg Packaging lost 6 cents in trading of 264,709 units at $2, Blue Power ended trading with 3,540 shares, after rising 45 cents to end at $5.40, Cargo Handlers shed 50 cents in trading of 5,492 units to close at $9. Caribbean Cream traded 37,500 shares at $5, Caribbean Producers shed 14 cents in trading of 15,000 units at $4.76. Derrimon Trading gained 1 to end at $2.50, trading 63,402 shares, Dolphin Cove dipped 5 cents in trading of 2,992 units at $11.70, Everything Fresh closed with a loss of 8 cents at $1.40, in swapping of 22,500 shares, Elite Diagnostic closed trading of 12,000 units and gained 25 cents to end at $4.35. Express Catering traded 12,229 shares, to end at $6.70, Fosrich Group closed with a loss of 3 cents at $4.46, in swapping of 29,029, shares, Fontana Limited climbed 25 cents and exchanged 91,310 shares at a closing record high of $5.85, General Accident declined 15 cents in trading of 11,885 units at $4.05. GWest Corporation fell 4 cents in exchanging 240,626 units at an all-time closing low of $1.01, Honey Bun shed 40 cents in trading of 16,166 units at $6.20, iCreate ended with a loss of 1 cent at 72 cents with 75,067 stock units changing hands, Indies Pharma climbed 14 cents and exchanged 82,496 shares at $3.15. Iron Rock Insurance climbed 15 cents and exchanged 3,002 shares at $3.50, ISP Finance closed at $17 with an exchange of 3,200 shares, Jamaican Teas ended trading with 15,333 shares, after rising 54 cents to end at $4.40. Key Insurance traded 8,867 shares at $3.35, Lasco Distributors fell 10 cents in trading of 415,716 units at $3.30, Lasco Financial closed with a loss of 60 cents at $4.10, in trading of 383,802 shares, Lasco Manufacturing closed at $4.25, with an exchange of 651,176 stock units. Main Event ended at $6.10, trading 34,859 stock units and Medical Disposables declined 2 cents in exchanging 30,500 units at $6.70 and Derrimon Trading preference shares saw 2,000 units crossing the exchange at $2.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

Watch Barita with a new rights issue

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Barita eyeing acquisition.

Barita Investments is planning another rights issue to raise new capital that is being earmarked IC Insider.com gathers to fund a major expansion.
A Directors meeting is set for Thursday, July 11, at which they will consider the recommendation of a rights issue to the company’s ordinary stockholders.
IC Insider.com gathers that the issue will be fully underwritten but will likely be renounceable which means shareholders will be able to sell their rights if they want to.  The terms and conditions are likely to be approved at an extraordinary meeting of shareholders to be convened by August.
The price has not yet been set but there is a view that it will be at about around 30 percent to the then market price. There are views suggesting that the nine months’ earnings are likely to be boosted by a sharp bounce in the company’s investment portfolio, courtesy of a booming stock market, increased fee income and a rise in fees from a growing unit trust portfolio that is benefitting from the buoyant stock market and pulling in new investors. Strong gains from investment banking activities are said to be major factors driving revenues and profit, the result of several deals that were finalized during the June quarter. IC Insider.com also gathers that foreign exchange trading has also ballooned and brought in much more income than previously.

Barita Investments headquarters

Importantly, our source is suggesting is that the rights issue that should bring in around $4 billion in fresh capital is primarily targeted to fund an acquisition that have Caribbean while locations and will make a big impact on profitability when fully integrated into the existing structure, if the deal goes through. IC Insider.com had projected the earnings for 2019 at $3 per share> With the consolidated of operations and acceleration in earnings that seems to be taking place starting with the second quarter earnings for the full year is most likely to exceed the above forecast handily. If that happens then the stock could be trading in the $60 region before too long after the third quarter numbers are released later this month.
The third quarter report shows total assets jumping to $27.7 billion from $16 billion at the end of March 2018 with equity capital at $7.8 million up from just $2.9 billion at the end of March 2018. Revenues net of interest expense more than doubled in the March 2019 quarter to $770 million from $329 in 2018 and profit rising to $408 million for the quarter compared to just $88 million in the 2018 quarter.  For the half year net revenues grew to $1.16 billion from $490 million in 2018 and profit rose to $517 million from $49 million.

