LASCO Financial small but tallawah

LASCO Financial may be the smallest of the three listed Lasco companies but its performance has been tops for the past 2 years with growth in profits far out pacing its two bigger affiliates. The company which recorded strong growth in profit in the last fiscal year to March has continued that trend with profit of $39 million compared to $26 million for the first quarter, a strong 50 percent increase.

For the full year ending March this year, the company reported profit of $163.9 million compared to $102.4 million, a 60 percent increase. The strong increase in profit, helped propel the stock price up by more than a 200 percent increase from the end of December last year and 275 percent from the June 2012 when the price was of $4.25. The stock now trades at 42.5 cents based on a recent 10 for 1 stock split.

Profits grew 60 percent for the year to March this year, in 2012 it grew by 244 percent, helped by revaluation surplus on investment property that was booked and in the prior year growth was 187 percent. As the company grows in size, the growth rate has slowed but indications are that this should continue into the current fiscal year and the first quarter numbers support this so far.

According to management, the latest results emanated from trading income which is up by 47 percent to $144 million as a result of a 100 percent increase in the Cambio Division and a 28 percent increase in the Remittance Division.

Management also indicated that, “Lasco Financial has commenced significant investments in marketing activities, which are expected to capture even more substantial market share for our remittance division; the outcome of which will also yield growth opportunities in the Currency Trading division. This is noticeable in our selling and promotion expenses which saw a 58 percent increase, up from $36.3 million in the previous period to $57.6 million. Administrative and other expenses rose in the quarter to $47.6 million, up 33.7 percent over the same period of 2012.”

The company’s subsidiary Lasco Financial Services (Barbados) Limited and its agent Unicomer Barbados Limited (Courts) began trading in May 2013. Transaction growth has been satisfactory to date and LASCO Financial Services will continue to expand in the Caribbean region.

Growth | Total assets amounted to just $47 million in 2010 but has enjoyed rapid growth and is at $690 million at the end of June this year — still a small financial company in the local market with lots of room to grow. Loans advanced was nil at the end of 2011 and is now close to $100 million at the end of March this year. Loans and receivables rose to $334.5 million up from $237 million at the end of June last year. Cash also increased from $135.5 million to $221.7 million over the same period. Equity stood at $514 million. Based on the recent growth levels and investments in marketing to expand revenues IC Insider is forecasting earnings between 22-25 cents per share for the current year.

Insider call | LASCO Financial Services is an IC Insider Buy Rated stock.

Related posts | All 3 Lasco companies approve splits | Lasco Financial strong profit

TTSE: PE Ratios show bargains

Friday, August 2nd 2013 | There has not been much change in prices on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange in the last week hence there is not much change in the potential gains for the stocks with the potentially greatest change.

Of note however, is the continued march of Trinidad Cement that is now selling at $1.51 and thus reduced the potential gain from 800 percent last week to a still very strong 600 percent this week. New results will be available for this stock this week, which is likely to give the stock even more kick.

Last week we added Berger Paints to the list, but the stock has no bids currently and for some time but there is a small amount on sale, the PE of this stock is very low and therefore the stock has much upside potential.

Related posts | Cement could be good for your pocketBerger TT profit poised for big gain

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FX: Inflows show buoyant July

Friday, August 2nd, 2013 | The last two weeks to August 2nd were very good for the foreign exchange market as authorised dealers purchased US$21 more than they sold in the holiday shortened week on top of US$16 million more purchased than sold in the week ending the 26th of July. In weeks ending 12th and 19th of July, foreign currency dealers bought nearly $15 million more than they sold. with buying and selling being even in the 1st week of the month.

There was more buying than selling for all r days of trading this week. On Friday, US$2.6 million more was purchased than the amount sold, up from nearly US$10 million on Wednesday. Overall buying accounted for US$32.3 million and selling US$29.7 million on Friday.

Rates |The US dollar selling rate remained firm at $101.85 but all other spot rates declined with the buying rate for the US dollar falling by 33 cents to $101.03, that for the Canadian declined by $1.03 to close at $96.32 and the Pound Sterling lost $2 to $151.57. The Canadian selling rate slipped by 79 cents to $98.30 and the Pound by 97 cents to $155.17.

