The markets closed with contrasting styles on Friday, with Junior Market listed Caribbean Cream dropping 27 percent to $4.01 and the main market listed Radio Jamaica rising 21 percent to $2.90, with the stock triggering the circuit breaker as investors exchanged 2.9 million units of the company’s shares on Friday.
It is unclear why RJR, a stock that was previously under selling pressure, surprisingly, surged at the week’s close. Caribbean Cream came under pressure after the company reported a loss for the year to February. Investors will have to await the first quarter results in a few days to determine whether the new year will see a return to brighter days.
Five Junior Market ICTOP10 stocks fell and four rose, while in the TOP10 Main Market, six stocks gained and two fell with none exceeding 4 percent, but for RJR.
Elsewhere in the Junior Market, C2000 climbed 11 percent to $10.30. In comparison, Access Financial and Elite Diagnostic gained 5 percent each to close the week at $21.01 and $3.50, respectively. In contrast, Caribbean Assurance Brokers lost 6 percent as Jetcon Corporation and Lasco Financial all fell 5 percent.
The week ended with one new listing in the TOP10 as mild gains by General Accident and a fall in the price of Dolphin Cove resulted in them swapping places.
VM Investments moved out in the TOP10 Main Market and Key Insurance moved into the TOP 10.
It is pretty clear that many investors are investing in the dark with the hope that some overvalued stocks will continue to deliver above average gains into the future, but not many people know that yesterday’s winners may not have tomorrow’s significant gains. They ignore the long established feature of the market going back almost 40 years of the IC 80/20 rule and rule of 72. The IC 80/20 rule is that only two out of ten stocks on average in one year end up in the top 10 the following year. The essence of this is that it is not prudent to invest in the vast majority of last year’s top 10 stocks, especially those that did exceptionally well and are unlikely to repeat.
Rule of 72 is simple. Divide 72 by the rate of return easily shows how quickly money can double. How does this apply to stocks? Last year the Junior Market rose 30 percent and for 2022, so far, by 27 percent. These growth rates indicate that an investment in all 45 stocks in this market would double every two and a half years based on the 2021 increase and roughly one year and four months using the year to date growth. What all of this is saying, investors don’t need to be chasing popular stocks to make good money in the market, choose those that are undervalued, with profit set to grow sufficiently to give a boost to the stock price.
Keep a careful watch on AMG Packaging, Dolphin Cove, Express Catering, Lasco Distributors, Lasco Manufacturing and Stationery and Office Supplies. Dolphin Cove, Caribbean Producers and Express Catering will be significant beneficiaries of the strong rebound in tourist arrivals.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 is 6.2, well below the market average of 15, while the Junior Market Top 10 PE is six versus the market at 12.9. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 242 percent to May 2023 and the Main Market 229 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023 and are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
The All Jamaican Composite Index gained 2,638.98 points to settle at 442,875.20, the JSE Main Index climbed 2,141.50 to 386,327.32 and the JSE Financial Index added 0.11 points to settle at 91.51.
At the close, Berger Paints added 70 cents in ending at $12.20, with 337 shares crossing the market, Caribbean Cement lost $2.50 to end at $64.50, with 20,215 stocks changing hands, Eppley fell 50 cents in closing at $44.50 after trading 175 stock units. First Rock Capital declined $1.55 to close at $11.75 while exchanging 5,681 units, Guardian Holdings rallied $16.99 to $519.99, with 1,654 shares crossing the exchange, Jamaica Producers advanced 45 cents to $22.45 trading 2,595 units. JMMB Group climbed $1.90 to close at $43.65 closed at 59,098 stock units, Key Insurance dropped 52 cents to end at $3.38 with the swapping of 2,005 stocks, Massy Holdings gained $1.30 after ending at $93 in exchanging 55,872 stocks. Mayberry Jamaican Equities popped 85 cents in closing at $13.85 with an exchange of 602 shares, Palace Amusement rose $45 to $945 with 23 stock units clearing the market, PanJam Investment climbed 98 cents in closing at $65.98 in an exchange of 138,936 units. Proven Investments rose $1.27 to close at $37.29 after exchanging 22,727 units, Radio Jamaica rallied 50 cents in ending at $2.90 after 2,700,500 stock units were exchanged, Scotia Group rose 45 cents to $36.50 in switching ownership of 1,039 shares. 
Seprod shed 70 cents in closing at $71.25, with 4,408 stocks crossing the exchange, Supreme Ventures increased 75 cents to close at $31.45 after exchanging 327,481 units and Sygnus Real Estate Finance recovered from the sharp fall on Thursday by gaining $1.26 to end at $12.51 in switching ownership of 501 shares.
