Junior Market ends week with gains

More funds passed through the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market on Friday, pushing the volume of stocks traded up 18 percent and the value rising 46 percent higher than on Thursday and led to market to record an increase over last week’s close and with gains going into the weekend.
A total of 37 securities traded down from 41 on Thursday and ended with 16 rising, 13 declining and eight closed unchanged.
The Junior Market Index climbed 27.68 points to 3,416.44. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.6. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasts done by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
Overall, 4,884,822 shares traded for $20,407,151 up from 4,133,325 units at $14,013,135 on Thursday. Jamaican Teas led trading with 1.49 million shares for 30.4 percent of total volume, followed by Future Energy Source with 1.17 million units for 24 percent of the day’s trade and Mailpac Group with 384,475 units for 7.9 percent market share.
Trading averaged 132,022 shares at $551,545 in contrast to 100,813 shares at $341,784 on Thursday and month to date, an average of 113,246 units at $404,431, compared to 108,735 units at $369,086 on Thursday. Trading in October averaged 162,777 units at $557,275.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and two with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial rose $1.09 to $20.79 in an exchange of 94,398 shares, Cargo Handlers climbed 34 cents to $7.84 after trading 21 stocks, Caribbean Cream fell 29 cents to close at $5.68 with 3,180 stock units changing hands. Derrimon Trading fell 8 cents to $2.44 while exchanging 70,522 units, Elite Diagnostic dropped 23 cents to end at $3.02 after clearing the market with 88,778 stock units, Everything Fresh shed 7 cents to 91 cents with the swapping of 34,100 shares. Fosrich popped 10 cents to close at $8.60 with an exchange of 54,742 stocks, General Accident spiked 65 cents to $6.10, with 136,082 units changing hands, Honey Bun lost 15 cents to end at $9.35 after exchanging 95,727 units. Indies Pharma dropped 18 cents in closing at $3.02 in trading 125,039 stock units, ISP Finance fell $2.23 to $45 after trading 80 stocks, Jamaican Teas declined 10 cents to close at $4.40, with 1,485,356 shares crossing the exchange. Knutsford Express rose 9 cents in closing at $8.09, trading 6,374 stock units, Lasco Distributors advanced 33 cents to end at $3.85, with 58,015 units crossing the market Lasco Manufacturing lost 30 cents, closing at $4.50 after trading 250,158 shares. Main Event shed 40 cents to close at $4 in switching ownership of 354,112 stocks, Paramount Trading popped 9 cents in closing at $1.14, with 470 shares crossing the market and Stationery and Office Supplies rallied 39 cents to end at $6.30 with an exchange of 200 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

 

Junior Market slips on Thursday

Shortly after the opening of trading on Thursday, Junior Market Index raced to 3,438 points but failed to hold on to those early gains and ended lower at the close of Wednesday, with the index dropping 18.39 points below Wednesday’s close, to finish at 3,388.76 as the value of stocks trading declined 13 percent below Wednesday at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market.
Market activity led to 41 securities trading, up from 37 on Wednesday and ended with 16 rising, 18 declining and seven left unchanged. Fontana and KLE Group ended trading at 52 weeks’ highs.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.7. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on the earnings forecast done by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
Trading ended with 4,133,325 shares changing hands for $14,013,135 down from 4,626,302 units at $16,070,563 on Wednesday. Future Energy Source ended with 30.5 percent of total volume as it led trading with 1.26 million shares, followed by Mailpac Group ended, with 20.6 percent after 852,447 units were traded and Lumber Depot 12.7 percent with 524,419 shares.
Trading averaged 100,813 shares at $341,784, down from 125,035 shares at $434,340 on Wednesday and month to date, an average of 108,735 units at $369,086, compared to 111,609 units at $378,991 on Wednesday. October average trade was 162,777 units at $557,275.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended with a bid higher than the last selling price and two with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial climbed $1.70 to $19.70 with the swapping of 15,164 shares, Blue Power spiked 16 cents to $3.27, trading 1,000 stock units, CAC 2000 rose 85 cents to end at $9.25 with an exchange of 100 stocks. Cargo Handlers shed 34 cents to close at $7.50 after exchanging 2,000 units, Caribbean Cream gained 31 cents in ending at $5.97 in swapping 3,758 stock units, Consolidated Bakeries popped 11 cents to $1.66 after 4,000 stocks changed hands. Elite Diagnostic advanced 20 cents to $3.25, trading 121 units, Express Catering increased 20 cents to $5 24,844 shares after crossing the exchange, Fontana rallied 21 cents to end at 52 weeks’ closing high of $7.20, as 291,769 stocks crossed the market. Fosrich declined 10 cents to close at $8.50, with 11,897 stock units changing hands, Future Energy Source increased 9 cents to $2.79, with 1,261,084 shares clearing the market, Honey Bun advanced 49 cents to close at $9.50 in switching ownership of 95,524 units. Indies Pharma dropped 9 cents to end at $3.20, with 26,000 stock units crossing the market, ISP Finance fell 74 cents after finishing at $47.23 in trading 642 shares, KLE Group spiked 51 cents in closing at 52 weeks’ high of $2.51 in an exchange of 14,277 stocks. Lasco Distributors lost 8 cents to close at $3.52 while exchanging 24,956 units, Medical Disposables rose 40 cents to $5.50 in an exchange of 19,400 stocks, SSL Venture fell 8 cents in closing at 66 cents as 39,200 shares changed hands and tTech shed 90 cents to end at $3.88 in trading 7,859 units.
In the preference segmentCAC 2000 9.5% preference shares dropped 8 cents to 92 cents trading 54,325 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Junior Market rises

