The economies of Trinidad & Tobago and that of Jamaica are two contrasting ones. In the case of Trinidad, after a few years of decline the economy is growing again, albeit moderately. Jamaica on the other hand, is still experiencing decline. Interest rates, while sharply down in Jamaica at more than 6 percent, are nowhere near those of the Twin Island state with Treasury rates at less than 1 percent.
But a look at the results for Berger Paints in the two territories would make one wonder if the state of the economies aren’t the same. Both companies are struggling to maintain profitability as the construction sector suffered decline in both countries and are yet to be restored to health. In both countries, there are signs that things may be picking up. For example, Trinidad Cement reported improved sales in the first quarter this year over 2012. In the case of Berger Trinidad, there was a big improvement in the bottom line in the quarter to June with slight pickup in sales to $13.395 million versus $12.891 in 2012. Not much, but enough. This along with a cut in expenses to $13.52 million compared to $14 million, reduced the loss from $1.25 million before tax in 2012 to $185,000 this year and the after tax loss to $179,000 to June this year versus $973,000 in 2012. For the 12 months to March this year, on revenues of $64,146 million and expenses of $62,504 million, the paint company made a profit of $791,000 after tax.
According to figures released for the quarter to June, the company has eliminated some cost. This should made quite a difference to the full year results which IC Insider is forecasting to be 50 cents per share for the year to March 2014.
The price earnings ratio (PE) of the stock is low at just 7 times this year’s earnings, making it a good candidate for investors to profit from.
The financial position of the company is healthy, with working capital being more than two and a half times current assets to current liabilities. Equity capital stands at nearly $25 million with no major debt capital being used in funding its operations. There is virtually no cash on the balance sheet suggesting that they are using cheap bank financing to ensure shareholders max out on profits.
Insider call | Berger TT is an IC Insider Buy Rated stock.
[…] Berger Paints surged to the top of the list of stocks on the Trinidad & Tobago Stock Exchange that should return the highest gains to investors, in the months ahead, with the potential to reach 500 percent. Next in line is Trinidad Cement with 300 percent. Scotiabank has fallen to $58 from a high of $73.12 earlier this year. At the close of trading for the week, Scotiabank’s price seems set to decline further, with selling pressure still overwhelming buying interest, at the current price level. The decline so far has put the stock back in the list of top buys, with potential gain of 40 percent at the last traded price. The bank reported poor results in the first half of the fiscal year, but showed strong gains in the July quarter including good pick up in loans. This suggest that 2015 earnings should move up attractively, subject to continued growth in the loan portfolio. Importantly the PE has fallen in line with Republic Bank at around 16 times earnings and only slightly above the rest. Berger has surged based on the latest results, putting profit for the six months to September at $1.122 million, a big improvement over than the $240,000 earned in the 2013 period and almost ensuring that the full year’s earnings of $2.93 million to March this year, will be bettered by a good degree. Berger’s profit improvement is flowing from reduced cost rather than sales growth. Sales fell slightly to $29.8 million for the half year, compared to $30.1 million in the 2013 period. IC Insider is forecasting $1.10 per share, around $6 million after tax for the current year. Rounding out the top list of the stocks that virtually select themselves are, Sagicor Financial, Point Lisas, Guardian Holdings, National Flour Mills, Massy Holdings, First Citizens Bank, Ansa Merchant Bank, Republic Bank and Scotiabank. The 2014 financial year for a number of the companies have ended in September, with more results to be released soon. Investors’ minds will start to focus on 2015 when the results for some of the companies will show improvement over 2014, making the stocks cheaper now than they are likely to be a few months from now when the results for 2015 starts to flow. Trinidad Cement released their nine months results to September which point to earnings from continuing operations being 13 cents for the quarter and annualised at 52 cents per share. The agreement to supply Venezuela with 240,000 tonnes of clinker will help boost the group’s profit, while the contract is being satisfied. While debt is a negative, the present cash flow if continued, will see them out of danger within 3-4 years. Overall the TTSE market average PE is at 14.4 with 12 stocks above this levels and 10 stocks below. […]