Stocks recorded gains to start the final month of the year on a positive note on the Jamaica Stock Exchange Junior Market on Wednesday, with the volume of stocks traded rising, slipping 29 percent, with the value down 22 percent versus trading on Tuesday.
The day ended with 38 securities trading compared to 36 on Tuesday and ended with 12 rising, 15 declining and 11, closing unchanged. The Junior Market Index advanced 8.09 points to settle at 3,376.20.
The PE Ratio, a measure used to compute appropriate stock values, averages 14.4. The PE ratio of each stock is shown in the chart below, is based on earnings forecasted by ICInsider.com for companies with their financial year ending up to August 2022.
A total of 2,818,722 shares changed hands for $10,873,159 down from 3,944,569 units at $13,899,422 on Tuesday. Lumber Depot led trading with 576,504 shares for 20.5 percent of total volume, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers with 519,552 units for 18.4 percent of the day’s trade and AMG Packaging with 394,367 units for 14 percent market share.
Trading averaged 74,177 shares at $286,136 in contrast to 109,571 shares at $386,095 on Tuesday. November closed with an average of 160,358 units at $581,730.
Investor’s Choice bid-offer indicator shows one stock ended with a bid higher than their last selling prices and four with lower offers.
At the close, AMG Packaging popped 5 cents after closing at $2.20 with the swapping of 394,367 shares, Blue Power rose 21 cents to $3.21, with 20,432 stocks crossing the market, Cargo Handlers climbed 4 cents to end at $7.05 after exchanging 2,000 stock units. Caribbean Assurance Brokers shed 18 cents to $2.31, with 519,552 units crossing the market, Caribbean Flavours fell 11 cents to $1.81 with 4,001 stocks changing hands, Consolidated Bakeries declined 6 cents in closing at $1.45 in exchanging 15,049 units. Dolphin Cove popped 19 cents to $13.19 after trading 270,441 shares, Everything Fresh fell 6 cents to 92 cents with an exchange of 75,853 stock units, Express Catering increased 25 cents to close at $5.90 in exchanging 24,934 units. Fosrich dropped 3 cents to end at $8.47 after trading 13,319 stocks, Future Energy Source slipped 3 cents to $2.75, with 296,830 shares changing hands, GWest Corporation rallied 9 cents to close at $1 in switching ownership of 1,600 stock units. Knutsford Express gained 49 cents in ending at $8 after trading 1,734 units, Lasco Distributors fell 5 cents in closing at $3.15 after exchanging 9,362 stocks, Limners and Bards dropped 9 cents to end at $3.60, with 15,718 shares crossing the exchange. Lumber Depot shed 4 cents to $2.90 while exchanging 576,504 stock units, Medical Disposables lost 14 cents to end at $5.62, with 7,000 stocks clearing the market, Paramount Trading advanced 17 cents in closing at $1.21 after exchanging 2,000 units and Stationery and Office Supplies popped 38 cents to $6.38 in an exchange of 300 stock units.
Prices of securities trading are those for the last transaction of each stock unless otherwise stated.
Two changes to ICTOP10 listings
The two major Jamaica Stock Exchange markets meandered all week, closing the past week with the Junior Market rising moderately and the Main Market recovering 5,228 points of the more than 12,000 lost on the last two trading days in the previous week as prices of Caribbean Cement, NCB Financial and Scotia Group rose.
Against the above backdrop, there were few changes to the ICTOP10 stocks at the week’s close. Scotia Group jumped 9 percent to end at $37.97 for the week and gave way to Carreras to return to the Main Market TOP10 after a long absence, with the price at $8.10 and projected earnings at 80 cents. The Junior Market lost Medical Disposables with the price closing at $6.72, up 29 percent for the week, allowing General Accident came in to replace it with the price at $6.60 and just edging out Fontana, with both having similar potential gains of 97 percent.
Big TOP10 movers for the week are AMG Packaging lost 6 percent in closing at $2.25 from $2.40 last week, Caribbean Cream fell 4 percent to $5.60, Elite Diagnostic dropped 8 percent to $3.20, Caribbean Assurance Brokers rose 6 percent to $2.47 and Dolphin Cove rose 3 percent to land at $12.90 after it a 52 weeks’ high of $14 on Thursday, new coronavirus making the news seemed to have induced selling on Friday. In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers jumped 15 percent to close at $10, up from $8.61 and Radio Jamaica gained 8 percent to $3.30.