Junior Market risesThe Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange closed higher on Wednesday, with the volume of stocks traded rising 76 percent more, with the value doubling stocks trading on Tuesday, as the market continues to consolidate ahead of third quarter results.
Overall, 37 securities traded, up from 35 on Tuesday and ended with 16 rising, 13 declining and eight closing unchanged.
At the close, the Junior Market Index rallied 16.47 points to settle at 3,407.15.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.6. The PE ratio of each stock shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecast done by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
A total of 4,626,302 shares changed hands for $16,070,563 compared t0  2,624,356 units at $8,025,937 on Tuesday. Future Energy Source led trading with 44.8 percent of total volume after trading 2.07 million shares, followed by Jamaican Teas 25.8 percent with 1.19 million units and Lumber Depot with 6.4 percent after 297,740 shares were traded.
Trading averaged 125,035 shares at $434,340 in contrast to 74,982 shares at $229,312 on Tuesday and month to date, averages 111,609 units at $378,991, compared to 105,072 units at $352,046 on Tuesday. October closed with an average of 162,777 units at $557,275.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial lost $1.55 in closing at $18, after trading 9,534 shares, Cargo Handlers climbed 69 cents to $7.84 in switching ownership of one stock unit, Consolidated Bakeries fell 11 cents, to $1.55 after an exchange of 10,147 units. Dolphin Cove dropped 25 cents to $10 while exchanging 9,830 stocks, Elite Diagnostic dipped 5 cents to end at $3.05 in trading 148,454 units, Express Catering shed 5 cents in closing at $4.80 after trading 25,709 stocks. Fontana rose 5 cents to $6.99 in exchanging 162,937 shares, Fosrich inched 17 cents up to end at $8.60, with 37,041 stock units crossing the exchange, Honey Bun dropped 49 cents to close at $9.01, clearing the market with 9,677 stocks. Indies Pharma gained 19 cents to $3.29 with an exchange of 64,299 shares, Jamaican Teas rose 6 cents in closing at $4.50, with 1,194,086 units changing hands, Jetcon Corporation popped 11 cents to $1.10, in trading 7,397 stock units. KLE Group shed 20 cents to close at $2 after exchanging 33,223 stocks, Knutsford Express fell 5 cents, to $8, with 3,000 shares crossing the market, Lasco Manufacturing rallied 5 cents to end at $4.85, in trading 32,764 stock units. Limners and Bards declined 5 cents to $3.55 with the swapping of 19,496 units, Main Event advanced 54 cents to close at $4.44, with 400 stock units clearing the market, Medical Disposables rallied 5 cents to end at $5.10 with an exchange of 1,200 units. Paramount Trading rose 6 cents to $1.10, with 3,000 stocks crossing the exchange, SSL Venture popped 5 cents to 74 cents in switching ownership of 1,922 shares and Tropical Battery lost 5 cents to end at $1.29 in trading 4,143 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Modest setback for Juniors on Tuesday

