Good turnaround candidates are companies that investors can make oversized gains from, Knutsford Express falls into this category and investors would be wise to take a serious look at the company’s third quarter results to February this year.
While they did not return to profit in the quarter, they made huge strides in almost closing the gap, with the February quarter showing a moderate loss of a mere $1.7 million from revenues that fell 42 percent from $318 million to $185 million. The results show a marked improvement over November when revenues fell from $283 million to $149 million with a loss of $34 million. At the same time, the Jamaican operation enjoyed a breakeven position in the third quarter. The performance is in keeping with the Directors, comments stated in their report accompanying the quarterly for November, “we expect an improved performance in the next quarter.”
Information coming in about the tourist sector indicates that the industry is on the mend with the expectation for high demand for the summer months. This will augur well for Knutsford that transports visitors to places like Negril and Ocho Rios. In addition, a more buoyant tourism sector and greater vaccination of Jamaicans will encourage more Jamaicans to travel using their buses.
The latest development is good news for the company that suffered an 11 percent decline in revenue and a 78 percent drop in profit for the 2020 financial year and a loss of $26 million for the August 2020 quarter, which worsened to $34 million in the November quarter. This followed the $70 million loss incurred in the April quarter last year, as dislocations caused by the impact of the COVID virus the company’s severely affected operations.
For the February quarter, administrative and operating expenses fell at a much slower pace and amounts than the fall in revenues, with expenses dropping 31 percent from $271 million in the 2020 January quarter to $187 million in 2021.
Finance income in the 2021 quarter pulled in $4 million compared to $757,190 collected in 2020, while finance costs declined from $7 million in 2020 to $4 million in 2021.
Revenue dropped 51 percent from $925 million for the nine months to February 2020 to $456 million in 2021.
For the nine months to February this year, administrative and operating expenses fell at a much slower pace and amounts than the fall in revenues, with expenses dropping 35 percent from $797 million in the 2020 quarter to $514 million in 2021. Depreciation charges accounted for $87 million, up from $74 million in 2020.
The US operation generated a mere $638,000 in revenue and a loss of $11 million that is down from the prior year with a loss of $26 million from revenues of $21 million.
Cash flows from operating activities brought in $31 million, down from $190 million at the end of January 2020. After spending $137 million on the acquisition of fixed assets and borrowing $65 million, the balance of cash funds fell to $38 million at the end of the period, down from $96 million at the end of January 2020. The company also has investments amounting to $101 million compared to $140 million at the end of February 2020. The build out of their Drax Hall Business centre has used up some of the funds.
Current assets ended at $183 million at the end of the quarter, down from $357 million at the end of February in the previous year. Current liabilities stood at just $96 million and is well covered by current assets. At the close of January, shareholders’ equity stood at $710 million, down from $845 million as of January 2020. The company has borrowings of $300 million in borrowed funds on the books.
Earnings per share came out at a loss of just one cent for the quarter and 13 cents for the nine months. The company stands a good chance of returning to full or nearly full operations in the new fiscal year commencing in June. ICInsider.com’s estimate is for earnings per share of 45 cents for a PE of 20 times 2022 projected earnings. Knutsford Express currently trades on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange at $9.
The results for the latest quarter support ICInsider.com‘s forecast for the company to return to profit for the 2022 fiscal year.