The volume of stocks trading on Thursday rose 117 percent with 590 percent greater value than on Wednesday, with an exchange of 36,352,680 shares with a value of $2,054,073,702, up from 16,776,950 units at $297,498,943 on Wednesday. Trading averages 660,958 units at $37,346,795, up from 310,684 shares at $5,509,240 on Wednesday and month to date, an average of 281,913 units at $5,309,050, compared to 263,593 units at $3,760,655 onthe previous trading day. May closed with an average of 238,645 units at $3,561,016.
At the close, Barita Investments popped $1.02 to $88.02 in exchanging 21,487,543 shares, Berger Paints declined 75 cents in ending at $11.50 while exchanging 1,300 stock units, Caribbean Cement rose $3.40 in closing at $67 after trading 223,055 units. Eppley Caribbean Property Fund advanced $3.04 to end at $47 in an exchange of 60,745 stocks, First Rock Capital increased 73 cents to close at $13.30 in switching ownership of 79,859 units, GraceKennedy gained $1 to end at $103, with 416,560 stocks crossing the exchange. Guardian Holdings fell $20.98 in closing at $503 with the swapping of 51 stock units, Jamaica Broilers rallied 97 cents to close at $28, with 228,065 shares crossing the market, Jamaica Producers climbed $1 to $22, with 19,825 stocks changing hands. Jamaica Stock Exchange rallied 50 cents to $20 after 15,667 shares crossed the market, Kingston Properties increased 95 cents to close at $8.95, trading 140,927 units, Kingston Wharves popped $1 to $39.50 after exchanging 18,966 stock units. Massy Holdings dropped 30 cents in ending at $91.70 after exchanging 1,693 stocks, Mayberry Investments shed 40 cents in closing at $10 in trading 230,013 shares, NCB Financial slipped $1 to $101 with 36,536 stock units clearing the market. PanJam Investment lost $1 to end at $65 with an exchange of 19,380 units, Proven Investments shed $1.48 to close at $36.02 after 29,816 stocks changed hands, Pulse Investments gained 54 cents to close at $4.42 after exchanging 4,485,406 stock units.
Sagicor Group fell 50 cents in closing at $55.49 in an exchange of 90,240 shares, Salada Foods advanced 30 cents in ending at $5.80 after just two units traded, Scotia Group declined $1.64 in closing at $36.05 with an exchange of 89,692 shares. Seprod rose 70 cents to end at $71.95 with the swapping of 65,213 stocks, Stanley Motta climbed 50 cents to $5.50, with 42,111 units crossing the market, Supreme Ventures increased 71 cents to $30.70 in an exchange of 236,568 stock units and Sygnus Real Estate Finance dropped $3.75 to close at a 52 weeks’ low of $11.25, with 10,000 shares crossing the market.
Trading ended with 54 securities compared to 56 on Tuesday, with 24 rising, 15 declining and 15 ending unchanged.
At the close, Barita Investments increased 46 cents in closing at $87 after trading 1,417,306 shares, Caribbean Cement declined 40 cents to $63.60, crossing the market 3,962 stocks, Eppley climbed $6.50 to $45 and finished trading 980 units. First Rock Capital popped 82 cents in, ending at $12.57, with 18,200 stock units changing hands, GraceKennedy lost $2 to close at $102 in an exchange of 275,338 stock units, Guardian Holdings rallied $22.98 in closing at $523.98 after exchanging 65 stocks. Jamaica Stock Exchange advanced $1.01 to close at $19.50 and closing with an exchange of 10 shares, NCB Financial shed $1.50 to $102 in trading 77,614 units, PanJam Investment rose 99 cents in ending at $66 with 123,286 shares crossing the exchange. Proven Investments gained $1 to end at $37.50 while exchanging 12,419 stocks, Pulse Investments climbed 38 cents to $3.88 in switching ownership of 1,116,423 units, Sagicor Group rallied 99 cents in closing at $55.99, trading 34,169 stock units. 
Supreme Ventures fell 75 cents to close at $29.99 with 103,993 shares changing hands and Sygnus Credit Investments popped 70 cents in, ending at $15, with 331,231 units clearing the market.
Overall, 9,556,775 shares were exchanged for $186,056,204 versus 13,814,659 units at $73,312,672 on Monday. Trading averages 170,657 units at $3,322,432, compared to 260,654 shares at $1,383,258 on Monday and month to date, an average of 261,247 units at $3,673,549, compared to 266,182 units at $3,692,676 on the previous trading day. May closed with an average of 238,645 units at $3,561,016.