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The volume of stocks traded fell 51 percent less, with the value falling by 57 percent from trading on Monday on the Junior Market of the Jamaica Stock Exchange, but it led to rising stock beating out declining ones by a wide margin at the close on Tuesday.
A total of 35 securities trading down from 41 on Monday and ended with 19 rising, 11 declining and five closing unchanged.
The Junior Market Index slipped 4.40 points to 3,390.68. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.4. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with the financial year ending up to August 2022.
Trading ended with 2,624,356 shares changing hands for $8,025,937 compared to 5,361,145 units at $18,729,533 on Monday. Future Energy Source led trading with 1.0 million shares for 38.3 percent of total volume, followed by Jetcon Corporation with 196,746 units for 7.5 percent of the day’s trade and Lasco Manufacturing with 176,276 units for 6.7 percent market share.
Trading averaged 74,982 shares at $229,312 versus 130,760 shares at $456,818 on Monday and for the month to date an average of 105,072 units at $352,046. October closed with an average of 162,777 units at $557,275.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows five stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and five with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial rose $2.54 to $19.55 after exchanging 1,126 shares, Blue Power declined 16 cents to close at $3.11 in switching ownership of 4,500 stock units, Express Catering dropped 25 cents to $4.85 after 7,200 stocks crossed the market. Fontana popped 24 cents to end at $6.94 after 45,388 units changed hands, General Accident rallied 10 cents to $5.45 in trading 38,736 stocks, GWest Corporation climbed 22 cents to end at 92 cents while exchanging 38,708 stock units. Honey Bun advanced 25 cents to $9.50, with 21,498 units changing hands, iCreate dropped 9 cents to end at 86 cents, with 59,004 stock units crossing the market, KLE Group rose 35 cents to close at a 52 weeks’ high of $2.20 with the swapping of 81,775 shares, Lasco Distributors popped 6 cents in closing at $3.56 with an exchange of 8,480 units. Lasco Financial rose 6 cents to $3.15 while exchanging 4,003 stock units, Lasco Manufacturing increased 47 cents to $4.80, with 176,276 stocks clearing the market, Limners and Bards popped 6 cents in closing at $3.60 in exchanging 77,116 units, Mailpac Group increased 7 cents to close at $3.82, with 53,232 stocks crossing the market, Main Event fell 50 cents to $3.90 trading 4,240 shares, Paramount Trading declined 6 cents to close at $1.04 in an exchange of 4,988 stock units and Stationery and Office Supplies popped 29 cents to end at $5.90 in an exchange of 124 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Early gains given up by Junior Market stocks

Trading closed, with the volume of stocks traded leapt 21 percent higher with the value rising 26 percent over Friday’s trading as all but one security traded at the close of the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market on Monday.
Overall, 41 securities traded up from 35 on Friday and ended with 17 rising, 17 declining and seven, closing unchanged.
At the close, the Junior Market Index dropped 9.32 points to settle at 3,395.08 after the market opened at 3,451.61. The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.8. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
A total of 5,361,145 shares traded for $18,729,533 up from 4,415,967 units at $14,859,809 on Friday. Friday Future Energy Source led trading with 2.16 million shares for 40.2 percent of total volume, followed by Lumber Depot with 608,209 units for 11.3 percent of the day’s trade and Indies Pharma, with 532,649 units accounting for 9.9 percent market share.
Trading averaged 130,760 shares at $456,818 in contrast to 126,170 shares at $424,566 on Friday. Trading in October closed with an average of 162,777 units at $557,275.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows four stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three with lower offers.
At the close, Access Financial slumped $2.69 to $17.01 with an exchange of 6,509 shares, CAC 2000 gained 10 cents in closing at $8.40 after exchanging 820 units, Cargo Handlers increased 15 cents to $7.15 after trading 7,000 stocks. Caribbean Cream shed 31 cents to end at $5.66 in switching ownership of 28,319 stock units, Express Catering rose 10 cents to $5.10, with 2,000 shares clearing the market, Fontana lost 10 cents to close at $6.70 with the swapping of 127,054 stock units. GWest Corporation dropped 15 cents in closing at 70 cents, with 112,049 units crossing the market, Honey Bun fell 25 cents to $9.25, with 210,000 stocks changing hands, Indies Pharma declined 35 cents to $3.05 in an exchange of 532,649 shares. KLE Group spiked 39 cents to end at a 52 weeks’ high of $1.85, with 26,937 units changing hands, Lasco Distributors dropped 35 cents to $3.50 in trading 41,052 stock units, after the company reported flat six months results but suggesting the stock is undervalued. Lasco Manufacturing shed 45 cents ending at $4.33, with 39,664 stocks crossing the market after the company released good half year results with a strong indication that the stock is undervalued. Main Event spiked 40 cents in closing at $4.40 after trading 2,012 stocks, Medical Disposables popped 11 cents to $5.06 after exchanging 4,428 shares, Stationery and Office Supplies fell 89 cents to $5.61 in exchanging 5,825 units and tTech rallied 14 cents to $4.79 while trading 10,000 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