The top three Main Market stocks are Guardian Holdings, Caribbean Producers and JMMB Group, projected to gain between 214 to 254 percent expected versus last weeks’ 212 to 283 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are AMG Packaging, followed by Caribbean Assurance Brokers and Access Financial Services. All three can gain between 150 and 211 percent, down from 154 percent and 207 percent previously.
There are many undervalued stocks in the market, with the average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 145 percent last week to 142percent and Main Market stocks moved from 163 percent to this week’s 159 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 14.5 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the March 2020 historical average of 17, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.4, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 38 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 17 percent based on an average PE of 17. Ten stocks representing 25 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards the 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 16.1, which is 18 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 24 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 50 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple could be around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners; accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.
Four additions to ICTOP10 listings
ICTOP10 stocks have four new listings this week as recent profit results led to revisions to earnings, as a result, the Junior Market lost General Accident and Stationery & Office Supplies, while Berger Paints and PanJam Investment exited the Main Market ICTOP10.
General Accident inched from $6.60 last week to $6.70 this week, but earnings were revised downwards to 65 cents for the year, helping it exit the TOP10. New to this week’s ICTOP10 are the Junior Market’s Medical Disposables, with the price falling 23 percent to $5.20 from $6.78 last week and Caribbean Cream. Sygnus Credit Investments dropped out of the TOP10 the previous week and returns with the price dropping 17 percent from $18.90 down to $15.66 this past week, while Proven Investments also returns.
Big TOP10 movers this week are AMG Packaging up 41 percent in closing at $2.40 from $1.70 last week, Dolphin Cove leapt 22 percent to land at $12.50. In the Main Market, Caribbean Producers dipped 15 percent to close at $8.61 as some selling came in for the stock and Radio Jamaica has an analysts briefing on Tuesday coming and dropped 13 percent to an attractive entry of $3.06, with revenues and profit climbing over the last fiscal year’s outturn.
The top three Main Market stocks are Caribbean Producers, Guardian Holdings and JMMB Group, which are projected to gain between 212 to 283 percent expected versus last weeks’ 227 to 261 percent.
The top three stocks in the Junior Market are Caribbean Assurance Brokers, followed by AMG Packaging and Lasco Distributors. All three can gain between 154 and 207 percent, down from 209 percent and 253 percent previously.
The latest results show that there are many undervalued stocks, but investors should focus on these stocks that could show good earnings growth in 2022.
The average gains projected for the TOP 10 Junior Market stocks moved from 185 percent last week to 145 percent and Main Market stocks remains unchanged at 163 percent.
The Junior Market closed the week with an average PE 14.1 based on ICInsider.com’s 2021-22 earnings and is currently well below the target of 20 and the March 2020 historical average of 17, based on 2020 earnings. The TOP 10 stocks trade at a PE of a mere 8.3, with a 42 percent discount to that market’s average PE.
The Junior Market can gain 42 percent to March next year, based on an average PE of 20 and 21 percent based on an average PE of 17. Nine stocks representing 22 percent of all Junior Market stocks with positive earnings are trading at or above this level, down from seven last week, indicating that many others will rise towards 17 mark in the weeks ahead.
The average PE for the JSE Main Market is 15.5, which is 23 percent less than the PE of 19 at the end of March and 29 percent below the target of 20 to March 2022. The Main Market TOP 10 average PE is 8, representing a 52 percent discount to the market and well below the potential of 20. A total of 14 stocks or 30 percent of the market trade at or above a PE of 19, with most over 20, for an average PE of 25.5, suggesting that the accepted multiple maybe around 25 times the current year’s earnings.
ICTOP10 focuses on likely yearly winners, accordingly, the list may or may not include the best companies in the market. ICInsider.com ranks stocks based on projected earnings to highlight winners from the rest, allowing investors to focus on potential winning stocks and helping to remove emotional attachments to stocks that often result in costly mistakes.
IC TOP10 stocks are likely to deliver the best returns up to March 2022 and ranked in order of potential gains, based on the possible increase for each company, considering the earnings and PE ratios for the current fiscal year. Expected values will change as stock prices fluctuate and result in weekly movements in and out of the lists. Revisions to earnings per share are ongoing, based on receipt of new information.
Persons who compiled this report may have an interest in securities commented on in this report.