ICTOP10 stocks continue, with some sharp price movement during the past week, with VM Investments being the lead mover with a 16 percent rise, with a 12 percent increase for General Accident to $6.10, Medical Disposables rose 11 percent to $5.50 and Guardian Holdings popped 9 percent to $565.
VM Investment jumped 16% in the week
Berger Paints and Access Financial both gained 6 percent for the week. Access’ performance followed the release of half year results that showed good promise of a strong rebound in earnings for the current fiscal year. See ICInsider.com’s report on the results.
There are no additions to the ICTOP10 this week, but with several company results due this week, the markets could benefit from some.
The top three Main Market stocks are Berger Paints, Guardian Holdings and JMMB Group, with gains of 220 to 230 percent expected versus last weeks’ 216 to 254 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident, with a drying up of offers up to $7.24 and Lasco Financial, with all three having the potential to gain between 203 and 297 percent, from 228 percent and 281 percent, previously.
This week’s focus: QWI investments, one of ICInsdier.com TOP15 stocks for 2021, now boast a Net Asset Value of $1.43 at the end of the past week, the highest value since it was listed in 2019, but the stock is selling at 92 cents on the Main Market at a huge 36 percent discount to NAV, even as the composition of the portfolio suggests further increase in value is likely before the end of 2021. The NAV is up 23 percent from $1.16 at the end of December last year, just below the Junior Market gains for the year to date and well ahead of the Composite index rise. The stock price has increased by 19.4 percent from 77 cents at the end of 2020 to Friday. It seems that investors don’t buy into the concept of buying stocks when blood is in the streets.
Most of the top 2021 stocks will not make the top 10 in 2022, but some will. The IC 80/20 rule, with a long 40 year history, shows an average of only two of the TO10 stocks in a year repeat in the following one, while 4 out of 10 of the worst performing stocks will end up as TOP10 winners in the succeeding year.
Investors’ focus should now be on 2022 for the local stocks and the current year’s values to determine the appropriate values of each stock for a hold or fold decision.
PE ratio is revaluing, with the Main Market moving from 15.6 last week to 16 this week and the Junior Market from 13.2 to 13.7. This trend will continue as results are released and encourage increased investments in stocks that are now undervalued.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 202 percent last week to 191 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 169 percent to 159 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.7 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 7, with a 52 percent discount to that market’s PE.
The Junior Market can gain 52 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 25 percent based on an average PE of 17. Seven stocks representing 15 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from nine last week, indicating that many others will rise above the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16, which is 19 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 25 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 7.8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 12 stocks or 25 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 24, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on potential yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
A total of 37 securities traded down from 41 on Thursday and ended with 16 rising, 13 declining and eight closed unchanged.
Trading averaged 132,022 shares at $551,545 in contrast to 100,813 shares at $341,784 on Thursday and month to date, an average of 113,246 units at $404,431, compared to 108,735 units at $369,086 on Thursday. Trading in October averaged 162,777 units at $557,275.
Knutsford Express rose 9 cents in closing at $8.09, trading 6,374 stock units, Lasco Distributors advanced 33 cents to end at $3.85, with 58,015 units crossing the market Lasco Manufacturing lost 30 cents, closing at $4.50 after trading 250,158 shares. Main Event shed 40 cents to close at $4 in switching ownership of 354,112 stocks, Paramount Trading popped 9 cents in closing at $1.14, with 470 shares crossing the market and Stationery and Office Supplies rallied 39 cents to end at $6.30 with an exchange of 200 units.
Market activity led to 41 securities trading, up from 37 on Wednesday and ended with 16 rising, 18 declining and seven left unchanged. Fontana and KLE Group ended trading at 52 weeks’ highs.
Trading averaged 100,813 shares at $341,784, down from 125,035 shares at $434,340 on Wednesday and month to date, an average of 108,735 units at $369,086, compared to 111,609 units at $378,991 on Wednesday. October average trade was 162,777 units at $557,275.
Indies Pharma dropped 9 cents to end at $3.20, with 26,000 stock units crossing the market, ISP Finance fell 74 cents after finishing at $47.23 in trading 642 shares, KLE Group spiked 51 cents in closing at 52 weeks’ high of $2.51 in an exchange of 14,277 stocks. Lasco Distributors lost 8 cents to close at $3.52 while exchanging 24,956 units, Medical Disposables rose 40 cents to $5.50 in an exchange of 19,400 stocks, SSL Venture fell 8 cents in closing at 66 cents as 39,200 shares changed hands and tTech shed 90 cents to end at $3.88 in trading 7,859 units.