ICTOP10 Dolphin Cove jumps 25%

The highlights of the week for ICTOP10 stocks is the price movement of stocks, with the big moves being Dolphin Cove with a recovery of 25 percent back to $10.25 and 14 percent for Access Financial in the Junior market and 21 percent rise, with the Junior market closing over the 3,400 points level for the first time since July and is now close to a two year’s high. Caribbean Producers to $8 after it hit an all-time high of $9 on Wednesday to be up 186 percent for the year to Friday.
Sygnus Credit Investment gave back the 5 percent increase last week to end at $17.80. Berger Paints and Proven Investments both gave up 3 percent during the week, while Junior Market Lasco Financial gave up six percent at the end of the week in closing at $3.05 and Caribbean Assurance Brokers lost three percent, from $1.79 to $1.74 as Medical Disposables rose four percent to $4.95 after hitting an intraday high of $5.80 on Friday and Lumber Depot rose four percent to $2.97.
There are no additions to the ICTOP10 this week, but with company results increasingly appearing, the markets could benefit from some of them. Caribbean Cement released third quarter results and investors responded negatively to them with the third quarter profit, down sharply from bot 2020 third quarter and the previous two quarters. The stock propped higher to close the week at $114 after it fell to almost $100. This stock now looks like one for 2022 as it seems fully valued based on probable results for 2021. Jamaica Stock Exchange released third quarter numbers with higher 2021 income and profit helped considerably by two big one off type trades in August and September, as such, investors should be careful that they do not read too much into those results about exciting prospects.  Mayberry Investments released results for the year to September with profit up for the nine months from a loss of $664 million to a profit of $513 million and a profit of $224 million, down from $298 million in September 2020 quarter. Other comprehensive income that is positive for the nine months rising from a fall of $5 billion in 2020 to a surplus of $1.2 billion but a loss of $861 million for the September 2021 quarter. The company will be paying a hefty dividend of 32 cents per share. The company will be paying a hefty dividend of 32 cents per share. Lasco Manufacturing and Lasco Distributor reported second quarter results. The former enjoyed a 13 percent increase in revenues to $4.65 billion and a 6 percent rise in profit to $782 million after increased taxation in the period versus a lower rate in 2020. The distributing company enjoyed a 15 percent rise in revenues to $11.6 billion and a 14 percent fall in after tax profit to $197 million.
As 2021 slowly crawls to a close, the focus should be on 2022 and the current year’s values to determine the appropriate valuation of each stock for a hold or fold decision. Most of the top 2021 stocks will not make the top 10 in 2022, but some will. The IC 80/20 rule, with a long 40 year history, shows an average of only two of the top ten stocks in a year repeat in the following one, while 4 out of 10 of the worst performing stocks will end up as TOP 10 winners in the succeeding year.
The top seven stocks so far, with gains of 52 to 231 percent, are; Future Energy, Jamaican Teas, Fosrich, ISP Finance, Lumber Depot, Express Catering and Honey Bun. In the Main market, Caribbean Cement, Caribbean Producers, Salada Foods, Radio Jamaica and Grace.
The top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, Berger Paints and JMMB Group, with expected gains of 216 to 254 percent versus last weeks’ 238 to 264 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market have undergone a metamorphose with only are Elite Diagnostic, remaining in the top three this week and is followed by General Accident and Lasco Financial, with all three having the potential to gain between 228 and 281 percent, from 238 percent and 287 percent, previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 213 percent last week to 202 percent and Main Market stocks moved from 173 percent to 169 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.2 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 6.8, with a 52 percent discount to that market’s PE.
The overall Junior Market can gain 51 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 29 percent based on an average PE of 17. Seven stocks representing 15 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from nine last week, indicating that many others will rise above the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.6, which is 22 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 28 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 7.8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 12 stocks or 25 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. The TOP10 is a selection of stocks that are most likely to deliver the largest gains within fifteen months. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on possible increases for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