2 TTSE stocks rose 4 fall – Wednesday

Market activity on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange ended on Wednesday with trading in 13 securities against 16 on Tuesday.
Trading ended with 2 advancing, 4 declining and 7 remaining unchanged as Scotiabank and Trinidad Cement closed trading at 52 weeks’ lows.
The Composite Index lost 0.36 points to close at 1,386.70. The All T&T Index declined by 0.73 points to 1,798.47, while the Cross Listed Index remained unchanged to close at 131.79.
Trading ended with 122,312 shares valued $1,414,884 changing hands, compared to 251,890 shares at a value of $3,382,496 on Tuesday.
IC bid-offer Indicator| The Investor’s Choice bid-offer ended at 3 stocks with bids lower than their last selling prices and 6 with lower offers.
Stock closing with Gains and Clico Investments rose 15 cents and settled at $24.15, with 8,085 stock units trading and JMMB Group rose 4 cents and ended at $2.09, with investors exchanging 75,645 shares.
Stock closing with Losses| First Caribbean International Bank lost 2 cents in trading 1,215 shares to close at $8.30, Republic Financial Holdings shed 1 cent and completed trading of 3,259 units at $121, Scotiabank dropped 10 cents in closing at $62.15, in exchanging 1,430 shares and Trinidad Cement fell 5 cents and ended at $2.45, after exchanging 25 shares.
Firm Traded| Calypso Macro Index Fund ended trading of 600 shares at $14.50, Grace Kennedy closed at $3.23, with 4,350 units crossing the exchange, Guardian Holdings closed at $18.50, with 10,553 stock units trading, Point Lisas traded 25 shares at $3.61. Sagicor Financial ended at $10 with 3,204 units changing hands, Trinidad & Tobago NGL ended at $28.31, with 9,617 units trading and West Indian Tobacco ended at $110.25, with 300 units crossing the exchange.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

GWest shocking financial status

GWest went to market in 2017, presenting a picture to investors of a prosperous future but within less than two years of listing on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, the picture is bleak.
The company’s auditors issued a qualified report casting doubts on the ability of the company to continue in business as a going concern. According to the company’s auditors Calvert Gordon and Associates, “the company recorded a net loss of $135.876 million during the year ended March 2019 and a net loss of $88.109 million in the previous year.”
These conditions along with other matters as set out in note 28, indicate the existence of an uncertainty which may cast doubt about the company’s ability to continue as a going concern.
Note 28 of the financial statements reads “The above factors indicate a material uncertainty that may cast doubt on the company’s ability to continue as a going concern and to therefore realise its assets and discharge its liabilities in the ordinary course of business.  The continuation of the company as a going concern is dependent on the availability of the third party financing and on future sustained profitable operations.”
“Management is committed to continue operations as a going concern and is pursuing a number of strategies to return to profitability, which include: – sale of investment property units – commencement of operations of planned new surgery centre –  increased marketing and promotion of new services being offered – continue rationalisation of expenses – obtaining additional third party financing for improved working capital “
“ At the date of these financial statements, the company was in an advanced stage of negotiations with its bankers regarding the restructuring its current borrowing arrangements and to obtain further financing for its strategic plans.

Dr. Konrad Kirlew, chairman of GWest.

Additionally, subsequent to the year end, the company has signed sale agreements for two units of its investment property.”
“The ability of the company to generate sustained profitable operations is dependent on the successful implementation of the strategies being pursued.  Based on these plans and strategies, the directors and management believe that the company will generate adequate cash flows and return to profitability.”
GWest presented a rosy forecast at the time of the IPO, to suggest a highly profitable future with revenues from medical services rising sharply in the 2018 fiscal year. The results to March that year, last year showed revenues well below forecast of $86 million from the new operations with only $17.4 million generated. Admittedly, the company had projected a loss to March of $110 million but came up much lower, with a loss of $88 million. The audited accounts show revenues from patients fess at just $77 million well up on the $17 million generated in the 2018 fiscal year but below the forecast for 2018 and mere 11 percent of the forecast of $710 million for 2019.  With losses exceeded revenues for the 2019 fiscal year, the company will need to grow gross income considerably in the current year to prevent another year of losses. GWest reported revenues of $130 million and $66 million in 2018 with expenses of $228 million up from $119 million.
The company has just $465 million in shareholders’ equity owes $980 million in interest bearing debt and virtually has no free cash left on hand. The sale of some units owned by the company will go a far way in easing the crunch but it must generate a lot more income to stem the cash out flow that has plagued it.
The writing was on the wall for this stock from the start, it had no track record in the business it hoped to make most of its profit from, projections had no credible foundation and management exposed there weakness with the manager they handled the conversion of shareholders loans to preference shares. The stock that was sold to the public at $2.50 and rose to a high of $4 after listing but is now down to $1.05 just above the net book value of 95 cents and seems heading lower.