At the close, Berger Paints increased 80 cents in closing at $12, with 930 shares changing hands, Caribbean Cement fell $1 to $64 and closed after trading 56,189 units, Carreras rose 48 cents to $9.98, with 88,008 stock units changing hands. Eppley shed $5.50 to close at $38.50 trading 2,338 stocks, GraceKennedy lost 99 cents to end at $104 in trading 4,907 stock units, Guardian Holdings dropped $3 to end at $501 in switching ownership of 3,563 units. JMMB Group rallied 50 cents in ending at $42 while exchanging 238,705 shares, Margaritaville declined $1.77 in closing at $16.50, with an exchange of 270 stocks, Mayberry Jamaican Equities shed 41 cents to close at $12.99 after trading 43,396 stocks. MPC Caribbean Clean Energy gained $10.50 to close at $106.50, with 482 shares crossing the market, NCB Financial popped $1.50 to $103.50 with the swapping of 14,369 stock units, 138 Student Living advanced 31 cents to end at $5.10 with an exchange of 622 units. Palace Amusement fell $85.99, in ending at $900, with 38 shares clearing the market, Proven Investments dropped $1.45 to close at $36.50 after exchanging 4,114 units, Sagicor Group declined 90 cents in closing at $55 with an exchange of 16,581 stocks.
Scotia Group climbed $1.79 to $37.79 with 2,215 stock units changing hands, Stanley Motta lost 49 cents to end at $5 in exchanging 42,770 shares, Sygnus Credit Investments declined 65 cents to close at $14.30 in an exchange of 18,158 stock units and Sygnus Real Estate Finance climbed $1 in ending at $15 , with an exchange of 300 units.
At the close, 13,814,659 shares were traded for $73,312,672 versus 16,870,075 units at $147,178,606 on Friday. Trading averaged 260,654 units at $1,383,258, compared to 306,729 shares at $2,675,975 on Friday and month to date, an average of 266,182 units at $3,692,676, compared to 266,483 units at $3,818,213 on the previous trading day. May closed with an average of 238,645 units at $3,561,016. 
At the close, Berger Paints lost 98 cents to end at $11.20 after exchanging 7,001 shares, Caribbean Cement dropped $1.85 to $65 with an exchange of 90,431 stocks, Carreras declined 33 cents to $9.50 with 73,731 units changing hands. Eppley gained $3 to $44 in switching ownership of 2,000 stock units, GraceKennedy rallied $1.46 to $104.99 in an exchange of 73,715 stock units, Guardian Holdings climbed $3 to end at $504 after 307 shares crossed the market. Jamaica Stock Exchange rose 77 cents to close at $18.27 while exchanging 3,592 units, JMMB Group fell 50 cents to $41.50 after exchanging 160,223 stocks, Kingston Wharves shed 54 cents in closing at $38.46, trading 3,302 shares. Margaritaville dropped $3.23 in ending at $18.27 after an exchange of 50 stocks, Mayberry Investments shed 72 cents to close at $10.24, with 69,055 stock units changing hands, NCB Financial declined $1 to end at $102 with the swapping of 19,227 units. 
Proven Investments advanced 37 cents in closing at $37.95 in trading 11,734 units, Sagicor Group popped 90 cents to $55.90, with 140,160 stocks crossing the exchange and Scotia Group fell $1.31 in ending at $36 after exchanging 244,968 stock units.
Former Top10 listed
Dolphin Cove is benefitting from cost reduction in its operations, but more importantly, the solid first quarter results occurred when tourism arrivals were only 63 percent of 2019 numbers. In the first two months of the June quarter, tourist arrivals are 95 percent of the 2019 period and this is bound to have a positive impact on pushing the second quarter numbers much higher than for the first quarter as well as for the balance of the year. A similar situation would apply to Caribbean Producers, a significant supplier to the hotel sector.
ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
Overall, 16,870,075 shares were traded for $147,178,606 versus 16,705,305 units at $146,234,623 on Thursday. Trading averages 306,729 units at $2,675,975, compared to 327,555 shares at $2,867,346 on Thursday and month to date, an average of 266,483 units at $3,818,210, compared to 264,077 units at $3,886,496 on the previous trading day. May closed with an average of 238,645 units at $3,561,016.