Junior Market closing in on 17 months high

Trading closed Friday, with the volume and value of stocks traded rising modestly over Thursday as the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market closed out the week and month with the market index surging 42.50 points to close at 3,404.40, to be up 108 points for the month, with a gain just under 29 percent for the year to date.  
The market closed just below the 2020 to 2021 peak of 3,421.90 reached on July 15 this year. Market activity led to 35 securities trading compared to 36 on Thursday and ended with 15 rising, eight declining and 12 closing unchanged.
A total of 4,415,967 shares traded for $14,859,809, up from 3,697,415 units at $12,782,196 on Thursday. Jamaican Teas led trading with 1.38 million shares for 31.3 percent of total volume followed by Future Energy Source with 686,131 units for 15.5 percent of the day’s trade and Mailpac Group with 489,175 units for 11.1 percent market share.
Trading averaged 126,170 shares at $424,566 up from 102,706 shares at $355,061 on Thursday and month to date averages 162,777 units at $557,275, compared to 164,650 units at $564,066 on Thursday. September closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows five stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and three stocks with lower offers.
At the close, Blue Power popped 18 cents to $3.28, with 686 shares crossing the market, CAC 2000 climbed 25 cents to $8.30 while exchanging 1,200 stocks, Cargo Handlers declined 89 cents to $7 after trading 672 stock units. Caribbean Assurance Brokers rose 9 cents to $1.74 in exchanging 7,000 units, Consolidated Bakeries advanced 5 cents to $1.60 in swapping 12,937 stock units, Derrimon Trading rallied 11 cents to close at $2.51, with 462,210 shares changing hands. Elite Diagnostic fell 13 cents to $3.15 in an exchange of 21,248 units, Fontana shed 8 cents to $6.80 with 35,174 stocks changing hands  GWest Corporation dropped 9 cents in closing at 85 cents after 1,048 shares crossed the exchange. Honey Bun spiked 22 cents ending at a 52 weeks’ closing high of $9.50 trading 4,704 units, KLE Group popped 13 cents to $1.46 with an exchange of 36,000 stocks, Lasco Distributors rose 25 cents to end at $3.85 in trading 217,988 stock units. Lasco Manufacturing climbed 48 cents to $4.78 with the swapping of 185,781 units, Lumber Depot spiked 7 cents to close at $2.97 with 60,602 stocks clearing the market, Paramount Trading lost 6 cents to close at $1.04 in switching ownership of 34,312 shares, Stationery and Office Supplies increased 50 cents to close at $6.50 after exchanging 2,434 stock units and tTech advanced 40 cents to $4.65 1,000 stocks changing hands.

Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Rising Junior Market

Trading closed Thursday on the Junior Market, with the volume and value of stocks trading declining from  Wednesday’s level of trades and the market index putting in a solid performance to recover nearly all of the 38 points fall on Wednesday.
At the close, the Junior Market Index rallied 34.96 points to end at 3,361.90, after 36 securities traded compared to 37 on Wednesday and ended with 18 rising, 14 declining and four closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.6. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
A sum of 3,697,415 shares traded for $12,782,196 down from 3,844,068 units at $14,596,020 on Wednesday. Jamaican Teas led trading with 777,341 shares for 21 percent of total volume followed by Lumber Depot with 733,555 units after and 19.8 percent of the day’s trade and Limners and Bards with 421,749 units for 11.4 percent market share.
Trading averaged 102,706 shares at $355,061 in contrast to 103,894 shares at $394,487 on Wednesday, and month to date, averages 164,650 units at $564,066, compared to 168,091 units at $575,677 on Wednesday. September  closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows three stocks ended with bids higher than their last selling prices and one with a lower offer.
At the close, Access Financial climbed $2.34 to $19.70 with the swapping of 6,501 shares, CAC 2000 dropped $1.20 to end at $8.05 after 5,333 stocks crossed the exchange, Caribbean Assurance Brokers shed 13 cents to close at $1.65 after trading 3,143 stock units. Caribbean Cream rose 14 cents to $5.97 with 417 units changing hands, Consolidated Bakeries declined 15 cents to $1.55 in an exchange of 13,896 units, Derrimon Trading advanced 5 cents to $2.40 in trading 81,273 stock units. Dolphin Cove jumped 82 cents to close at $10.25 in exchanging 10,476 shares, Everything Fresh rose 5 cents to 98 cents, with 305 stocks crossing the market, Express Catering lost 20 cents in closing at $5 after exchanging 17,424 stock units. Fontana popped 38 cents to end at $6.88 after exchanging 86,886 units, Fosrich spiked 9 cents to close at $8.44 while exchanging 16,367 stocks, Honey Bun rallied 28 cents to $9.28, with 114,985 shares crossing the market. iCreate fell 6 cents to 92 cents with an exchange of 68,175 shares, Indies Pharma rose 21 cents to end at $3.40, with 21,438 stock units changing hands, Jamaican Teas increased 19 cents to $4.45 in switching ownership of 777,341 stocks. Knutsford Express spiked 75 cents to $8.05, with 712 units clearing the market, Lasco Distributors declined 10 cents to close at $3.60 after exchanging 22,430 stock units, Lasco Financial dropped 14 cents to $3.05 in trading 59,314 units. Lasco Manufacturing lost 20 cents to $4.30 after 27,840 shares crossed the exchange, Mailpac Group advanced 6 cents to $3.83 in exchanging 201,426 stocks, Main Event gained 24 cents to end at $4 with 7,500 shares changing hands. Medical Disposables fell 32 cents in closing at $4.93, after trading 47,340 stocks, Stationery and Office Supplies shed 10 cents to $6 with an exchange of 13,398 stock units and tTech fell 45 cents to end at $4.25, after 1,143 units crossed the market.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Sharp spike for Junior Market

The Junior Market Index surged 79.76 points to settle at 3,364.58 on Tuesday, after opening, trading well up at 3,360.07 points. The volume of stocks traded slipped moderately, compared to market activity on Monday, with the value falling 28 percent at the close of a bullish session on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market, t.
Market activity led to 37 securities trading compared to 36 on Monday and ended with 18 rising, 10 declining and nine, closing unchanged.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 13.4. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
Trading ended with 4,194,434 shares changing hands for $11,727,353 compared to 4,466,932 units at $16,339,623 on Monday. Future Energy Source led trading with 1.09 million shares for 26 percent of total volume, followed by Lumber Depot with 612,943 units for 14.6 percent of the day’s trade and Jamaican Teas 512,665 units 12.2 percent of trading.
Trading averaged 113,363 shares at $316,955 in contrast to 124,081 shares at $453,878 on Monday, and month to date an average of 171,979 units at $586,650, compared to 175,757 units at $604,034 on Monday. September closed with an average of 207,032 units at $668,264.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows no stock ending with a bid higher than the last selling price and six closed with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging declined 15 cents to $1.65 in switching ownership of 10,755 shares, Blue Power dropped 30 cents to $3, with 10,129 units changing hands, CAC 2000 popped $1.19 in closing at $9.25 while exchanging 1,000 stock units. Cargo Handlers rose 5 cents to $7.05 after exchanging 50 stocks, Caribbean Assurance Brokers climbed 5 cents to $1.75 after trading 10,809 stock units, Consolidated Bakeries spiked 25 cents to $1.75 trading 630 units. Dolphin Cove popped $2.04 to $10.24 with 4,850 shares crossing the market, Elite Diagnostic shed 19 cents in ending at $3.10 with the swapping of 1,300 stocks, Express Catering gained 33 cents to end at $5.33 in trading 40,600 stocks. Fontana lost 19 cents to close at $6.30 with an exchange of 91,248 stock units, Fosrich fell 10 cents to close at $8.40 in exchanging 33,976 units, Honey Bun rallied 20 cents to $8.60 after exchanging 316 shares. iCreate shed 8 cents to end at 89 cents, with 15,300 units crossing the exchange, Thinly traded ISP Finance surged $10.02 ending at a record high $50, with 500 shares clearing the market,  Jetcon Corporation dropped 8 cents in closing at $1.02 in an exchange of 320,202 stocks. KLE Group fell 19 cents in closing at $1.16 after 19 stock units crossed the market, Lasco Manufacturing rallied 12 cents to $4.80, with 1,034 stock units clearing the market, Mailpac Group rose 6 cents to end at $3.80 in an exchange of 311,160 stocks. Main Event popped 32 cents to $4.20 in switching ownership of 450 shares and Medical Disposables advanced 27 cents to $5.25 in an exchange of 11,400 units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.

