Trading closed Thursday on the Junior Market, with the volume and value of stocks trading declining from Wednesday’s level of trades and the market index putting in a solid performance to recover nearly all of the 38 points fall on Wednesday.
At the close, the Junior Market Index rallied 34.96 points to end at 3,361.90, after 36 securities traded compared to 37 on Wednesday and ended with 18 rising, 14 declining and four closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.6. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
A sum of 3,697,415 shares traded for $12,782,196 down from 3,844,068 units at $14,596,020 on Wednesday. Jamaican Teas led trading with 777,341 shares for 21 percent of total volume followed by Lumber Depot with 733,555 units after and 19.8 percent of the day’s trade and Limners and Bards with 421,749 units for 11.4 percent market share.
Trading averaged 102,706 shares at $355,061 in contrast to 103,894 shares at $394,487 on Wednesday, and month to date, averages 164,650 units at $564,066, compared to 168,091 units at $575,677 on Wednesday. September closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Access Financial climbed $2.34 to $19.70 with the swapping of 6,501 shares, CAC 2000 dropped $1.20 to end at $8.05 after 5,333 stocks crossed the exchange, Caribbean Assurance Brokers shed 13 cents to close at $1.65 after trading 3,143 stock units. Caribbean Cream rose 14 cents to $5.97 with 417 units changing hands, Consolidated Bakeries declined 15 cents to $1.55 in an exchange of 13,896 units, Derrimon Trading advanced 5 cents to $2.40 in trading 81,273 stock units. Dolphin Cove jumped 82 cents to close at $10.25 in exchanging 10,476 shares, Everything Fresh rose 5 cents to 98 cents, with 305 stocks crossing the market, Express Catering lost 20 cents in closing at $5 after exchanging 17,424 stock units. Fontana popped 38 cents to end at $6.88 after exchanging 86,886 units, Fosrich spiked 9 cents to close at $8.44 while exchanging 16,367 stocks, Honey Bun rallied 28 cents to $9.28, with 114,985 shares crossing the market. iCreate fell 6 cents to 92 cents with an exchange of 68,175 shares, Indies Pharma rose 21 cents to end at $3.40, with 21,438 stock units changing hands, Jamaican Teas increased 19 cents to $4.45 in switching ownership of 777,341 stocks. Knutsford Express spiked 75 cents to $8.05, with 712 units clearing the market, Lasco Distributors declined 10 cents to close at $3.60 after exchanging 22,430 stock units, Lasco Financial dropped 14 cents to $3.05 in trading 59,314 units. 
Lasco Manufacturing lost 20 cents to $4.30 after 27,840 shares crossed the exchange, Mailpac Group advanced 6 cents to $3.83 in exchanging 201,426 stocks, Main Event gained 24 cents to end at $4 with 7,500 shares changing hands. Medical Disposables fell 32 cents in closing at $4.93, after trading 47,340 stocks, Stationery and Office Supplies shed 10 cents to $6 with an exchange of 13,398 stock units and tTech fell 45 cents to end at $4.25, after 1,143 units crossed the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Pull back for Junior Market
At the close of trading on Wednesday, Junior Market stocks gave back a sizeable portion of Tuesday’s near 80 points gain, with the Index slipping 37.64 points to close at 3,326.94. The volume of stocks traded declined marginally, with the value rising 24 percent over Tuesday at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market.
For a second consecutive day, 37 stocks traded and ended with 18 rising, 15 declining and four closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.3. The PE ratio of each stock shown in the chart below is based on earnings forecast done by ICInsider.com for companies with financial years ending up to August 2022.
A total of 3,844,068 shares traded for $14,596,020 compared to 4,194,434 units at $11,727,353 on Tuesday. Jamaican Teas led trading in controlling 44.3 percent of total volume with 1.7 million shares for followed by Lumber Depot 15.7 percent with 602,207 units and Mailpac Group 7.7 percent with 297,012 shares.