Huge growth ahead for JSE stocks

At the start of July last year, the Jamaica Stock Exchange main market PE ratio was just 12 times that year’s estimated earnings and it has climbed 29 percent to 15.5 currently.
The rise in main market PE is leading some investors to be concerned about the value of many stocks, but they need not be as the main market is priced well below the 45 percent fall in Government of Jamaica Treasury bill rates since June last year. Not only that, since interest rates peaked at 9.11 percent in 2014, Treasury bill rates declined 400 percent while the main market stocks are up 520 percent but PE ratio of the main market is up only 160 percent over the same period, an indication that the main factor driving stock prices is increased profit and that the fall in interest rates has played much lesser role than profits.
Profits have been rising and interest rates have dropped with the 92 days Treasury bill for last year June, yielding 2.656 percent and currently 1.836 percent, a sharp 45 percent fall.

Growth in profit is the main reason for JSE rise since 2014.

What this suggests is that the PE ratio of the main market far from overvalued, is set to rise to 18 to 20 times current year’s earnings by the end of the year. The market valuation is well below the fall in interest rates and therefore has a far way to go before topping out.
Interestingly, while the Jamaica Stock Exchange main market stocks surge higher, the Junior Market PE at 11 times last year’s earnings at mid-year is still around the same level currently and trailing by a wide margin the main market stocks. This has huge implications for increases to come from the Junior Market as investors eventually bid these stocks up to reflect the sharp fall in interest rates and rising profits.

Treasury bill rates plummet

Investors pushed Treasury bill rates sharply downwards, on the two issues that were offered in June and maturating in September and December this year.
The two issues were for $700 million each and attracted $1.597 billion and $1.708 billion respectively and ended with average yields of 1.9548 percent and 1.836 percent. The previous auction in May yielded 2.09785 percent and 2.12567 percent.
The heavy oversubscription indicates that rates are heading much lower in the coming months.

New Record close for JSE main market

The main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed at a new record high on Tuesday, the third record close in three days, but advancing stocks were outgunned by declining ones almost two to one.
JMMB Group traded at a new all-time high of $45 but ended at a record close of $44.99, Sygnus Credit Investments closed trading at an all-time high of $16 and JMMB Group 7.25% preference share ended at a 52 weeks’ low of $1.96.
Trading ended with the JSE All Jamaican Composite Index rising 1,159.33 points to a record close of 517,597.52 points and the JSE Index climbing 1,053.53 points to a record close of 471,349.22.
At the close of trading, 39 securities traded in the main and US dollar markets leading to 10 securities advancing, 16 declining and 13 trading firm. Market activity ended with 24,689,423 units valued at $108,692,341 compared to 27,938,388 units valued at $104,981,806 changing hands from 33 securities on Monday.
Wigton Windfarm led trading with 21 million shares for 86 percent of total main market volume, followed by Carreras with 1.1 million units or 4.5 percent of total volume and Scotia Group with 579,341 stock units for 2 percent of total volume.
The market closed with average of 667,282 units valued at an average of $2,937,631 for each security traded. In contrast to 873,075 units for an average of $3,280,681 on Monday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to 762,722 units valued at $3,096,727. June closed with an average of 1,608,485 units valued at $19,605,318 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 9 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and 4 with lower offers.
In the main market activity, Barita Investments shed 90 cents to close at $44.10, in trading 16,380 shares, Caribbean Cement rose $1.90 to finish at $80, with an exchange of 41,276 shares, JMMB Group jumped $4.48 trading 66,178 shares to end at a record close of $44.99. Kingston Properties lost 48 cents and finished trading 500 shares at $5.52, Kingston Wharves jumped $2 in settling at $70, with an exchange of 7,632 units, NCB Financial Group lost 50 cents and concluded trading 79,816 shares at $189.50, while 138 Student Living fell 33 cents to $3.67, in trading 6,450 shares. PanJam Investment lost $1 to settle at $100 with 39,307 shares changing hands, Scotia Group dropped $2.95 to settle at $57.05, while trading 579,341 shares, Seprod declined $1.60 to end trading of 9,058 shares at $46.90 and Sygnus Credit Investments rose 50 cents to end at a record close of $16, with 54,245 units trading.
Trading in the US securities market resulted in 17,950 units valued US$3,504 changing hands. Market activity ended with Proven Investments rose 1 cent in trading 10,00 shares to close at 25 US cents and Sygnus Credit Investments closed at 13 US cents, with 7,950 units. The JSE USD Equities Index closed 3.59 points higher at 189.70.

