Jamaica: Trade deficit narrows

Jamaica enjoyed some encouraging news at the start of the year as the country’s perennial trade deficit narrowed although by a small margin, according to data from Statistical Institute of Jamaica (Statin). Earnings from Non-traditional exports commodities that rose by US28.2 million or 47.5 per cent to US$87.7 million and a cut in the trade deficit with the USA and a reduction in CARICOM imports were the main contributors to this improved position. The deficit was reduced by US$1.2 million to US$401 million for the first month of the year. The improvement came against the back ground of a declined local currency and a sharp narrowing of central government’s fiscal deficit.

The deficit with the United States contracted sharply moving from US$116.4 million to US$78.5 million for the same period.

Jamaica exported 7.7 per cent or US$10.9 million more goods in January this year than was done for the similar month in 2012 resulting in earnings of US$152 million. Imports on the other hand, was a mere US$9.7 million or just 1.8 percent more in January than the same month last year as US$553 million was expended on imported items.

The major commodities to record increases were “Chemicals”, “Food”,“Misc. Manufactured Articles” and Imports of “Chemicals’ which rose sharply by 59.6 per cent or US$36.5 million to US$97.6 million due to higher imports of ethanol products. “Food” increased by Flags_globe150X150US$30.5 million to US$92.2 million or 49.4 per cent and accounted for 16.7 per cent of the import bill. “Misc. Manufactured Articles” accounted for US$34.7 million of imports compared to the US$34.2 million in 2012. “Mineral Fuels, etcetera” which accounts for 32.2 per cent of imports declined by US$71.7 million or 28.7 percent and was valued at US$178.6 million while “Manufactured Goods” declined with a value of US$45.8 million down from US$49.5 million in the similar 2012 period.

Traditional Domestic Exports earned US$58 million in January 2013, a decrease of US$19.4 million or 25.1 per cent when compared to the same period in 2012, due to decreased earnings in two of the three commodity groups, “Mining and Quarrying” and “Manufacture”. “Mining and Quarrying” fell by 0.1 per cent to US$53.5 million in the 2013 review period due to lower earnings from Bauxite. This was valued at US$10.5 million, down from US$11.1 million.  “Manufacture declined by 85.0 per cent or US$19.4 million, moving from US$22.8 million in January 2012 to US$3.4 million in the current 2013 review period.

Caricom_logo150X150CARICOM Trade | The country imported US$56.1 million from CARICOM, a decline of 16 per cent amounting to US$10.7 million. A reduction in the value of imports in “Mineral Fuels, etcetera” and “Chemicals” contributed to the overall decline in CARICOM imports. “Mineral Fuels, etcetera” decreased by 30 percent or US$14.3 million to US$33.2 million.

Exports to the Region rose by US$0.5 million or 10.5 percent to US$5.1 million during January 2013. STATIN stated that during 2012, Jamaica’s expenditure on merchandise imports grew by  2.4 per cent or US$155.5 million  to US$6,594.9 million compared to the previous year. Earnings from total exports rose by US$87.5 million or 5.4 per cent to US$1,709.8 million.”

JSE: Monday, 13th May 2013

Market highest since February 8th

The market is at the highest level based on the All Jamaica Index since February 8th this year, but it has some way to go before it takes out the 2013 high of January 4 when the all Jamaica index was at 91,721. Grace Kennedy put on $2.25 today, to close at $58 based on 6,185 units trading at $58, Desnoes and Geddes put on 33 cents to close at $4.50 after the company reported improved nine months results on Friday but with lower third quarter profits than the year before quarter due to costs relating to staff separation. The company traded 82,500 units, all at $4.50. Scotia Bank put on $1.96 to close at $21.98 while trading a mere 5.965 units.

The sentiments of the market can be gleaned from the advance decline ratio of stock price movements in today’s trade. Advancing stocks continued the trend of last week with advancing stocks outnumbering declining stocks on the Jamaica Stock Exchange. 7 stocks registered price advances and only 3 fell. The movement helped in moving the All Jamaican index up by 828.77 closing at 83,660.42. The main market index closed up 470.76 points to close at 84,479.12 on a day when 21 stocks traded. Stocks with a mere $9,004,591.79 value traded in market.

Stocks to watch this week | Grace Kennedy, Carreras, Jamaica Broilers, National Commercial Bank, Scotia Investments, Blue Power, Honey Bun, Jamaican Teas, General Accident.