Trading averaged 103,894 shares at $394,487 versus 113,363 shares at $316,955 on Tuesday, with the month to date, averaging 168,091 units at $575,677, compared to 171,979 units at $586,650 on Tuesday. September closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and five with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial dropped $2.34 in closing at $17.36 in exchanging 1,052 shares, AMG Packaging climbed 10 cents to $1.75 with the swapping of 100 stock units, Blue Power advanced 10 cents to $3.10 after trading 5,786 stocks. Cargo Handlers spiked 84 cents to $7.89 after 100 units crossed the exchange, Caribbean Cream shed 7 cents to close at $5.83, with 177,214 stocks changing hands, Consolidated Bakeries declined 5 cents to close at $1.70 in switching ownership of 8,150 shares. Derrimon Trading fell 5 cents in closing at $2.35 after exchanging 60,312 stock units, Dolphin Cove lost 81 cents to end at $9.43 in trading 152 units, Elite Diagnostic popped 19 cents to $3.29 after trading 12,171 shares. Everything Fresh fell 5 cents to 93 cents with an exchange of 58,434 stock units, Express Catering lost 13 cents to end at $5.20 after trading 48,352 units, Fontana climbed 20 cents to $6.50 in an exchange of 46,039 stocks. Fosrich fell 5 cents to close at $8.35, with 11,232 units crossing the exchange, General Accident popped 9 cents to $5.44 with 6,000 shares changing hands, GWest Corporation rallied 8 cents in closing at 93 cents while exchanging 16,43 stocks. Honey Bun increased 40 cents to $9, with 7,845 stock units clearing the market, iCreate rose 9 cents to 98 cents after 36,414 units crossed the exchange, ISP Finance dropped $2.03 to end at $47.97 trading just two stock units. Jamaican Teas shed 19 cents to close at $4.26 with an exchange of 1,701,459 stocks, KLE Group gained 17 cents in closing at $1.33, with 3,400 shares changing hands, Knutsford Express popped 10 cents to $7.30 after exchanging 908 stocks. 
Lasco Distributors rose 10 cents to close at $3.70 with 85,513 units changing hands, Lasco Manufacturing lost 30 cents to end at $4.50 while exchanging 58,570 stock units, Lumber Depot rose 6 cents to $2.92 with the swapping of 602,207 shares. Main Event dropped 44 cents in closing at $3.76 in trading 59,000 stock units and tTech rallied 45 cents in closing at $4.70 in switching ownership of 407 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Sharp spike for Junior Market
The Junior Market Index surged 79.76 points to settle at 3,364.58 on Tuesday, after opening, trading well up at 3,360.07 points. The volume of stocks traded slipped moderately, compared to market activity on Monday, with the value falling 28 percent at the close of a bullish session on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market, t.
Market activity led to 37 securities trading compared to 36 on Monday and ended with 18 rising, 10 declining and nine, closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.4. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
Trading ended with 4,194,434 shares changing hands for $11,727,353 compared to 4,466,932 units at $16,339,623 on Monday. Future Energy Source led trading with 1.09 million shares for 26 percent of total volume, followed by Lumber Depot with 612,943 units for 14.6 percent of the day’s trade and Jamaican Teas 512,665 units 12.2 percent of trading.
Trading averaged 113,363 shares at $316,955 in contrast to 124,081 shares at $453,878 on Monday, and month to date an average of 171,979 units at $586,650, compared to 175,757 units at $604,034 on Monday. September closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows no stock ending with a bid higher than the last selling price and six closed with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging declined 15 cents to $1.65 in switching ownership of 10,755 shares, Blue Power dropped 30 cents to $3, with 10,129 units changing hands, CAC 2000 popped $1.19 in closing at $9.25 while exchanging 1,000 stock units. Cargo Handlers rose 5 cents to $7.05 after exchanging 50 stocks, Caribbean Assurance Brokers climbed 5 cents to $1.75 after trading 10,809 stock units, Consolidated Bakeries spiked 25 cents to $1.75 trading 630 units. Dolphin Cove popped $2.04 to $10.24 with 4,850 shares crossing the market, Elite Diagnostic shed 19 cents in ending at $3.10 with the swapping of 1,300 stocks, Express Catering gained 33 cents to end at $5.33 in trading 40,600 stocks. Fontana lost 19 cents to close at $6.30 with an exchange of 91,248 stock units, Fosrich fell 10 cents to close at $8.40 in exchanging 33,976 units, Honey Bun rallied 20 cents to $8.60 after exchanging 316 shares. iCreate shed 8 cents to end at 89 cents, with 15,300 units crossing the exchange, Thinly traded ISP Finance surged $10.02 ending at a record high $50, with 500 shares clearing the market, Jetcon Corporation dropped 8 cents in closing at $1.02 in an exchange of 320,202 stocks. 