Junior Market pulls back – Tuesday

Fontana ended at a record close of $5.60.

The Junior Market Index declined 30.09 points to close at 3,135.03 at the close on Tuesday with 23 securities changing hands resulting in the prices of 9 securities rising, 13 declining and 7 remaining unchanged.
Pharmaceutical company, Fontana traded at a new all-time high of $5.90 but pulled back by the close to end at a 52 weeks’ high. Trading ended with an exchange of just 2,119,746 units valued at $7,175,273.down sharply from just 387,846 units valued at $1,455,265 on Monday from 32 securities changing hands.
Trading ended with an average of 73,095 units for an average of $247,423 in contrast to 16,863 units for an average of $63,272 on Monday. The average volume and value for the month to date amounts to  48,223 units valued at $165,972. June ended with an average of 166,169 units at $674,841 for each security traded.
IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator reading shows 6 stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close of the market, Access Financial dipped 30 cents in trading of 720 units at $46, AMG Packaging closed trading of 25,100 units and gained 1 cent to end at $2.06, Blue Power decline 5 cents in trading of 3,000 units at $4.95. CAC 2000 settled at $15 with only 7,000 stock units trading, Caribbean Cream ended market activity exchanging 31,682 shares to close at $5 after falling 25 cents, Cargo Handlers traded 1,2598 shares at $9.50, Caribbean Producers exchanged 9,986 shares at $4.90, Consolidated Bakeries closed 23 cents higher at $2, with 10,000 stock units trading. Derrimon Trading close with a loss of 3 cents at $2.49, after swapping 294,634, shares, Dolphin Cove dipped 25 cents in trading of 793 units at $11.75. Elite Diagnostic closed 10 cents higher at $4.10, with 95,751 stock units trading, Everything Fresh ended trading with 200,100 shares, after rising 11 cents to end at $1.48, Express Catering ended trading with 36,396 shares, to end at $6.70. FosRich Group ended with a loss of 1 cent at 4.49 with 21,629 stock units changing hand. Fontana closed trading of 144,842 units and gained 35 cents to end at $5.60, GWest Corporation fell 16 cents in trading of 155,689 units to close at $1.05 after the company reported a big loss for the year ended March, Honey Bun shed 5 cents in trading of 28,300 units at $6.60. iCreate ended with an exchange of 142,800 shares, after rising 1 cent to end at 73 cents, Indies Pharma closed with a loss of 9 cents at $3.01, in trading 200,000 shares, Iron Rock closed with a loss of 15 cents at $3.35, exchanging 25,000, shares, ISP Finance lost $2.63 in trading just 300 units at $17. Jamaican Teas shed 39 cents in trading 302,054 units to close at $3.86, Key insurance traded 2,000 shares to close at $3.35, Knutsford Express closed trading of 18,800 units and gained 29 cents to end at $12.79, Lasco Distributors ended trading with 129,119 shares, to end at $3.40, Lasco Financial fell 30 cents with 187,457 units changing hands at $4.70. Lasco Manufacturing closed at $4.25, with an exchange of 8,209 stock units, Main Event closed 39 cents higher at $6.10, with 30,891 stock units trading and Medical Disposables rose 2 cents to $6.72, trading 6,236 stock units.

Prices of securities trading for the day are those at which the last trade took place.

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