Overall, 37 securities traded, up from 35 on Tuesday and ended with 16 rising, 13 declining and eight closing unchanged.
At the close, Access Financial lost $1.55 in closing at $18, after trading 9,534 shares, Cargo Handlers climbed 69 cents to $7.84 in switching ownership of one stock unit, Consolidated Bakeries fell 11 cents, to $1.55 after an exchange of 10,147 units. Dolphin Cove dropped 25 cents to $10 while exchanging 9,830 stocks, Elite Diagnostic dipped 5 cents to end at $3.05 in trading 148,454 units, Express Catering shed 5 cents in closing at $4.80 after trading 25,709 stocks. Fontana rose 5 cents to $6.99 in exchanging 162,937 shares, Fosrich inched 17 cents up to end at $8.60, with 37,041 stock units crossing the exchange, Honey Bun dropped 49 cents to close at $9.01, clearing the market with 9,677 stocks. Indies Pharma gained 19 cents to $3.29 with an exchange of 64,299 shares, Jamaican Teas rose 6 cents in closing at $4.50, with 1,194,086 units changing hands, Jetcon Corporation popped 11 cents to $1.10, in trading 7,397 stock units. KLE Group shed 20 cents to close at $2 after exchanging 33,223 stocks, Knutsford Express fell 5 cents, to $8, with 3,000 shares crossing the market, Lasco Manufacturing rallied 5 cents to end at $4.85, in trading 32,764 stock units. 
Limners and Bards declined 5 cents to $3.55 with the swapping of 19,496 units, Main Event advanced 54 cents to close at $4.44, with 400 stock units clearing the market, Medical Disposables rallied 5 cents to end at $5.10 with an exchange of 1,200 units. Paramount Trading rose 6 cents to $1.10, with 3,000 stocks crossing the exchange, SSL Venture popped 5 cents to 74 cents in switching ownership of 1,922 shares and Tropical Battery lost 5 cents to end at $1.29 in trading 4,143 stock units.
A total of 35 securities trading down from 41 on Monday and ended with 19 rising, 11 declining and five closing unchanged.
Trading averaged 74,982 shares at $229,312 versus 130,760 shares at $456,818 on Monday and for the month to date an average of 105,072 units at $352,046. October closed with an average of 162,777 units at $557,275.
Lasco Financial rose 6 cents to $3.15 while exchanging 4,003 stock units, Lasco Manufacturing increased 47 cents to $4.80, with 176,276 stocks clearing the market, Limners and Bards popped 6 cents in closing at $3.60 in exchanging 77,116 units, Mailpac Group increased 7 cents to close at $3.82, with 53,232 stocks crossing the market, Main Event fell 50 cents to $3.90 trading 4,240 shares, Paramount Trading declined 6 cents to close at $1.04 in an exchange of 4,988 stock units and Stationery and Office Supplies popped 29 cents to end at $5.90 in an exchange of 124 units.
Overall, 41 securities traded up from 35 on Friday and ended with 17 rising, 17 declining and seven, closing unchanged.
Trading averaged 130,760 shares at $456,818 in contrast to 126,170 shares at $424,566 on Friday. Trading in October closed with an average of 162,777 units at $557,275.
Lasco Manufacturing shed 45 cents ending at $4.33, with 39,664 stocks crossing the market after the company released good half year results with a strong indication that the stock is undervalued. Main Event spiked 40 cents in closing at $4.40 after trading 2,012 stocks, Medical Disposables popped 11 cents to $5.06 after exchanging 4,428 shares, Stationery and Office Supplies fell 89 cents to $5.61 in exchanging 5,825 units and tTech rallied 14 cents to $4.79 while trading 10,000 stock units.
Sygnus Credit Investment gave back the 5 percent increase last week to end at $17.80. Berger Paints and Proven Investments both gave up 3 percent during the week, while Junior Market Lasco Financial gave up six percent at the end of the week in closing at $3.05 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers lost three percent, from $1.79 to $1.74 as Medical Disposables rose four percent to $4.95 after hitting an intraday high of $5.80 on Friday and Lumber Depot rose four percent to $2.97.