KLE Group fell 19 cents in closing at $1.16 after 19 stock units crossed the market, Lasco Manufacturing rallied 12 cents to $4.80, with 1,034 stock units clearing the market, Mailpac Group rose 6 cents to end at $3.80 in an exchange of 311,160 stocks. Main Event popped 32 cents to $4.20 in switching ownership of 450 shares and Medical Disposables advanced 27 cents to $5.25 in an exchange of 11,400 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Sleepy ICTOP10 Sygnus Credit on the rise
Developments during the week for ICTOP10 Main Market stocks saw Sygnus Credit Investment adding another 5 percent to its value this past week on top of the 5 percent rise in the previous week to close at $18.65 from $17.80, to be up 17 percent for October. Sterling Investments rose 9 percent from $2.76 to $3 and Berger Paints gained 3 percent during the week. Caribbean Producers lost 2 percent, Guardian Holding fell 6 percent from $550 to $515 and Proven
Sygnus Credit Investments is up 17% in October.
Investments lost 7 percent to round out the main movements in ICTOP10 for the week. There were no additions to the ICTOP10 this week, but volatility continued, with Junior Market stocks bouncing up and down. Elite Diagnostic gained 3 percent to $3.10, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rallied 2 percent, from $1.75 to $1.79, Lumber Depot rose 2 percent to $2.89, with persistent selling above keeping a lid on price movement. Access Financial lost 7 percent to close at $17.25 from $18.50, AMG Packaging fell 7 percent to close at $1.80 from $1.93 after the company released full year results. Dolphin Cove dived 20 percent from $10.25 to $8.20, Medical Disposables with bright prospects for the future fell 10 percent to $4.74 and Stationery and Office Supplies slipped 2 percent to $6.40 from $6.50.
As 2021 slowly crawls to a close, the focus should be switching to 2022 along with the current year’s values to determine the appropriate valuation of each stock and the hold or fold decision.
Most of the top 2021 stocks will not make the top 10 in 2022. The IC 80/20 rule, with a long 40 year history, shows an average of only two of the top ten stocks in a year repeat in the following one, while 4 out of 10 of the worst performing stocks will end up as TOP 10 winners in the succeeding year. The top seven stocks so far, with gains of 52 to 231 percent and three others gaining more than 100 percent are; Future Energy, Jamaican Teas, Fosrich, ISP Finance, Lumber Depot, Express Catering and Honey Bun. In the Main market, Caribbean Producers is 136 percent to date and is expected to deliver much more gains into 2022, Salada Foods rose 107 percent, Radio Jamaica has an increase of 103 percent, but investors can expect much more from this one but a lot is expected after the release of the September quarter results, Caribbean Cement is scheduled to release third quarter results next weekend, with the stock price up 88 percent for the year to date and Grace up 55 percent.
Elsewhere, Supreme Ventures released nine months results with 22 percent increased sales to $19.3 billion for the nine months but virtually flat third quarter sales of $6.3 billion with nine months profit slipping marginally from $1.55 billion to $1.54 billion and the third quarter falling from $596 million down to $311 million. Earnings per share ended at 57.7 cents and 11.8 cents for the quarter. AMG Packaging released full year results, with profits of $62.6 million, up from $56 million in 2020 with earnings per share of 12 cents. The quarterly profit was $20 after tax and, in 2020, $18.4 million after a tax credit. Construction of the new facility is complete, and machinery and equipment are ordered and is expected to be installed during the November quarter.
The top three Main Market stocks are, Caribbean Producers currently consolidating around $7, but closed the week at $6.60, followed by Guardian Holdings and Berger Paints with expected gains of 238 to 264 percent versus last weeks’ 235 to 256 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by Access Financial and Medical Disposables. All three have the potential to gain between 238 and 287 percent, from 220 percent and 300 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 200 percent last week to 213 percent and Main Market stocks remain at 173 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.2 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 6.5, with a 52 percent discount to that market’s PE.