Dealers bought the US dollar as high as $102.20, down 30 cents and as low as $77.61, a decline of $6.06. It cost dealers 20 cents more to purchase the Canadian dollar at $99.40, the highest price paid and 15 cents less for the lowest price at $$77.95. For the pound, $155.70 the highest price but there was no change from the previous days rate, but the lowest buying rates slipped back by $1.82 to $123.97. On the sell side there was no charge for the US dollar from the day before, while the Canadian dollar cost 11 cents less at $102.88, the highest rate and 23 cents less for the lowest rate which ended at $95.92. The Pound was more expensive for the highest and lowest selling rates as the former increased by $3.86 to $162.16 and the lowest was up 85 cents to $150.60.

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Holding company for Sagicor Life

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Sagicor Life Jamaica (SLJ) has advised that at meeting held on July 25, 2013, the decision was taken to reorganize the corporate structure of the Sagicor Life Jamaica Group.

The reorganization will involve the establishment of a new holding company which will be listed on the main market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange and which will become the direct holding company of Sagicor Life Jamaica Limited, (the Group’s insurance division), Sagicor Investments Jamaica Limited, (the Group’s investment banking division) and Sagicor Bank Jamaica Limited, (the Group’s commercial banking division).

All current shareholders of SLJ will exchange shares in SLJ for shares of equal value in the new Holding Company. That means the value of the new shares to be issued in Sagicor Group will be identical in value to the shares previously held in SLJ.

The reorganization will align the group’s organizational structure with the requirements of new omnibus legislation for deposit taking institutions which soon to be promulgated by Parliament.

The day-to-day operations of Sagicor Life Jamaica Limited, Sagicor Investments Jamaica Limited and Sagicor Bank Jamaica Limited will not be affected by the reorganization.

JSE: Holiday hangover

Friday, August 2nd, 2013 | The market closed today with only stocks of 18 companies trading with a volume of 4.09 million units carrying a value of $44.28 million. A mere 5 stocks advanced to 4 declining as all of the indices with trades increased on the day.

Main market trades of note | The all Jamaica Index gained 213.65 points to close at 86,83.57 and the JSE market index was up by 121.43 to close at 86,185.41. Seprod was the dominant trade with 1.66 million shares trading at a value of $24.5 million, Sagicor Life traded 652,000 shares valued at $5.67 million between $8.65 and $9, the stock closed at $9. Carreras chipped in with 32,362 units as the price surprisingly inched up with the release of a 40 percent drop in profits, by 11 cents to $50.61 at a total value for $1.64 million. National Commercial Bank traded 32,626 units at $19.11 each and gained 6 cents at the close. Bank Scotia Group traded 136,201 valued at $$2.9 million and lost 9 cents to close at $21.21, while trading as high as $22.

Junior market | Only 6 stocks in the junior market traded on low volumes as the index climbed 9.20 to close at 806.67.

Caribbean Producers traded 102,392 units and dropped just a cents to close at $2.04. Jamaica General Accident Insurance saw 69,068 shares changing hands and closed down by 2 cents to $1.93, Lasco Distributors traded 129,210 shares between $1.40 and $1.50 the closing price, the same as Wednesday. Lasco Financial traded 540,369 shares valued at $854,675 between $1.50 and $1.60 and closed down 10 cents at $1.50, Lasco Manufacturing traded just 80,000 shares and gained 15 cents and closed at $1.60.

Eppley shares that were list this week have not traded and have no bids or offers at the close of trading.

Proven Investment ordinary shares which are quoted in US dollars traded 550, 474 units at a value of US$64,654. The stock lost a fraction of a cent to close at US.117 cents.

IC bid-offer Indicator | At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer market sentiment indicator shows that bids for 7 stocks were higher with 1 stock having the offer lower than their last selling price.

After the bell | Access Financial Services is reporting a 22 percent increase in profits for the June quarter than for the first quarter. For the six months to June, earnings are up a strong 34 percent to $119.59 million vs $89. 38 million in the same period last year.

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TTSE: Angostura up 48c, Sagicor up 40c

Friday, August 2nd, 2013 | Angostura Holdings traded 4,125 units, gained 48 cents to end the day at $9.50 while Sagicor Financial Corporation traded 33,910 shares valued at $233,959 and gained 40 cents to close at $6.90. Overall there was trading in 11 securities of which 3 advanced, 1 declined and 7 traded firm. Trading took place in 1,684,120 units valued at $8.385 million.