The company will be paying a hefty dividend of 32 cents per share. Lasco Manufacturing and Lasco Distributor reported second quarter results. The former enjoyed a 13 percent increase in revenues to $4.65 billion and a 6 percent rise in profit to $782 million after increased taxation in the period versus a lower rate in 2020. The distributing company enjoyed a 15 percent rise in revenues to $11.6 billion and a 14 percent fall in after tax profit to $197 million.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.2 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 6.8, with a 52 percent discount to that market’s PE.
TOP 10 average PE is 7.8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 12 stocks or 25 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
Trading closed Friday, with the volume and value of stocks traded rising modestly over Thursday as the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market closed out the week and month with the market index surging 42.50 points to close at 3,404.40, to be up 108 points for the month, with a gain just under 29 percent for the year to date. 
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows five stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three stocks with lower offers.
KLE Group popped 13 cents to $1.46 with an exchange of 36,000 stocks, Lasco Distributors rose 25 cents to end at $3.85 in trading 217,988 stock units. Lasco Manufacturing climbed 48 cents to $4.78 with the swapping of 185,781 units, Lumber Depot spiked 7 cents to close at $2.97 with 60,602 stocks clearing the market, Paramount Trading lost 6 cents to close at $1.04 in switching ownership of 34,312 shares, Stationery and Office Supplies increased 50 cents to close at $6.50 after exchanging 2,434 stock units and tTech advanced 40 cents to $4.65 1,000 stocks changing hands.
At the close, the Junior Market Index rallied 34.96 points to end at 3,361.90, after 36 securities traded compared to 37 on Wednesday and ended with 18 rising, 14 declining and four closing unchanged.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
Lasco Manufacturing lost 20 cents to $4.30 after 27,840 shares crossed the exchange, Mailpac Group advanced 6 cents to $3.83 in exchanging 201,426 stocks, Main Event gained 24 cents to end at $4 with 7,500 shares changing hands. Medical Disposables fell 32 cents in closing at $4.93, after trading 47,340 stocks, Stationery and Office Supplies shed 10 cents to $6 with an exchange of 13,398 stock units and tTech fell 45 cents to end at $4.25, after 1,143 units crossed the market.
For a second consecutive day, 37 stocks traded and ended with 18 rising, 15 declining and four closing unchanged.
At the close, Access Financial dropped $2.34 in closing at $17.36 in exchanging 1,052 shares, AMG Packaging climbed 10 cents to $1.75 with the swapping of 100 stock units, Blue Power advanced 10 cents to $3.10 after trading 5,786 stocks. Cargo Handlers spiked 84 cents to $7.89 after 100 units crossed the exchange, Caribbean Cream shed 7 cents to close at $5.83, with 177,214 stocks changing hands, Consolidated Bakeries declined 5 cents to close at $1.70 in switching ownership of 8,150 shares. Derrimon Trading fell 5 cents in closing at $2.35 after exchanging 60,312 stock units, Dolphin Cove lost 81 cents to end at $9.43 in trading 152 units, Elite Diagnostic popped 19 cents to $3.29 after trading 12,171 shares. Everything Fresh fell 5 cents to 93 cents with an exchange of 58,434 stock units, Express Catering lost 13 cents to end at $5.20 after trading 48,352 units, Fontana climbed 20 cents to $6.50 in an exchange of 46,039 stocks. Fosrich fell 5 cents to close at $8.35, with 11,232 units crossing the exchange, General Accident popped 9 cents to $5.44 with 6,000 shares changing hands, GWest Corporation rallied 8 cents in closing at 93 cents while exchanging 16,43 stocks. Honey Bun increased 40 cents to $9, with 7,845 stock units clearing the market, iCreate rose 9 cents to 98 cents after 36,414 units crossed the exchange, ISP Finance dropped $2.03 to end at $47.97 trading just two stock units. Jamaican Teas shed 19 cents to close at $4.26 with an exchange of 1,701,459 stocks, KLE Group gained 17 cents in closing at $1.33, with 3,400 shares changing hands, Knutsford Express popped 10 cents to $7.30 after exchanging 908 stocks. 
Lasco Distributors rose 10 cents to close at $3.70 with 85,513 units changing hands, Lasco Manufacturing lost 30 cents to end at $4.50 while exchanging 58,570 stock units, Lumber Depot rose 6 cents to $2.92 with the swapping of 602,207 shares. Main Event dropped 44 cents in closing at $3.76 in trading 59,000 stock units and tTech rallied 45 cents in closing at $4.70 in switching ownership of 407 units.