The overall Junior Market can gain 49 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 29 percent based on an average PE of 17. Nine stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, up from five last week, indicating that many others will rise above the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.6, which is 22 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 28 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 7.7, representing a 
50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 10 stocks or 22 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
The TOP10 is a selection of stocks that are most likely to deliver the largest gains within fifteen months. ICTOP10 focuses on potential yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Junior Market starts week with a fall
Trading closed on Monday, with the Junior Market index dropping 17.31 points to 3,284.82 as the volume of stocks traded declined 46 percent and the value slipping by 30 percent from Friday activity at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market.
Market activity led to 36 securities trading up from 32 on Friday and ended with 11 rising, 18 declining and seven unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
Trading ended with 4,466,932 shares changing hands for $16,339,623 compared to 8,337,540 units at $23,193,961 on Friday. Lumber Depot led trading with 1 million shares for 22.5 percent of total volume, followed by Future Energy Source with 686,651 units for 15.4 percent of the day’s trade and Limners and Bards with 674,420 units for 15.1 percent market share.
Trading averaged 124,081 shares at $453,878 in contrast to 260,548 shares at $724,811 on Friday and month to date an average of 175,757 units at $604,034, compared to 179,215 units at $614,082 on Friday. September closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Access Financial popped $2.45 to $19.70 with 3,000 shares clearing the market, Caribbean Assurance Brokers dropped 9 cents to $1.70 after exchanging 20,015 stock units, Caribbean Cream shed 20 cents to close at $5.90 after trading 142 stocks. Caribbean Flavours gained 5 cents to $1.94 while exchanging 51,037 units, Derrimon Trading advanced 8 cents to $2.40, with 254,993 shares crossing the exchange, Elite Diagnostic rose 19 cents to $3.29 after 21,243 stocks crossed the market. Express Catering lost 33 cents to $5 in an exchange of 78,275 units, Fontana increased 10 cents to $6.49 with 24,636 stock units changing hands, Fosrich spiked 20 cents in closing at $8.50 in trading 503,233 shares. GWest Corporation declined 12 cents to 83 cents in exchanging 59,347 units, Honey Bun fell 20 cents to $8.40 after exchanging 21,848 stock units, iCreate fell 6 cents to 97 cents with 2,692 stocks changing hands. Jamaican Teas climbed 6 cents to $4.45 in switching ownership of 254,158 stock units, KLE Group rallied 15 cents to $1.35 with an exchange of 53,319 stocks, Knutsford Express lost 85 cents at $7.20 with the swapping of 218 units.
Lasco Distributors dropped 30 cents to $3.60 after trading 6,065 shares, Mailpac Group declined 5 cents to close at $3.74 in exchanging 368,586 shares, Medical Disposables spiked 24 cents in closing at $4.98 while exchanging 2,500 units. Stationery and Office Supplies shed 30 cents in ending at $6.10 after trading 2,000 stocks, Tropical Battery gained 5 cents to end at $1.29, with 247,329 stock units crossing the market and tTech fell 45 cents to $4.25 crossing in trading 1,550 shares.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Junior Market back above 3,300 points but just
Trading closed on Friday, with the volume of stocks traded rising 167 percent after the value increased 119 percent higher than on Thursday and leading the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange into a modest rally into the weekend to close above 3,300 points.
Market activity led to 32 securities trading compared to 35 on Thursday and ended with 14 rising, 12 declining and six, closing unchanged.
The Junior Market Index popped 16.19 points to settle at 3,302.13 but is down 23 points for the week. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.3. The PE ratios stocks are shown in the chart below, based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending between now and July 2022.
Trading ended with 8,337,540 shares changing hands for $23,193,961 versus 3,121,228 units at $10,611,834 on Thursday. Derrimon Trading led trading with 5.02 million shares for 60.2 percent of total volume, followed by Lumber Depot with 1.17 million units for 14 percent of the day’s trade and Fontana with 382,456 units for 4.6 percent market share.