Scotia Investments traded a volume of 21,545 shares for $40,258. Trinidad Cement contributed 9,513 shares valued at $14,365, closing at $1.51, the same as the last price on Wednesday and National Commercial Bank added 4,531 shares valued at $5,347. Prestige Holdings traded 3,917 shares at $9.35, National Flour traded 3,000 shares at 75 cents and national Enterprises chipped in with 2,507 at $16. Guardian Holdings had 1,000 units changing hands and slipped 1 cent to end the day at $15.97. Clico Investment Fund advanced by 13 cents to end at $21.50 with 146,043 shares valued at $3,139,742 trading.

IC bid-offer Indicator| At the end of trading, the Investor’s Choice bid-offer market sentiment indicator shows that bids for 2 stocks were higher than their last selling price, there were no offers that were lower.

There was no trading on Thursday, August 1st, a public holiday in Trinidad & Tobago.

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Guardian maintains strong rating

A release from Guardian Group:

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Insider call | Guardian Holdings is an IC Insider Buy Rated stock and is traded on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange

Related posts | Guardian ongoing profits up 29%

LASCO Manufacturing profits in the future

In the aftermath of the first quarter results to June, investor’s would be forgiven if they were disappointed in the results of what many see as the flag ship of the three Lasco companies listed on the junior market. Revenues grew “oh so slightly” to $842.7 million from $835.4M in 2012. However, the company was able to maintain and control its costs of sales, thus achieving gross profit of $250.3 million slightly  above that of the first quarter of 2012. Profit was not as fortunate as it slipped to $138.751 million from $153.54 million in 2012. The stock which was trading at $1.80 pulled back on the release of the results and closed at $1.45 on Wednesday.

Operating expenses | The first quarter operating expenses increased due to an under-accrual for a promotional expense during the last quarter of 2012-2013, which was brought to account in the current quarter. In addition, the company had to honour a retroactive duty charged by customs on the disposal of damaged raw material, which consequently impacted on the profitability for the period. But investors should be looking well beyond the latest results and focus instead on the major expansion that is currently under way. Once completed, the increased sales from new products will not only boost sales but profits and ultimately the stock price.

Not to be underestimated is the impact that the factory expansion is having on costs and the diversion of cash to fund the factory expansion that would otherwise have been available for investments.

Exports | LASCO Manufacturing exports 10% of sales as finished products to the United States, Canada, England, Panama and the Caribbean. The company is currently exploring West Africa, and Ghana in particular, as a new market. Exports are planned to move to 25% within a short time period. That will take some doing as local sales is also expected to grow. Current export sales would be need to increase by one and a half times to meet this target.

The chairman, Lascelles Chin, told the attendees at a press conference on Monday that “the development of a new product range has become an important facet in our strategic plan and every effort is being made by the team to ensure the margins required are obtained.

lasco_logo_150x150The chairman also disclosed that the factory expansion will cost just under US$30 million, this well be over the original planned figure of US$10-15 million. The factory is expected to be operational by September, at which time the company expects to roll out new products that will be priced very aggressively to compete with others in the market place. According to Chin, “The results of the manufacturing expansion currently underway at the White Marl location will undoubtedly unlock potential in the company for our consumers, shareholders and other stakeholders”. He indicated that this will be the largest factory in Jamaica at 340,000 square feet and will produce many new products to add to the current range.

The expansion is not only about new products. A significant factor will be the reduction of current costs and the ease of production. The new factory and machinery will result in waste reduction and eliminate the doubling-handling of goods.

The chairman reiterated, “With the expansion project near completion within the next two months, we expect that LASCO Manufacturing’s financial performance will improve significantly. Over the next year – many new products will be pivotal to the company’s growth and we look forward to being able to make further positive announcements about new products to you in the near future.”

Balance Sheet | Trade payables increased from $258.8 million at the end of 2012-2013 financial year to $333.8 million in June 2013 due to increased purchases of raw materials, which is typical for the period in anticipation of the summer, back to school and hurricane season. This was affected also by the exchange rate fluctuations during the first 3 months of the financial year. The receivable surge was due to extended credit terms offered to a major distributor. The company borrowed $1 billion to help fund the expansion of the factory with about $1 billion being internally generated funds. The loan represents just under 2 years of cash flow at present revenues.

Insider call | LASCO Manufacturing is a IC Insider Buy Rated stock.

Related posts | All 3 Lasco companies approve splits | LASCO Manufacturing: one for the radar

Higher cost flattens Paramount’s profit

Direct expenses rose 7.55 percent for the year to May but sales only increased 4.7 percent to reach $642 million highlighted by a 14 percent increase in administrative, sales and distribution cost. Staff cost rose by 18 percent to $50.5 million, plus an $11 million devaluation loss only made matters worse.