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Salada’s stock price may be stuck

Salada Foods, best known as producer of Mountain Peak instant coffee, reported lower profits for the March 2013 quarter as sales were lower, emanating from price reductions implemented to stimulate sales and market penetration. The reduction resulted in sales for the quarter falling 15.6 percent to $141 million a $26 million decline. Six months sales were up nevertheless by 2.5 percent. Administrative expenses rose 27 percent to $40.6 million to $50 million for the six months period. The increase is attributed primarily with the commencement of operations for Mountain Peak Foods which is the company used to acquire the Roberts brands of processed condiments.

For the six month period, sales were $294 million and $286 million in the similar period in 2012. Profit for the period after tax came in at $55 million while the 2012 net figure was $54 million.

Salada is clearly very conservatively managed as can be seen from some of the financial ratios. The company has a large current asset ratio of 9 to 1, well above accepted norms, with cash of $223 million. There was no interest bearing debt on the books and equity was a high $668 million.

Stock outlook | The earnings for this year which ends in September should exceed a $1 per share. This could mean that the stock may not have much room to climb in the current market environment. There are limited supplies of the company’s stocks to trade, so anything is possible with the stock price if demand comes in for them.

Profits on the improve for D&G

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Desnoes & Geddes is reporting improved results for the nine months to the end of March this year with profits after tax up 30% to $1,050 billion, however in the latest quarter, profits was down 18% to $243 million after tax. The company took a $152 million charge, in the third quarter for making workers redundant, flowing from the decision to transfer the sales and distribution of its products to Celebration Brands, a joint venture company with Pepsi. The company’s management indicates that the amount written off in the quarter is 50 percent of the total separation cost. Based on these numbers Investor’s Choice, a sister publication to ICInsider.com, is projecting 66 cents per share earnings for the year after the one off staff separation cost, but expect earnings to close in on $1 per share in the 2013/14 year as growth in sales and cost cutting improve profits.

Overseas production | The results reflect the decision last year to switch the production and sales of Red Stripe to the USA. Export sales are down as a result, but so is cost relating to exports. The difference is a plus for the bottom line for D&G. Marketing cost is one area of major savings as the company no longer picks up that cost in the USA market. Gross margin for local and exports climbed during the nine months period. Local sales grew to $2.67 billion up from $2.56 billion in 2012 and for exports it was $564 million in the current fiscal year versus $450 million, but exports earnings jumped to $530 million after marketing cost, a large improvement over $127 million reported in 2012. General selling and administration cost rose from $906 million to just $938 million for the 2013 period.

DG_logo150X150Local sales climbed 12 percent over the same period in 2012 and was driven by the launch of the new beer, Talawah, a stronger performing spirits portfolio and price increase, the company reported. Local marketing cost increased by $21 million primarily due increased spend to promote and televise Red Stripe Premier League football.

Financial position | The group is in a healthy financial position as the improved results have contributed to cash moving from $230 million in March 2012 to $1.964 billion, after paying $560 million in dividends in December last year. Current assets exceed current liabilities comfortably by almost two to one, borrowed funds were only $157 million.

D&G has in the past stuck to paying out around 80 percent of profits as dividends and if this policy is maintained then the upcoming dividend to be considered this week should be around 30-35 cents per share. With the present price being $4.15 the annual yield will be around 12 percent making the stock very attractive.

Stock outlook | Investor’s Choice’s analysis points to the prospect of potential good growth levels for this company, as the local economy as well those overseas, show improvements in the years ahead. The major risk to this company is any weakness in the economy and potential for government to impose addition taxes on the products. On the positive side, the company is dominant in the local market and is enjoying increased acceptance of the flagship product Red Stripe overseas.

More cash for Lascelles’ former owners

Some 985 former Lascelles deMercado shareholders are once more pretty happy as they received another distribution from their old company. The payout was made through New Transport Group, the company formed to take over the companies that Campari did not acquire when they took over Lascelles last year.

The amount being paid works out at $18.6533 per share of which $13.62 has been paid over, leaving $4.29 left to be paid later. No date was disclosed for when the balance is to be paid.

The former majority holders had arranged that amounts in excess of working capital needs would be paid over by Lascelles to the new company. This distribution is being made under that arrangement.

The directors of the new company indicate that they have engaged experts to advise on the future of the company and that shareholders would be updated at the annual general meeting later this year.

JSE: Friday, 10th May 2013

Scotia companies stock skid

In a lackluster day’s trading, 3.08 million stocks at a value of $33,240,248.40 traded as 11 stocks recorded price gains against only 2 that fell in the ordinary share segment.