Trading averaged 260,548 shares at $724,811 in contrast to 89,178 shares at $303,195 on Thursday and month to date, an average of 179,215 units at $614,082, compared to 174,072 units at $607,079 on Thursday. September closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows five stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close of trading, CAC 2000 fell $1.19 to $8.06 after trading 860 shares, Caribbean Cream climbed 55 cents to close at $6.10 in switching ownership of 4,566 stocks, Elite Diagnostic popped 14 cents to end at $3.10 with 785 stock units changing hands. Express Catering rallied 68 cents to $5.33, with 172,185 units crossing the exchange, Fontana shed 6 cents to $6.39 trading 382,456 units, Fosrich advanced 5 cents to $8.30 with the swapping of 2,145 shares. GWest Corporation inched 11 cents higher to 95 cents in trading 40,727 stock units, Honey Bun rose 10 cents to close at $8.60 after 1,262 stocks cleared the market with, iCreate gained 8 cents in closing at $1.03 in an exchange of 100 stocks. 
Knutsford Express lost 5 cents to end at $8.05 while exchanging 2,264 shares, Lasco Distributors popped 10 cents to $3.90 in exchanging 116,697 stock units, Main Event dipped 15 cents in ending at $3.88 with an exchange of 45,158 units. Stationery and Office Supplies rose 40 cents to $6.40 in exchanging 1,300 stocks and Tropical Battery declined 9 cents in closing at $1.24 after 107,202 shares changed hands.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Junior Market consolidating ahead of results
Trading pulled back on Thursday, with the volume of stocks traded falling 49 percent, with the value slipping 46 percent below Wednesday’s market activity on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, but the market index rallied 6.60 points to 3,285.94.
Market activity led to 35 securities trading compared to 38 on Wednesday and ended with 14 rising, 13 declining and eight, closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.3. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecast for companies with the financial year ending up to July 2022, computed by ICInsider.com.
Trading ended with 3,121,228 shares changing hands for $10,611,834 compared to 6,124,546 units at 19,675,741 on Wednesday. Future Energy Source led trading with 613,900 shares for 19.7 percent of total volume, followed by Lumber Depot with 522,227 units for 16.7 percent of the day’s trade and Lasco Distributors 377,258 units for 12.1 percent market share.
Trading averaged 89,178 shares at $303,195 versus 161,172 shares at $517,783 on Wednesday and month to date, an average of 174,072 units at $607,079, compared to 180,380 units at $629,660 on Wednesday. September closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging climbed 5 cents to $1.80, with 60,100 shares clearing the market, Cargo Handlers dropped $1 to $7 with an exchange of 57,812 stocks, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rallied 14 cents to close at $1.79 after exchanging 6,555 stock units. Caribbean Flavours fell 6 cents to $1.89 in an exchange of 44,870 units, Consolidated Bakeries shed 11 cents in closing at $1.50 trading 60,268 shares, Express Catering declined 12 cents to $4.65 in exchanging 34,060 units. Fosrich popped 5 cents to $8.25 while trading 90,380 stocks, General Accident dropped 12 cents to $5.32 in trading 6,341 stock units, Honey Bun dipped 10 cents to $8.50, with 36,913 shares crossing the market. iCreate lost 8 cents in closing at 95 cents with an exchange of 162,076 stock units, Indies Pharma fell 23 cents to $3.15 in trading 31,358 units, Lasco Distributors popped 5 cents in closing at $3.80 after exchanging 377,258 stocks. Lasco Financial added 11 cents to end at $3.20, with 40,105 stocks changing hands, 
Lasco Manufacturing advanced 21 cents to $4.71 in switching ownership of 20,732 units, Mailpac Group popped 7 cents to $3.82, with 118,807 stock units crossing the market. Main Event shed 11 cents in ending at $4.03 with the swapping of 3,700 shares, Medical Disposables declined 26 cents to $4.74 in exchanging 131,266 stock units and Tropical Battery rose 9 cents to $1.33, with 27,345 units clearing the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Fractional pull back for Juniors
On Wednesday, trading volume and value differed moderately from Tuesday, leading the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market into a mild fall after 38 securities changed hands compared to 37 on Tuesday and ending with 13 rising, 18 declining and seven, closing unchanged.
At the close, the Junior Market Index slipped 10.08 points to settle at 3,279.34, after opening at 3,343.21. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values averages 13. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies whose financial year ends up to July 2022.
