Market activity ended on Tuesday with the volume of shares trading declining 55 percent, but with the value holding close to Monday’s level at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Main Market as rising stocks were less than those declining.
The All Jamaican Composite Index shed 1,680.06 points to end at 440,256.45, the JSE Main Index dipped 2,598.25 points to finish at 397,355.47 and the JSE Financial Index fell 0.66 points to close at 97.92.
A total of 53 securities traded compared to 51 on Monday, with 20 rising, 24 declining and nine ending unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a formula used in computing appropriate stock values, averages 16.2. The PE ratio for the JSE Main and USD Market closing quotes are based on ICInsider.com earnings forecasts for companies with financial years ending up to August 2022.
Overall, 4,998,746 shares traded for $36,379,818 versus 11,148,306 units at $36,249,301 on Monday. Sagicor Select Financial Fund led trading with 22.1 percent of total volume transferring 1.11 million shares followed by Sagicor Select Manufacturing & Distribution Fund, 17.1 percent, with 856,909 units and Transjamaican Highway accounting for 15.9 percent trading 793,717 units.
Trading averaged 94,316 units at $686,412, compared to 218,594 shares at $710,771 on Monday and month to date, an average of 144,586 units at $1,137,476, compared to 152,965 units at $1,212,654 on Monday. December ended with an average of 479,143 units at $6,686,322.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows nine stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Barita Investments popped 90 cents to end at $95.90 with the swapping of 10,281 shares, Berger Paints rallied 49 cents to close at $12.99 in exchanging 608 stocks, Caribbean Cement shed $1 in closing at $71 after switching ownership of 25,329 units. Eppley gained 50 cents to finish at $36 after exchanging 1,105 stock units, Eppley Caribbean Property Fund advanced $2.30 after ending at $42.30 in trading 700 stocks, First Rock Capital rose 70 cents to close at $10.85, with 6,146 stock units clearing the market. Guardian Holdings declined $10 after ending at $540 with 1,535 shares changing hands, Jamaica Producers lost 52 cents to close at $22 with a transfer of 76,000 units, Jamaica Stock Exchange shed 85 cents to $16.65 with 675 stocks crossing the market. JMMB Group fell 75 cents in closing at $38.15 with the swapping of 145,580 shares, Kingston Wharves lost 45 cents to end at $43 n trading 20,566 stock units, MPC Caribbean Clean Energy declined $10 to $100 with investors exchanging 158 shares. Palace Amusement advanced $10 to end at $890 in transferring 46 stocks, PanJam Investment shed $1.50 after ending at $66 with 53,482 units crossing the market, Proven Investments dipped 48 cents in closing at $32.49 with 13,577 shares changing hands. Scotia Group gained 50 cents to finish at $36 in switching ownership of 61,922 stock units, Seprod shed $2.49 to end at $62.50 in an exchange of 2,778 shares, Stanley Motta popped 30 cents in closing at $5.50 after trading 7,000 stock units and Supreme Ventures rose 60 cents to end at $17.80 in an exchange of 55,675 stocks.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
ICTOP10 scaling new highs
Main Market TOP10 stock, Sagicor Group price fell to $52.31 to return to the TOP10 after closing the previous week at $58 and replaced by Scotia Group that slipped from $36 to $35.50 as both the Main and Junior Markets displayed some bullish signs in the past week, with Caribbean Producers hitting a record high of $15 and gained 436 percent in just over a year.
Other big news for the week was the continued rise of ICTOP10 Main Market stock, Caribbean Producers that closed the week with a gain of 15 percent at a record high of $15 and is now in the sixth spot with the potential to gain another 120 percent in months. Radio Jamaica rose 7 percent for the week to $3.23 and Guardian Holdings rose 5 percent.
Junior Market AMG Packaging rose 6 percent but could climb higher with the first quarter results to November, due this coming week and the company is also expected to announce a dividend. Lasco Financial put on 7 percent to land at $3.20, Elite Dynastic gained 4 percent to $2.95, Caribbean Assurance Brokers climbed as high as $2.75 during the week but closed down at $2.48 for a 3 percent gain, and Access Financial Services fell 10 percent to $17.08 and Lasco Distributors lost 6 percent to $3.20.
Elsewhere, investors in the Spur Tree Spices Initial Public offer will receive just over 11.76 percent of the shares they applied for in the heavily oversubscribed issue that is sure to drive the stock price with a big bang in the first week of trading which should be ahead of the end of January.
The top three Main Market stocks, this week are Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Radio Jamaica all projected to gain between 199 and 258 percent up from 183 and 261 percent last week.
The Junior Market’s top three stocks for the week are Access Financial Services followed by AMG Packaging and Caribbean Assurance Brokers. All three can gain between 182 and 204 percent versus 174 and 218 percent, previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks is 148 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 152 percent to this weeks’ 146 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.8 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of just 8.2, with a 45 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 35 percent to March this year, based on an average PE of 20 and 15 percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 26 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level and averaging 25.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.4, just 16 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 22 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.4 representing a 49 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Coming soon reports
64% gains for ICTOP10 picks in 2021
The 2021 calendar year ended on Friday, with the Junior Market rising a near 30 percent and the Main Market just holding above the close of the prior year. Against this backdrop ICInsider.com TOP 15 stocks at the start of the year had a 53 percent average gain in the Junior Market but 64 percent when Honey Bun that was reported on in December 2020 and Future Energy Sources (Fesco) that was Buy Rated when the IPO hit the market was up and impressive 64 percent.
Only three Junior Market stocks declined amongst our selection with Elite being the worse with a loss of 11 percent.
TOP10 MM stock did not do as well as the JM but that was told to readers at the start of the year. The average gain for the TOP15 Main Market stocks was 10 percent that excludes Caribbean Producers. The highest gaining stock from the list was Radio Jamaica up 61 percent and Grace Kennedy 58 percent, the two worse performers were Berger Paints and Scotia Group down 12 percent each.
The big news for the market for the past week continues to be the Initial Public offer of Spur Tree Spices priced at $1 per share that was heavily oversubscribed.
Medical Disposables rose 7 percent for the week to $6.49 and dropped out of the TOP10 and was replaced by General Accident that comes in at $6. In the Main Market TOP10, Sagicor Group rose 9 percent for the week to close at $58 and was replaced by Scotia Group at $36.
During the week AMG Packaging rose 4 percent to $2.20, Access Financial Services lost 9 percent to $19, Lasco Distributors rose 6 percent to $3.47, Elite Diagnostic rose 5 percent to $2.85 and Honey Bun gained 8 percent to $9.25. In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers popped 9 percent to $13, JMMB Group and PanJam Investment rose 3 percent, while losses were suffered by Radio Jamaica down 5 percent and Sterling Investments with a fall of 7 percent
The top three Main Market stocks, this week are Guardian Holdings followed by JMMB Group and Radio Jamaica all projected to gain between 199 and 258 percent up from 183 and 261 percent last week.
The Junior Market top three stocks changed a bit during the week, with AMG Packaging leading, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Access Financial Services. All three can gain between 174 and 218 percent versus 158 and 230 percent, previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks remained unchanged at 149 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 154 percent to this weeks’ 152 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE of 14.8 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the average of 17 at the end of March this year based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.2, with a 45 percent discount to that market’s average.
The Junior Market can gain 35 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 15 percent based on an average PE of 17.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.4, just 16 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 22 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8.2 representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 13 stocks or 28 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average roundabout 25, suggesting that the accepted multiple is between 20 and 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.