Sleepy ICTOP10 Sygnus Credit on the rise

Developments during the week for ICTOP10 Main Market stocks saw Sygnus Credit Investment adding another 5 percent to its value this past week on top of the 5 percent rise in the previous week to close at $18.65 from $17.80, to be up 17 percent for October. Sterling Investments rose 9 percent from $2.76 to $3 and Berger Paints gained 3 percent during the week. Caribbean Producers lost 2 percent, Guardian Holding fell 6 percent from $550 to $515 and Proven

Sygnus Credit Investments is up 17% in October.

Investments lost 7 percent to round out the main movements in ICTOP10 for the week. There were no additions to the ICTOP10 this week, but volatility continued, with Junior Market stocks bouncing up and down. Elite Diagnostic gained 3 percent to $3.10, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rallied 2 percent, from $1.75 to $1.79, Lumber Depot rose 2 percent to $2.89, with persistent selling above keeping a lid on price movement. Access Financial lost 7 percent to close at $17.25 from $18.50, AMG Packaging fell 7 percent to close at $1.80 from $1.93 after the company released full year results. Dolphin Cove dived 20 percent from $10.25 to $8.20, Medical Disposables with bright prospects for the future fell 10 percent to $4.74 and Stationery and Office Supplies slipped 2 percent to $6.40 from $6.50.
As 2021 slowly crawls to a close, the focus should be switching to 2022 along with the current year’s values to determine the appropriate valuation of each stock and the hold or fold decision. Most of the top 2021 stocks will not make the top 10 in 2022. The IC 80/20 rule, with a long 40 year history, shows an average of only two of the top ten stocks in a year repeat in the following one, while 4 out of 10 of the worst performing stocks will end up as TOP 10 winners in the succeeding year. The top seven stocks so far, with gains of 52 to 231 percent and three others gaining more than 100 percent are; Future Energy, Jamaican Teas, Fosrich, ISP Finance, Lumber Depot, Express Catering and Honey Bun. In the Main market, Caribbean Producers is 136 percent to date and is expected to deliver much more gains into 2022, Salada Foods rose 107 percent, Radio Jamaica has an increase of 103 percent, but investors can expect much more from this one but a lot is expected after the release of the September quarter results, Caribbean Cement is scheduled to release third quarter results next weekend, with the stock price up 88 percent for the year to date and Grace up 55 percent.
Elsewhere, Supreme Ventures released nine months results with 22 percent increased sales to $19.3 billion for the nine months but virtually flat third quarter sales of $6.3 billion with nine months profit slipping marginally from $1.55 billion to $1.54 billion and the third quarter falling from $596 million down to $311 million. Earnings per share ended at 57.7 cents and 11.8 cents for the quarter.  AMG Packaging released full year results, with profits of $62.6 million, up from $56 million in 2020 with earnings per share of 12 cents. The quarterly profit was $20 after tax and, in 2020, $18.4 million after a tax credit. Construction of the new facility is complete, and machinery and equipment are ordered and is expected to be installed during the November quarter.
The top three Main Market stocks are, Caribbean Producers currently consolidating around $7, but closed the week at $6.60, followed by Guardian Holdings and Berger Paints with expected gains of 238 to 264 percent versus last weeks’ 235 to 256 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Elite Diagnostic, followed by Access Financial and Medical Disposables. All three have the potential to gain between 238 and 287 percent, from 220 percent and 300 percent previously.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 200 percent last week to 213 percent and Main Market stocks remain at 173 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 13.2 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the historical average of 17 for the period to March this year, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 6.5, with a 52 percent discount to that market’s PE.
The overall Junior Market can gain 49 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 29 percent based on an average PE of 17. Nine stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, up from five last week, indicating that many others will rise above the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.6, which is 22 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 28 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 7.7, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 10 stocks or 22 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
The TOP10 is a selection of stocks that are most likely to deliver the largest gains within fifteen months. ICTOP10 focuses on potential yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.

Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.

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