Trading garnered 6,124,546 shares for $19,675,741 compared to 5,877,002 units at $21,013,738 on Tuesday .Limners and Bards led trading with 3.05 million shares for 49.8 percent of total volume, followed by Lumber Depot 690,002 units with 11.3 percent of the day’s trade and Mailpac Group with 553,692 units for 9 percent market share. There was an average of 161,172 units at $517,783 in contrast to an average of 158,838 at $567,939 on Tuesday. The average or the month to date amounts to 84,959,068 units at $296,570,085 in contrast to 182,066 units at $639,479.
Trading averaged 161,172 shares at $517,783 in contrast to 158,838 shares at $567,939 on Tuesday. Trading month to date, averages 180,380 units at $629,660, compared to 182,066 units at $639,479 on Tuesday. September closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows five stocks ending with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
In trading, Access Financial declined $1.25 to $17.25 after exchanging 12,651 shares, AMG Packaging fell 18 cents to $1.75 while trading 358,000 stocks, as investors reacted to the release of full year results of 12 cents per share, up from 11 cents in 2020. Blue Power rose 26 cents to $3.31 after 69,451 units crossed the market, Cargo Handlers popped 20 cents to close at $8 in switching ownership of 672 stock units, Caribbean Assurance Brokers lost 8 cents and ended at $1.65 in an exchange of 32,751 units, Caribbean Cream shed 65 cents to end at $5.55, with 24,294 stocks clearing the market. Consolidated Bakeries dropped 12 cents at $1.61 while trading 2,000 shares, Dolphin Cove shed $2.05 to $8.20 after exchanging 5,000 stock units, Elite Diagnostic fell 12 cents in closing at $2.98 with 217,117 shares changing hands. Everything Fresh increased 8 cents to close at 96 cents after 1,206 stock units changed hands, Express Catering lost 13 cents to close at $4.77 trading 59,791 stocks, Fontana gained 9 cents to end at $6.45 with the swapping of 64,340 units. 
Fosrich climbed 10 cents to $8.20 in exchanging 950 units, Honey Bun fell 10 cents in closing at $8.60, with 620 shares crossing the market, Jamaican Teas rallied 8 cents to $4.38 with an exchange of 119,546 stocks. Lasco Distributors spiked 15 cents to end at $3.75 in trading 46,113 stock units, Lasco Financial declined 14 cents to close at $3.09, with 32,429 stocks changing hands, Main Event dropped 15 cents to $4.14 after exchanging 1,240 stock units. Stationery and Office Supplies shed 50 cents ending at $6 in trading 1,600 shares and tTech advanced 42 cents in closing at $4.67 after 3,090 units crossed the exchange.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Trading drops on junior Market
The number of securities trading rose sharply on Tuesday, but the volume of stocks traded declined 18 percent and the value fell 19 percent below Friday levels on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market and resulting in a fall in the market index.
Market activity led to 37 securities trading compared to 31 on Friday and ended with ten rising, 16 declining and 11 closing unchanged.
The Junior Market Index shed 35.98 points to 3,288.42. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.5. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to July 2022.
Trading ended with 5,877,002 shares changing hands for $21,013,738 down from 7,139,761 units at $25,836,483 on Friday. Mailpac Group led trading with 4.38 million shares for 74.5 percent of total volume, followed by Future Energy Source with 490,153 units for 8.3 percent of the day’s trade and Limners and Bards 213,465 units with a 3.6 percent market share.
Trading averaged 158,838 shares at $567,939 in contrast to 230,315 shares at $833,435 on Friday. Trading month to date, averages 182,066 units at $639,479, compared to 184,236 units at $646,163 on Friday. September closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended with a bid higher than the last selling price and five with lower offers.