Both Scotia Group and Scotia Investments were the day’s big losers, the former down $1.98 to $20.02 with 512,354 units trading and the latter losing $3.08 to close at $23.03 with 324,350 shares trading. NCB gained 30 cents to close at $18.30 with 524,095 shares trading. JP traded 13,001 units and put on 32 cents to close at $15.50, Jamaica Broilers traded 309,318 units up to $4.60, 6 cents more than on Thursday. Kingston Wharves gained 30 cents in trading 12,781 units to close at $6.40 and the highest price for more than a year, Lasco Financial Services traded at an all-time high of $8.10 while Blue Power gained 17 cents to $5.85 on just 4,389 units. Grace continues to pick gains, closing at $55.75, 16 cents more than yesterday, on small volume.

JSEINdicesMay10All the indices of the market fell except the junior market the US dollar market that had no trades and the cross listed index, whereas there were no trades for overseas based companies.

TTSE: Friday, 10th May 2013

TCL dominates, Grace gains

Trinidad Cement (TCL) traded 1,297,434 shares and the price was down 2 cents to 95 cents at the end of trade. Grace Kennedy traded 35,400 units and gained 27 cents to close at $3.60 in the process. There was still unfilled demand at the end of trade at $3.61 but there were no stocks on offer. Angostura Holdings traded 44,800 units at the same price as prior to today. Grace released their first quarter result yesterday and this may have contributed to the price changes.

Trading accounted for 1.4 million units, valued at $2.33 million as two stocks registered price gains and one fell. Ten securities traded for the day.

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FX: Friday, 10th May 2013

Buying exceeds selling by US$10m

USD | Trading activity in the currency market was relatively uneventful with the most watched currency against the Jamaican dollar, the US, hardly had any rates change. Authorised dealers bought US$37.5 million and sold only $27.6 million, that is almost a $10 million difference. The average buying rate for US dollars was $98.579 and the currency was sold at $99.0575. Yesterday, the rates were, buying $98.448 and selling $99.051 resulting in a minor devaluation of the Jamaican dollar against the US.

CAD | More Canadian dollars were purchased today than on Thursday. The amounts purchased was CAD$ 1.63 million and selling $885,795. Purchases of Canadian dollars cost more but sellers charged less to offload the currency today.

GBP | Today £960,233 pounds were bought compared to Thursday’s buying of £3,661 million. There was selling of £734,700, far less than the £3.04 million sold on Thursday. The rate of the pound fell in today’s trading with the buying rate off J$2.30 taking it to J$150.45, the selling rate was 46 cents lower.

Yen falls | Elsewhere the Japanese yen crossed aggressively over the 100 barrier and reached just under 102 yen to the US dollar before retreating to 101.61 at the close as the US dollar gathers strength based on what many in the market are seeing as an ever improving economic developments in the United States. The yen has climbed back from a low of 77 to one US dollar last year. The move which many expect to continue will benefit Jamaicans, making imports form that country vastly cheaper than in 2012.

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FX: Thursday, May 9th 2013

Mixed FX market

GBP | The main action was in the trading of pounds sterling on Thursday as buying was up on Wednesday with £3,661 million bought compared to £779, 323 on Wednesday. The rate climbed for buying as it moved up by $1.90 over Wednesday’s price of J$150.832 to the pound. On the sell side, more than £1.56 million were sold than on Wednesday but the price slipped by 14.55 cents. The pound’s lowest buying rate moved down sharply from 130.07 to J$124.09 and was the most pronounced change in rates for the day.

CAD | The Canadian dollar was less expensive on both the buying and selling side as it took, on average, 47 cents to sell to the system but buyers were paying under a cent less for that currency.

USD | Authorized dealers bought US$24 million for 10 Jamaican cents less per US dollar and sold US$23 million for about 2 cents more than on Wednesday. Overall, the market once more traded more currency on the buy side than on the sell side. Sale of foreign currency was also less than the amount bought on Wednesday. Purchases on Thursday were less than on Wednesday and less selling also took place. There were US$9.6 million less purchases in the system and US$10.3 million less were sold than on Wednesday.

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Dividends to come

The Board of Directors of Desnoes & Geddes (D&G) has advised that they will meet on Thursday, May 16, 2013 to consider the payment of a second interim dividend for the year 2013. On the same date the Board of Directors of Pan-Jamaican Investment Trust will meet to consider the payment of a second interim dividend for the year.

If the dividend is approved, Desnoes & Geddes would be returning to the regular practice of paying two dividends per year, which was suspended when the operations was faced with challenges after the global economic crisis took full effect in Jamaica. The company paid 20 cents per share in December.

Pan Jamaican already made a payment of $1.10 cents in March and if the Board approves, it would be the second of four for the year and likely to be $0.50.

The Board of Directors of Dolphin Cove has declared a dividend of $0.10 per share payable on June 6, 2013 to shareholders on record as at May 20, 2013. The ex-dividend date is May 16, 2013. This payment is likely to be the second of three for the year having paid one in March already.

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