In the end, while Paramount Trading showed an improvement in net profit for the year, it was a reduction in tax payable of $10 million versus $30.75 million in 2012 and gains from acquisition of a subsidiary amounting to $21 million that helped pushed profits for the year above that of 2012, as pre-tax profit hit $83.5 million and after tax $73.3 million compared to pre-tax profit of $84 million in 2012 and $53.4 million after tax.

Problems | Concerns arise about amount due from debtors which rose sharply even as revenues have not. While amounts due up to 60 days accounts for the bulk of the increase or $28 million, amounts more than 90 days is up at $15 million, up from $5.5 million in 2012. Amounts owing for 31 to 60 days is up to $37.7 million, an increase of $11 million. Provision against the debts amount to only $6 million. The company seems exposed to potential doubtful debt problems with what appears to be a tighter economy. The increase is also robbing the company of cash that could be used to pay down expensive borrowings.

Paramount_silka180x180While sales grew by less than 5 percent, segment results show an interesting picture with chemicals sales growing 9 percent but gross profit declining from 32 percent to 29 percent. Construction and adhesives sales fell by 22 percent but the margin increased from 36 percent to 52 percent and the manufacturing margin improved from 38 percent to 43 percent as sales fell by 19 percent. Overall margins increased from 41 percent in the first nine months of the year to the 44 percent by the end of the financial year 2013, but it’s down from 48 percent for 2012. The margin for February was just 36.6 percent, which helped to drag down the margin for the year. Margin for the final quarter results was restored to 48 percent.

Forecast | Earnings per share for 2013 amounted to 54 cents for the year based on the average number of shares in issue for the year. In December last year the public purchased 30.85 million shares bringing the total to 154.247 million units.

IC Insider’s forecast for the current year is for earnings per share of 74 cents and 88 cents for 2015 fiscal year. The forecast is based on a restoration of profit margin, removal of taxation on profits and reduction in interest cost as loans are reduced.

Balance sheet | Receivables have climbed to $146 million from $99 million in 2012, inventories fell to $172.5 million from $186 million. Receivables represent nearly 3 months of sales and inventories and 5 months of cost of sales, both these items appear to be out of line and is costly. Cash helped by the proceeds from the public share issue is up to $60 million after repaying $39 million of loans. Current assets exceeds current liabilities by more than 2.6 to 1 and borrowings have decrease to $71 million from $110 million. Equity climbed to $273 million helped by the inflow of new capital last year and profit for the year to May.

Stock Outlook | The stock which last traded at $3.30 is recommended as a cautious buy at this stage.

Fiscal deficit target exceeded again

A $1.5 cut in interest payment, a $2 billion reduction in capital spend and $1 billion saved on programs was more than enough to wipe out a reduction in revenues of $2.4 billion due to a number of factors in June this year.

Some $440 million in the revenue shortfall came from increased payment of withholding tax refunds on interest. Tax on dividends may have been over estimated on the assumption that the payment pattern would have remained. Instead many companies brought forth payments to March thus beating the taxation for a part of the annual payment.

Jamaica_coat_of_arms_280X150Telephone tax was way down no doubt a result of lower calling rates. Overall international trade delivered as planned but a few fell somewhat short. Local GCT was 15 percent up or around $500 million over forecast and was up 6 percent above the amount collected in June last year, while SCT fell short by $700 million against 2013/4 budget but this may be due to a shift between May and June as the May target was over achieved and may have shifted some of the inflows to that month which enjoyed $900 million more inflows than planned. Company profit tax fell $500 million short of plan.

Due to the savings on the expenditure side and overachievement in the first two months, the fiscal deficit to date is running well ahead of plan by $4.8 billion, resulting in the deficit coming in at $5.4 billion. The deficit for May was just $1.63 billion against projection of $3.7 billion. The target for July is for a deficit of $1.7 billion, but August is a huge $10.8 billion.

Compared to 2012 revenues, this year is running well ahead of the quarter to June last year by 13.5 percent and 16.5 percent in the month of June versus June last year. In the past, the challenges start to occur in July and onwards when revenues starts to fall off from target. The sharp slowdown in cigarettes sales reported by Carreras could negatively affect special consumption tax revenues going forward for a while at least.

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