At the close, Barita Investments lost 31 cents in ending at $86.50 after exchanging 20,559 shares, Berger Paints climbed $1.18 to $12.18 in switching ownership of 17,378 stocks, Caribbean Cement dropped 25 cents to end at $66.85 in an exchange of 76,927 units. Carreras gained 33 cents in closing at $9.83 after trading 53,433 stock units, Eppley rallied $1 to close at $41 after exchanging 201 units, First Rock Capital shed $1.25 to close at $12 with an exchange of 100,516 stocks. GraceKennedy rose $1.53 in closing at $103.53, with 8,169 shares crossing the market, Jamaica Broilers popped 30 cents to close at $26.80 after 23,935 stock units crossed the exchange, Jamaica Stock Exchange advanced 50 cents to end at $17.50 while exchanging 1,096 stock units. JMMB Group fell 50 cents, ending at $42 in an exchange of 657,734 units, Kingston Properties increased 40 ents to $8, trading 5,404 shares, Margaritaville declined $1.10 in ending at $21.50 after 52 stocks crossed the market. Massy Holdings rose 44 cents to close at $92 with 48,739 shares changing hands, Mayberry Jamaican Equities advanced 40 cents in closing at $13.40 with the swapping of 8,585 stock units, MPC Caribbean Clean Energy shed $10.45 to end at $96 with 195 units clearing the market. 138 Student Living popped 28 cents to $5.04 in trading 250 stocks, PanJam Investment lost $1 to close at $65, with 2,450 stocks changing hands, Portland JSX rallied 45 cents in ending at $11.95 after trading 35 units. Proven Investments dropped 42 cents to $37.58 while exchanging 3,087 shares, Sagicor Group declined $1.99 to end at $55, with 783,855 stock units clearing the market, Salada Foods fell 26 cents to close at $5.44 after 7,193 stocks crossed the market. Scotia Group fell 56 cents in ending at $37.31 in trading 65,690 shares, Seprod lost 50 cents to end at $71 in an exchange of 7,018 stock units, Supreme Ventures increased 95 cents in closing at $30.95 with the swapping of 611,885 units. 
Sygnus Credit Investments gained 75 cents to $14.95, with 39,084 stocks changing hands and Wisynco Group climbed 75 cents to close at $19.75 after trading 351,342 units.
The All Jamaican Composite Index climbed 3,067.03 points to 439,266.19, the JSE Main Index rose 2,365.47 points to 383,350.63 and the JSE Financial Index increased 0.95 points to settle at 91.88.
At the close, Berger Paints lost $1 in ending at $11, with 35,423 shares changing hands, Caribbean Cement advanced $3.60 to $67.10 after trading 64,553 stock units, Ciboney Group climbed 37 cents to end at a 52 weeks’ high of $1.50 in trading 1,077,445 units. Eppley dropped $3.95 to close at $40 while exchanging 500 stocks, Eppley Caribbean Property Fund popped $4, in closing at $44 with the swapping of 11 shares, First Rock Capital increased 95 cents to $13.25 after exchanging 2,027,822 stock units. Guardian Holdings rose $1 to close at $501, trading 1,605 stocks, Jamaica Stock Exchange shed $1.27 to end at $17 after exchanging 56,302 units, Kingston Wharves gained $2.65 in closing at $39 with 27,672 stock units changing hands. Massy Holdings declined 44 cents to $91.56 with an exchange of 502 stocks, Mayberry Investments rallied 69 cents to close at $10.75 in exchanging 88,876 shares, Mayberry Jamaican Equities fell $1.03 to $13, with 9,558 units crossing the market. NCB Financial rose 50 cents in closing at $103 in an exchange of 72,458 shares, Palace Amusement jumped $86 to end at $986 with four shares crossing the market, 
PanJam Investment gained $1 in ending at $66 with 39,348 stocks clearing the market. Sagicor Group increased $1.99 in closing at $56.99 after 72,339 stock units crossed the exchange and Seprod popped $1.47 to $71.50 in switching ownership of 6,940 shares.
At the close, Caribbean Cement fell $1 to close at 63.50, with 36,506 shares crossing the exchange, Eppley advanced $3.95 in closing at $43.95 with the swapping of 79 stocks, First Rock Capital fell 70 cents to close at $12.30 while exchanging 1,688 units. GraceKennedy declined $1.01 to $101.99, with 133,000 stock units changing hands, Guardian Holdings popped $2.50 to $500 and closed with trading in 1,748 stock units, Jamaica Producers increased 49 cents to close at $21 with an exchange of 11,644 units. Jamaica Stock Exchange gained 77 cents to end at $18.27 in switching ownership of 3,250 shares, Kingston Wharves dropped 65 cents to close at $36.35 after exchanging 8,957 stocks, Mayberry Investments shed 44 cents in closing at $10.06 after trading 97,096 stock units. Mayberry Jamaican Equities rose $1.04 in ending at $14.03, with 70,680 units crossing the market, NCB Financial rallied $1.30 to $102.50 after finishing trading 19,030 stocks, 138 Student Living lost 30 cents to close at $4.76 in trading 5,544 shares. Palace Amusement dropped $1.01 to end at $900 with 60 stocks clearing the market, Portland JSX climbed 50 cents in closing at $11.50 in exchanging 22,917 units, Proven Investments advanced $1.97 to $38 in an exchange of 8,308 shares. 
Sagicor Group declined $1.70 in, ending at $55 after 588,190 stock units crossed the market and Supreme Ventures rallied 28 cents to $29.91 after exchanging 497,456 shares.