With just one third of 2022 elapsing, it is an excellent time to look at what the markets and ICInsider.com forecast have done. The Junior Market gained 29.85 percent to the end of April, or half of the entire year forecast of 60 percent, made at the start of the year and in the process, the market has surpassed the 29.7 percent gains it achieved in 2021 for the entire year.
The Main Market that ICInsider.com forecast to deliver a 14 percent rise for the year struggles to break from consolidation so far, with a rise of just 4.8 for the four months to April and is consistent with a 14 percent increase for the year. It is quite likely that the market PE could climb closer to a PE of 18, which will push the annual gains to around 30 percent if the financial stocks show good increases in profit for the year. That is a very likely situation as the hike in interest rates is driving net interest income sharply upwards.
At the beginning of the year, ICInsider.com stated, “the market is technically at a support level that is steering the index upwards. More importantly, it is caught in a triangular formation setting to push the market sharply upwards once it breaks out, which is not far off. The market is trading in a channel that goes back to May 2020, pointing to a record high of over 4,000 points in a few months.” So far, the above forecast is spot on.
In addition to the Top15 selection for each market at the start of the year, we added a few stocks. There were nine winning stocks with good gains. The list includes AMG Packaging 73 percent, Dolphin Cove 47 percent, Elite up 26 percent, Everything Fresh 83 percent, iCreate 263 percent, Jetcon 75 percent, Spur Tree Spices 215 percent, Stationery and Office Supplies 46 percent and Tropical Batteries up 124 percent for the year to date and up 64 percent since ICInsider.com added it was added to the TOP10 on February 25. Caribbean Cream, down 7 percent, is the only Junior Market stock selection to fall.
The big TOP15 winners for the Main Market are Caribbean Producers, up 42 percent, Jamaica Stock Exchange at 22 percent, JMMB Group at 16 percent and Proven at 14 percent. Berger Paints, down 7 percent, Jamaica Broilers, with a fall of 3 percent and Scotia Group, down one percent, are the only losers in this segment.
For the week, the only new listing to TOP10 is tTech replacing Jetcon, that held on to a gain of 16 percent to top the ICTOP10 Junior Market movers and dropped out of the TOP10, followed by Medical Disposables with 14 percent after a block of shares that was overhanging the market was taken out by buyers. AMG Packaging rose 9 percent, Caribbean Cream rose 6 percent and Caribbean Assurance Brokers shed 9 percent.
In the Main Market, Sygnus Credit Investments rose 8 percent to end at $16.48 and Caribbean Cement gained 6 percent to close at $75.18.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market TOP 10 ends the week at 6.2, well below the market average of 15, while the Junior Market PE for the Top 10 sits at 6.1 versus the market at 14.2. The Junior Market TOP10 is projected to gain an average of 239 percent to May 2023 and the Main Market 197 percent.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to the end of May 2023. They are ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.