Major gains in Jamaica’s current account

Petroleum imports help cut trade deficit to June

Petroleum imports help cut trade deficit to June

There was major improvement in Jamaica’s current account deficit, provisional data for the June 2015 quarter show, relative to the similar quarter in 2014. The deficit came in at US$86 million, an improvement of US$185 million compared to US$271 million for the corresponding period in 2014.
For the March 2015 quarter, the Current Account enjoyed a surplus of US$39.4 million, an improvement of US$149.5 million over the similar period in 2014 as a result the current account for the year to June is negative US$45 million versus a deficit of US$398 million in the first half year in 2014.
The outturn for the June quarter reflected improvements on all sub-accounts except the Income sub-account which was almost unchanged. Net private and official capital inflows were, however, insufficient to finance the deficits on the current and capital accounts. As a result, there was a drawdown of US$177 million in the Net International Reserves of the Bank of Jamaica (BOJ).
There was a reduction of US$80 million in the deficit on the merchandise trade largely associated with a decline of US$133 million in imports and a reduction of US$53 million in exports. “The reduction in payments for imports mainly reflected lower expenditure for fuel and raw materials. Consumer and capital goods imports rose. The decline in exports mainly reflected lower earnings from non-traditional exports and sugar. Notwithstanding the overall fall in exports, there were higher earnings from alumina exports for the quarter” the BOJ report states.
Hilton Rose Hall -Sagicor X Fund recent acquisition

Hilton Rose Hall -Sagicor X Fund recent acquisition

Services enjoyed the increased surplus US$65 million, reflecting improvements in travel, transportation and other services. Regarding transportation, there was a decline in freight payments associated with the reduction in imports while the improvement in other services was due principally to reduced payments for insurance services. Within the current transfers sub-account, the increased surplus mainly reflected growth of 4.6 per cent in gross private remittance inflows. There was a marginal increase in the deficit on the income sub-account stemming primarily from a reduction in inflows associated with compensation of employees.

Jamaica’s NIR passes US$2b

NIR_YELLOW280x150Jamaica’s Net International Reserves (NIR) now exceeds US$2 billion as it sits at US$2.18 billion, up by US$805 million during July. The increase reflects the US$800 million bond, the government raised recently on the international market.
The gross amount of the reserves is US$2.8 billion, up by US$793 million during July, of this amount US$606 million is due to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and represents primarily, funds obtained from the IMF for liquidity support for the financial system, when the JLP government undertook the first debt exchange, back in 2010.
Reserves of Goods Imports amount to 28.13 weeks and 20.30 weeks of Rreserves of Goods & Services Imports.

NIR jumps US$211M to US$1.376 Billion

NIR_YELLOW280x150The net International reserves (NIR) jumped US$211 million in June to reach US$1.376 billion. The NIR now represents 19.90 weeks of goods imports and 14.57 weeks of goods and services imports.
The Gross NIR amounts to US$2.016 billion at the end of June. During the month the central bank offered a series of US dollar based bonds and this would have helped to swell the numbers.

NIR up in September

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The Jamaican dollar has been undergoing a depreciation since May after a brief revaluation but the net international reserves actually climbed at the end of September compared with August of this year.

Net International Reserves at the end of September amounted to US$910 million, up $28.54 million over the August figure of US$881.6 million. It is not clear where the increase came from. The central bank is projecting that the NIR will remain around these levels until year end.

The reserves translate to 14.96 weeks of Goods Imports and 11.22 weeks of Goods & Services Imports at the end of August and for September was 15.10 weeks and 11.4 weeks respectively.

Related posts | NIR down but so is IMF debt | NIR surpasses $1 billion

NIR down but so is IMF debt

The latest data from the Bank of Jamaica shows a decline in the net international reserves for the country to US$882 million at the end of August, down from US$930 million at the end of July, a decline of US$48 million.

The decline was mainly due to the central bank paying off US$77 million to the IMF thus reducing the amount due to them from US$861 to US$783 million. The gross reserves stands at US$1.687 billion or US$125.5 million less than at the end of July.

The gross NIR now represents 11.22 weeks of estimated Goods & Services Imports.

The country now enters a period that is traditionally characterised by lower inflows and higher demand. However, with the Highway 2000 Ocho Rios leg to resume, the next few months should be seeing capital inflows in connection with this project, which should help augment other inflows to the system.

Related Posts | NIR surpasses $1 billion

NIR surpasses $1 billion

Jamaica’s Net International Reserves climbed back above the billion dollar mark at the end of June as it reached US$1.003 billon. At the end of May the net reserves was US$988 million.

Gross reserves amounted to US$1.88 billion at the end of June an increase of US$14.36 million. The NIR at the end of June represents 17.63 weeks of goods imports and 13.22 weeks of imported goods and services. The increase seems to have emanated from efforts of the Central Bank to get foreign currency released from players who took a long position in foreign currency for investment purposes.

The net reserves reflect $855.40 million that is due to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that is being held on a short term nature and is therefore not included as a part of the Net International Reserves. Most of this amount would have been received when the first debt exchange took place in 2010 to provide support for the financial sector in case they ran in to liquidity problems. None of this amount has been used to date.

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