At the close, Blue Power shed 15 cents to end at $3.05, with 21,083 shares crossing the market, Cargo Handlers rallied 80 cents to $7.80 while exchanging 990 stock units, Caribbean Cream dipped 5 cents to $6.20 trading 1,750 units. Caribbean Flavours advanced 6 cents in closing at $1.95 after trading 3,131 stocks, Elite Diagnostic rose 10 cents to $3.10 with 10,500 stock units changing hands, Everything Fresh dropped 8 cents to 88 cents after exchanging 9,067 shares. Express Catering fell 5 cents to close at $4.90, with 6,500 units crossing the exchange, Fontana lost 32 cents to end at $6.36 in switching ownership of 44,245 stocks, Fosrich declined 10 cents to $8.10, with 15,806 units changing hands. Iron Rock Insurance spiked 49 cents to $3.79 with an exchange of 100 stock units, Jamaican Teas dropped 5 cents to close at $4.30 with the swapping of 80,017 stocks, Knutsford Express popped 60 cents to $8.10, trading 2,243 shares. Lasco Manufacturing lost 10 cents in closing at $4.50 in an exchange of 39,219 stock units, 
Limners and Bards fell 11 cents to $3.51, with 213,465 shares clearing the market, Lumber Depot climbed 8 cents to end at $2.91 after exchanging 177,643 units. Main Event increased 29 cents, ending to $4.29, with 7,478 stocks crossing the market, Medical Disposables shed 25 cents to close at $5 in switching ownership of 55,000 shares and Tropical Battery lost 9 cents to end at $1.26, with 10,000 units clearing the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Kremi out Lumber Depot in ICTOP10
Caribbean Cream, with its Kremi brand of ice cream, reported disappointing second quarter results and fell out of the TOP 10 with full year earnings down to 65 cents, allowing Lumber Depot to return to the Junior Market ICTOP10. No other company moved in or out of the ICTOP10 stocks, valued at half that of the two overall markets.
Caribbean Cream half year’s results saw a modest 5 percent increase in sales in the second quarter, well below the first quarter increase of 28 percent, but cost rose above that of 2020, leaving a small profit of $7 million for the August quarter. The company’s management attributed the performance primarily to the no-movement days in operation during the quarter that curtailed sales. Knutsford Express returned to profit in the quarter of $9.2 million, from a loss in 2020 for the August quarter on improved revenues of $233 million from $122 million in 2020 but well off the $325 million in 2019. Paramount Trading had marginal movement in revenues for the August quarter of $369 million from $362 million in 2020, with a profit of $19 million versus $15 million in 2020.
Now that we are in the final quarter for 2021, many companies valuations will climb between now and early next year to further discount the current year’s earnings. Some stocks may therefore appear fully priced or close. Investors should keep eyes on both this and next year’s earnings to determine the appropriate valuation of each stock and whether to hold or fold. 
The 80/20 rule of trading stocks should be ever present as the long 40 year history of the local market shows that only two out of each of the top ten stocks in a year repeat in the following while 4 out of 10 of the worst performing stocks end up as winners in the succeeding year. The lesson is that many of the top stocks for 2021 will not make it in 2022.
Elsewhere, in the Junior Market, AMG Packaging price bounced around in the week but closed at $1.93, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rallied 7 percent, from $1.63 to $1.75, Dolphin Cove rose from $9.69 to $10.25 and Stationery and Office Supplies moved up by 8 percent from $6 to $6.50.
In the Main Market, Guardian Holding fell from $577 to $550, Sygnus Credit Investment popped 5 percent from $16.96 to $17.80, to be up 11 percent in two weeks and Sterling Investments slipped 8 percent from $3.01 to $2.76. The latter two are flashing strong signals of higher prices ahead as active supplies on the sell side in the market are moderate.
The top three Main Market stocks are Caribbean Producers which is consolidating around $7, followed by Berger Paints and Guardian Holdings, with expected gains of 235 to 256 percent versus last weeks’ 219 to 264 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by General Accident and Access Financial. All three have the potential to gain between 220 and 300 percent, down from 230 percent and 304 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 210 percent to 200 percent and Main Market stocks from 170 percent to 173 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week, with an average PE 13.4 based on ICInsider.com’s updated 2021-22 earnings and currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17, for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of 6.8, with a 51 percent discount to that market’s PE.
The overall Junior Market can gain 49 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 27 percent based on an average PE of 17. Nine stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, up from five last week, indicating that many others will rise above the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.4, 23 percent less than PE of 19 at the ended of March and 30 percent below the targeted PE of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 7.7, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 10 stocks or 22 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple may be around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 is not intended to select the best stocks in the market but ones that are most likely to be the largest winners within a fifteen month period. ICInsider.com ranks stocks to highlight the winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winners, helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
